UK Factory Growth Loses Momentum Amid Price Pressures, Brexit Worries
01 Février 2018 - 9:43AM
RTTF2
Britain's factory sector growth eased further at the start of
2018 to a seven-month low, thanks to increased price pressures, but
sustained its robust momentum even as Brexit worries cloud the
economic outlook.
The Purchasing Managers' Index for the manufacturing sector fell
to 55.3 from 56.2 in December, survey data from IHS Markit and the
Chartered Institute of Procurement & Supply showed Thursday.
Economists had predicted a score of 56.5.
A PMI score above 50 suggests growth in the sector. The latest
reading was the lowest since June last year. Yet, the figure
remained well above its long-run average of 51.7.
The pace of growth in new orders and output slowed further,
while price pressures accelerated.
Output growth fell to a six-month low and new order intake was
the slowest in seven months. Investment goods sector led the
expansion in production and demand.
Foreign demand improved at one of the quickest rates over the
past four years, the survey report said.
"The trend in demand will need to strengthen in the near-term to
prevent further growth momentum being lost in the coming months,"
IHS Markit Director Rob Dobson said.
"Price trends will be watched closely to see if the upsurge is
simply a one-off spike or something more embedded," Dobson
added.
Input price inflation accelerated strongly as increased demand
for inputs led to improved supplier pricing power and shortages of
raw materials.
Output price inflation was the fastest in 11 months and one of
the sharpest in the survey history, IHS Markit said. This was
mainly due to an increase in prices of several raw materials and
commodities.
January also had the steepest increase in output charges since
April of last year as part of the increase in costs was passed on
to clients.
Manufacturers remained optimistic and over 55 percent forecast
production to be higher in one year's time.
ING Bank economist James Knightley point out that the latest
worries on the prospect of a Brexit transitional deal post March
2019 is not helping. "This uncertainty still has the potential to
weigh on activity very broadly and deter the BoE from hiking," he
added.
The Bank of England is set to announce its latest interest rate
decision on February 8.
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