Bear of the Day: Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) - Bear of the Day
16 Juillet 2013 - 9:57AM
Zacks
Despite concerns over sweeping healthcare law changes, the
medical sector has actually been a solid performer so far this
year. In fact, the main ETF for the space, the Health Care
Select Sector SPDR (XLV) has easily outperformed the
S&P 500 in the first half of 2013, trouncing the broad market
by over 700 basis points.
However, some corners of the market could be facing
troubles—especially in the medical device and equipment space—as
concerns over healthcare spending are starting to take their toll
on a number of companies in the space, as many are forgoing new
purchases of equipment, or are buying less. One such company that
has been the poster child of this trend and has seen its stock
price suffer as a result is certainly Intuitive Surgical
(ISRG).
ISRG’s Troubles in Focus
ISRG is probably best known for its da Vinci Surgical System
which helps surgeons to perform operations with increased precision
and control. The basis of the system uses robotics, while there are
also HD 3D vision systems, and proprietary instrument technologies
as well.
Sales of this innovative device rose pretty much across the
globe, though they struggled in the American market, according the
preliminary Q2 earnings. Their key product saw only 90 sales in the
U.S. market, compared to 124 a year ago, highlighting a very
sluggish sales market (also read Medical Device ETFs Slump on
Intuitive Surgical Crash).
ISRG Outlook
This was especially troubling because the company pinned the
lower sales on the difficult environment in the U.S., and the lack
of hospital dollars for new technologies. This bearish outlook is
driving the stock sharply lower, with prices for ISRG collapsing by
about 14% in the past month alone.
And with the poor outlook from company management, many analysts
seemed to have no choice but to slash their expectations for the
company in the near term. In the past week, eight estimates have
been cut for the current and next quarters, as well as the current
and next year periods as well.
The magnitude of the cuts has also been severe, with estimates
for next quarter slumping from $4.25/share down to just
$4.00/share. And with growth now projected to be below the industry
average for the next five years, there is also some concern that
the firm is now making the difficult transition from a growth
company to a value one, meaning there could definitely be some pain
ahead for ISRG.
Thanks to this bearishness from pretty much every analyst
covering the company, ISRG has earned itself a Zacks Rank #5
(Strong Sell). This means that we are looking for the firm to
continue to underperform, and experience more losses relative to
other stocks in the next few months.
Better Picks
Currently, there aren’t any companies that are top ranked stocks
in the medical instruments industry. However, there are a few
companies that have earned themselves Zacks Ranks of 2 or Buy and
could be solid choices if you want to stay in the medical
instrument sector.
Some buy ranked names in this space include Cepheid
(CPHD) and Globus Medical (GMED), two
firms that surprised last quarter and have seen their ranks jump
from 3 to 2 in the past week alone, suggesting that they could be
strong choices now as well. So consider these, or a few of the
other better ranked firms in the space, over the in-trouble ISRG
which could face more weakness if the market for their key product
doesn’t improve in the U.S. soon.
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CEPHEID INC (CPHD): Free Stock Analysis Report
GLOBUS MEDICAL (GMED): Free Stock Analysis Report
INTUITIVE SURG (ISRG): Free Stock Analysis Report
SPDR-HLTH CR (XLV): ETF Research Reports
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