JACKSONVILLE, Fla.,
Nov. 4, 2013 /PRNewswire/ -- The
September Mortgage Monitor report released by Lender Processing
Services (NYSE: LPS) found that the majority (63 percent) of
outstanding hybrid adjustable-rate mortgages (ARMs) have already
reset from their initial interest rates. Within the loans that have
not reset, approximately 75 percent were originated in post-crisis
years, when over 60 percent of loans had credit scores of 760 and
above. As LPS Senior Vice President Herb
Blecher explained, these numbers bode well for the
performance of ARMs as mortgage interest rates are expected to rise
in the future.
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"Only 36 percent of outstanding hybrid ARMs are in a pre-reset
status, and the vast majority of those are coming from newer
vintages where loan quality has been pristine," said Blecher. "That
being the case, LPS looked closely at the remaining segment of
pre-reset loans originated during the bubble years where
underwriting criteria was not nearly as strict as post-crisis
criteria -- since it is these borrowers who could arguably be most
negatively impacted by upward resets in their monthly mortgage
payments -- and sees little cause for concern. With interest rate
indices near historically low levels, we found that they would need
to rise on the order of 300 basis points for most of these
pre-crisis hybrid rates to increase. Most of these borrowers are
more likely to be looking forward to a reduction in payments,
rather than an increase (though periodic rate floors may limit
these decreases).
"However, rising rates have had a significant impact on
prepayment speeds, which are now at their lowest levels since
May 2011. LPS saw prepayments decline
across all investor categories, with GNMA and GSE segments seeing
the steepest drops – both down over 50 percent since rates began
their climb back in May. HARP-eligible loans – GSE loans with
loan-to-value ratios of 100 percent or greater – have dropped
sharply as well, declining over 40 percent. Finally, since interest
rates drive refinances and refinances have been driving prepayments
and originations, overall origination activity has declined as
well, down more than 9 percent from last month and nearly 18
percent year-to-date. "
Tapping data once again from the LPS Home Price Index, this
month's Mortgage Monitor looked at residential real estate
transactions through August and found that year-to-date home sales
remain at their highest levels since 2007. Distressed sales (both
REO and short sales) continue to make up a smaller percentage of
overall transactions. Of these, short-sale volumes accounted for 46
percent of distressed transactions in August -- a declining share,
but still historically high. While up 9 percent year-over-year, at
just 0.4 percent month-over-month growth, home price appreciation
is beginning to show signs of seasonal slowing. However, the pace
of home price appreciation in 2013 is still greater than it was in
2012.
As reported in LPS' First Look release, other key results from
LPS' latest Mortgage Monitor report include:
Total U.S. loan delinquency
rate:
|
6.46%
|
Month-over-month change in
delinquency rate:
|
4.23%
|
Total U.S. foreclosure
presale inventory rate:
|
2.63%
|
Month-over-month change in
foreclosure presale inventory rate:
|
-1.29%
|
States with highest
percentage of non-current* loans:
|
FL, MS, NJ, NY,
ME
|
States with the lowest
percentage of non-current* loans:
|
WY, MT, AK, SD,
ND
|
|
|
*Non-current totals
combine foreclosures and delinquencies as a percent of active loans
in that state.
|
Totals are
extrapolated based on LPS Data & Analytics' loan-level database
of mortgage assets.
|
To view the Mortgage Monitor Snapshot series, LPS' video version
of the Mortgage Monitor, go to
http://www.lpsvcs.com/LPSCorporateInformation/CommunicationCenter/DataReports/Pages/Mortgage-Monitor-Snapshot.aspx
About the Mortgage Monitor
LPS manages the nation's
leading repository of loan-level residential mortgage data and
performance information on nearly 40 million loans across the
spectrum of credit products. The company's research experts
carefully analyze this data to produce a summary supplemented by
dozens of charts and graphs that reflect trend and point-in-time
observations for LPS' monthly Mortgage Monitor Report. To review
the full report, visit
http://www.lpsvcs.com/LPSCorporateInformation/CommunicationCenter/DataReports/Pages/Mortgage-Monitor.aspx
About Lender Processing Services
LPS (NYSE: LPS)
delivers comprehensive technology solutions and services, as well
as powerful data and analytics, to the nation's top mortgage
lenders, servicers and investors. As a proven and trusted partner
with deep client relationships, LPS offers the only end-to-end
suite of solutions that provides major U.S. banks and many federal
government agencies the technology and data needed to support
mortgage lending and servicing operations, meet unique regulatory
and compliance requirements and mitigate risk.
These integrated solutions support origination, servicing,
portfolio retention and default servicing. LPS' servicing solutions
include MSP, the industry's leading loan-servicing platform, which
is used to service approximately 50 percent of all U.S. mortgages
by dollar volume. The company also provides proprietary data and
analytics for the mortgage, real estate and capital markets
industries. Lender Processing Services is a Fortune 1000 company
headquartered in Jacksonville,
Fla. For more information, please visit www.lpsvcs.com.
SOURCE Lender Processing Services