Trend of Consumers Switching From Wireline to Wireless-Only Phone Service to Intensify in 2004, Concludes S&P Telecoms Equity An
11 Décembre 2003 - 5:44PM
PR Newswire (US)
Trend of Consumers Switching From Wireline to Wireless-Only Phone
Service to Intensify in 2004, Concludes S&P Telecoms Equity
Analyst in New Report Nationwide S&P/InsightExpress Consumer
Survey on Local Number Portability Suggests Upcoming Challenges to
Telecom Firms NEW YORK, Dec. 11 /PRNewswire/ -- In a research
report based on a nationwide consumer survey on Local Number
Portability, both of which were released today by Standard &
Poor's Equity Research Services, wireless substitution for
traditional wireline telephone service in the home emerged as one
more threat to the wireline telecom carriers, who are already
challenged by competition from wholesale access providers and cable
providers, and sizable labor and pension expenses. Nearly 10% of
current wireline customers responded that they would take their
wireline number to a wireless carrier based on new rules allowing
this, which is more than double the percentage of customers that
have actually cut the wireline cord to date. The consumer survey
was commissioned by Standard & Poor's, a leading provider of
independent investment research, ratings and indices, and conducted
by InsightExpress, an online market research firm, during the last
week of November 2003. Based in part on the results of the
nationwide consumer survey, Standard & Poor's
telecommunications equity analyst Todd Rosenbluth is concerned that
wireless substitution, which has been plaguing the wireline
carriers for the past two years, will intensify in 2004. He expects
access line losses to widen, as a greater percentage of consumers
"cut the cord" and the carriers see more minutes of use flow to
wireless networks. The survey results also suggest that the
prevailing assumption -- that aggressive bundling of data services
with traditional services would ensure consumer loyalty to one
telecommunications provider -- is questionable. "We believe that
loyalty to one's carrier may be challenged, as consumers turn to
price and convenience," says Todd Rosenbluth, Telecommunications
Services Equity Analyst Standard & Poor's Equity Research
Services. "In the survey results, we found no significant
difference in intentions to stick with current wireline providers
between those who receive traditional services only, like local and
long-distance, and those that have additional services, like DSL."
"We expect all carriers to develop aggressive bundling strategies,
particularly wireline and wireless services under one plan, as they
try to reduce customer churn, and we believe bundling should be
catered toward sharing minutes between wireline and wireless
services. We also found no evidence that the youth segment is more
prone to cut the cord, although the prepaid market is just
emerging," concludes Rosenbluth. Rosenbluth also does not expect a
sizable increase in customer churn from one wireless carrier to
another as a result of local number portability. According to the
survey, only 4% of current wireless customers will switch their
number to a new carrier regardless of when their current contract
expires. Also, approximately an additional 16% of those surveyed
plan to switch when the current contract expires. This stated
intention by the survey respondents is consistent with the
normalized 25% annual turnover in wireless customers. The majority
of respondents believe that the most important factors in selecting
a wireless carrier are price and quality of service, suggesting
that aggressive minute packages and wireless capital spending
should increase in 2004. Standard & Poor's Equity Research
Services recommends that investors underweight the telecom services
sector. Standard & Poor's STARS recommendations within the
sector include "Sell" (one STARS out of five) on shares of
Cincinnati Bell (NYSE:CBB) at $5.30 per share, and "Avoid" (two
STARS out of five) on shares of BellSouth (NYSE:BLS) at $27 per
share, SBC Communications (NYSE:SBC) at $25 per share, and Sprint
FON (NYSE:FON) at $15 per share. About the Standard &
Poor's/InsightExpress Survey Standard & Poor's Equity Research
Services surveyed 500 individuals nationwide regarding their
telephone usage, attitudes and behaviors, with a particular focus
on Local Number Portability. Respondents are evenly distributed
across all age groups, ranging from 18 to 55 years or older. Over
80% have more than one person in the household. Just over half
(55%) the respondents are female. InsightExpress is a leading
market research firm with access to over 100 million online
individuals. About Standard & Poor's Standard & Poor's
Equity Research Services has the largest U.S. equity coverage count
among equity research firms that are not affiliated with a Wall
Street investment bank, analyzing 1,200 U.S. stocks. Standard &
Poor's, a division of The McGraw-Hill Companies (NYSE:MHP), is the
world's foremost provider of independent credit ratings, indices,
risk evaluation, investment research, data and valuations. With
5,000 employees located in 20 countries, Standard & Poor's is
an essential part of the world's financial infrastructure and has
played a leading role for more than 140 years in providing
investors with the independent benchmarks they need to feel more
confident about their investment and financial decisions. For more
information, visit http://www.standardandpoors.com/. The analyst
quoted above is a Standard & Poor's equity analyst and a
registered representative of Standard & Poor's Securities, Inc.
He has no affiliation with any company referenced above. He has no
ownership interest in any company referenced above. Standard &
Poor's other affiliates may provide services to the companies that
are the subject of this report. Standard & Poor's analytic
services are performed as entirely separate activities in order to
preserve the independence of each analytic process. In this regard,
STARS, which are published by Standard & Poor's Equity Research
Services, operates independently from, and has no access to
information obtained by Standard & Poor's Ratings Services,
which may in the course of its operations obtain access to
confidential information. About InsightExpress InsightExpress is
the acknowledged pioneer of rapid turnaround, high-quality, online
market research services. With its award-winning and patented
technology, market research expertise, and access to more than 100
million online individuals, InsightExpress enables its clients to
easily harness market research to make the right business decision
in real-time. InsightExpress is affiliated with General Atlantic
Partners. For more information, visit
http://www.insightexpress.com/ or call 203-359-4174. DATASOURCE:
Standard & Poor's CONTACT: Media Contact: John Piecuch
Communications Manager Standard & Poor's Tel.: 212-438-1102
Customer Contact: Michael Roncone Standard & Poor's Tel.:
617-482-7223 Web site: http://www.standardandpoors.com/
http://www.insightexpress.com/
Copyright
Bellsouth (NYSE:BLS)
Graphique Historique de l'Action
De Juin 2024 à Juil 2024
Bellsouth (NYSE:BLS)
Graphique Historique de l'Action
De Juil 2023 à Juil 2024