Third-quarter oil sands production up
17%
CALGARY, Oct. 29, 2015 /CNW/ - Cenovus Energy Inc. (TSX:
CVE) (NYSE: CVE) continues to make significant progress in reducing
its costs while delivering strong operational performance and oil
sands production growth. The company is benefiting from the
decisive steps taken over the past year to increase its financial
resilience in the face of what is expected to be a prolonged period
of lower oil prices.
"We're delivering on the commitments we made at the outset of
2015 to improve Cenovus's position as a low-cost producer," said
Brian Ferguson, Cenovus President
& Chief Executive Officer. "We've realized substantial,
sustainable cost reductions, maintained capital discipline and
strengthened our balance sheet. We will continue to look for
additional opportunities to reduce costs, become more efficient and
enhance shareholder value."
Third quarter highlights
- Maintained financial strength with approximately $4.4 billion of cash and cash equivalents on the
balance sheet and a net debt to capitalization ratio of 13%
- Achieved cost reductions that were better than forecast,
bringing total anticipated savings for 2015 to approximately
$400 million
- On track to achieve $100 million
in forecast annual savings, starting in 2016, from workforce
reductions
- Reduced oil sands per-unit operating costs by 23% from the
third quarter of 2014 and total crude oil per-unit operating
expenses by 22%
- Generated cash flow of $444
million, down 55% from the same period a year earlier
- Recognized for strong performance in corporate responsibility
as the only North American oil and gas producer to be included in
this year's Dow Jones Sustainability (DJSI) World Index
Production & financial summary
|
(For the period ended September 30)
Production (before
royalties)
|
2015
Q3
|
2014
Q3
|
% change
|
Oil sands (bbls/d)
|
146,743
|
125,089
|
17
|
Conventional oil1
(bbls/d)
|
63,679
|
74,000
|
-14
|
Total oil (bbls/d)
|
210,422
|
199,089
|
6
|
Natural gas (MMcf/d)
|
430
|
489
|
-12
|
Financial
($ millions, except per share
amounts)
|
|
|
|
Cash flow2
|
444
|
985
|
-55
|
|
Per share diluted
|
0.53
|
1.30
|
|
Operating earnings
(loss)2
|
(28)
|
372
|
-108
|
|
Per share diluted
|
(0.03)
|
0.49
|
|
Net earnings
|
1,801
|
354
|
409
|
|
Per share diluted
|
2.16
|
0.47
|
|
Capital investment3
|
400
|
750
|
-47
|
1 Includes
natural gas liquids (NGLs) and the impact of non-core
asset
divestitures in 2014 and
2015.
|
2 Cash flow
and operating earnings are non-GAAP measures as defined
in the Advisory.
|
3 Excludes
acquisitions and divestitures.
|
Overview
Cenovus continues to take action to reduce its cost structures
to be competitive with light tight oil producers in the U.S. and
address the more than 50% decline in benchmark crude oil prices
since mid-2014. The company committed earlier this year to
streamline its operations and become more efficient to help ensure
it is positioned for long-term success during a prolonged period of
lower oil prices. To date, the company has achieved meaningful and
sustainable improvements in its operating, capital and general and
administrative (G&A) costs and reduced the size of its
workforce. To align with current market conditions, the company has
also made changes to its compensation, benefits and time-off
practices, effective in 2016. Cenovus realized significant value
for shareholders by selling its royalty interest and fee land
business in July for gross cash proceeds of $3.3 billion. Earlier this year, Cenovus also
raised capital by issuing common shares and reducing its quarterly
dividend as part of the company's strategy to maintain its
long-term financial resilience.
Successful cost reductions
The company's cost reduction efforts have progressed at a faster
pace than expected. Cenovus is now anticipating total 2015 cost
savings of approximately $400 million
– significantly higher than its July forecast of $280 million in cost reductions and original
April forecast of $200 million in
cost reductions for the year. Of Cenovus's targeted 2015 savings,
about 65% are expected to come from operating and G&A cost
improvements, with the remaining 35% anticipated to come from
reduced capital costs. Cenovus anticipates about 60% of the
$400 million in savings would be
sustainable, even with oil prices recovering to between
US$60 per barrel (bbl) and
US$65/bbl West Texas Intermediate
(WTI).
These cost reductions are being achieved across the company.
They include savings related to improved drilling efficiency,
optimized scheduling and prioritization of repair and maintenance
activities, lower chemical costs and better oil sands waste
disposal and handling processes. Some of the savings are the result
of work that has been deferred.
In addition to its $400 million
overall cost-reduction target for 2015, Cenovus expects to achieve
significant additional structural cost savings from its workforce
reduction program.
In July, the company said it anticipated reducing the size of
its workforce by another 300 to 400 positions through the remainder
of the year, following an initial round of staff cuts made in
February. The company has since identified additional workforce
efficiencies and reduced its staff count by 700 positions for the
second half of the year, double its July forecast. As a result,
Cenovus anticipates finishing 2015 with 24% fewer staff than it had
at the end of 2014. The cost savings associated with these
workforce reductions are expected to be at least $100 million annually, starting in 2016. Cenovus
incurred severance costs of about $3
million in the third quarter and expects to incur additional
severance costs of approximately $32
million in the fourth quarter related to its most recent
round of staff reductions. Cenovus has completed a review of its
compensation, benefits and time-off practices to make sure they are
aligned with those of its peers and with market conditions, while
remaining competitive and allowing the company to continue to
attract and retain talented staff. As a result of this review, the
company will be making changes to these practices starting in
2016.
"We've made difficult, but necessary decisions to help us remain
financially resilient," said Ferguson. "It's important that the
size of our workforce matches our more moderate approach to oil
sands growth and our reduced cash flow in a lower commodity price
environment."
As previously announced, Cenovus expects to make additional
staff reductions in 2016 as a result of the company's transition to
a functional organizational model.
Financial performance
In the third quarter, upstream operating cash flow declined 48% to
$570 million primarily due to a 56%
decrease in Cenovus's average crude oil sales price and a 29%
decline in its average natural gas sales price. The impact of lower
sales prices on upstream operating cash flow was partially offset
by realized risk management gains of $206
million on oil and natural gas production, lower royalties
due to the weaker crude oil sales prices and a 22% reduction in
crude oil operating expenses. Operating cash flow from refining and
marketing declined 57% to $29
million. Total operating cash flow was $599 million, a 48% decrease compared with the
third quarter of 2014.
Cash flow was $444 million in the
third quarter, 55% lower than in the same period in 2014 primarily
due to lower crude oil and natural gas sales prices.
Cenovus has significantly strengthened its balance sheet in 2015
with the divestiture of its royalty and fee land business in
July 2015 and the $1.5 billion common share issuance that closed in
March 2015. The company's net debt to
capitalization ratio was 13% and net debt to adjusted EBITDA was
0.8 times, on a trailing 12-month basis, at September 30, 2015.
"We have one of the strongest balance sheets in the industry
with about $4.4 billion of cash and
cash equivalents," said Ferguson. "Cenovus is well positioned to
thrive in a lower-for-longer commodity price environment, and we'll
continue to be prudent, directing capital only to projects that
meet our stringent investment hurdles."
Oil sands growth
Oil sands production from Cenovus's Foster Creek and Christina Lake steam-assisted gravity drainage
(SAGD) projects increased 17% in the third quarter of 2015 compared
with the same period a year earlier. The increase was the result of
the ramp-up of new wells associated with phase F at Foster Creek,
improved facility performance and some flush production at Foster
Creek after operations were temporarily shut down late in the
second quarter due to a nearby forest fire. As expected, flush
production has tapered off and production rates have returned to
pre-forest fire levels.
Cenovus's oil sands business achieved solid operating cost
reductions of $2.86/bbl in the third
quarter compared with the same period a year earlier. Total
operating costs were $9.55/bbl, a 23%
decrease from the third quarter of 2014. Increased production,
workforce reductions and lower fuel and electricity expenses
contributed to the oil sands per-unit operating cost savings in the
third quarter. Year to date, Cenovus has also achieved operating
cost reductions from improved prioritization of its repair and
maintenance activities as well as lower workover costs due to fewer
electric submersible pump (ESP) replacements.
The company's Christina Lake
optimization project was completed on time and below budget, with
incremental oil production expected to ramp up over a period of 12
months. The project is designed to increase steam generating
capacity and optimize oil treating. Christina Lake's phase F expansion is nearing
completion, with first oil expected in the second half of 2016. At
Foster Creek, the phase G expansion remains on track for expected
production late in the first half of 2016. These three expansion
projects are expected to add approximately 100,000 barrels per day
(bbls/d) of incremental gross production capacity (50,000 bbls/d
net), an increase of about 35% to the company's current oil sands
production capacity.
Disciplined capital allocation
In the third quarter of 2015, the company invested $272 million in its oil sands assets,
$55 million in conventional oil and
natural gas, $67 million in its
refineries and $6 million in
corporate activities. Cenovus expects total capital spending for
2015 of $1.8 billion to $1.9 billion,
in line with the company's budget for the year and almost 40% below
2014 spending levels.
"We have tested our financial capacity and even at prices as low
as US$45 per barrel WTI through 2017,
we believe we can fund our sustaining and growth capital as well as
our current dividend level," said Ferguson. "We also believe we
have the financial resilience to consider restarting investment in
some of our deferred expansion projects when the timing is right.
Those decisions would depend on our ongoing cost-cutting success as
well as fiscal and regulatory certainty."
Currently, Cenovus anticipates capital spending of between
$1.5 billion and $2.0 billion in
2016. The low end of the range would include capital for the
completion of ongoing Christina
Lake and Foster Creek expansion projects that are already
well advanced. The high end of the range could include growth
capital for the potential resumption of work at Christina Lake phase G and Foster Creek phase
H, which were deferred earlier this year.
The company is currently developing its 2016 budget and intends
to provide additional details in a news release scheduled for
December 10, 2015.
Improving market access
Cenovus is working to develop new markets and businesses to help it
gain greater control over a larger part of the value chain for its
products. At the end of August, the company completed the
acquisition of a crude-by-rail trans-loading facility at
Bruderheim, Alberta that was
announced in the second quarter. During its first full month of
ownership, Cenovus and its third-party operator shipped 12 unit
trains from the facility, including five unit trains loaded for
contract customers.
To further enhance its market access, Cenovus continues to
assess other strategic opportunities to capture global pricing for
its oil and increase returns for shareholders.
Updating guidance
Cenovus has updated its 2015 full-year guidance to reflect actual
results for the first nine months of the year and the company's
estimates for the fourth quarter. The updated guidance, available
at cenovus.com under "Investors," reflects Cenovus's expectations
for lower capital spending at Foster Creek and better than
anticipated oil sands and conventional operating costs compared
with the company's prior guidance.
Leadership appointments
Cenovus has created the new position on its Leadership Team of
Executive Vice-President, Business Innovation. Judy Fairburn has been appointed to the role
effective December 1. She will be
accountable for developing ground-breaking, cross-sector
partnerships in areas of strategic importance to Cenovus. Fairburn
has held various leadership roles within Cenovus and its
predecessor companies. She has extensive experience building
partnerships within the industry and with other sectors, including
an integral role in the creation of Canada's Oil Sands Innovation Alliance
(COSIA).
As previously announced as part of the Leadership Team
retirement transition, Kerry Dyte
will be stepping down as Executive Vice-President, General Counsel
& Corporate Secretary on December
1. Al Reid, who has already
joined the Leadership Team as Executive Vice-President,
Environment, Corporate Affairs & Legal, will take on the role
of General Counsel at that time. Gary
Molnar, currently Vice-President Legal & Assistant
Corporate Secretary, will become Vice-President, Legal, Assistant
General Counsel & Corporate Secretary on December 1.
Third quarter details
Oil sands
Christina
Lake
- Production averaged 75,329 bbls/d net in the third quarter of
2015, 10% higher than in the same period a year earlier.
- Operating costs were $7.87/bbl in
the third quarter, down 24% from $10.40/bbl in the same period of 2014. Non-fuel
operating costs were $5.57/bbl, down
21% from the third quarter of 2014.
- The steam to oil ratio (SOR), the amount of steam needed to
produce a barrel of oil, was 1.7, unchanged from the third quarter
of 2014.
- Netbacks were $13.76/bbl in the
third quarter, down 72% from the same period a year ago.
Foster Creek
- Production averaged 71,414 bbls/d net in the third quarter, 26%
higher than in the third quarter of 2014.
- Operating costs were $11.37/bbl,
a 23% decline compared with the third quarter of 2014. Non-fuel
operating costs were $8.72/bbl, a 17%
decline from a year earlier.
- The SOR was 2.4 in the third quarter, an improvement from 2.8
in the same period of 2014.
- Netbacks were $13.28/bbl in the
third quarter, 76% lower than a year earlier.
Conventional oil
- Total conventional oil production was 63,679 bbls/d in the
third quarter, down 14% from 74,000 bbls/d in the same period a
year ago, primarily due to expected natural declines, the sale of
Cenovus's royalty and fee land business, and the sale of a non-core
asset in 2014, partially offset by successful horizontal well
performance in southern Alberta.
- Operating costs for Cenovus's conventional oil operations were
$15.61/bbl, down 15% from
$18.45/bbl in the third quarter of
2014.
Natural gas
- Natural gas production averaged 430 million cubic feet per day
(MMcf/d) in the third quarter, down 12% from 489 MMcf/d in the same
period in 2014.
- Natural gas per-unit operating costs were down 6% to
$1.16 per thousand cubic feet (Mcf)
in the quarter, compared with the same period a year ago.
Downstream
- Cenovus's Wood River Refinery in Illinois and Borger Refinery in Texas processed an average of 394,000 bbls/d
gross of crude oil in the third quarter (86% utilization), a
decrease of 3% from the same period a year ago due to an unplanned
outage at Borger and a planned
turnaround at Wood River.
Together, the two refineries processed an average of 186,000 bbls/d
gross of heavy oil compared with 201,000 bbls/d gross in the third
quarter of 2014. The decrease was due to the planned turnaround at
Wood River.
- The refineries produced an average of 414,000 bbls/d gross of
refined products in the third quarter, down 3% from 429,000 bbls/d
gross in the same period a year earlier.
- Cenovus's refining operating cash flow is calculated on a
first-in, first-out (FIFO) inventory accounting basis. Using the
last-in, first-out (LIFO) accounting method employed by most U.S.
refiners, Cenovus's operating cash flow from refining would have
been $130 million higher in the third
quarter, compared with $53 million
higher in the third quarter of 2014.
Financial
Dividends
- The Board of Directors has declared a fourth quarter dividend
of $0.16 per share, payable on
December 31, 2015 to common
shareholders of record as of December 15,
2015. Based on the October 28,
2015 closing share price on the Toronto Stock Exchange of
$19.24, this represents an annualized
yield of about 3.3%. Declaration of dividends is at the sole
discretion of the Board and will continue to be evaluated on a
quarterly basis. Over the long term, Cenovus intends to target a
dividend payout ratio of 20% to 25% of after-tax cash flows.
- In July, Cenovus announced it had discontinued a temporary
discount on its Dividend Reinvestment Plan (DRIP). While the DRIP
remains in place, going forward, the company plans to purchase
common shares required for the DRIP in the open market, eliminating
dilution caused by the issuance of shares from Treasury.
Corporate and financial information
- In the third quarter, Cenovus had operating cash flow of
$599 million. This included
$326 million from its oil sands
operations, $241 million from
conventional oil and natural gas and $29
million from its downstream operations. The sale of the
company's royalty and fee land business reduced total third quarter
operating cash flow by approximately $23
million.
- The 57% decline in operating cash flow from refining and
marketing was primarily due to higher heavy oil feedstock costs
relative to the WTI benchmark price as well as planned and
unplanned outages at the company's two U.S. refineries. This
increased operating costs for the third quarter compared with the
same period in 2014. The decline was partially offset by improved
margins on the sale of secondary products, an increase in average
market crack spreads and the weakening of the Canadian dollar
relative to the U.S. dollar.
- After investing $400 million in
the third quarter, Cenovus had free cash flow of $44 million, down from $235 million in the same period a year
earlier.
- Cenovus had an operating loss of $28
million in the third quarter, compared with operating
earnings of $372 million in the same
quarter in 2014. The decrease was primarily due to significantly
lower oil and natural gas prices compared with the third quarter of
2014, partially offset by a deferred tax recovery compared with an
expense a year ago.
- Net earnings were $1.8 billion in
the third quarter, a more than five-fold increase from the same
period a year earlier. The increase was primarily due to an
after-tax gain of $1.9 billion
resulting from the disposition of Cenovus's royalty and fee land
business as well as a $385 million
deferred tax recovery associated with Cenovus's U.S. refining
assets.
- G&A expenses were $75
million, 6% lower than in the third quarter of 2014. The
decrease was primarily due to a reduction in discretionary
spending, including travel, conferences, offsite meetings and
information technology upgrades, offset by higher employee
long-term incentive costs compared with the same period in 2014.
Cenovus also incurred third quarter severance costs of $3 million related to workforce reductions.
- Over the long term, Cenovus continues to target a debt to
capitalization ratio of between 30% and 40% and a debt to adjusted
EBITDA ratio of between 1.0 and 2.0 times. At September 30, 2015, the company's debt to
capitalization ratio was 33% and debt to adjusted EBITDA was 2.7
times, on a trailing 12-month basis. The net debt to capitalization
ratio was 13% and net debt to adjusted EBITDA was 0.8 times, on a
trailing 12-month basis.
Commodity price hedging
- Cenovus had a realized after-tax hedging gain of $161 million in the third quarter, as the
company's contract prices exceeded the average benchmark price. The
company had unrealized after-tax hedging gains of $93 million in the quarter, primarily due to
changes in market prices.
Other milestones
- Cenovus had its best safety performance ever during the first
nine months of 2015, with a total recordable injury frequency
(TRIF) of 0.35, a 50% improvement from the same period in 2014.
Foster Creek achieved injury-free operations over the first nine
months of the year. In the third quarter, the company-wide TRIF was
down 40% from the same period the previous year.
- In September, Cenovus received recognition for its continued
strong performance in the area of corporate responsibility. The
company was included in the DJSI World Index for the fourth
consecutive year and in the DJSI North America Index for the sixth
year in a row. Cenovus is the only North American oil and gas
producer to make the World Index this year.
- Cenovus shares the public's concerns about climate change and
is investing in technology to reduce CO2
emissions from its operations as well as looking for solutions to
help eliminate emissions from the end use of oil. The company is
proud to be a member of COSIA, which is sponsoring the recently
announced NRG COSIA Carbon XPRIZE. The competition challenges
innovators from around the world to find ways to turn waste
CO2 emissions from fossil fuels into usable
products.
Conference Call Today
9 a.m. Mountain Time
(11 a.m. Eastern Time)
Cenovus will host a conference call today, October 29, 2015, starting at 9 a.m. MT (11 a.m.
ET). To participate, please dial 888-231-8191 (toll-free in
North America) or 647-427-7450
approximately 10 minutes prior to the conference call. A live audio
webcast of the conference call will also be available via
cenovus.com. The webcast will be archived for approximately 90
days.
FINANCIAL INFORMATION
Basis of Presentation Cenovus reports
financial results in Canadian dollars and presents production
volumes on a net to Cenovus before royalties basis, unless
otherwise stated. Cenovus prepares its financial statements in
accordance with International Financial Reporting Standards
(IFRS).
Non-GAAP Measures This news release contains
references to non-GAAP measures as follows:
- Operating cash flow is defined as revenues, less purchased
product, transportation and blending, operating expenses,
production and mineral taxes plus realized gains, less realized
losses on risk management activities and is used to provide a
consistent measure of the cash generating performance of the
company's assets for comparability of Cenovus's underlying
financial performance between periods. Items within the Corporate
and Eliminations segment are excluded from the calculation of
operating cash flow.
- Cash flow is defined as cash from operating activities
excluding net change in other assets and liabilities and net change
in non-cash working capital, both of which are defined on the
Consolidated Statement of Cash Flows in Cenovus's interim and
annual Consolidated Financial Statements. Cash flow is a measure
commonly used in the oil and gas industry to assist in measuring a
company's ability to finance its capital programs and meet its
financial obligations.
- Free cash flow is defined as cash flow less capital
investment.
- Operating earnings is used to provide a consistent measure of
the comparability of the company's underlying financial performance
between periods by removing non-operating items. Operating earnings
is defined as earnings before income tax excluding gain (loss) on
discontinuance, gain on bargain purchase, unrealized risk
management gains (losses) on derivative instruments, unrealized
foreign exchange gains (losses) on translation of U.S. dollar
denominated notes issued from Canada, foreign exchange gains (losses) on
settlement of intercompany transactions, gains (losses) on
divestiture of assets, less income taxes on operating earnings
(loss) before tax, excluding the effect of changes in statutory
income tax rates and the recognition of an increase in U.S. tax
basis.
- Debt to capitalization, net debt to capitalization, debt to
adjusted EBITDA and net debt to adjusted EBITDA are ratios that
management uses to steward the company's overall debt position as
measures of the company's overall financial strength. Debt is
defined as short-term borrowings and long-term debt, including the
current portion. Net debt is defined as debt net of cash and
cash equivalents. Capitalization is defined as debt plus
shareholders' equity. Net debt to capitalization is defined as net
debt divided by net debt plus shareholders' equity. Adjusted EBITDA
is defined as earnings before finance costs, interest income,
income tax expense, depreciation, depletion and amortization,
goodwill and asset impairments, unrealized gains or losses on risk
management, foreign exchange gains or losses, gains or losses on
divestiture of assets and other income and loss, calculated on a
trailing 12-month basis.
These measures do not have a standardized meaning as prescribed
by International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS) and therefore
are considered non-GAAP measures. These measures may not be
comparable to similar measures presented by other issuers. These
measures have been described and presented in this news release in
order to provide shareholders and potential investors with
additional information regarding Cenovus's liquidity and its
ability to generate funds to finance its operations. This
information should not be considered in isolation or as a
substitute for measures prepared in accordance with IFRS. For
further information, refer to Cenovus's third quarter 2015
Management's Discussion & Analysis (MD&A) available at
cenovus.com.
OIL AND GAS INFORMATION
Netbacks reported in this news release are
calculated as set out in the Annual Information Form (AIF). Heavy
oil prices and transportation and blending costs exclude the costs
of purchased condensate, which is blended with heavy oil. For the
third quarter of 2015, the cost of condensate on a per barrel of
unblended crude oil basis was as follows: Christina Lake - $26.42 and Foster Creek - $24.20.
ADVISORY
FORWARD-LOOKING INFORMATION
This document contains certain forward-looking statements and other
information (collectively "forward-looking information") about
Cenovus's current expectations, estimates and projections, made in
light of the company's experience and perception of historical
trends. Forward-looking information in this document is identified
by words such as "anticipate", "believe", "expect", "plan",
"forecast" or "F", "target", "projected", "future",
"guidance", "could", "should", "focus", "position", "on track",
"proposed", "schedule", "potential", "capacity", "may", "strategy",
"opportunities", "priority", "outlook" or similar expressions and
includes suggestions of future outcomes, including statements
about: the strength of the company's position under various
potential conditions to fund its planned capital programs and
current dividend level; potential resumption of investment in
certain projects; adequacy of the company's liquidity to manage
through the current low-price environment; growth strategy and
related schedules, including priorities and focus; projections
contained in the company's updated 2015 guidance; forecast
operating and financial results; planned capital expenditures,
capital investment priorities and expected conditions for future
capital investments; project capacities; expected future
production, including the timing, stability or growth thereof;
improving cost structures, including cost reduction targets, and
the expected timing, sustainability and potential impacts of
anticipated cost savings; the expected timing and potential impacts
of the company's transition to a new functional model; acquisition
and disposition strategy; forecast natural gas use at operations;
expected SOR; broadening market access and potential impacts
thereof, including with respect to shareholder returns; expected
increase in production capacity through optimization activity and
expansion projects; dividend plans and dividend strategy, including
with respect to the dividend reinvestment plan; forecasted
commodity prices; targeted future debt to capitalization ratio and
debt to adjusted EBITDA; and projected shareholder value. Readers
are cautioned not to place undue reliance on forward-looking
information, as the company's actual results may differ materially
from those expressed or implied.
Developing forward-looking information involves reliance on a
number of assumptions and consideration of certain risks and
uncertainties, some of which are specific to Cenovus and others
that apply to the industry generally.
The factors or assumptions on which the forward-looking
information is based include: assumptions disclosed in Cenovus's
current guidance, available at cenovus.com; the company's projected
capital investment levels, the flexibility of the company's capital
spending plans and the associated source of funding; estimates of
quantities of oil, bitumen, natural gas and liquids from properties
and other sources not currently classified as proved; the company's
ability to obtain necessary regulatory and partner approvals; the
successful and timely implementation of capital projects or stages
thereof; the company's ability to generate sufficient cash flow to
meet its current and future obligations; and other risks and
uncertainties described from time to time in the filings we make
with securities regulatory authorities.
2015 guidance assumes: an average diluted number of shares
outstanding of approximately 819 million and 833 million for 2015
and the fourth quarter of 2015, respectively; Brent of US$54.75/bbl; WTI of US$49.70/bbl; WCS of US$36.30/bbl; NYMEX of US$2.75/MMBtu; AECO of $2.65/GJ; Chicago 3-2-1 crack spread of US$18.10/bbl; and an exchange rate of
$0.78 US$/C$.
The risk factors and uncertainties that could cause Cenovus's
actual results to differ materially include: volatility of and
assumptions regarding oil and natural gas prices; the effectiveness
of the company's risk management program, including the impact of
derivative financial instruments, the success of the company's
hedging strategies and the sufficiency of its liquidity position;
the accuracy of cost estimates; fluctuations in commodity prices,
currency and interest rates; fluctuations in product supply and
demand; market competition, including from alternative energy
sources; risks inherent in Cenovus's marketing operations,
including credit risks; risks inherent to operation of the
company's crude-by-rail terminal, including health, safety and
environmental risks; maintaining desirable ratios of debt to
adjusted EBITDA, net debt to adjusted EBITDA, debt to
capitalization and net debt to capitalization; ability to access
various sources of debt and equity capital, generally, and on terms
acceptable to Cenovus; changes in credit ratings applicable to
Cenovus or any of its securities; changes to Cenovus's dividend
plans or strategy, including the dividend reinvestment plan;
accuracy of Cenovus's reserves, resources and future production
estimates; ability to replace and expand oil and gas reserves;
ability to maintain the company's relationships with its partners
and to successfully manage and operate its integrated heavy oil
business; reliability of the company's assets; potential disruption
or unexpected technical difficulties in developing new products and
manufacturing processes; refining and marketing margins; potential
failure of new products to achieve acceptance in the market;
unexpected cost increases or technical difficulties in constructing
or modifying manufacturing or refining facilities; unexpected
difficulties in producing, transporting or refining of crude oil
into petroleum and chemical products; risks associated with
technology and its application to Cenovus's business; the timing
and the costs of well and pipeline construction; the company's
ability to secure adequate product transportation, including
sufficient crude-by-rail or other alternate transportation; changes
in the regulatory framework in any of the locations in which
Cenovus operates, including changes to the regulatory approval
process and land-use designations, royalty, tax, environmental,
greenhouse gas, carbon and other laws or regulations, or changes to
the interpretation of such laws and regulations, as adopted or
proposed, the impact thereof and the costs associated with
compliance; the expected impact and timing of various accounting
pronouncements, rule changes and standards on Cenovus's business,
its financial results and its consolidated financial statements;
changes in the general economic, market and business conditions;
the political and economic conditions in the countries in which
Cenovus operates; the occurrence of unexpected events such as war,
terrorist threats and the instability resulting therefrom; and
risks associated with existing and potential future lawsuits and
regulatory actions against Cenovus.
Readers are cautioned that the foregoing lists are not
exhaustive and are made as at the date hereof. For a full
discussion of Cenovus's material risk factors, see "Risk Factors"
in our AIF or Form 40-F for the year ended December 31, 2014 and "Risk Management" in our
current and annual Management's Discussion and Analysis (MD&A),
available on SEDAR at sedar.com, EDGAR at sec.gov and on the
company's website at cenovus.com.
TM denotes a trademark of Cenovus Energy Inc.
Cenovus Energy Inc.
Cenovus Energy Inc. is a Canadian integrated oil company. It is
committed to applying fresh, progressive thinking to safely and
responsibly unlock energy resources the world needs. Operations
include oil sands projects in northern Alberta, which use specialized methods to
drill and pump the oil to the surface, and established natural gas
and oil production in Alberta and
Saskatchewan. The company also has
50% ownership in two U.S. refineries. Cenovus shares trade under
the symbol CVE, and are listed on the Toronto and New
York stock exchanges. Its enterprise value is approximately
$18 billion. For more information,
visit cenovus.com.
Find Cenovus on Facebook, Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube and
Instagram.
SOURCE Cenovus Energy Inc.