For the full year, we continue to expect gross profit of at least $8.89 billion, or 18% growth year over year. We are
raising our full-year outlook for profitability to reflect outperformance in the third quarter. For Adjusted Operating Income, we expect at least $1.56 billion, or 18% margin for the full year. We remain focused on achieving Rule of 40 in 2026,
which we calculate as gross profit growth plus Adjusted Operating Income margin. Our updated guidance for the full year equates to a Rule of 36, an increase compared to our prior guidance of Rule of 35 and an improvement compared to the prior year.
Our outlook does not assume any additional macroeconomic deterioration, which could impact results.
On a GAAP basis, we expect to recognize approximately $53
million in expenses related to amortization of intangible assets in each of the third and fourth quarters, based on the intangible assets as of September 30, 2024. These amounts may be affected by fluctuations in foreign exchange rates in future
periods.
2025 PRELIMINARY OUTLOOK
We remain focused on achieving Rule
of 40 in 2026, which is gross profit growth plus Adjusted Operating Income margin. As we shared previously, we believe we will reach Rule of 40 in 2026, with a composition of at least mid-teens gross profit growth and a mid-20% Adjusted Operating
Income margin.21
We expect strong gross profit growth in 2025 of at least 15%, consistent with that target,
driven by broad momentum across Block.21 We have a number of initiatives recently launched or launching soon, and we expect them to compound through the year, driving stronger growth in the second
half of the year compared to the first half. On profitability, were committed to expanding margins on an Adjusted Operating Income basis next year, although we expect the pace of expansion to be less than this past year as we invest in growth
opportunities with attractive returns, particularly around go-to-market.
Assuming the macro environment remains stable, we expect Square U.S. and Global GPV year
over year growth to accelerate in 2025 compared to 2024.
Within our emerging initiatives, we are refining our investments based on our progress. We are scaling
back our investment in TIDAL and winding down TBD. This gives us room to invest in our bitcoin mining initiative, which has strong product market fit and a healthy pipeline of demand, and Bitkey, our self-custody wallet for bitcoin.
Margins are calculated as a percent of gross profit.
21. We have not provided the forward-looking GAAP equivalents for certain forward-looking non-GAAP metrics, including Adjusted EBITDA and Adjusted Operating Income (Loss), or GAAP reconciliations of any of the aforementioned, as a
result of the uncertainty regarding, and the potential variability of, reconciling items such as share-based compensation expense. Accordingly, the Company has relied upon the exception in item 10(e)(1)(i)(B) of Regulation S-K to exclude such
reconciliations, as the reconciliations of these non-GAAP guidance metrics to their corresponding GAAP equivalents are not available without unreasonable effort. However, it is important to note that material changes to reconciling items could have
a significant effect on future GAAP results. We have provided reconciliations of other historical GAAP to non-GAAP metrics in tables at the end of this letter.