ABK Ambac Financial Grp. Common Stock

Ambac Financial Group, Inc. (NYSE: ABK) (Ambac) today responded to a Credit Sights article published on May 21, 2008 that calls into question the current level of Ambac�s loss reserves on its second lien RMBS exposure. In the article Credit Sights opines that Ambac will see continued deterioration within its second lien portfolio and resultant losses could be massive given the nature of second lien risk. The article refers to the Moody�s Special Report on Subprime Second Lien RMBS dated May 12, 2008. In that report Moody�s presented its estimates of minimum, average and maximum cumulative loss assumptions for the asset class for vintage years 2005, 2006 and 2007. The Credit Sights article offers little independent analysis, fails to consider the basic structural arrangements of individual transactions (one cannot simply multiply a cumulative loss assumption by net par outstanding to determine ultimate loss) and does not attempt to reconcile to Moody�s previously reported RMBS losses for Ambac. In response to the article, Ambac has posted a presentation on its second lien exposures on its web site at www.ambac.com and points out the following: In estimating its reserves, Ambac analyzes its closed end second lien (�CES�) and home equity line of credit (HELOC�) exposures on a transaction by transaction basis using the most recent actual performance data and projecting future performance using �roll rate� analysis. Ambac�s assumptions in these asset classes are conservative and include the following (see above referenced presentation for further details): No burnout from peak levels of roll rate (transition rate from 30-day delinquent to 60-day delinquent and so on) for 18 months; Conditional Prepayment Rate (�CPR�) of 6% versus industry-wide assumptions of approximately 10%; 100% severity (loss given default). Both the CES and HELOC asset classes demonstrate clear segmentation within our portfolios based on vintages and originators, particularly earlier versus later vintages and bank versus non-bank originators. Ambac discloses all of its poorly performing transactions in the above referenced presentation. The remaining portfolio is performing within expectations. To assume the worst performance on the entire portfolio lacks an appropriate level of professional analytics and is, therefore, irresponsible. Ambac has not factored in any potential recovery related to its aggressive remediation plan regarding these portfolios despite that fact that we have begun the process of putting back loans that we believe do not fit the various criteria represented by the originators. Forward-Looking Statements This release contains statements that may constitute "forward-looking statements" within the meaning of the safe harbor provisions of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Any or all of management�s forward-looking statements here or in other publications may turn out to be wrong and are based on Ambac�s management current belief or opinions. Ambac�s actual results may vary materially, and there are no guarantees about the performance of Ambac�s securities. Among events, risks, uncertainties or factors that could cause actual results to differ materially are: (1)�changes in the economic, credit, foreign currency or interest rate environment in the United States and abroad; (2)�the level of activity within the national and worldwide credit markets; (3)�competitive conditions and pricing levels; (4)�legislative and regulatory developments; (5)�changes in tax laws; (6) changes in our business plan, including changes resulting from our decision to discontinue writing new business in the financial services area, to significantly reduce new underwriting of structured finance business and to discontinue all new underwritings of structured finance business for six months; (7)�the policies and actions of the United States and other governments; (8)�changes in capital requirements whether resulting from downgrades in our insured portfolio or changes in rating agencies� rating criteria or other reasons; (9)�changes in Ambac�s and/or Ambac Assurance�s credit or financial strength ratings; (10)�changes in accounting principles or practices relating to the financial guarantee industry or that may impact Ambac�s reported financial results; (11)�inadequacy of reserves established for losses and loss expenses; (12)�default by one or more of Ambac Assurance�s�portfolio investments, insured issuers, counterparties or reinsurers; (13)�credit risk throughout our business, including large single exposures to reinsurers; (14)�market spreads and pricing on insured collateralized debt obligations (�CDOs�) and other derivative products insured or issued by Ambac; (15)�credit risk related to residential mortgage securities and CDOs; (16)�the risk that holders of debt securities or counterparties on credit default swaps or other similar agreements seek to declare events of default or seek judicial relief or bring claims alleging violation or breach of covenants by Ambac or one of its subsidiaries; (17)�the risk that our underwriting and risk management policies and practices do not anticipate certain risks and/or the magnitude of potential for loss as a result of unforeseen risks; (18)�the risk of volatility in income and earnings, including volatility due to the application of fair value accounting, or FAS 133, to the portion of our credit enhancement business which is executed in credit derivative form; (19)�operational risks, including with respect to internal processes, risk models, systems and employees; (20)�the risk of decline in market position; (21)�the risk that market risks impact assets in our investment portfolio; (22)�the risk of credit and liquidity risk due to unscheduled and unanticipated withdrawals on investment agreements; (23)�changes in prepayment speeds on insured asset-backed securities; (24) factors that may influence the amount of installment premiums paid to Ambac; (25)�the risk that we may be required to raise additional capital, which could have a dilutive effect on our outstanding equity capital and/or future earnings; (26)�our ability or inability to raise additional capital, including the risks that regulatory or other approvals for any plan to raise capital are not obtained, or that various conditions to such a plan, either imposed by third parties or imposed by Ambac or its Board of Directors, are not satisfied and thus potentially necessary capital raising transactions do not occur, or the risk that for other reasons the Company cannot accomplish any potentially necessary capital raising transactions; (27)�the risk that Ambac�s holding company structure and certain regulatory and other constraints, including adverse business performance, affect Ambac�s ability to pay dividends and make other payments; (28)�the risk of litigation and regulatory inquiries or investigations, and the risk of adverse outcomes in connection therewith, which could have a material adverse effect on our business, operations, financial position, profitability or cash flows; (29)�other factors described in the Risk Factors section in Part I, 1A of our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2007 and in Part II, Item 1A of our Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q for the quarter ended March 31, 2008, and also disclosed from time to time by Ambac in its subsequent reports on Form 10-Q and Form 8-K, which are or will be available on the Ambac website at www.ambac.com and at the SEC�s website, www.sec.gov; and (30)�other risks and uncertainties that have not been identified at this time. Readers are cautioned that forward-looking statements speak only as of the date they are made and that Ambac does not undertake to update forward-looking statements to reflect circumstances or events that arise after the date the statements are made. You are therefore advised to consult any further disclosures we make on related subjects in Ambac�s reports to the SEC. Ambac Financial Group, Inc., headquartered in New York City, is a holding company whose affiliates provide financial guarantees and financial services to clients in both the public and private sectors around the world. Ambac's principal operating subsidiary, Ambac Assurance Corporation, a guarantor of public finance and structured finance obligations, has earned triple-A ratings from Moody's Investors Service, Inc. and Standard & Poor's Ratings Services; and a double-A rating from Fitch, Inc. Moody's, Standard & Poor's and Fitch all maintain a �negative outlook�. Ambac Financial Group, Inc. common stock is listed on the New York Stock Exchange (ticker symbol ABK).