UPDATE: Corinthian's 2Q Profit Leaps; Reform Remains Concern
02 Février 2010 - 10:33PM
Dow Jones News
Corinthian Colleges Inc.'s (COCO) fiscal second-quarter earnings
more than doubled, as a larger student body boosted revenue and
spread out costs, but a darkening cloud of reform continued to hang
over shares as analysts said management didn't do enough to assuage
investor concerns.
Despite beating its guidance for the quarter, raising its
fiscal-year view and announcing a third-quarter view that also
topped Wall Street's expectations, shares still fell, dropping 5%
to $13.63 in recent trading.
Analysts said investors remained fixated on possible reform from
the Department of Education that could crimp for-profit education
earnings, as the department looks to reduce the amount of debt
carried by graduates.
The bulk of the worries comes from a discussion in a proposal
about so-called gainful employment, which fundamentally questions
how well schools prepare their students for real-world jobs that
can cover their debt. Graduates have accused some for-profits of
high tuitions and high default rates, leading investors to wonder
if for-profit colleges will be targeted by the Department of
Education.
Corinthian offers diploma programs that train students for
entry-level fields in health care, mechanical trades and criminal
justice. Chief Executive Peter Waller said on the conference call,
according to a transcript from FactSet Research, that Corinthian
continues to express its concern about proposed regulation and
admitted it's in "a state of flux."
"We will join forces with other institutions and with our trade
association to make our views known," Waller said. "We just believe
that this ambiguity is not good for our students, it's not good for
employees and it's not good frankly for the agenda of the Obama
administration."
Analysts' concerns weren't assuaged by Waller's comments
"These gainful employment proposals have folks pretty spooked,"
Signal Hill Group analyst Trace Urdan said, adding that Corinthian
executives could only say that the core medical assisting program
would pass the proposed standards, leaving other programs in doubt.
"They very clearly laid out a political strategy dealing with the
new regulation, all of which is terrific, but they left investors
with the impression that that is the principal way of dealing with
this."
Urdan said that failed to convince investors that they were
prepared to make changes if the regulation passes, as some other
companies have done, and that not all their plans seemed
credible.
Stifel Nicolaus analyst Jerry Herman also said reform remains a
concern.
"The company has devoted substantial resources to improving
student outcomes and have come a long way," Herman said. "But they
still have a lot to do."
The company again raised fiscal-year targets, boosting its
earnings guidance 8 cents to $1.63 to $1.68 a share and its revenue
view by $120 million to $1.74 billion to $1.76 billion.
In the current quarter, it expects earnings of 45 cents to 47
cents a share on revenue of $470 million to $480 million, compared
with 44 cents and $431 million, respectively, predicted by analysts
surveyed by Thomson Reuters.
For the quarter ended Dec. 31, Corinthian reported earnings of
$39.4 million, or 44 cents a share, up from $15.1 million, or 17
cents a share, a year earlier, and topping its October guidance of
37 cents to 40 cents.
Revenue increased 30.2% to $414.3 million, also beating the
October view of $395 million to $405 million. Operating margin
jumped to 15.6% from 8.7%.
New student starts increased 11%, slightly better than the
company projected, as its total student population grew 22%. But
RBC analysts pointed out that excluding the recent acquisition of
Heald College, that enrollment growth seems slight compared with
others in the industry.
The for-profit industry has seen leaping enrollment from the
rising unemployment rate, as Corinthian competitor DeVry Inc. (DV)
reported last week. RBC said in a note that Corinthian's enrollment
disappointed and would keep shares behind.
-By David Benoit, Dow Jones Newswires; 212-416-2458;
david.benoit@dowjones.com
(Joan E. Solsman contributed to this article.)
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