InPlay Oil Corp. (TSX: IPO) (OTCQX: IPOOF) (“InPlay” or the
“Company”) is pleased to announce that its Board of Directors has
approved a $58 million capital program for 2022 which is forecasted
to deliver 2022 average production of 8,900 – 9,400 boe/d(1) (62% -
63% light oil and liquids).
InPlay enters 2022 in the strongest position in
the Company’s history following a highly successful 2021, which saw
the Company achieve record levels of annual production, adjusted
funds flow (“AFF”) and free adjusted funds flow (“FAFF”)(2) while
also exiting the year at its lowest ever net debt to earnings
before interest, taxes and depletion (“EBITDA”)(2) level. On
November 30, 2021 InPlay completed the highly accretive acquisition
of Prairie Storm Resources Corp., further expanding our position in
the Cardium. Based on continued strong drilling results and the
positive outlook for commodity prices, InPlay is well positioned to
deliver continued strong operational and financial results in the
upcoming year.
2022 Capital Program Overview
The Company’s Board of Directors has approved a capital program
for 2022 of $58 million. Given InPlay owns significant
infrastructure, over 93% of the capital program is dedicated to
growing production through drilling, completion, equipping and
optimization expenditures. The 2022 capital program will see InPlay
drill the most Cardium Extended Reach Horizontal (“ERH”) wells in
our history. The 2022 capital program consists of drilling
approximately 17.0 net Cardium wells, with a roughly even
allocation of capital between our core Pembina and Willesden Green
areas, focused predominantly on ERH wells. The first quarter of
2022 is expected to be our most active quarter to date with plans
to drill six gross (4.9 net) ERH wells with three (3.0 net) in
Pembina, two (1.7 net) on our recently acquired Prairie Storm lands
in Willesden Green and one (0.2 net) ERH non-operated well. The
Company also plans to complete, equip, and tie-in the two (1.6 net)
ERH wells that were drilled in December 2021 on the Prairie Storm
lands. The capital program incorporates approximately 8% cost
inflation associated with higher services and tangibles costs
anticipated due to an increase in industry activity relative to
2021. InPlay would have experienced even greater cost pressure,
however we proactively mitigated the price increase in steel casing
by acquiring the majority of our H1 2022 requirements in the third
quarter of 2021 when prices were 30% - 35% below current
levels.
InPlay’s 2022 capital program is forecasted to deliver(3):
- Annual average production of 8,900
to 9,400 boe/d (62% - 63% light oil & liquids), delivering
annual production growth of approximately 55% to 63% over
2021. On a debt adjusted basis, production growth per weighted
average basic share(2) is forecast to be approximately 76% to 86%
over 2021 which is expected to be top-tier per share growth amongst
InPlay’s light oil weighted peers;
- AFF of $111.0 to $117.0 million,
approximately 118% to 129% higher on an absolute basis and 76% to
86% higher per weighted average basic share compared to previous
2021 AFF guidance;
- FAFF of $53.5 to $59.5 million,
initially used for debt reduction which will significantly improve
InPlay’s leverage metrics and long term sustainability;
- Net debt to EBITDA of 0.2x to 0.3x
with forecasted year end net debt between $22.0 to $28.0 million
which represents a 68% decrease from previous 2021 year end net
debt guidance. At a stress test pricing level averaging $50 USD WTI
over the entire year in 2022, the Company estimates 2022 net debt
to EBITDA would remain below 1.0x; and
- Record operating income profit margin(2) of approximately
68%.
The Company’s 2022 guidance is based on a current future
commodity price curve with an annual average WTI price of US
$72.50/bbl, $3.30/GJ AECO and estimated foreign exchange of $0.78
CDN/USD. As demonstrated in the past, the Company will continue to
remain flexible, adaptable and react promptly to changing commodity
prices throughout the year and will adjust its capital program if
deemed appropriate.
InPlay is proud of the actions taken in 2020 to survive the
price collapse caused by the pandemic. The strong operational
results and acquisitions we made in 2021 have put us in the best
financial, operational and sustainable position we have ever been
as a company. We are very excited about the upcoming year which
will reflect the first year of operations including the Prairie
Storm assets. Record financial and operational results are
anticipated again in 2022 and we look forward to continuing to
maintain sustainability, deliver disciplined growth and strong
returns to our shareholders. We would like to thank all of our
employees, service providers, and shareholders for their continued
efforts and support as well as our directors for their ongoing
commitment and dedication. Please view our January 2022
corporate presentation which will be uploaded at
www.inplayoil.com.
Notes:
- See “Reader
Advisories - Production Breakdown by Product Type”
- “Free adjusted
funds flow”, “Net debt to EBITDA”, “Operating income”, “Operating
income profit margin” and “Production per debt adjusted share” do
not have a standardized meaning under International Financial
Reporting Standards (IFRS) and GAAP and therefore may not be
comparable with the calculations of similar measures for other
companies. Please refer to “Non-GAAP Financial Measures and Ratios”
at the end of this news release and to the section entitled
“Non-GAAP Measures and Ratios” in our MD&A for details of
calculations, rationale for use and applicable reconciliation to
the nearest IFRS measure.
- See “Reader
Advisories – Forward Looking Information and Statements” for key
budget and underlying assumptions related to our 2022 capital
program and associated guidance.
Hedging Update
In adherence to our recently increased and
amended first lien credit facility, the Company has entered into
additional near-term crude oil and natural gas derivative
contracts. These contracts are structured such that they still
provide InPlay with exposure to significantly higher commodity
prices including $USD WTI prices up to $93/bbl in the second
quarter of 2022 and $100/bbl in the third and fourth quarter of
2022 while also providing protection to extreme reductions in
commodity prices. The following is a summary of all commodity
contracts currently in place:
|
|
|
Q1/22 |
Q2/22 |
Q3/22 |
Q4/22 |
Natural Gas AECO Swap(1) (GJ/d) |
|
|
1,000 |
2,750 |
2,750 |
925 |
Hedged price ($AECO/GJ) |
|
|
$2.30 |
$3.19 |
$3.19 |
$3.19 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Natural Gas AECO Costless Collar(2) (GJ/d) |
|
|
7,000 |
4,750 |
2,750 |
2,720 |
Hedged price ($AECO/GJ) |
|
|
($2.56 - $4.25) |
($2.50 - $3.71) |
($2.50 - $3.64) |
($2.34 - $4.49) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Crude Oil WTI Put(3) (bbl/d) |
|
|
1,700 |
- |
- |
- |
Hedged price ($USD WTI/bbl) |
|
|
$50.00 |
- |
- |
- |
Premium - $1.00 per bbl |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Crude Oil WTI Three-way Collar(4) (bbl/d) |
|
|
- |
1,700 |
1,400 |
930 |
Low sold put price ($USD WTI/bbl) |
|
|
- |
$45.00 |
$45.00 |
$45.00 |
Mid bought put price ($USD WTI/bbl) |
|
|
- |
$50.00 |
$50.00 |
$50.00 |
High sold call price ($USD WTI/bbl) |
|
|
- |
$93.00 |
$100.00 |
$100.00 |
(1) Fixed price swaps provide InPlay with a
guaranteed price in lieu of realization of floating index
prices.
(2) Costless collars indicate InPlay
concurrently bought put and sold call options at strike prices such
that the costs and premiums received offset each other, thereby
completing the derivative contracts on a costless basis.
(3) Puts provide InPlay with a minimum
floor price and full exposure to floating index prices realized
above the minimum floor price for a premium payment.
(4) The WTI three-way collars are a
combination high priced sold call, low priced sold put and a
mid-priced bought put. The high sold call price is the maximum
price the Company will receive for the contract volumes. The mid
bought put price is the minimum price InPlay will receive, unless
the market price falls below the low sold put strike price, in
which case InPlay receives market price plus the difference between
the mid bought put price minus the low sold put price.
About InPlay
Oil Corp.
InPlay, based in Calgary, Alberta, has been engaged in the
business of exploring for, developing and producing oil and natural
gas, and acquiring oil and natural gas properties in western Canada
since it commenced operations as a private company in June 2013.
InPlay has concentrated on exploration and development drilling of
light oil prospects in the Province of Alberta in a focused area of
Central and West Central Alberta.
The InPlay management team has worked closely together for many
years in both private and public company environments and has an
established track record of delivering cost-effective per share
growth in reserves, production, AFF and funds flow. InPlay will
continue to implement its proven strategy of exploring, acquiring,
and exploiting assets with a long-term focus on large, light oil
resources. The InPlay management team brings a full spectrum of
geotechnical, engineering, negotiating and financial experience to
its investment decisions. An updated corporate presentation will be
posted to InPlay’s website in due course. Additional information
about the Company can be found on SEDAR and on InPlay’s website at:
www.inplayoil.com.
For further information please contact:
Doug BartolePresident and Chief Executive OfficerInPlay Oil Corp.
Telephone: (587) 955-0632 |
Darren Dittmer Chief Financial Officer InPlay Oil Corp. Telephone:
(587) 955-0634 |
Reader Advisories
Non-GAAP Financial Measures and
RatiosIncluded in this press release are references to the
terms “free adjusted funds flow”, “operating income”, “operating
income profit margin”, “Net Debt to EBITDA” and “Production per
debt adjusted share”. Management believes these measures are
helpful supplementary measures of financial and operating
performance and provide users with similar, but potentially not
comparable, information that is commonly used by other oil and
natural gas companies. These terms do not have any standardized
meaning prescribed by GAAP and should not be considered an
alternative to, or more meaningful than “profit (loss) before
taxes”, “profit (loss) and comprehensive income (loss)” or assets
and liabilities as determined in accordance with GAAP as a measure
of the Company’s performance and financial position.
InPlay uses “free adjusted funds flow” as a key performance
indicator. Free adjusted funds flow should not be considered as an
alternative to or more meaningful than funds flow as determined in
accordance with GAAP as an indicator of the Company’s performance.
Free adjusted funds flow is calculated by the Company as adjusted
funds flow less capital expenditures and is a measure of the
cashflow remaining after capital expenditures that can be used for
additional capital activity, repayment of debt or decommissioning
expenditures. Management considers free adjusted funds flow an
important measure to identify the Company’s ability to improve the
financial condition of the Company through debt repayment, which
has become more important recently with the introduction of second
lien lenders. Refer to the “Forward Looking Information and
Statements” section for a calculation of forecast free adjusted
funds flow.
InPlay uses “operating income“ and “operating income profit
margin” as key performance indicators. Operating income is
calculated by the Company as oil and natural gas sales less
royalties, operating expenses and transportation expenses and is a
measure of the profitability of operations before administrative,
share-based compensation, financing and other non-cash items.
Management considers operating income an important measure to
evaluate its operational performance as it demonstrates its field
level profitability. Operating income profit margin is calculated
by the Company as operating income as a percentage of oil and
natural gas sales. Management considers operating income profit
margin an important measure to evaluate its operational performance
as it demonstrates how efficiently the Company generates field
level profits from its sales revenue. Refer to the “Forward Looking
Information and Statements” section for a calculation of forecast
free adjusted funds flow.
InPlay uses “Net Debt to EBITDA” as a key
performance indicator. EBITDA should not be considered as an
alternative to or more meaningful than adjusted funds flow as
determined in accordance with GAAP as an indicator of the Company’s
performance. EBITDA is calculated by the Company as adjusted funds
flow before interest expense. This measure is consistent with the
EBITDA formula prescribed under the Company's Credit Facility. Net
Debt to EBITDA is calculated as Net Debt divided by EBITDA.
Management considers Net Debt to EBITDA a key performance indicator
as it is a key metric to identify the Company’s ability to fund
financing expenses, net debt reductions and other obligations.
Refer to the “Forward Looking Information and Statements” section
for a calculation of forecast Net Debt/EBITDA.
InPlay uses “Production per debt adjusted share”
as a key performance indicator. Debt adjusted shares should not be
considered as an alternative to or more meaningful than common
shares as determined in accordance with GAAP as an indicator of the
Company’s performance. Debt adjusted shares is calculated by the
Company as common shares outstanding plus the change in net debt
divided by the Company's current trading price on the TSX,
converting net debt to equity. Production per debt adjusted share
is calculated by the Company as production divided by debt adjusted
shares. Management considers Production per debt adjusted share is
a key performance indicator as it adjusts for the effects of
changes in annual production in relation to the Company’s capital
structure. Refer to the “Forward Looking Information and
Statements” section for a calculation of forecast Production per
debt adjusted share.
Forward-Looking Information and
Statements This news release contains certain
forward–looking information and statements within the meaning of
applicable securities laws. The use of any of the words "expect",
"anticipate", "continue", "estimate", "may", "will", "project",
"should", "believe", "plans", "intends" “forecast” and similar
expressions are intended to identify forward-looking information or
statements. In particular, but without limiting the foregoing, this
news release contains forward-looking information and statements
pertaining to the following; the Company’s planned 2022 capital
program including wells to be drilled and completed and the timing
of the same; 2022 guidance based on the planned capital program
including forecasts of 2022 annual average production levels, debt
adjusted production levels, adjusted funds flow, free adjusted
funds flow, Net Debt/EBITDA ratio, operating income profit margin,
and growth rates; light oil and liquids weighting estimates;
expectations regarding future commodity prices; the expectation
that the first quarter of 2022 will be the Company’s most active
quarter to date, future liquidity and financial capacity; future
results from operations and operating metrics and capital guidance;
management’s assessment of potential drilling inventory; future
costs, expenses and royalty rates; future interest costs; the
exchange rate between the $US and $Cdn; and methods of funding our
capital program.
Forward-looking statements or information are
based on a number of material factors, expectations or assumptions
of InPlay which have been used to develop such statements and
information but which may prove to be incorrect. Although InPlay
believes that the expectations reflected in such forward-looking
statements or information are reasonable, undue reliance should not
be placed on forward-looking statements because InPlay can give no
assurance that such expectations will prove to be correct. In
addition to other factors and assumptions which may be identified
herein, assumptions have been made regarding, among other things:
the impact of increasing competition; the general stability of the
economic and political environment in which InPlay operates; the
timely receipt of any required regulatory approvals; the ability of
InPlay to obtain qualified staff, equipment and services in a
timely and cost efficient manner; drilling results; the ability of
the operator of the projects in which InPlay has an interest in to
operate the field in a safe, efficient and effective manner; the
ability of InPlay to obtain financing on acceptable terms; field
production rates and decline rates; the ability to replace and
expand oil and natural gas reserves through acquisition,
development and exploration; the timing and cost of pipeline,
storage and facility construction and the ability of InPlay to
secure adequate product transportation; future commodity prices;
currency, exchange and interest rates; regulatory framework
regarding royalties, taxes and environmental matters in the
jurisdictions in which InPlay operates; and the ability of InPlay
to successfully market its oil and natural gas products.
The forward-looking information and statements
included herein are not guarantees of future performance and should
not be unduly relied upon. Such information and statements,
including the assumptions made in respect thereof, involve known
and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors that may cause
actual results or events to defer materially from those anticipated
in such forward-looking information or statements including,
without limitation: the continuing impact of the COVID-19 pandemic;
changes in our planned 2022 capital program; changes in commodity
prices and other assumptions outlined herein; the potential for
variation in the quality of the reservoirs in which we operate;
changes in the demand for or supply of our products; unanticipated
operating results or production declines; changes in tax or
environmental laws, royalty rates or other regulatory matters;
changes in development plans of InPlay or by third party operators
of our properties; increased debt levels or debt service
requirements; inaccurate estimation of our oil and gas reserve and
resource volumes; limited, unfavorable or a lack of access to
capital markets; increased costs; a lack of adequate insurance
coverage; the impact of competitors; and certain other risks
detailed from time-to-time in InPlay's disclosure
documents.
The internal projections, expectations or
beliefs underlying the Company's 2022 capital budget, associated
guidance, underlying assumptions and corporate outlook for 2022 and
beyond are subject to change in light of ongoing results,
prevailing economic circumstances, commodity prices and industry
conditions and regulations. InPlay's outlook for 2022 and beyond
provides shareholders with relevant information on management's
expectations for results of operations, excluding any potential
acquisitions, dispositions or strategic transactions that may be
completed in 2022 and beyond based on the key assumptions outlined
below. Accordingly, undue reliance should not be placed on the
same. Readers are cautioned that unexpected events or circumstances
of the incorrectness of assumptions used could cause capital plans
and results to differ materially from those predicted and InPlay's
2022 guidance and outlook may not be appropriate for other
purposes.
The forward-looking information and statements
contained in this news release speak only as of the date hereof and
InPlay does not assume any obligation to publicly update or revise
any of the included forward-looking statements or information,
whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise,
except as may be required by applicable securities laws.
The key budget and underlying material
assumptions used by the Company in the development of its 2022
guidance including forecasted production, operating income, capital
expenditures, adjusted funds flow, free adjusted funds flow, Net
Debt and Net Debt/EBITDA ratio are as follows:
|
|
FY 2022 |
WTI |
US$/bbl |
$72.50 |
NGL Price |
$/boe |
$42.75 |
AECO |
$/GJ |
$3.30 |
Foreign Exchange Rate |
CDN$/US$ |
0.78 |
MSW Differential |
US$/bbl |
$3.50 |
Production |
Boe/d |
8,900 – 9,400 |
Royalties |
$/boe |
5.25 – 5.75 |
Operating Expenses |
$/boe |
10.00 – 13.00 |
Transportation |
$/boe |
0.85 – 1.10 |
Interest |
$/boe |
0.85 – 1.25 |
General and Administrative |
$/boe |
2.00 – 2.60 |
Hedging loss |
$/boe |
0.00 – 0.20 |
Decommissioning Expenditures |
$ millions |
$2.0 - $2.5 |
Net Debt |
$ millions |
$22.0 - $28.0 |
Forecasted Adjusted Funds Flow |
$ millions |
$111.0 - $117.0 |
Weighted average outstanding shares |
# millions |
86.2 |
Forecasted Adjusted Funds Flow per share |
$/share |
1.28 – 1.36 |
|
|
FY 2022 |
Forecasted Adjusted Funds Flow |
$ millions |
$111.0 - $117.0 |
Capital Expenditures |
$ millions |
$58.0 |
Forecasted Free Adjusted Funds Flow |
$ millions |
$53.5 - $59.5 |
|
|
FY 2022 |
Forecasted Adjusted Funds Flow |
$ millions |
$111.0 - $117.0 |
Interest |
$/boe |
0.85 – 1.25 |
EBITDA |
$ millions |
$115.0 - $120.0 |
Net Debt |
$ millions |
$22.0 - $28.0 |
Net Debt/EBITDA |
|
0.2 – 0.3 |
|
|
FY 2022 |
Production |
Boe/d |
8,900 – 9,400 |
Opening Net Debt |
$ millions |
$76.5 - $79.5 |
Ending Net Debt |
$ millions |
$22.0 - $28.0 |
Weighted average outstanding shares |
# millions |
86.2 |
Share price @ Dec 31, 2021 |
$ |
2.18 |
Production per debt adjusted share growth(1) |
|
76% - 86% |
(1) Production per debt adjusted share is
calculated by the Company as production divided by debt adjusted
shares. Debt adjusted shares is calculated by the Company as common
shares outstanding plus the change in net debt divided by the
Company's current trading price on the TSX, converting net debt to
equity. Share price at December 31, 2022 is assumed to be
consistent with the share price at December 31, 2021.
-
See “Production Breakdown by Product Type” below
- Quality and
pipeline transmission adjustments may impact realized oil prices in
addition to the MSW Differential provided above
- Changes in
working capital are not assumed to have a material impact between
Dec 31, 2021 and Dec 31, 2022.
This press release contains future-oriented
financial information and financial outlook information
(collectively, "FOFI") about InPlay’s prospective capital
expenditures, all of which are subject to the same assumptions,
risk factors, limitations, and qualifications as set forth in the
above paragraphs. The actual results of operations of InPlay and
the resulting financial results will likely vary from the amounts
set forth in this press release and such variation may be material.
InPlay and its management believe that the FOFI has been prepared
on a reasonable basis, reflecting management's best estimates and
judgments. However, because this information is subjective and
subject to numerous risks, it should not be relied on as
necessarily indicative of future results. Except as required by
applicable securities laws, InPlay undertakes no obligation to
update such FOFI. FOFI contained in this press release was made as
of the date of this press release and was provided for the purpose
of providing further information about InPlay's anticipated future
business operations. Readers are cautioned that the FOFI contained
in this press release should not be used for purposes other than
for which it is disclosed herein.
Production Breakdown by Product
Type
Disclosure of production on a per boe basis in
this press release consists of the constituent product types as
defined in NI 51-101 and their respective quantities disclosed
in the table below:
|
Light and MediumCrude
oil(bbls/d) |
|
NGLS(boe/d) |
|
Conventional Natural
gas(Mcf/d) |
|
Total(boe/d) |
2021 Annual Average Production Guidance |
3,170 |
|
800 |
|
11,430 |
|
5,875(1) |
2022 Annual Average Production Guidance |
4,332 |
|
1,312 |
|
21,035 |
|
9,150(2) |
Notes:
- This reflects
the mid-point of the Company’s 2021 production guidance range of
5,750 to 6,000 boe/d.
- This reflects
the mid-point of the Company’s 2022 production guidance range of
8,900 to 9,400 boe/d.
- With respect to
forward-looking production guidance, product type breakdown is
based upon management's expectations based on reasonable
assumptions but are subject to variability based on actual well
results.
BOE equivalent Barrel of oil
equivalents or BOEs may be misleading, particularly if used in
isolation. A BOE conversion ratio of 6 mcf: 1 bbl is based on an
energy equivalency conversion method primarily applicable at the
burner tip and does not represent a value equivalency at the
wellhead. Given that the value ratio based on the current price of
crude oil as compared to natural gas is significantly different
than the energy equivalency of 6:1, utilizing a 6:1 conversion
basis may be misleading as an indication of value.
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