By Chris Matthews and Barbara Kollmeyer, MarketWatch
China's president convenes meeting of officials to discuss
growth
U.S. stocks were in retreat Tuesday morning, as fresh concerns
over the state of the global economy greeted investors returning
from the long holiday weekend.
Earnings will also remain in focus, with a busy week ahead.
How are the benchmarks trading?
The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 152 points, or 0.6%, to
24,554, while the S&P 500 index dropped 23 points, or 0.9%, to
2,648. The Nasdaq Composite Index fell 73 points, or 1%, to
7,084.
What's driving markets?
After the country posted the slowest annual pace
(http://www.marketwatch.com/story/china-posts-slowest-economic-growth-since-1990-2019-01-20)
of annual growth -- 6.6% -- since 1990, President Xi Jinping
reportedly convened a meeting of high-level Communist Party
officials
(https://www.abc.net.au/news/2019-01-22/xi-jingping-china-president-warns-black-swans-grey-rhinos/10736442),
urging them to be alert over "black swan" and "gray rhino"
financial events in face of an economic slowdown. Trade tensions
are partly to blame for the weak data.
Read:On trade, China's private-equity king is 'hopeful for the
best, prepared for the worst'
(http://www.marketwatch.com/story/on-trade-chinas-private-equity-king-is-hopeful-for-the-best-prepared-for-the-worst-2019-01-19)
Citing that weak data, President Donald Trump tweeted late
Monday that China needs to "finally do a Real Deal and stop playing
around," when it comes to trade. But the two countries reportedly
remain
(http://www.marketwatch.com/story/us-china-remain-at-loggerheads-over-intellectual-theft-issue-reports-2019-01-21)
far apart on key issues such as theft of intellectual property,
which the U.S. says China has engaged in for decades.
(https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/1087469381586771973)
On Saturday, Trump said stock-rallying reports
(http://www.marketwatch.com/story/trump-says-stock-rallying-reports-of-lifting-chinese-trade-sanctions-were-premature-2019-01-19)last
week that the U.S. would ease tariffs on China were not correct,
even as he said talks were "going very well."
Read:The investor known as the 'Warren Buffett of Boston'
rattles Davos crowd with this warning
(http://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-oracle-of-boston-rattles-davos-crowd-with-this-warning-for-investors-2019-01-22)
Potentially adding to trade tensions was a report
(https://www.cnbc.com/2019/01/22/huawei-exec-meng-wanzhou-us-to-formally-seek-extradition-report-says.html)
that the U.S. plans to formally request from Canada the extradition
of Huawei's chief financial officer, Meng Wanzhou, over allegations
she lied about the company's dealings with Iran.
Meanwhile, on Monday, the International Monetary Fund cut its
global growth forecast to 3.5% for 2019, from 3.7% in 2018
(http://www.marketwatch.com/story/imf-cuts-world-economic-forecast-for-2019-citing-trade-tensions-2019-01-21)
and from the 3.7% it predicted for 2019 back in October. Unveiling
its forecasts at the World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland,
the fund left its prediction for U.S. growth this year unchanged at
2.5%.
A partial government shutdown stretched into its 31st day on
Tuesday, and there was little sign of the deadlock breaking.
Democrats rejected Trump's latest proposal
(http://www.marketwatch.com/story/democrats-dismiss-trumps-latest-plan-but-it-may-get-senate-vote-2019-01-20)
to temporarily extend protections for some young immigrants brought
to the country illegally as children, in exchange for $5.7 billion
for his border wall.
The shutdown has caused a backlog of economic data
(http://www.marketwatch.com/story/economy-is-hitting-more-turbulence-but-the-shutdown-leaves-investors-partly-in-the-dark-2019-01-19),
with only a smattering of reports due this week, including existing
home sales, jobless claims and Markit manufacturing and services
purchasing managers index data.
Investors will also be digesting a fresh round of corporate
earnings Tuesday, and they will be paying close attention to
management commentary on the global economic outlook. As of Friday,
11% of S&P 500 companies have reported, according to FactSet,
with 56% announcing earnings beats, below the five-year average of
60%.
Opinion: These 3 leading economic indicators show no recession
is coming
(http://www.marketwatch.com/story/these-3-leading-economic-indicators-say-no-recession-is-coming-2019-01-21)
(http://www.marketwatch.com/story/ibm-earnings-emerging-tech-expected-to-account-for-half-of-sales-as-revenue-declines-2019-01-17)
(http://www.marketwatch.com/story/tech-companies-are-ready-to-respond-to-wall-streets-doubts-but-dont-expect-a-holiday-miracle-2019-01-17)
Which stocks are in focus?
Arconic Inc. (ARNC) stock tumbled more than 15% early Tuesday,
after the maker of steel products for the car and aerospace
industries said it is no longer pursuing a sale of the company
(http://www.marketwatch.com/story/arconic-shares-slide-27-premarket-after-company-says-no-longer-pursuing-a-sale-2019-01-22).
Shares of Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) fell 1.6%, even after the
firm announced fourth-quarter results
(http://www.marketwatch.com/story/johnson-johnson-tops-estimates-for-fourth-quarter-2019-01-22)
that surpassed analysts expectations for revenue and earnings.
Shares of IBM Corp. (IBM) fell 0.2%, ahead of the company's
Tuesday evening earnings announcement
(http://www.marketwatch.com/story/ibm-earnings-emerging-tech-expected-to-account-for-half-of-sales-as-revenue-declines-2019-01-17).
Halliburton Co. (HAL) stock tumbled 5.4% early Tuesday, even
after the oil-services company reported fourth-quarter profit and
revenue
(http://www.marketwatch.com/story/halliburton-tops-profit-and-revenue-expectations-shares-slip-2019-01-22)
that beat Wall Street estimates.
Shares of Travelers Companies Inc. (TRV) were down 0.8%, after
the insurer announced
(http://www.marketwatch.com/story/travelers-beats-earnings-estimates-despite-higher-catastrophe-losses-2019-01-22)
it beat analysts estimates for both sales and earnings in the
fourth quarter.
Bunge Ltd. (BG) shares retreated 2.3%, after the agriculture and
food business company announced that it's full-year earnings
(http://www.marketwatch.com/story/bunge-says-adjusted-ebit-to-be-hurt-by-china-trade-issues-lower-brazilian-ethanol-prices-2019-01-22)
would fall short of its previous guidance.
Stanley Black & Decker Inc. (SWK) shares were down 15.2%
after the firm gave disappointing guidance for 2019
(http://www.marketwatch.com/story/stanley-black-decker-shares-fall-nearly-7-after-weak-2019-guidance-2019-01-22).
Shares of eBay Inc. (EBAY) rose 8.6% Tuesday morning, after
Elliot Management, an activist hedge fund that says it now owns
more than 4% of eBay stock, issued a letter to eBay's managemen
(http://www.marketwatch.com/story/ebay-stock-soars-12-after-elliott-managment-suggests-plan-to-fix-prolonged-underperformance-2019-01-22)t
laying out a five-step plan that Elliot said could lead to a
valuation of $55 to $63 per eBay share by the end of 2020.
Read:Tech is ready to respond to Wall Street's doubts, but don't
expect a holiday miracle
(http://www.marketwatch.com/story/tech-companies-are-ready-to-respond-to-wall-streets-doubts-but-dont-expect-a-holiday-miracle-2019-01-17)
What are the analysts saying?
"Today's selloff is a result of the big move we had on Thursday
and Friday," Ed Keon, chief investment strategist at QMA told
MarketWatch.
"Markets are trying to find the right level. We were too low on
Christmas Eve. We've had a substantial rebound, but it's not like
there aren't things that can go wrong or are going wrong," like a
slowing Chinese economy, he said.
Keon said that on balance, corporate executives' outlooks for
the coming year haven't been encouraging. "A number of executives
are guiding lower," he said, adding that analysts estimates for
earnings growth for 2019 are also falling at a rapid rate of one
percentage point per month.
"When analysts forecasts are dropping like this, when they're
falling at 1 [percentage point] per month, they tend to keep
falling throughout the year."
See:U.S. will seek extradition of Huawei executive from Canada:
report
(http://www.marketwatch.com/story/us-will-seek-extradition-of-huawei-executive-from-canada-report-2019-01-22)
Which data are traders watching?
Existing home sales fell to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of
4.99 million in December
(http://www.marketwatch.com/story/existing-home-sales-slide-to-a-3-year-low-as-housing-market-stumbles-2019-01-22),
their lowest three years, according to the National Association of
Realtors.
How did markets trade Friday?
Stocks closed higher for a fourth straight session on Friday
(http://www.marketwatch.com/story/us-stock-futures-extend-gains-as-investors-cling-to-hope-of-trade-resolution-2019-01-18).
The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 336.25 points, or 1.4%, to
end at 24,706.35 for a weekly gain of 3%. The S&P 500 index
advanced 1.3% to 2,670.71, up 2.9% for the week. The Nasdaq
Composite added 1% to 7,157.23, finishing out the week 2.7%
higher.
Most U.S. financial markets were closed Monday for the Martin
Luther King Jr. Day holiday.
How are other markets trading?
Trade and growth worries weighed on Asia markets
(http://www.marketwatch.com/story/asian-markets-slip-on-global-growth-worries-2019-01-21),
with the Shanghai Composite Index sliding 1.4%. In Europe, stocks
are lower, with the Stoxx Europe 600 falling 0.7%.
Crude oil dropped 3.4%
(http://www.marketwatch.com/story/oil-slumps-on-renewed-global-growth-fears-2019-01-22)
to $51.99 per barrel, while gold held steady
(http://www.marketwatch.com/story/gold-struggles-to-regain-footing-despite-renewed-global-growth-worries-2019-01-22)
and the U.S. dollar ticked 0.1% higher
(http://www.marketwatch.com/story/dollar-muted-and-yen-stronger-in-risk-off-currency-trading-2019-01-22).
(END) Dow Jones Newswires
January 22, 2019 10:36 ET (15:36 GMT)
Copyright (c) 2019 Dow Jones & Company, Inc.