FICO and Affirm Unveil Industry-Leading Analysis of ‘Buy Now, Pay Later’ Loans
04 Février 2025 - 2:00PM
Business Wire
First-of-its-kind analysis finds Affirm
customers with multiple BNPL loans would be most likely to
experience score increases with FICO’s innovative treatment of that
data
FICO (NYSE: FICO), global analytics software leader,
today released key guidance and takeaways from a study that
analyzed the impact of including ‘Buy Now, Pay Later’ (BNPL) loans
in a consumer’s FICO® Score.
FICO conducted the 12-month study in partnership with Affirm
(NASDAQ: AFRM), the payment network that empowers consumers
and helps merchants drive growth. The research compared the FICO®
Scores of more than 500,000 consumers who opened at least one new
Affirm BNPL loan against a benchmark population of consumers
without an Affirm BNPL loan. FICO simulated the inclusion of these
Affirm loans into consumers’ credit reports, and then examined the
potential impact to resulting credit scores of those consumers.
The goal of the research was focused on outlining the potential
benefits or impacts that BNPL lending products could have on FICO®
Scores. It was also intended to help inform both responsible
furnishing of BNPL loans to the credit bureaus, as well as an
appropriate and empirically supported treatment of this data within
the FICO Score. Through this first-of-its-kind study with Affirm,
FICO developed a proprietary treatment to harness the benefits
offered by incorporation of BNPL data into consumers’ FICO Score
calculation. The research showed that this treatment can improve
model performance and lead to increased FICO Scores for some BNPL
borrowers.
“Given the growing popularity of BNPL loans, understanding how
to effectively capture the benefit that BNPL data can have on FICO
Scores is crucial to all stakeholders in the credit ecosystem,”
said Ethan Dornhelm, vice president of Scores and Predictive
Analytics at FICO. “Our findings show that the inclusion of
BNPL data via our innovative treatment can drive score increases
for some consumers, while improving model risk performance for
lenders. We appreciate Affirm’s leadership and collaboration on
this study.”
A unique consumer behavior associated with BNPL loans is the
potential for a large number of these loans to be opened within a
short period of time. To address this, FICO developed an innovative
approach that includes aggregating separate BNPL loans together
when calculating certain in-model variables. This novel treatment
has proven effective at capturing predictive signal from the
inclusion of BNPL data while increasing FICO® Scores for some BNPL
consumers.
Key findings
- Utilizing FICO’s novel treatment, the simulated inclusion of
BNPL data into consumers’ credit files yielded:
- FICO Score impacts that were generally consistent with the
opening of a new account – within less than +/- 10 points for over
85% of the consumers in the study.
- Higher scores or no score changes for the majority of the
population of consumers in the study who had recently obtained five
or more Affirm BNPL loans.
- Impacts on FICO Score predictiveness ranging from modest
improvement to no adverse impact, across a range of different use
cases.
- Given the unique aspects of BNPL loans, FICO’s empirically
supported treatment of this data is necessary to mitigate impacts
to borrowers, and maintain credit risk assessment
effectiveness.
“We appreciate the collaboration and partnership with FICO as we
sought to conduct a thorough analysis examining the impact of
furnishing BNPL loans on credit scores,” said Don Lemire, vice
president of Credit Analytics at Affirm. “Through studies like
this, we aim to drive greater transparency and promote industry
best practices for responsible reporting of BNPL data to credit
bureaus. We invite other providers of pay-over-time products to
join us in conducting studies with FICO and committing to furnish
data on all BNPL loans in a manner that is beneficial for consumers
and the broader financial system.”
Based on learnings from this industry-leading analysis, FICO is
developing a solution to introduce its proprietary treatment of
BNPL data to the credit-scoring marketplace. FICO will be releasing
more information on this exciting product development soon.
“As the provider of the credit score relied on by 90% of top
U.S. lenders, we understand the need to continuously produce
innovative insights and solutions that guide the industry’s
responsible use of credit data,” said Julie May, vice president
and general manager of Scores at FICO. “We are eager to arm
lenders with a tool that allows them to incorporate BNPL data into
their credit evaluation process, demonstrating FICO’s commitment to
innovation, transparency and inclusivity in lending.”
About FICO
FICO (NYSE: FICO) powers decisions that help people and
businesses around the world prosper. Founded in 1956, the company
is a pioneer in the use of predictive analytics and data science to
improve operational decisions. FICO holds more than 200 US and
foreign patents on technologies that increase profitability,
customer satisfaction and growth for businesses in financial
services, insurance, telecommunications, health care, retail and
many other industries. Using FICO solutions, businesses in more
than 100 countries do everything from protecting 4 billion payment
cards from fraud, to improving financial inclusion, to increasing
supply chain resiliency. The FICO® Score, used by 90% of top US
lenders, is the standard measure of consumer credit risk in the US
and has been made available in over 40 other countries, improving
risk management, credit access and transparency.
Learn more at https://www.fico.com.
Join the conversation at https://x.com/FICO_corp &
https://www.fico.com/en/blogs/.
For FICO news and media resources, visit
https://www.fico.com/en/newsroom.
FICO is a registered trademark of Fair Isaac Corporation in the
U.S. and other countries.
About Affirm
Affirm’s mission is to deliver honest financial products that
improve lives. By building a new kind of payment network – one
based on trust, transparency and putting people first – we empower
millions of consumers to spend and save responsibly, and give
thousands of businesses the tools to fuel growth. Unlike most
credit cards and other pay-over-time options, we never charge any
late or hidden fees. Follow Affirm on social media: LinkedIn |
Instagram | Facebook | X.
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version on businesswire.com: https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20250204481887/en/
FICO Julie Huang press@fico.com
Affirm Brian Levin press@affirm.com
Affirm (NASDAQ:AFRM)
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