Bitcoin Once Again Arrives At This Bear-Bull Boundary—Will A Break Happen?
25 Février 2025 - 5:30AM
NEWSBTC
On-chain data shows a Bitcoin indicator is currently retesting a
level that has historically acted as a boundary line between
bearish and bullish momentum. Bitcoin Short-Term Holder SOPR Is
Retesting 1.0 Right Now In a new post on X, the on-chain analytics
firm Glassnode has discussed about the latest trend in the BTC
Spent Output Profit Ratio (SOPR) of the short-term holders. Related
Reading: $200 Million In Crypto Longs Wiped Out As Altcoins Crash
To Start Week The “SOPR” here refers to an on-chain indicator that
tells us about whether the Bitcoin investors as a whole are selling
or transferring their coins at a profit or loss. When the value of
this metric is greater than 1, it means the average holder of the
asset is selling at a net profit. On the other hand, it being under
this threshold suggests the overall market is realizing a net loss.
Naturally, the SOPR being exactly equal to the 1 level implies the
profits being realized by the investors are canceling out the
losses, so the average holder can be assumed to be just
breaking-even on their transactions. In the context of the current
topic, the SOPR of only a specific investor group is of interest:
the short-term holders (STHs). The STHs include the Bitcoin
investors who purchased their tokens within the past 155 days. Now,
here is the chart shared by the analytics firm that shows the trend
in the 7-day moving average (MA) of the Bitcoin STH SOPR over the
last few months: As is visible in the above graph, the Bitcoin STH
SOPR fell under the 1 mark earlier in the year, implying the STHs
took to loss-taking as the price of the cryptocurrency moved in a
bearish trajectory. Recently, though, the metric has been making
recovery and it’s now back at the break-even level. “Historically,
breaking above 1.0 confirms a shift in momentum, while failure to
do so often leads to renewed sell pressure,” explains Glassnode.
Breaking above the level, however, is no simple task, for it serves
as a major psychological level for the STHs. These investors are by
definition the entities who are either new to the market or just
not resolute enough to hold for long periods, so they can be prone
to panic selloffs. When the STH SOPR rises to the 1 mark, it means
these investors, who were forced into loss selling earlier, are
able to break-even again. Selling pressure can spike when this
happens, as STHs rush to get their money ‘back.’ Related Reading:
Is It Time To Buy XRP? TD Sequential Says Yes The last time that
Bitcoin saw the indicator make a retest of this level was back in
January. From the chart, it’s apparent that it successfully found a
breakout then, although it was only short-lived. It now remains to
be seen whether the metric can surge into the profit zone this time
as well or not. BTC Price Bitcoin has been slipping down during the
past few days as its price has come down to the $94,500 level.
Featured image from Dall-E, Glassnode.com, chart from
TradingView.com
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