Ambac CEO Comments on Moody's Announcement Regarding Its Continuing Review of Ambac's Triple-A Ratings
29 Février 2008 - 11:22PM
Business Wire
Ambac Financial Group, Inc. (NYSE: ABK) (Ambac) today commented on
the February 29 release by Moody�s Investors Service regarding the
conclusion of its analysis of the residential mortgage and
mortgage-related CDO exposures, in connection with its ongoing
review of Ambac�s Aaa rating. Moody�s announced, in its release,
that Ambac�s capital �exceeds the �minimum� Aaa standard, [and
that] Ambac is actively pursuing capital strengthening activities
that, if successful, are expected to result in the Company meeting
Moody�s current estimate of the Aaa target level.� In completing
this phase of its review, Moody�s also noted that it �believes
Ambac is better-positioned relative to certain less-established
competitors with respect to business franchise, prospective
profitability and financial flexibility.� Michael Callen, Chairman
and CEO of Ambac Financial Group, commented that, �We are pleased
with this acknowledgment by Moody�s of the strength of our capital
position and our franchise� and he confirmed that �we are actively
pursuing a plan to further augment our capital resources in order
to achieve Moody�s� Aaa target.� Mr. Callen added, �We are
undertaking important steps to strengthen our company and support
our ratings. Ambac will reduce its quarterly dividend from $.07 to
$.01 per share and suspend all new structured finance business for
the next six months. Suspending structured finance writings for six
months is expected to free up approximately $600 million in
capital.� �In conjunction with this suspension,� said Mr. Callen,
�we will discontinue writing business in a number of sectors in the
global structured finance markets where the risk dynamics are not
aligned with our vision of the future of Ambac. Furthermore, we are
discontinuing writing new financial services businesses, including
investment agreements and swaps, except where we are hedging
existing exposures; and we will no longer execute financial
guarantees using credit default swaps. These actions will allow us
to focus our structured and international businesses on low
volatility sectors, where we can generate good risk-adjusted
returns.� �Finally,� he said, �we have implemented changes to our
underwriting and risk management guidelines and are reviewing our
underwriting criteria, net retention limits and single risk
concentrations.� Mr. Callen concluded, �We are optimistic about the
business opportunities ahead for Ambac, both in municipal finance
and in selected structured finance and international markets, when
we resume that business. We appreciate the support of our
policyholders, shareholders, clients and staff, as well as the many
other parties, both public and private, who have provided support
throughout this period of examination and business review.�
Forward-Looking Statements This release, in particular the remarks
of Mr. Callen, contains statements about our future results that
may constitute �forward-looking statements� within the meaning of
the safe harbor provisions of the Private Securities Litigation
Reform Act of 1995. Any or all of management�s forward-looking
statements here or in other publications may turn out to be wrong
and are based on Ambac�s management current belief or opinions.
Ambac�s actual results may vary materially, and there are no
guarantees about the performance of Ambac�s securities. Among
events, risks, uncertainties or factors that could cause actual
results to differ materially are: (1)�changes in the economic,
credit, foreign currency or interest rate environment in the United
States and abroad; (2)�the level of activity within the national
and worldwide credit markets; (3)�competitive conditions and
pricing levels; (4)�legislative and regulatory developments;
(5)�changes in tax laws; (6)�changes in our business plan,
including our decision to discontinue writing new business in the
financial services area, to significantly reduce new underwritings
of structured finance business and to discontinue all new
underwritings of structured finance business for six months; (7)
the policies and actions of the United States and other
governments; (8)�changes in capital requirements whether resulting
from downgrades in our insured portfolio or changes in rating
agencies� rating criteria or other reasons; (9)�changes in Ambac�s
and/or Ambac Assurance�s credit or financial strength ratings; (10)
changes in accounting principles or practices relating to the
financial guarantee industry or that may impact Ambac�s reported
financial results; (11)�inadequacy of reserves established for
losses and loss expenses; (12)�default by one or more of Ambac
Assurance�s�portfolio investments, insured issuers, counterparties
or reinsurers; (13) credit risk throughout our business, including
large single exposures to reinsurers; (14) market spreads and
pricing on insured collateralized debt obligations (�CDOs�) and
other derivative products insured or issued by Ambac; (15)�credit
risk related to residential mortgage securities and CDOs; (16) the
risk that holders of debt securities or counterparties on credit
default swaps or other similar agreements seek to declare events of
default or seek judicial relief or bring claims alleging violation
or breach of covenants by Ambac or one of its subsidiaries; (17)
the risk that our underwriting and risk management policies and
practices do not anticipate certain risks and/or the magnitude of
potential for loss as a result of foreseen risks; (18) the risk of
volatility in income and earnings, including volatility due to the
application of fair value accounting, or FAS 133, to the portion of
our credit enhancement business which is executed in credit
derivative form; (19) operational risks, including with respect to
internal processes, risk models, systems and employees; (20) the
risk of decline in market position; (21) the risk that market risks
impact assets in our investment portfolio; (22) the risk of credit
and liquidity risk due to unscheduled and unanticipated withdrawals
on Investment Agreements; (23) prepayment speeds on insured
asset-backed securities; (24) factors that may influence the amount
of installment premiums paid to Ambac; (25) the risk that we may be
required to raise additional capital, which could have a dilutive
effect on our outstanding equity capital and/or future earnings;
(26) ability or inability to raise additional capital, including
the risks that regulatory or other approvals for any plan to raise
capital are not obtained, or that various conditions to such a
plan, either imposed by third parties or imposed by Ambac or its
Board of Directors, are not satisfied and thus potentially
necessary capital raising transactions do not occur, or the risk
that for other reasons the Company cannot accomplish any
potentially necessary capital raising transactions; (27) the risk
that Ambac�s holding company structure and certain regulatory and
other constraints, including adverse business performance, affect
Ambac�s ability to pay dividends and make other payments; (28) the
risk of litigation and regulatory inquiries or investigations, and
the risk of adverse outcomes in connection therewith, which could
have a material adverse effect on our business, operations,
financial position, profitability or cash flows; (29) other factors
described in the Risk Factors section in the Annual Report on Form
10-K for the year ended December 31, 2007 and also disclosed from
time to time by Ambac in its subsequent reports on Form 10-Q and
Form 8-K, which are or will be available on the Ambac website at
www.ambac.com at the SEC�s website www.sec.gov; and (29)�other
risks and uncertainties that have not been identified at this time.
Readers are cautioned that forward-looking statements speak only as
of the date they are made and that Ambac does not undertake to
update forward-looking statements to reflect circumstances or
events that arise after the date the statements are made. You are
therefore advised to consult any further disclosures we make on
related subjects in Ambac�s reports to the SEC. Ambac Financial
Group, Inc., headquartered in New York City, is a holding company
whose affiliates provide financial guarantees and financial
services to clients in both the public and private sectors around
the world. Ambac�s principal operating subsidiary, Ambac Assurance
Corporation, a leading guarantor of public finance and structured
finance obligations, has earned triple-A ratings from Moody�s
Investors Service, Inc. and Standard & Poor�s Ratings Services;
and a double-A rating from Fitch, Inc. Moody�s has placed Ambac�s
triple-A rating on review for possible downgrade. Standard &
Poor�s has placed Ambac�s triple-A rating on �credit watch
negative.� Fitch has placed Ambac's double-A rating on �rating
watch negative.� Ambac Financial Group, Inc. common stock is listed
on the New York Stock Exchange (ticker symbol ABK).
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