Trading Statement - 30
October 2024
HEADLINES
·
|
Full price1 sales in the third
quarter (August - October) were up +7.6% versus last year. This was
+2.6% ahead of our guidance for the quarter of +5.0%.
|
·
|
We believe the strong performance was driven by
the early arrival of colder weather this year, versus an unusually
warm September and early October last year.
|
·
|
We are increasing guidance for Q4 full price
sales growth by +1.0%, to +3.5% (see analysis below).
|
·
|
The improved sales in Q3 along with our
forecast for Q4 add £43m to full price sales and £10m to profit;
accordingly we are upgrading our profit2 guidance for
the full year from £995m to £1,005m.
|
1 Full price sales include all items sold in NEXT Retail, NEXT
Online including third-party brands, and NEXT Finance interest
income, but excludes Sale events, Clearance, Total Platform
commission and subsidiaries' sales.
2 NEXT Group profit before tax excludes: (1) the cost of brand
amortisation, (2) the profit attributable to shares that we do not
own in subsidiary companies, and (3) an exceptional, non-cash, loss
relating to the closure of our defined benefit pension
scheme.
FULL PRICE SALES PERFORMANCE
Full price sales performance by business
division is set out below. Variances to last year are
shown for the third quarter and the year to
date.
Full price sales by division versus last
year
|
Q3: 13 weeks
to 26 October
|
|
Year to
26 October
|
Online NEXT
UK
|
+7.8%
|
|
+4.2%
|
Online LABEL
UK
|
+8.0%
|
|
+6.0%
|
Total Online UK
|
+7.9%
|
|
+4.9%
|
Retail
|
+2.9%
|
|
- 0.8%
|
Total UK
|
+5.8%
|
|
+2.4%
|
Online
Overseas
|
+20.4%
|
|
+22.0%
|
Total Product full price
sales
|
+8.1%
|
|
+5.6%
|
NEXT Finance interest
income
|
+0.0%
|
|
+3.2%
|
Total full price sales
|
+7.6%
|
|
+5.5%
|
Q4 FULL PRICE SALES GUIDANCE
The chart below shows our full price sales
performance against last year (blue bar) and against two years ago
(dotted line). As shown, our Q4 forecast against last year
looks pessimistic, but is much more realistic when compared with
two years ago. We are more confident in the two year
comparison as we believe the overperformance in Q3 this year is likely to have pulled
forward sales from Q4.
GUIDANCE FOR FULL YEAR SALES, PROFIT AND
EARNINGS PER SHARE
Our revised guidance for sales, profit and
Earnings Per Share for the full year is summarised below. For
completeness, our previous guidance is shown in
grey.
|
New guidance
|
|
Previous
guidance
|
Guidance for the full year
2024/25
|
Full year
£ (e)
|
% Versus
2023/24
|
|
Full year
£ (e)
|
% Versus
2023/24
|
Full price
sales
|
£5.02bn
|
+4.9%
|
|
£4.98bn
|
+4.0%
|
Total Group
sales3
(inc.
markdown, subsidiaries and investments)
|
£6.27bn
|
+7.4%
|
|
£6.23bn
|
+6.6%
|
NEXT Group profit
before tax
|
£1,005m
|
+9.5%
|
|
£995m
|
+8.4%
|
Pre-tax EPS
|
839.3p
|
+10.8%
|
|
830.4p
|
+9.7%
|
Post-tax
EPS
|
632.4p
|
+9.3%
|
|
625.7p
|
+8.1%
|
3. Total Group sales are the sum of total sales (full price and
markdown) from all of the Group's divisions plus revenue from
subsidiary companies. Subsidiaries' turnover is calculated
using our share of our subsidiaries' turnover. For example,
we own 74% of Joules so we include 74% of their sales in our top
line.
Total Group sales for the full year are
expected to be up +7.4% on last year, which is +2.5% higher than
our expected growth in full price sales of +4.9%. The difference is
the result of acquisitions completed during the last year. We
acquired 97% of FatFace in October 2023 and increased our equity
share in Reiss in September 2023 and June 2024; we now have a 74%
shareholding in Reiss.
CHRISTMAS TRADING STATEMENT
We are scheduled to give an update on sales to
Saturday 28 December, on Tuesday 7 January 2025.
Forward Looking Statements
Certain statements in this Trading
Update are forward looking statements. These statements may contain
the words "anticipate", "believe", "intend", "aim", "expects",
"will", or words of similar meaning. By their nature, forward
looking statements involve risks, uncertainties or assumptions that
could cause actual results or events to differ materially from
those expressed or implied by those statements. As such, undue
reliance should not be placed on forward looking statements. Except
as required by applicable law or regulation, NEXT plc disclaims any
obligation or undertaking to update these statements to reflect
events occurring after the date these statements were
published.
Date:
|
Embargoed until 07:00 hrs, Wednesday 30 October
2024
|
Contacts:
|
Jonathan Blanchard,
Chief Financial Officer (analyst calls)
|
|
NEXT
PLC
|
Tel: 0333 777
8888
|
|
Alistair
Mackinnon-Musson
|
Email:
next@rowbellpr.com
|
|
Rowbell
PR
|
Tel: 020 7717
5239
|
Photographs:
|
https://www.nextplc.co.uk/media/image-gallery/campaign-images
|