This Bitcoin Price Range Could Be The Bulls’ Final Defense Line, Report Says
07 Mars 2025 - 1:30AM
NEWSBTC
A report from the on-chain analytics firm Glassnode has revealed a
Bitcoin price region that could prove to be crucial for the bulls.
Several Key Bitcoin Metrics Are Pointing At The Same Price Range
Right Now In its latest weekly report, Glassnode has discussed the
Bitcoin investor cost basis from various angles. The first
indicator that the analytics firm has shared is the “UTXO Realized
Price Distribution” (URPD), that basically tells us about how the
BTC supply is distributed among the different price levels based on
the last transaction value. Related Reading: Litecoin Whale
Deposits 500,000 LTC To Binance: Price Decline To Extend? First,
here is how this metric looked before the recent price crash: As is
visible in the chart, very few coins had their cost basis between
$70,000 and $92,000 before the crash. In on-chain analysis,
investor cost basis is considered an important topic, as holders
are more likely to make some kind of move when their profit-loss
status is threatened. Since this range contained the acquisition
level of only a small part of the supply, it was sort of an
“air-gap” in terms of potential demand. This may be why BTC easily
slipped deep into this region when the crash came. So far, though,
the bulls have come through in providing support, as they have
since participated in some buying in this vacant region, changing
the URPD. Thus, the range is now better set up to provide support
than before, although it’s still sort of an empty region when
compared to the other Bitcoin cost basis centers. The second
indicator that Glassnode has talked about is the Realized Price of
the short-term holders. The “Realized Price” is a term that was
also in the full form of URPD. What this metric measures is the
cost basis of the average investor belonging to a part of the BTC
userbase. Below is a chart that shows the trend in the indicator
for the short-term holders (STHs), who are the Bitcoin investors
who purchased their coins within the past 155 days. “The Short-Term
Holder cost basis has historically acted as an important reference
level across bull-market uptrends,” notes the analytics firm. “We
have calculated the ±1σ bands of the Short-Term Holder Cost-Basis,
which have typically acted as a sort of upper and lower bound for
local price action.” Interestingly, this lower bound, that is, the
level one standard deviation below the STH Realized Price, is
situated at $71,000 right now. This is about the same level as
where the previously mentioned air-gap area ends. Related Reading:
Bitcoin’s Next Stop: $75,500? Analyst Reveals Historical ‘Magnet’
Level This isn’t the only other place where this level shows up, as
the chart for the Active Realized Price shows. The “Active Realized
Price” basically takes the Realized Price of the entire BTC
network, with an added twist. The metric only includes the
‘economical’ supply, meaning that it excludes for the part of the
supply that Glassnode has determined to be unlikely to return back
into circulation. At present, the Active Realized Price stands at
$70,000, which is once again nearly the same level as the one from
the other two indicators. “With significant confluence across
several key cost basis metrics, this price region becomes an area
of interest, perhaps being the final defence line for the bulls in
the event of a complete capitulation,” concludes the report. BTC
Price At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading around $90,000, up
almost 5% in the last week. Featured image from Dall-E,
Glassnode.com, chart from TradingView.com
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