By Chris Matthews and William Watts, MarketWatch

The U.S. central bank launches its second interest-rate policy meeting of the year

U.S. stocks advanced Tuesday morning, with bulls looking to extend a winning streak for the Dow Jones Industrial Average to five sessions as Federal Reserve policy makers prepare to convene a two-day policy meeting.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 125 points, or 0.5%, at 26,039, while the S&P 500 index added 9 points, or 0.3%, to 2,842. The Nasdaq Composite Index gained 19 points, or 0.3%, to 7,734.

What's driving the market?

While no change in rates is expected, investors will be focused on the Fed's policy statement, remarks by Chairman Jerome Powell at his news conference, and policy makers' forecasts of future rate moves. Of particular interest is whether the Fed will announce plans to bring its balance-sheet runoff effort to an early end.

See:Fed seen revealing 'how and when' it will stop shedding balance sheet assets (http://www.marketwatch.com/story/fed-seen-revealing-how-and-when-it-will-stop-shedding-balance-sheet-assets-2019-03-18)

The Fed is widely expected to maintain the tone it adopted in January, when it abruptly put its rate-hike plan on pause and took a wait-and-see approach to future rate moves.

Also read:Here are 3 things to watch when the Fed unveils its latest dot plot (http://www.marketwatch.com/story/fed-doesnt-want-anyone-paying-attention-to-the-dot-plot-but-here-are-3-things-investors-wont-want-to-miss-2019-03-15)

Investors on Monday appeared to shake off news reports (http://www.marketwatch.com/story/stock-futures-point-to-mixed-start-ahead-of-fed-meeting-boeing-drags-on-dow-2019-03-18) that a meeting between President Donald Trump and Chinese leader Xi Jinping to formally end a U.S.-China trade dispute is unlikely to occur until June. A meeting had previously been indicated for this month.

See:Bulls looking for repeat of 2016 stock-market rally will be disappointed: Morgan Stanley (http://www.marketwatch.com/story/stock-market-bulls-hoping-for-a-repeat-of-2016-rebound-will-be-disappointed-morgan-stanley-2019-03-18)

After suffering a steep year-end selloff, stocks have rebounded sharply. The S&P 500 is up nearly 16% from its Christmas Eve low and now stands 3.3% below its record close of 2,930.75 on Sept. 20.

Read:Why stocks can continue to rally in short term after investors suffered 'parable of the boiling frog' (http://www.marketwatch.com/story/why-stocks-can-continue-to-rally-in-short-term-after-investors-suffered-parable-of-the-boiling-frog-2019-03-18)

What are analysts saying?

"It's been a fairly stable trading environment, as the market has largely built in expectations that we'll get some kind of deal with China and it isn't anticipating any changes to interest-rate policy from the Fed," Patrick Healy, president of Caliber Financial Partners told MarketWatch.

"The Federal Reserve begin their two day meeting today, and some dealers are anticipating a neutral update from the U.S. central bank," said David Madden, market analyst at CMC Markets UK, in a note. "In recent months, the Fed have rowed back on their hawkish rhetoric and have moved more towards a middle-of-the- road position, and an absence of hawkish language is likely to lift investment sentiment."

What stocks are worth watching?

Shares of Michaels Cos. (MIK) rose 12.8%, after the arts-and-crafts retailer reported fiscal fourth-quarter earnings and revenue (http://www.marketwatch.com/story/michaels-cos-stock-soars-4-premarket-as-quarterly-earnings-beat-offsets-soft-guidance-2019-03-19) that surpassed Wall Street expectations, though the company disappointed in its 2019 outlook. The stock is down 45% over the past 12 months.

DSW Inc. (DSW) stock fell 15%, after the discount footwear retailer reported fiscal 2018 earnings (http://www.marketwatch.com/story/dsw-stock-plunges-after-full-year-adjusted-profit-misses-expectations-2019-03-19) Tuesday morning that fell short of analyst forecast.

Shares of Nvidia Corp. (NVDA) were in focus Tuesday after the company announced Monday evening (http://www.marketwatch.com/story/nvidia-bags-amazon-web-services-in-its-latest-data-center-chip-push-2019-03-18) that Amazon.com Inc. (AMZN) would now be using its T4 data-center chips. The stock is up 3.8%.

Revlon Inc. (REV) stock is down 5.3% early Tuesday, after the cosmetics maker reported unaudited fourth-quarter and 2018 earnings (http://www.marketwatch.com/story/revlon-stock-tanks-after-beauty-company-finds-material-weakness-in-its-controls-misses-views-2019-03-18), saying it spotted a "material weakness" in its internal controls over financial reporting for 2018. The company said it would file its 2018 Form 10-K no later than March 29, while saying that financial results aren't expected to change.

Shares of Chesapeake Energy Corp. (CHK) rose 3.2% Tuesday, after Raymond James analyst James Freeman raised his target price (http://www.marketwatch.com/story/chesapeake-energys-stock-surges-after-bullish-analyst-call-crude-oil-rally-2019-03-19) on the stock from $4.00 to $4.50.

What data are in focus?

New orders for American-made goods rose 0.1% in January, the Commerce Department reported Tuesday. The growth was below the 0.4% increase in factory orders expected by economists polled by MarketWatch, and matches the 0.1% increase in December.

How are other markets trading?

Asian stocks were muted during trade Tuesday (http://www.marketwatch.com/story/asian-markets-muted-awaiting-upcoming-fed-meeting-2019-03-18), with Japan's Nikkei 225 edging 0.1% lower, China's Shanghai Composite Index falling 0.2%, and Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index adding 0.2%.

In Europe, stocks were on rise Tuesday, with the Stoxx Europe 600 adding 0.8%.

Crude oil maintained its recent strength (http://www.marketwatch.com/story/oil-prices-extend-climb-to-multimonth-highs-as-opec-supply-appears-in-check-2019-03-19), adding 0.4%. The price of gold , meanwhile edged higher, while the U.S. dollar lost ground (http://www.marketwatch.com/story/dollar-slides-for-seventh-out-of-eight-sessions-ahead-of-fed-update-2019-03-19) versus major rivals.

 

(END) Dow Jones Newswires

March 19, 2019 10:41 ET (14:41 GMT)

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