International Biotechnology Trust (IBT)
08/05/2024
Results analysis from Kepler Trust
Intelligence
IBT's NAV has again beaten
the NASDAQ Biotechnology Index during the six-months ending
29/02/2024. The NAV total return of 11.2% outpaced the index return
of 8.2%. The share price total return per share was 8.7%,
marginally ahead of the index, reflecting widening discounts across
the sector.
Increased confidence that the
interest rate cycle has peaked led to a change in investor appetite
for risk towards the end of 2023. This has continued into 2024,
indicating evidence of a nascent recovery in the biotechnology
sector.
The private equity portfolio,
which comprised 7.9% of total investments as at 29/02/2024 is
primarily represented by two venture capital funds managed by SV
Health. this part of the portfolio has seen some holdings within
the venture capital funds marked down over the interim
period.
The Company's dividend policy
is to make dividend payments equivalent to 4% of the Company's NAV,
as at the last day of the preceding financial year ending 31
August, through two semi-annual distributions. The first dividend
for the year of 13.9p per share was paid on 26 January 2024, and
the Board intends to declare the second dividend in July 2024 for
payment in August 2024.
The board continues to keep
the discount to NAV under close review and is committed to buying
back its shares to help manage the position. Although 1,060,776
shares were bought back, the discount widened from 6.3% to 8.7%. As
expected, the ongoing charges ratio has decreased since the
transition to Schroders, reducing from 1.4% to
1.3%.
Chairman of the board Kate
Cornish-Bowden said of the managers' move to Schroders "the
integration of the new Manager arrangements has gone well. We
received a positive endorsement of this strategic decision at the
AGM in December 2023, when shareholders voted by over 99% in favour
of continuation of the company".
Kepler View
The Biotechnology sector has
suffered three consecutive years of underperformance, but the green
shoots of a recovery are appearing, as evidenced by the M&A
cycle kicking back in. Ailsa and Marek have so far transitioned to
their new management house without any detrimental impact to
performance, which will be gratifying for the board and for
shareholders who, according to the board, expressed a strong desire
for continuity when SV Health took the decision to relinquish the
mandate.
We think it noteworthy that
the headline NAV performance numbers above under-play Ailsa and
Marek's strong performance from the quoted portfolio, which rose by
13.1% (gross of management and performance fees) for the six-month
period, outperforming the reference index which returned 8.2%. The
pair passed their three-year anniversary as joint lead-managers on
15/03/2024. Since taking over the helm, they have delivered a
similarly impressive quoted portfolio NAV total return of 14.7%
(1st April 2021 to 31 March 2024), well ahead of the
reference index which increased by 5.0%, a period which encompassed
a huge amount of volatility.
Ailsa and Marek's approach to
investment is pragmatic and valuation-sensitive, with a strong
focus on risk management. Valuations, M&A and the macroeconomic
outlook contributed to the managers making a well-timed move into
small caps in Q4 2023, and while they have since taken some profits
and allowed gearing to fall, Ailsa and Marek maintain a positive
outlook for the sector. The team remains focused on identifying
companies with innovative technologies, strong intellectual
property and solid growth potential. IBT has an actively managed,
diversified portfolio, with a team behind it that has shown it can
add value through the highs and lows of sentiment toward this
volatile sector. With the discount to NAV at a historically wide
level, those who share the board's belief that a more benign
economic environment and robust industry fundamentals will give
investors greater confidence to invest in the biotechnology sector,
may see this as an opportunity.
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