TSX: TVE
CALGARY,
AB, Feb. 12, 2025 /CNW/ - Tamarack Valley
Energy Ltd. ("Tamarack" or the "Company") (TSX: TVE)
is pleased to announce the results of its year-end independent oil
and gas reserves evaluations as of December
31, 2024, (the "Reserve Reports"), prepared by Tamarack's
independent qualified reserves evaluators, McDaniel &
Associates Consultants Ltd. ("McDaniel) and GLJ Ltd. ("GLJ").
Tamarack's 2024 results were highlighted by operational
outperformance with the Company continuing to execute on its
long-term strategic plan to deliver debt reduction and enhanced
returns through share buybacks to drive substantial, per share,
value creation. Reflecting this success, Tamarack delivered proved
developed producing ("PDP") and total proved plus probable
("TPP") YoY debt-adjusted reserves per share increases of 22%
and 19% respectively.
Production of 66,104 boe/d(1) (85% oil & liquids)
during Q4/24 exceeded prior expectations. This result was
driven by success in the Clearwater, including growth and performance
of the waterflood program. In addition, Tamarack's Charlie Lake assets continue to demonstrate
solid production rates as the Company again delivered top
performing well results in the play. Q4/24 delivered YoY production
growth of 10% and 9% for the Clearwater and Charlie Lake plays, respectively. Annual 2024
production averaged 64,331 boe/d(2) (85% oil &
liquids) including 41,269 boe/d(3) (93% oil &
liquids) in the Clearwater and
16,963 boe/d(4) (68% oil and liquids) in the
Charlie Lake. Tamarack's full year
capital expenditures were inline with prior guidance of
$440MM(5), and included acceleration of drilling exiting
the year. Overall efficiencies of the 2024 program, which exceeded
prior expectations, were driven by well outperformance, enhanced
field and program execution, and expansion of the waterflood
program.
2024 Reserves Report Highlights
Tamarack's drilling program and continued development of
Clearwater waterflood contributed
significantly to the 2024 reserves, further enhancing the long-term
resiliency and sustainability of free funds flow for the Company
moving forward. Key highlights of the Company's PDP, total proved
("TP") and TPP reserves from the Reserve Reports are highlighted
below:
- Continued Reserves Growth – Bookings across all
categories, prior to dispositions, increased in 2024. Highly
cost-effective TPP additions of approximately 10
MMboe(6) from Clearwater waterflood activity contributed to
this growth:
- PDP: increased by 9% to 70 MMboe(7) (replaced 127%
of production)
- TP: increased by 9% to 140 MMboe(8) (replaced 150%
of production)
- TPP: increased by 8% to 243 MMboe(9) (replaced 179%
of production)
- Accretive Capital Efficiencies – TPP reserves
growth of 8% (prior to dispositions) was achieved with a less than
1% increase in Future Development Capital ("FDC")(10).
This success was driven by consistent operational improvements in
the Clearwater, supporting the
ability to hold FDC assumptions flat, and offsetting any
inflationary impacts.
- Top Tier Finding and Development
("F&D")(11) Costs – Results in the
Charlie Lake and the addition of
highly accretive waterflood barrels in the Clearwater, achieved PDP, TP, and TPP F&D
costs, including changes in FDC(10), of $15.20/boe, $14.16/boe and $10.94/boe respectively
- Strong Recycle Ratios – The Company's highly
economic oil plays delivered an annual field operating
netback(12) of $46.41/boe,
reflecting cost efficient operations and solid pricing margins.
Coupled with low-cost reserve additions, Tamarack achieved PDP, TP,
and TPP recycle ratios(12) of 3.1x, 3.3x and 4.2x
respectively.
- Increased Intrinsic Valuation – At year-end 2024,
Tamarack's before-tax net present value of PDP, TP, and TPP booked
reserves was $1.9
billion(13), $3.0
billion(13) and $5.1
billion(13) respectively.
Clearwater Growth and Resiliency – The highly
economic Clearwater asset remains
a key driver of Tamarack's free funds flow growth and a significant
contributor to its portfolio of long-life oil production. Continued
success in primary development and the addition of cost-effective
waterflood reserves led to 18% growth, while replacing 235% of
production on a TPP basis. Building on previous success, waterflood
reserves grew by 75%, adding over 10 MMboe(6) at a TPP
F&D cost of less than $6.00/boe.
Tamarack remains committed to investing in enhanced oil recovery
("EOR") projects, creating ongoing opportunities for reserves
expansion and value growth.
Charlie Lake Continues to Add Increased Value –
The Company's Charlie Lake asset
continues to deliver significant growth through impressive results
and innovative development strategies, achieving a 5% increase in
reserves and a 155% reserve replacement on a TPP basis. This is
inclusive of ~3 MMboe(14) of positive technical
revisions based on demonstrated results from both base performance
and the 2024 development program.
Contingent and Prospective Resource Evaluation –
Tamarack retained McDaniel to evaluate the heavy oil contingent and
prospective resources of the Company's Clearwater assets as at December 31, 2024 (the "Resource Report").
- The Resource Report indicates Tamarack's Clearwater heavy oil assets have a "best
estimate" of Company gross Contingent Resources (unrisked) of 106
MMbbl(15) and Company gross Prospective Resources
(unrisked) of 98 MMbbl(16).
- The Resource Report exemplifies the Company's continued
progression of delineating its vast resource base. At year-end
2024, promotion of oil volumes from Other Resources Categories
resulted in the addition of 22.4 MMbbl(15) to TPP
reserves and 33.4 MMbbl(16) to Contingent Resources
(unrisked).
- The Resource Report includes 635 net Contingent and 1,035 net
Prospective drilling locations, representing primary development
inventory attributed to the Company's Clearwater assets. When combined with the
Company's 401 net TPP locations included in the year-end
evaluation, Tamarack's identified Clearwater inventory exceeds 2,000 locations.
At the current rate of development this would imply upwards of 20
years of drilling on the Clearwater asset base.
- With the Clearwater assets
producing approximately 14 MMbbl of heavy oil in 2024, TPP reserves
represent nine years of equivalent production. Unrisked best
estimate contingent and prospective resources equate to
approximately eight and seven years of equivalent production,
respectively which affords incremental visibility to future
opportunities.
- See "Reader Advisories - Resource Disclosure" below and
our supplementary filing titled "Statement of Contingent and
Prospective Resources" dated February
11, 2024 which has been filed on SEDAR+ at www.sedarplus.ca
for additional details with respect to Tamarack's contingent and
prospective resources, including the risks and uncertainties
related thereto.
Non-core Asset Divestment
In Q4/24, Tamarack entered into a definitive agreement to divest
its Penny Barons assets in southern Alberta for $28MM (before closing
adjustments), including ~900 boe/d(17) of production,
with the transaction expected to close in early 2025. Proceeds from
the sale will be initially utilized to advance Tamarack's debt
reduction strategy to further enhance the Company's financial
flexibility.
Risk Management
The Company takes a systematic approach to manage commodity
price risk and volatility to ensure sustaining capital, debt
servicing requirements and the base dividend are protected through
a prudent hedging management program. For 2025, approximately 40%
of net after royalty oil production is hedged against WTI with an
average floor price of ~US$63/bbl
with structures that allow for upside price participation averaging
~US$84/bbl. Our strategy provides
protection to the downside while maximizing upside exposure.
Additional details related to current hedges in place can be found
in the corporate presentation on Tamarack's website
(www.tamarackvalley.ca).
2024 Independent Qualified Reserve Evaluations
The following tables highlight the findings of the Reserve
Reports, which have been prepared in accordance with definitions,
standards and procedures contained in National Instrument 51-101
– Standards of Disclosure for Oil and Gas Activities ("NI
51-101") and the most recent publication of the Canadian Oil
and Gas Evaluation Handbook ("COGEH") by McDaniel and GLJ,
qualified independent reserves evaluators, each with an effective
date of December 31, 2024 and
preparation dates of January 20, 2025
and January 8, 2025, respectively.
All evaluations and summaries of future net revenue are stated
prior to the provision for interest, debt service charges or
general and administrative expenses and after deduction of
royalties, operating costs, estimated well abandonment and
reclamation costs and estimated future capital expenditures. The
information included in the "Net Present Values of Future Net
Revenue Before Income Taxes Discounted" table below is based on an
average of pricing assumptions prepared by the following three
independent external reserves evaluators: GLJ, Sproule Associates
Limited and McDaniel (the "3-Consultant Average Forecast
Pricing"). It should not be assumed that the estimates of
future net revenues presented in the tables below represent the
fair market value of the reserves. Note that columns may not add
due to rounding.
Company Reserves Data (Forecast Prices and
Costs)(18)(19)(20)
Reserves
Category
|
Crude
Oil
Lt. &
Med.
Gross(21)
(MBbl)
|
Crude Oil
Lt. & Med.
Net(21)
(MBbl)
|
Crude
Oil
Heavy Gross
(MBbl)
|
Crude Oil
Heavy
Net (MBbl)
|
Conven-
tional
Natural
Gas
Gross (MMcf)
|
Conven-
tional
Natural
Gas Net (MMcf)
|
Natural
Gas
Liquids
Gross(22)
(MBbl)
|
Natural
Gas
Liquids
Net(22)
(MBbl)
|
Total
Gross (MBoe)
|
Total
Net (Mboe)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Proved:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Developed
Producing
|
17,153
|
13,124
|
39,314
|
31,726
|
60,342
|
54,639
|
2,724
|
2,168
|
69,248
|
56,125
|
Developed
Non-Producing
|
2,012
|
1,613
|
242
|
217
|
5,241
|
4,809
|
341
|
286
|
3,469
|
2,917
|
Undeveloped
|
18,367
|
14,666
|
36,422
|
30,705
|
45,810
|
41,396
|
2,505
|
2,061
|
64,930
|
54,331
|
Total Proved
|
37,531
|
29,402
|
75,978
|
62,648
|
111,393
|
100,843
|
5,571
|
4,515
|
137,647
|
113,372
|
Probable
|
32,350
|
24,222
|
47,621
|
37,650
|
93,082
|
83,167
|
5,125
|
3,978
|
100,610
|
79,710
|
Total Proved plus
Probable
|
69,881
|
53,624
|
123,600
|
100,297
|
204,476
|
184,010
|
10,696
|
8,494
|
238,256
|
193,083
|
Net Present Values of Future Net Revenue before Income Taxes
Discounted at (% per year)(18)
Reserves
Category
|
0 %($000)
|
5 %($000)
|
10 %($000)
|
15 %($000)
|
20 %($000)
|
Unit Value
Before Tax
Discounted
at
10%/Year(23)
($/Boe)
|
Unit
Value
Before Tax
Discounted
at
10%/Year(23)
($/Mcfe)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Proved:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Developed
Producing
|
2,235,820
|
2,059,394
|
1,887,298
|
1,738,207
|
1,612,080
|
33.63
|
5.60
|
Developed
Non-Producing
|
110,205
|
94,803
|
82,850
|
73,597
|
66,326
|
28.40
|
4.73
|
Undeveloped
|
1,724,779
|
1,343,771
|
1,058,014
|
843,062
|
679,250
|
19.47
|
3.25
|
Total Proved
|
4,070,804
|
3,497,968
|
3,028,161
|
2,654,866
|
2,357,656
|
26.71
|
4.45
|
Probable
|
3,782,910
|
2,771,333
|
2,113,503
|
1,670,595
|
1,360,634
|
26.51
|
4.42
|
Total Proved plus
Probable
|
7,853,713
|
6,269,301
|
5,141,665
|
4,325,462
|
3,718,291
|
26.63
|
4.44
|
Reconciliation of Company Gross Reserves Based on Forecast
Prices and Costs(18)
|
Total Proved
(Mboe)
|
Total Probable
(Mboe)
|
Total Proved +
Probable (Mboe)
|
|
|
|
|
December 31,
2023
|
127,830
|
96,448
|
224,277
|
Discoveries
|
̶
|
̶
|
̶
|
Extensions &
Improved Recovery(24)
|
21,396
|
10,529
|
31,925
|
Technical
Revisions
|
13,842
|
(4,030)
|
9,812
|
Acquisitions
|
̶
|
̶
|
̶
|
Dispositions
|
(1,973)
|
(2,528)
|
(4,501)
|
Economic
Factors
|
97
|
191
|
288
|
Production
|
(23,545)
|
̶
|
(23,545)
|
December 31,
2024
|
137,647
|
100,610
|
238,256
|
Future Development Capital Costs(10)
The following is a summary of estimated FDC required to bring TP
and TPP undeveloped reserves on production.
Year
|
|
|
Total Proved
Reserves
($000)
|
Total Proved
Plus Probable
Reserves ($000)
|
|
|
|
|
|
2025
|
|
|
358,519
|
404,667
|
2026
|
|
|
382,885
|
446,863
|
2027
|
|
|
315,581
|
426,067
|
2028 and
Subsequent
|
|
|
216,458
|
535,166
|
Total
|
|
|
1,273,443
|
1,812,763
|
10%
Discounted
|
|
|
1,079,594
|
1,488,344
|
Finding, Development & Acquisition Costs
|
2024
|
Three-Year
Average
|
(amounts in $000s
except as noted)
|
TP
|
TPP
|
TP
|
TPP
|
FD&A costs,
including FDC(10)(25)
|
|
|
|
|
Exploration and
development capital expenditures
|
450,905
|
450,905
|
450,993
|
450,993
|
Acquisitions, net of
dispositions
|
1,899
|
1,899
|
546,535
|
546,535
|
Total change in
FDC
|
30,239
|
(60,746)
|
216,643
|
282,379
|
Total FD&A
capital, including change in FDC
|
483,042
|
392,057
|
1,214,171
|
1,279,907
|
Reserve additions,
including revisions – Mboe(26)
|
35,335
|
42,025
|
31,667
|
35,592
|
Acquisitions, net of
dispositions – Mboe(26)
|
(1,973)
|
(4,501)
|
1,383
|
5,061
|
Total FD&A
Reserves(23)
|
33,362
|
37,524
|
33,050
|
40,653
|
F&D costs,
including FDC - $/boe
|
14.16
|
10.94
|
20.42
|
19.60
|
Acquisition costs, net
of dispositions - $/boe
|
8.71
|
15.04
|
410.39
|
115.03
|
FD&A costs,
including FDC - $/boe
|
14.48
|
10.45
|
36.74
|
31.48
|
About Tamarack Valley Energy Ltd.
Tamarack is an oil and gas exploration and production company
committed to creating long-term value for its shareholders through
sustainable free funds flow generation, financial stability and the
return of capital. The Company has an extensive inventory of
low-risk, oil development drilling locations focused primarily on
Charlie Lake and Clearwater plays in Alberta while also pursuing EOR upside in
these core areas. For more information, please visit the Company's
website at www.tamarackvalley.ca.
Abbreviations
AECO
|
the natural gas storage
facility located at Suffield, Alberta connected to TC Energy's
Alberta System
|
ARO
|
asset retirement
obligation; may also be referred to as decommissioning
obligation
|
bbls
|
barrels
|
bbls/d
|
barrels per
day
|
boe
|
barrels of oil
equivalent
|
boe/d
|
barrels of oil
equivalent per day
|
bopd
|
barrels of oil per
day
|
CGU
|
cash generating
unit
|
DCET
|
drilling, completions,
equip and tie-in costs
|
EOR
|
enhanced oil
recovery
|
F&D
|
finding and development
costs
|
FD&A
|
Finding, development
and acquisition costs
|
FDC
|
future development
capital
|
GJ
|
gigajoule
|
IFRS
|
International Financial
Reporting Standards as issued by the International Accounting
Standards Board
|
IP30
|
average production for
the first 30 days that a well is onstream
|
IP90
|
average production for
the first 90 days that a well is onstream
|
Mcf
|
thousand cubic
feet
|
mcf/d
|
thousand cubic feet per
day
|
MM
|
million
|
MMcf/d
|
million cubic feet per
day
|
MSW
|
mixed sweet blend, the
benchmark for conventionally produced light sweet crude oil in
Western Canada
|
NGL
|
natural gas
liquids
|
OOIP
WCS
|
original oil in
place
Western Canadian
select, the benchmark for conventional and oil sands heavy
production at Hardisty in Western Canada
|
WTI
|
West Texas
Intermediate, the reference price paid in U.S. dollars at Cushing,
Oklahoma for the crude oil standard grade
|
Reader Advisories
Notes to News Release
- Production of 66,104 boe/d: 39,341 bbl/day heavy oil,
13,822 bbl/d light and medium oil, 2,841 bbl/d NGL and 60,602 mcf/d
natural gas.
- Production of 64,331 boe/d: 38,082 bbl/day heavy oil,
14,271 bbl/d light and medium oil, 2,556 bbl/d NGL and 56,529 mcf/d
natural gas.
- Production of 41,269 boe/d: 38,058 bbl/day heavy oil, 258
bbl/d NGL and 17,718 mcf/d natural gas.
- Production of 16,963 boe/d: 9,242 bbl/d light and medium
oil, 2,213 bbl/d NGL and 33,046 mcf/d natural gas.
- Capital expenditures of ~$440MM exclude amounts attributed to
the Clearwater Infrastructure Limited Partnership and ARO
spending.
- Waterflood TPP reserves growth of 10 MMboe comprised of 10
MMbbl heavy oil.
- PDP reserves of 70 MMboe comprised of 18 MMbbl light and medium
oil, 39 MMbbl heavy oil, 3 MMbbl NGL and 61,038 MMcf natural
gas.
- TP reserves of 140 MMboe comprised of 40 MMbbl light and medium
oil, 76 MMbbl heavy oil, 6 MMbbl NGL and 112,670 MMcf natural
gas.
- TPP reserves of 243 MMboe comprised of 74 MMbbl light and
medium oil, 124 MMbbl heavy oil, 11 MMbbl NGL and 206,009 MMcf
natural gas.
- FDC as per Reserve Report based on the 3-Consultant Average
Forecast Pricing
- The calculation of F&D costs incorporates the change
in FDC required to bring proved undeveloped and developed
reserves into production. In all cases, the F&D number is
calculated by dividing the identified capital expenditures by the
applicable reserves additions after changes in FDC costs.
- See "Specified Financial Measures"
- Utilizing a 10% discount 3-Consultant Average Forecast
Pricing.
- 3 MMboe comprised of 1.4 MMbbl light and medium oil,
0.8 MMbbl NGL and 5 MMcf natural gas.
- The estimate of Contingent Resources has not been adjusted for
risk based on the chance of development. There is uncertainty that
it will be commercially viable to produce any portion of the
contingent resources. See "Resource Disclosure".
- The estimate of Prospective Resources has not been adjusted for
risk based on the chance of discovery or the chance of development.
There is no certainty that any portion of the prospective resources
will be discovered. If discovered, there is no certainty that it
will be commercially viable to produce any portion of the
prospective resources. Prospective resources are not evaluated for
economics. See "Resource Disclosure".
- Production of 900 boe/d: 760 bbl/d light and medium oil, 9
bbl/d NGL and 790 mcf/d natural gas.
- Based on the 3-Consultant (represented by: GLJ, Sproule
Associates Limited and McDaniel) Average Forecast Pricing as
at January 1, 2025.
- Company Gross Reserves are defined as working interest share of
reserves prior to royalty deductions.
- Company Net reserves are defined as working, net carried, and
royalty interest reserves after royalty deductions.
- Immaterial Tight Oil volumes have been included with light
& medium crude oil volumes.
- Condensate volumes have been included with natural gas
liquids.
- Unit values are based on Company net reserves.
- Reserves additions under Infill Drilling, Improved
Recovery and Extensions are combined and reported as "Extensions
and Improved Recovery".
- While Nl 51-101 requires that the effects of acquisitions
and dispositions be excluded from the calculation of finding and
development costs, FD&A costs have been presented because
acquisitions and dispositions can have a significant impact on the
Company's ongoing reserve replacement costs and excluding these
amounts could result in an inaccurate portrayal of the Company's
cost structure. Finding and development costs both including and
excluding acquisitions and dispositions have been presented
above.
- Reserves are Company Gross Reserves.
Unaudited Financial Information
Certain financial and operating results included in this news
release, including operating netbacks, capital expenditures and
production information, are based on unaudited estimated results.
These estimated results are subject to change upon completion of
the Company's audited financial statements for the year ended
December 31, 2024, and changes could
be material. Tamarack anticipates filing its audited financial
statements and related management's discussion and analysis for the
year ended December 31, 2024, on or
near February 25, 2025.
Disclosure of Oil and Gas Information
AIF. Tamarack's Statement of Reserves Data and Other
Oil and Gas Information on Form 51-101F1 dated effective as at
December 31, 2024, which will include
further disclosure of Tamarack's oil and gas reserves and other oil
and gas information in accordance with NI 51-101 and COGEH forming
the basis of this news release, will be included in the AIF which
will be available on SEDAR+ at www.sedarplus.ca on or near
February 25, 2025.
Unit Cost Calculation. For the purpose of calculating
unit costs, natural gas volumes have been converted to a boe using
six thousand cubic feet equal to one barrel unless otherwise
stated. A boe conversion ratio of 6:1 is based upon an energy
equivalency conversion method primarily applicable at the burner
tip and does not represent a value equivalency at the wellhead.
This conversion conforms with NI 51-101. Boe may be misleading,
particularly if used in isolation.
Product Types. References in this news release to "crude
oil" or "oil" refers to light, medium and heavy crude oil product
types as defined by NI 51-101. References to "NGL" throughout this
news release comprise pentane, butane, propane, and ethane, being
all NGL as defined by NI 51-101. References to "natural gas"
throughout this news release refers to conventional natural gas as
defined by NI 51-101.
Reserves and Future Net Revenue Disclosure. All reserves
values, future net revenue and ancillary information contained in
this news release are derived from the Reserve Reports unless
otherwise noted. All reserve references in this news release are
"Company Gross Reserves". Company Gross reserves defined as working
interest share of reserves prior to royalty deductions. Estimates
of reserves and future net revenue for individual properties may
not reflect the same level of confidence as estimates of reserves
and future net revenue for all properties, due to the effect of
aggregation. There is no assurance that the forecast price and cost
assumptions applied by GLJ and McDaniel in evaluating Tamarack's
reserves will be attained and variances could be material. All
reserves assigned in the Reserve Reports are located in the
Province of Alberta and presented
on a consolidated basis.
All evaluations and summaries of future net revenue are stated
prior to the provision for interest, debt service charges or
general and administrative expenses and after deduction of
royalties, operating costs, estimated well abandonment and
reclamation costs and estimated future capital expenditures. It
should not be assumed that the estimates of future net revenues
presented in the tables below represent the fair market value of
the reserves. The recovery and reserve estimates of crude oil,
natural gas liquids and natural gas reserves provided herein are
estimates only and there is no guarantee that the estimated
reserves will be recovered. Actual crude oil, natural gas and
natural gas liquids reserves may be greater than or less than the
estimates provided herein. There are numerous uncertainties
inherent in estimating quantities of crude oil, reserves and the
future cash flows attributed to such reserves. The reserve and
associated cash flow information set forth herein are estimates
only.
Proved reserves are those reserves that can be estimated with a
high degree of certainty to be recoverable. It is likely that the
actual remaining quantities recovered will exceed the estimated
proved reserves. Probable reserves are those additional reserves
that are less certain to be recovered than proved reserves. It is
equally likely that the actual remaining quantities recovered will
be greater or less than the sum of the estimated proved plus
probable reserves. Proved developed producing reserves are those
reserves that are expected to be recovered from completion
intervals open at the time of the estimate. These reserves may be
currently producing or, if shut-in, they must have previously been
on production, and the date of resumption of production must be
known with reasonable certainty. Undeveloped reserves are those
reserves expected to be recovered from known accumulations where a
significant expenditure (e.g., when compared to the cost of
drilling a well) is required to render them capable of production.
They must fully meet the requirements of the reserves category
(proved, probable, possible) to which they are assigned. Certain
terms used in this news release but not defined are defined in NI
51-101, CSA Staff Notice 51-324 – Revised Glossary to NI 51-101,
Revised Glossary to NI 51-101, Standards of Disclosure for Oil and
Gas Activities ("CSA Staff Notice 51-324") and/or the COGEH and,
unless the context otherwise requires, shall have the same meanings
herein as in NI 51-101, CSA Staff Notice 51-324 and the COGEH, as
the case may be.
Resource Disclosure. Tamarack's heavy oil Clearwater contingent resource and prospective
resource estimates contained herein were derived from the Resource
Report prepared by McDaniel, a qualified independent resource
evaluator, effective as of December 31,
2024, in accordance with the definitions, standards and
procedures contained in NI 51-101 and COGEH. The contingent and
prospective resources estimates of Tamarack's Clearwater heavy oil contingent resources
provided herein are estimates only and there is no guarantee that
the estimated prospective and contingent resources will be
recovered. Actual resources may be greater than or less than the
estimates provided herein and the differences may be material.
Tamarack's Statement of Contingent and Prospective Resources dated
February 11, 2025, which has been
filed on SEDAR+ at www.sedarplus.ca, includes further disclosure of
Tamarack's contingent and prospective resources, including the
risks and uncertainties related thereto. Contingent resources are
defined as those quantities of petroleum estimated, as of a given
date, to be potentially recoverable from known accumulations using
established technology or technology under development, but which
are not currently considered to be commercially recoverable due to
one or more contingencies. Contingencies may include factors such
as economic, legal, environmental, political and regulatory matters
or a lack of markets. It is also appropriate to classify as
"contingent resources" the estimated discovered recoverable
quantities associated with a project in the early project stage.
Contingent resources are further classified in accordance with the
level of certainty associated with the estimates and may be
sub-classified based on project maturity and/or characterized by
their economic status. Prospective resources are those
quantities of bitumen estimated, as of a given date, to be
potentially recoverable from undiscovered accumulations by
application of future development projects. Prospective resources
have both an associated chance of discovery and a chance of
development. Prospective resources are further subdivided in
accordance with the level of certainty associated with recoverable
estimates, assuming their discovery and development, and may be
subclassified based on project maturity. Estimates of prospective
resources have not been adjusted for risk based on the chance of
discovery or the chance of development. Resources are classified
according to degree of certainty associated with those estimates.
In this news release, "best estimate" classification is used which
is considered to be the best estimate of the quantity of resources
that will actually be recovered. It is equally likely that the
actual remaining quantities recovered will be greater or less than
the best estimate. Those resources identified as best estimate have
a 50 percent probability that the actual quantities recovered will
equal or exceed the estimate.
Drilling Locations. This news release discloses
Clearwater drilling locations two
categories: (i) booked locations; and (ii) unbooked locations.
Booked locations are proved and probable locations derived from the
McDaniel Reserve Report prepared in accordance with NI 51-101 and
the most recent publication of the COGE Handbook. Unbooked
locations do not have attributed reserves. However, the unbooked
Clearwater locations have
attributed contingent or prospective resources, based on the
Resource Report. Of the Clearwater
inventory of 2,071 net drilling locations identified herein,
401 net are proved or probable locations, and 1,670 net are
unbooked locations. Unbooked locations have been identified by
management as an estimation of our multi-year drilling activities
based on evaluation of applicable geologic, seismic, engineering,
production and reserves information. There is no certainty that the
Company will drill all unbooked drilling locations and if drilled
there is no certainty that such locations will result in additional
oil and gas reserves, resources or production. The drilling
locations on which the Company actually drills wells will
ultimately depend upon the availability of capital, regulatory
approvals, seasonal restrictions, oil and natural gas prices,
costs, actual drilling results, additional reservoir information
that is obtained and other factors. While certain of the unbooked
drilling locations have been de-risked by drilling existing wells
in relative close proximity to such unbooked drilling locations,
the majority of other unbooked drilling locations are farther away
from existing wells where management has less information about the
characteristics of the reservoir and therefore there is more
uncertainty whether wells will be drilled in such locations and if
drilled there is more uncertainty that such wells will result in
additional oil and gas reserves, resources or production.
Oil and Gas Metrics. This news release contains
metrics commonly used in the oil and natural gas industry, such as
development capital, F&D costs, FD&A costs and recycle
ratio.
"Development capital" means the aggregate
exploration and development costs incurred in the financial year on
reserves that are categorized as development. Development capital
presented herein excludes land and capitalized administration costs
but includes the cost of acquisitions and capital associated with
acquisitions where reserve additions are attributed to the
acquisitions.
"Finding and development costs" or
"F&D costs" are calculated as the sum of field capital
plus the change in FDC for the period divided by the change in
reserves that are characterized as development for the period and
"finding, development and acquisition costs" are calculated as the
sum of field capital plus acquisition capital plus the change in
FDC for the period divided by the change in total reserves, other
than from production, for the period. Both finding and development
costs and finding development and acquisition costs take into
account reserves revisions during the year on a per boe basis. The
aggregate of the exploration and development costs incurred in the
financial year and changes during that year in estimated future
development costs generally will not reflect total finding and
development costs related to reserves additions for that year.
Finding and development costs both including and excluding
acquisitions and dispositions have been presented in this news
release because acquisitions and dispositions can have a
significant impact on Tamarack's ongoing reserves replacements
costs and excluding these amounts could result in an inaccurate
portrayal of the Company's cost structure.
"Finding, development and acquisition
costs" or "FD&A costs" incorporate the change
in FDC required to bring proved undeveloped and developed reserves
into production. In all cases, the FD&A number is calculated by
dividing the identified capital expenditures by the applicable
reserves additions after changes in FDC costs.
"Recycle ratio" is measured by dividing
the operating netback for the applicable period by F&D cost per
boe for the year. The recycle ratio compares netback from existing
reserves to the cost of finding new reserves and may not accurately
indicate the investment success unless the replacement reserves are
of equivalent quality as the produced reserves.
These terms have been calculated by management and do not have a
standardized meaning and may not be comparable to similar measures
presented by other companies, and therefore should not be used to
make such comparisons. Management uses these oil and gas metrics
for its own performance measurements and to provide shareholders
with measures to compare Tamarack's operations over time. Readers
are cautioned that the information provided by these metrics, or
that can be derived from the metrics presented in this news
release, should not be relied upon for investment or other
purposes.
Forward Looking Information
This news release contains certain forward-looking information
(collectively referred to herein as "forward-looking statements")
within the meaning of applicable Canadian securities laws.
Forward-looking statements are often, but not always, identified by
the use of words such as "guidance", "outlook", "anticipate",
"target", "plan", "continue", "intend", "consider", "estimate",
"expect", "may", "will", "should", "could" or similar words
suggesting future outcomes. More particularly, this news release
contains statements concerning: Tamarack's business strategy,
objectives, strength and focus; the Company's exploration and
development plans and strategies; dividends and share buybacks; oil
and natural gas production levels, adjusted funds flow and free
funds flow; anticipated operational results for 2025 including, but
not limited to, estimated or anticipated production levels, capital
expenditures, drilling plans and infrastructure initiatives,
including on-stream timing of the new CSV Albright sour gas plant
in the Charlie Lake and
anticipated margin improvements; the Company's capital program,
guidance for 2025 and the funding thereof; expectations regarding
commodity prices; the performance characteristics of the Company's
oil and natural gas properties; EOR, including waterflood
initiatives and long term net asset value capture; the continued
successful integration of acquired assets; the ability of the
Company to achieve drilling success consistent with management's
expectations; risk management activities; ARO reduction; risk
management activities, including hedging positions and targets;
Tamarack's continued capital flexibility under its 2025 capital
program; the completion of the Penny Barons asset disposition and
expectation that this will not impact 2025 production guidance; and
the source of funding for the Company's activities including
development costs. Future dividend payments and share buybacks, if
any, and the level thereof, are uncertain, as the Company's return
of capital framework and the funds available for such activities
from time to time is dependent upon, among other things, free funds
flow financial requirements for the Company's operations and the
execution of its growth strategy, fluctuations in working capital
and the timing and amount of capital expenditures, debt service
requirements and other factors beyond the Company's control.
Further, the ability of Tamarack to pay dividends and buyback
shares will be subject to applicable laws (including the
satisfaction of the solvency test contained in applicable corporate
legislation) and contractual restrictions contained in the
instruments governing its indebtedness, including its credit
facility. In addition, statements related to "reserves",
"contingent resources" and "prospective resources" are deemed to be
forward-looking information as they involve the implied assessment,
based on certain estimates and assumptions, that the resources can
be discovered and profitably produced in the future.
The forward-looking statements contained in this document are
based on certain key expectations and assumptions made by Tamarack,
including those relating to: the business plan of Tamarack; the
timing of and success of future drilling, development and
completion activities; the geological characteristics of Tamarack's
properties; the continued successful integration of acquired assets
into Tamarack's operations; prevailing commodity prices, price
volatility, price differentials and the actual prices received for
the Company's products; the availability and performance of
drilling rigs, facilities, pipelines and other oilfield services;
the timing of past operations and activities in the planned areas
of focus; the drilling, completion and tie-in of wells being
completed as planned; the performance of new and existing wells;
the application of existing drilling and fracturing techniques;
prevailing weather and break-up conditions; royalty regimes and
exchange rates; impact of inflation on costs; the application of
regulatory and licensing requirements; the continued availability
of capital and skilled personnel; the ability to maintain or grow
the banking facilities; the accuracy of Tamarack's geological
interpretation of its drilling and land opportunities, including
the ability of seismic activity to enhance such interpretation; and
Tamarack's ability to execute its plans and strategies.
Although management considers these assumptions to be reasonable
based on information currently available, undue reliance should not
be placed on the forward-looking statements because Tamarack can
give no assurances that they may prove to be correct. By their very
nature, forward-looking statements are subject to certain risks and
uncertainties (both general and specific) that could cause actual
events or outcomes to differ materially from those anticipated or
implied by such forward-looking statements. These risks and
uncertainties include, but are not limited to: risks with respect
to unplanned third party pipeline outages and risks relating to
inclement and severe weather events and natural disasters, such as
fire, drought and flooding, including in respect of safety, asset
integrity and shutting-in production, delivering on 2025 guidance;
the risk that future dividend payments thereunder are reduced,
suspended or cancelled; unforeseen difficulties in integrating of
recently acquired assets into Tamarack's operations; incorrect
assessments of the value of benefits to be obtained from
acquisitions and exploration and development programs; risks
associated with the oil and gas industry in general (e.g.
operational risks in development, exploration and production; and
delays or changes in plans with respect to exploration or
development projects or capital expenditures); the risk that the
new U.S. administration imposes tariffs on Canadian goods,
including crude oil and natural gas, and that such tariffs (and/or
the Canadian government's response to such tariffs) adversely
affect the demand and/or market price for the Company's products
and/or otherwise adversely affects the Company; that Tamarack will
continue to conduct our operations in a manner consistent with past
operations except as specifically noted herein (and for greater
certainty, the forward-looking information contained herein
excludes the potential impact of any acquisitions or dispositions
that the Company may complete in the future); commodity prices,
including the impact of the actions of OPEC and OPEC+ members; the
uncertainty of estimates and projections relating to production,
cash generation, costs and expenses, including increased operating
and capital costs due to inflationary pressures; health, safety,
litigation and environmental risks; access to capital; and
pandemics. In addition, ongoing military actions in the
Middle East and between
Russia and Ukraine have the potential to threaten the
supply of oil and gas from those regions. The long-term impacts of
the actions between these nations remains uncertain. Due to the
nature of the oil and natural gas industry, drilling plans and
operational activities may be delayed or modified to respond to
market conditions, results of past operations, regulatory approvals
or availability of services causing results to be delayed. Please
refer to the AIF for the year ended December
31, 2023, and the MD&A for the period ended September 30, 2024, for additional risk factors
relating to Tamarack, which can be accessed either on Tamarack's
website at www.tamarackvalley.ca or under the Company's profile on
www.sedarplus.ca. The forward-looking statements contained in this
news release are made as of the date hereof and the Company does
not undertake any obligation to update publicly or to revise any of
the included forward-looking statements, except as required by
applicable law. The forward-looking statements contained herein are
expressly qualified by this cautionary statement.
This news release contains future-oriented financial information
and financial outlook information (collectively, "FOFI") about
generating sustainable long-term growth in free funds, dividends
and share buybacks, prospective results of operations and
production (including annual average production, average oil &
NGL weighting), oil weightings, hedging, operating costs, 2025
capital guidance, 2025 annual budget guidance and budget pricing,
recycle ratios, balance sheet strength, adjusted funds flow and
free funds flow and components thereof, all of which are subject to
the same assumptions, risk factors, limitations and qualifications
as set forth in the above paragraphs. FOFI contained in this
document was approved by management as of the date of this document
and was provided for the purpose of providing further information
about Tamarack's future business operations. Tamarack and its
management believe that FOFI has been prepared on a reasonable
basis, reflecting management's best estimates and judgments, and
represent, to the best of management's knowledge and opinion, the
Company's expected course of action. However, because this
information is highly subjective, it should not be relied on as
necessarily indicative of future results. Tamarack disclaims any
intention or obligation to update or revise any FOFI contained in
this document, whether as a result of new information, future
events or otherwise, unless required pursuant to applicable law.
Readers are cautioned that the FOFI contained in this document
should not be used for purposes other than for which it is
disclosed herein. Changes in forecast commodity prices, differences
in the timing of capital expenditures, and variances in average
production estimates can have a significant impact on the key
performance measures included in Tamarack's guidance. The Company's
actual results may differ materially from these estimates.
Specified Financial Measures
This news release includes various specified financial measures,
including non-IFRS financial measures, non-IFRS financial ratios,
capital management measures and supplemental financial measures as
further described herein. These measures do not have a standardized
meaning prescribed by International Financial Reporting Standards
("IFRS") and, therefore, may not be comparable with the calculation
of similar measures by other companies.
"Net Production Expenses, Operating Netback
and Operating Field Netback (Non-IFRS Financial Measures, and
Non-IFRS Financial Ratios if calculated on a per boe basis)" –
Management uses certain industry benchmarks, such as net production
expenses, operating netback and operating field netback, to analyze
financial and operating performance. Net production expenses are
determined by deducting processing income primarily generated by
processing third party volumes at processing facilities where the
Company has an ownership interest. Under IFRS this source of funds
is required to be reported as income. Where the Company has excess
capacity at one of its facilities, it will process third party
volumes as a means to reduce the cost of operating/owning the
facility, and as such third-party processing revenue is netted
against production expenses in the MD&A. Operating netback
equals total petroleum and natural gas sales (net of blending),
including realized gains and losses on commodity and foreign
exchange derivative contracts, less royalties, net production
expenses and transportation expense. Operating field netback equals
total petroleum and natural gas sales, less royalties, net
production expenses and transportation expense. These metrics can
also be calculated on a per boe basis, which results in them being
considered a non-IFRS financial ratio. Management considers
operating netback and operating field netback important measures to
evaluate Tamarack's operational performance, as it demonstrates
field level profitability relative to current commodity prices.
"Operating Netback" is calculated as
total petroleum and natural gas sales, including realized gains and
losses on commodity, interest rate and foreign exchange derivative
contracts, less royalties and net production and transportation
costs. "Operating Field Netback" is calculated as total
petroleum and natural gas sales, less royalties and net production
and transportation costs.
SOURCE Tamarack Valley Energy Ltd.