American Home Mortgage Expects Reduced Earnings in the First Quarter and Full Year 2007
06 Avril 2007 - 6:23PM
Business Wire
American Home Mortgage Investment Corp. (NYSE: AHM) announced today
that it expects lower income in the first quarter and full year
2007 than previously forecasted due to conditions in the secondary
mortgage and mortgage-backed securities markets. Michael Strauss,
American Home�s Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, commented,
�During March, conditions in the secondary mortgage and mortgage
securities markets changed sharply. In particular, these markets
were characterized by far few buyers offering materially lower
prices, both for loan pools and for �AA�, �A�, �BBB� and residual
mortgage securities. These changes had a significant, adverse
impact on our Company�s first quarter results, reducing our gain on
sale revenue and causing mark-to- market losses in our portfolio.
While the market may recover, and while we will attempt to restore
our gain on sale margins by raising interest rates charged to
consumers, our working assumption must be that current market
conditions will persist and that our gain on sale margins will not
recover through the balance of the year. Consequently, I am
disappointed to report that our Company is lowering its full year
earnings guidance and its dividend policy.� First Quarter Results
The Company�s first quarter results will be adversely affected by
lower gain on sale margins. As March progressed, loan pools offered
for sale by the Company received relatively few bids at lower than
expected prices. As a result, those loans originated by the Company
in late February and during March earned lower gain on sale
revenues than were anticipated. The Company�s first quarter results
will also be adversely affected by write-downs of its portfolio of
low investment grade and residual securities. In particular, the
Company�s approximately $484 million of securities rated �AA�, �A�
or �BBB� will be written down to account for an unusually large
widening in the first quarter of the spread over LIBOR at which
these securities trade. Additionally, the Company�s first quarter
results will be adversely affected by ongoing high delinquency
related charges due to the Company establishing additional reserves
for increases in non-performing loans. While high delinquency
charges were expected, their impact on quarterly results continues
to be significant. A disproportionate share of the Company�s
non-performing loans are repurchased Alternate �A� loans. The
Company has ceased offering those types of Alternate �A� loans that
have resulted in a high proportion of its repurchases, and
consequently believes the portion of delinquency related charge
resulting from repurchases will diminish toward year-end. While
non-performing loans increased during the quarter, the Company did
experience a decline in early stage delinquencies, with loans in
early stage delinquencies lower at the end of the first quarter
than at year-end 2006. During the first quarter, the Company�s loan
production was approximately $16.7 billion. Also during the
quarter, the Company�s net interest income and mortgage servicing
income were near forecast levels. First Quarter Earnings Guidance
Investors are strongly cautioned that the Company has not yet
closed its first quarter, and its actual financial results for the
first quarter are unknown and difficult to forecast. Given
information currently available, the Company believes its first
quarter diluted earnings per share will approximate $0.40 to $0.60.
Full Year 2007 Earnings Guidance Due to the Company�s first quarter
earnings shortfall, and based on the possibility that current
market conditions will continue to prevail for an extended period,
the Company is lowering its full year 2007 earnings guidance to
$3.75 to $4.25 per diluted share. Assumptions underlying the
revised guidance include slightly lower gain on sale margins in the
second quarter compared to the first quarter, and gain on sale
margins in the third and fourth quarters similar to the first
quarter. Also underlying the revised guidance are the absence of
further write-downs of low investment grade and residual
securities, and delinquency related charges similar to the first
quarter through the balance of the year, except that repurchase
related charges are projected to diminish slightly in the fourth
quarter. Dividend Policy Due to the Company�s first quarter
earnings shortfall and the Company�s revised outlook for the
balance of 2007, the Company is lowering its common stock dividend
policy to $0.70 per share per quarter or $2.80 per share on an
annualized basis. The new dividend policy applies to the second
quarter 2007 dividend payable in July 2007. Please note, however,
that the Company�s dividend policy does not represent an obligation
to pay dividends, and that dividends are only due and payable upon
their declaration by the Company�s Board of Directors. Earnings
Release and Conference Call American Home will announce its first
quarter results in a press release that will be issued before the
market opens on Monday, April 30, 2007. The Company will hold a
conference call that same day at 10:30 AM EST to discuss earnings.
Interested parties may listen to the live conference call by
visiting the investor relations section of American Home�s
corporate website, www.americanhm.com. A replay of the online
broadcast will be available on the site through May 14, 2007. About
American Home Mortgage American Home Mortgage Investment Corp. is a
mortgage real estate investment trust (REIT) focused on earning net
interest income from self-originated loans and mortgage-backed
securities, and, through its taxable subsidiaries, from originating
and selling mortgage loans and servicing mortgage loans for
institutional investors. Mortgages are originated through a network
of loan production offices and mortgage brokers as well as
purchased from correspondent lenders, and are serviced at the
Company�s Irving, Texas servicing center. For additional
information, please visit the Company's website at
www.americanhm.com. This news release contains �forward-looking
statements� that are based upon expectations, estimates, forecasts,
projections and assumptions. Any statement in this news release
that is not a statement of historical fact, including, but not
limited to, earnings guidance and forecasts, projections of
financial results and loan origination volume, expected future
financial position, dividend plans or business strategy, and any
other statements of plans, expectations, objectives, estimates and
beliefs, is a forward-looking statement. Words such as �look
forward,� �will,� �anticipate,� �may,� �expect,� �plan,� �believe,�
�intend,� �opportunity,� �potential,� and similar words, or the
negatives of those words, are intended to identify forward-looking
statements. Such forward-looking statements involve known and
unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors that are difficult
to predict, and are not guarantees of future performance. As a
result, actual future events may differ materially from any future
results, performance or achievements expressed in or implied by
this news release. Specific factors that might cause such a
difference include, but are not limited to: American Home�s limited
operating history with respect to its portfolio strategy; the
potential fluctuations in American Home�s operating results;
American Home�s potential need for additional capital; the
direction of interest rates and their subsequent effect on the
business of American Home and its subsidiaries; risks associated
with the use of leverage; changes in federal and state tax laws
affecting REITs; federal and state regulation of mortgage banking;
and those risks and uncertainties discussed in filings made by
American Home with the Securities and Exchange Commission. Such
forward-looking statements are inherently uncertain, and
stockholders must recognize that actual results may differ from
expectations. American Home does not assume any responsibility, and
expressly disclaims any responsibility, to issue updates to any
forward-looking statements discussed in this news release, whether
as a result of new information, future events or otherwise.
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