TIDMABR

RNS Number : 5956X

Absolute Return Trust Limited

17 February 2012

Absolute Return Trust Limited

(a closed-ended investment company incorporated with limited liability under the laws of Guernsey with registered number 42733)

Interim Management Statement - Three Months to 31(st) December 2011

This unaudited Interim Management Statement has been produced solely to provide additional information to shareholders of Absolute Return Trust Limited ("ARTL" or the "Company") to meet the relevant requirements of the U.K. Listing Authority's Disclosure and Transparency Rules. It should not be relied upon by any other party for any other purpose.

Performance Summary

Over the three month period to 31(st) December 2011, the Net Asset Value per share of ARTL decreased by -0.6% in Sterling to GBP1.2935 per GBP1 share and -0.9% in Euro terms to EUR0.9463 per EUR1 share. At the close of business on 30(th) December 2011 the mid market price of ARTL's Sterling shares on the London Stock Exchange was 107.25p (Euro shares EUR0.855), representing a discount of 18% to the Net Asset Value of the portfolio at the 31(st) December 2011 (10% for euro shares).

The performance of ARTL's portfolio for the three months to 31(st) December 2011 is set out below:

 
                   GBP      EUR 
---------------  -------  ------- 
 October 2011     1.06%    0.99% 
---------------  -------  ------- 
 November 2011    -0.71%   -0.74% 
---------------  -------  ------- 
 December 2011    -0.95%   -1.22% 
---------------  -------  ------- 
 

The Eurozone crisis, the prospect of austerity induced recession and the possibility of a hard landing in China made for highly volatile markets with a series of strong rallies and reversals as investors reacted to the unfolding political machinations. The financial system remained a major focus of concern, especially in Europe, where the ECB announced unprecedented measures to allay some of the market's short-term concerns about bank and sovereign funding while European politicians struggled to agree tighter fiscal rules.

Most major equity indices, with the exception of the Nikkei, made gains over the quarter albeit on increasingly small trade volumes. US Treasuries retained their attraction as a safe haven, with the yield on 10-year US government debt ending the year around all time lows at 1.88%. By contrast the yield on Italian 10-year bonds ended 2011 at 7.11%, a level approximately 50% higher than at the start of the year.

Credit markets were up with high-yield bonds generally outperforming investment grade securities. The spread over US Treasuries on high-yield US corporate bonds, as measured by BarCap, narrowed by more than 100 basis points to just below 700.

The Euro gave up its previous gains, falling to a 10-year low against the Japanese Yen and dropping around 3% against the US Dollar. Precious metals suffered sharp price falls towards year end with the price of gold finishing around $1560/oz. Commodity markets displayed significant amounts of dispersion with the oil price rising by c. 25% while that of natural gas declined by c. 19%.

Strategy Contribution

Set out below is the contribution to ARTL's performance by strategy for the three months to 31(st) December 2011.

 
 Strategy                         Contribution([1]) 
-------------------------------  ------------------ 
 Macro                                 -0.18% 
-------------------------------  ------------------ 
 Equity Long Bias                       0.51% 
-------------------------------  ------------------ 
 Equity Hedged High Volatility         -0.21% 
-------------------------------  ------------------ 
 Equity Hedged Low Volatility          -0.19% 
-------------------------------  ------------------ 
 Short Bias                            -0.26% 
-------------------------------  ------------------ 
 Specialist Credit                      0.01% 
-------------------------------  ------------------ 
 Event Driven                           0.12% 
-------------------------------  ------------------ 
 Volatility Trading                    -0.20% 
-------------------------------  ------------------ 
 Fixed Income                           0.02% 
-------------------------------  ------------------ 
 Multiple Strategy                     -0.23% 
-------------------------------  ------------------ 
 FP Incubator Fund                     -0.07% 
-------------------------------  ------------------ 
 

Macro managers were down a little. The Eurozone crisis continued to provide opportunities for managers to make money, notably from the steepening of the Euro yield curve and from trades focussed on European bank stress. Commodity markets proved more challenging with one manager's losses in short petrochemical positions subsuming gains in precious metals.

Our Fixed Income manager was marginally up. Gains predominantly came from directional trading of Euro interest rates and short Euro positions, but were largely offset by losses as 10-year German rates fell markedly towards year end.

The Equity Long Biased managers were up, with their performance benefitting from the positive trend in markets as well as their individual stock selections. The best performing manager saw gains from core Energy, Technology and Industrials positions, while his short names provided little drag.

The Equity Hedged strategies were down in aggregate. Most of the managers spent the quarter cautiously positioned with low net exposure, resulting in performance that was driven more by developments at their underlying invested companies than the overall market direction. Healthcare positions and a Leisure business generated good gains for one manager, while the Financials book of a value-orientated manager received a boost from two insurance-related names that responded well to an improved business outlook. By contrast an Energy and Utility specialist lost money as some of the most structurally challenged companies in his sector rallied the hardest resulting in his short book underperforming, while for another manager Energy and Technology-related companies dragged on performance. After a good run in the third quarter, the Short Bias managers struggled against the rising market. Although the strategy as a whole was down the managers saw a variety of outcomes, with company specific developments accounting for the dispersion in their performance.

The Event Driven strategy was up a little with the activist managers generating the bulk of the gains as they successfully drove through changes at their underlying invested companies. For example, one manager performed particularly well as a core holding in a US Retail business reacted positively to recent personnel changes at the board level that the manager had helped to bring about. These gains were offset in large part by a write-down in the value of one manager's position in a Technology business in response to delays in the company's ambitious mobile telecommunications plan.

The Specialist Credit managers were flat after a relatively quiet quarter. Most funds were positioned with low net exposure and defensive names, while one manager saw modest gains stemming from senior debt, distressed debt and post-reorganisation equity positions.

Multiple Strategy funds derived small gains from European asset-backed securities, but these were offset by losses from one manager whose long precious metals exposure suffered in December's sharp sell-off.

The table below shows the composition of ARTL's portfolio by strategy as at 31(st) December 2011:

 
 Strategy                         Allocation[2] 
-------------------------------  -------------- 
 Macro                                12.4% 
-------------------------------  -------------- 
 Equity Long Bias                     7.3% 
-------------------------------  -------------- 
 Equity Hedged High Volatility        24.5% 
-------------------------------  -------------- 
 Equity Hedged Low Volatility         9.1% 
-------------------------------  -------------- 
 Short Bias                           3.5% 
-------------------------------  -------------- 
 Specialist Credit                    8.3% 
-------------------------------  -------------- 
 Event Driven                         16.7% 
-------------------------------  -------------- 
 Volatility Trading                   0.8% 
-------------------------------  -------------- 
 Fixed Income                         4.0% 
-------------------------------  -------------- 
 Multiple Strategy                    10.9% 
-------------------------------  -------------- 
 FP Incubator Fund                    2.5% 
-------------------------------  -------------- 
 

Portfolio Liquidity

The table below shows the current liquidity profile of the portfolio[3].

 
 Time to cash flow         Proportion 
------------------------  ----------- 
 Within 3 months             16.3% 
------------------------  ----------- 
 3 to 6 months               61.7% 
------------------------  ----------- 
 6 to 12 months              11.2% 
------------------------  ----------- 
 Greater than 12 months      10.8% 
------------------------  ----------- 
 Total                       100.0% 
------------------------  ----------- 
 

Material Events

During the fourth quarter of 2011, the Company purchased 3,091,000 Sterling shares for cancellation at an average discount of 17.7%. Since the 1(st) January 2012 to date, the Company has purchased a further 627,000 of its Sterling shares for cancellation at an average discount of 16.9%. Further to the announcement of 29(th) November 2011 where the Board offered a redemption facility for up to 6% of the shares in issue (per Share class), on 27(th) January 2011 the Company received requests in respect of 32,214,382 (19.36% of the shares in issue at that time) Sterling Shares and 247,242 (2.58% of the shares in issue at that time) Euro Shares. In accordance with the terms of the redemption facility, 8,631,528 Sterling Shares and 224,243 Euro Shares will be redeemed on 31(st) March 2012 at their prevailing NAV on that date and proceeds will be distributed after the deduction of expenses associated with the redemption of the Shares.

Fauchier Partners

17(th) February 2012

[1] Contributions are expressed in US dollars after fees of the underlying hedge funds in ARTL's portfolio, but before Fauchier Partners' fees and the effect of currency hedges.

[2] The above allocations exclude cash and cash in transit.

[3] The directors of the Company believe that it is more meaningful to measure the liquidity of the portfolio's underlying funds on a cash-settled basis rather than a value-date basis. The table therefore assumes that (i) redemption notice had been given to all underlying funds as at 31(st) December 2011; (ii) a one-month period elapses before settlement of redemption terms is made by the underlying funds; (iii) any "audit holdbacks" permitted by an underlying fund's redemption terms are imposed in full; (iv) any applicable "soft lock-up" fees of 5% or under would be paid by the Company; (v) where there is currently no firm indication from the underlying manager on the expected timing of the receipt of redemption proceeds, the relevant amount is included in the "greater than 12 months" category. Cash and short-term receivables are included in the "0-3 months" category.

The directors believe that the table is therefore very conservative because, in practice, settlement periods tend to be shorter and audit holdbacks are not always imposed. However, it should still be emphasised both that the information in the table is based on estimates and also that it may not be an indication of the Company portfolio's future liquidity.

For the purposes of comparison with other funds which may prepare their liquidity disclosures on a value-date basis (which excludes settlement periods) rather than a cash-settled basis as used above, the relevant percentages for the Company portfolio on a value-date basis as at 31(st) December 2011 are: under three months 72%; between three and twelve months 17%; greater than twelve months 11%.

This information is provided by RNS

The company news service from the London Stock Exchange

END

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