InPlay Oil Corp. (TSX: IPO) (OTCQX: IPOOF) (“InPlay” or the
“Company”) is pleased to provide an operations update and a
preliminary outlook for 2022.(1)
InPlay continues to achieve strong results from
our 2021 drilling program focused on the Pembina Cardium asset
acquired in the fourth quarter of 2020. The three 100% Pembina
Cardium Extended Reached Horizontal (“ERH”) wells drilled in the
first quarter of 2021 continue to flow without artificial lift and
outperform our internal forecasted production volumes. Performance
of the next three 100% Pembina Cardium ERH wells brought on
production at the end of July has exceeded that of the three
drilled in the first quarter of 2021 to date. The average combined
initial flowing production rates from these latest wells over their
first 30 days was approximately 1,530 boe/d(2) (78% light oil and
NGLs), based on field estimates. These wells are currently
producing at an average combined rate of approximately 1,737
boe/d(2) (71% light oil and NGLs), based on field estimates. This
outperformance is expected to generate another record quarterly
production rate for InPlay in the third quarter of 2021 of
approximately 6,000 boe/d(2) (67% light oil and NGLs), based on
field estimates, which represents approximately 11% growth over our
previous record production level set in the second quarter of
2021.
Drilling will start on our final two 100%
Pembina Cardium ERH wells for 2021 in the upcoming days and these
wells are expected to be on production in the second half of
October. This activity is forecasted to result in another record
quarterly production rate in the fourth quarter of 2021. The strong
results of the new wells, low decline on base production and the
additional two ERH wells to come on production has InPlay
anticipating the Company will be on the high end of our recently
increased 2021 annual average production guidance of 5,500 to 5,750
boe/d(2) (68% light oil and NGLs). InPlay is also on track to
generate record Adjusted Funds Flow (“AFF”)(3) and record low
corporate debt leverage ratios in the third and fourth quarters
based on our current 2021 guidance.
The 2021 results provide the Company with a
strong foundation heading into 2022. Preliminary production targets
are for the Company to average 6,300 to 6,550 boe/d(2) (67% light
oil and NGLs) for 2022 which would represent a 12% – 16% increase
over our 2021 annual guidance, all achieved through organic
drill-bit growth. This organic growth rate is expected to be at the
high end of our light oil peer group. Based on current West Texas
Intermediate (“WTI”) strip pricing of US $66.30/bbl, this would
result in an annual record targeted AFF of $71.5 – $74.5 million
and Free Adjusted Funds Flow (“FAFF”)(3) of $32.5 – $35.5 million,
based on an assumed $38.0 – $40.0 million capital program drilling
12 – 13 horizontal wells. Based on InPlay’s current market
capitalization of $75 million, this would imply a 43% - 47% FAFF
yield(3). Reduced debt levels from this significant FAFF would
equate to a targeted net debt to earnings before interest, taxes
and depletion (“EBITDA”) ratio(3) of 0.3x to 0.4x for 2022.
The Company will continue to be disciplined and
flexible with capital spending. Final decisions for our 2022
capital program are expected to occur in late 2021 or early 2022
and will be largely influenced by commodity prices at that
time. InPlay is executing on our strategy of measured
production per share growth with excess FAFF focused on maximizing
returns to shareholders.
InPlay is excited for the remainder of the year
where we expect to set quarterly production and AFF records. Please
view our September Corporate presentation which will beuploaded to
our website at www.inplayoil.com.
For further information please contact:
Doug BartolePresident and Chief Executive OfficerInPlay Oil Corp.
Telephone: (587) 955-0632 |
|
Darren Dittmer Chief Financial Officer InPlay Oil Corp. Telephone:
(587) 955-0634 |
Notes:
- InPlay’s plans
for 2022 and associated targets and outlook remain preliminary in
nature and do not reflect a Board approved capital expenditures
budget. See table in the “Forward Looking Information and
Statements” section for underlying material assumptions related
thereto.
- See “Reader
Advisories - Production Breakdown by Product Type”
- “AFF” and “FAFF”
are Non-IFRS Measures and do not have a standardized meaning under
International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS) and GAAP and may
not be comparable with the calculations of similar measures for
other companies. “Net Debt/EBITDA” and “FAFF Yield” are Non-GAAP
Ratios and do not have a standardized meaning under International
Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS) and GAAP and may not be
comparable with the calculations of similar measures for other
companies. Please refer to “Non-GAAP Financial Measures and Ratios”
and “BOE equivalent” at the end of this news release and to the
section entitled “Non-GAAP Measures and Ratios” in our MD&A for
details of calculations, rationale for use and applicable
reconciliation to the nearest IFRS measure.
Reader Advisories
Non-GAAP Financial Measures and
RatiosIncluded in this press release are references to the
terms “adjusted funds flow”, “free adjusted funds flow”, “free
adjusted funds flow yield” and “Net Debt to EBITDA”. Management
believes these measures are helpful supplementary measures of
financial and operating performance and provide users with similar,
but potentially not comparable, information that is commonly used
by other oil and natural gas companies. These terms do not have any
standardized meaning prescribed by GAAP and should not be
considered an alternative to, or more meaningful than, “funds
flow”, “profit (loss) before taxes”, “profit (loss) and
comprehensive income (loss)” or assets and liabilities as
determined in accordance with GAAP as a measure of the Company’s
performance and financial position.
InPlay uses “adjusted funds flow” as a key
performance indicator. Adjusted funds flow should not be considered
as an alternative to or more meaningful than funds flow as
determined in accordance with GAAP as an indicator of the Company’s
performance. InPlay’s determination of adjusted funds flow may not
be comparable to that reported by other companies. Adjusted funds
flow is calculated by adjusting for decommissioning expenditures
from funds flow. This item is adjusted from funds flow as
decommissioning expenditures are incurred on a discretionary and
irregular basis and are primarily incurred on previous operating
assets, making the exclusion of this item relevant in Management’s
view to the reader in the evaluation of InPlay’s operating
performance. Refer to “Forward Looking Information and Statements”
section for a calculation of forecast free adjusted funds flow and
its reconciliation to the nearest GAAP term.
InPlay uses “free adjusted funds flow” as a key
performance indicator. Free adjusted funds flow should not be
considered as an alternative to or more meaningful than funds flow
as determined in accordance with GAAP as an indicator of the
Company’s performance. Free adjusted funds flow is calculated by
the Company as adjusted funds flow less capital expenditures and is
a measure of the cashflow remaining after capital expenditures that
can be used for additional capital activity, repayment of debt or
decommissioning expenditures. Management considers free adjusted
funds flow an important measure to identify the Company’s ability
to improve the financial condition of the Company through debt
repayment, which has become more important recently with the
introduction of second lien lenders. Refer to “Forward Looking
Information and Statements” section for a calculation of forecast
free adjusted funds flow.
InPlay uses “free adjusted funds flow yield” as
a key performance indicator. Free adjusted funds flow is calculated
by the Company as free adjusted funds flow divided by the market
capitalization of the Company. Management considers FAFF yield to
be an important performance indicator as it demonstrates a
Company’s ability to generate cash to pay down debt and provide
funds for potential distributions to shareholders. Refer below for
a calculation of forecast free adjusted funds flow yield.
|
|
|
OutlookFY 2022(1) |
Forecasted Free Adjusted Funds Flow |
$ millions |
|
$32.5 - $35.5 |
Shares outstanding |
# of shares |
|
68,288,616 |
Closing share price @ September 3, 2021 |
$/share |
|
$1.10 |
Market capitalization @ September 3, 2021 |
$ millions |
|
$75.0 |
FAFF Yield |
% |
|
43% - 47% |
Note:
- InPlay’s plans
for 2022 and associated targets remain preliminary in natures and
do not reflect a Board approved capital expenditures budget.
InPlay uses “Net Debt/EBITDA” as a key
performance indicator. EBITDA should not be considered as an
alternative to or more meaningful than funds flow as determined in
accordance with GAAP as an indicator of the Company’s performance.
EBITDA is calculated by the Company as adjusted funds flow before
interest expense. This measure is consistent with the EBITDA
formula prescribed under the Company's Credit Facility. Net
Debt/EBITDA is calculated as Net Debt divided by EBITDA. Management
considers Net Debt/EBITDA a key performance indicator as it is a
key metric under our first lien and second lien credit facilities
and is an important measure to identify the Company’s annual
ability to fund financing expenses, net debt reductions and other
obligations. Refer to the “Forward Looking Information and
Statements” section for a calculation of forecast Net
Debt/EBITDA.
Forward-Looking Information and
Statements This news release contains certain
forward–looking information and statements within the meaning of
applicable securities laws. The use of any of the words "expect",
"anticipate", "continue", "estimate", "may", "will", "project",
"should", "believe", "plans", "intends", “forecast”, “targets” and
similar expressions are intended to identify forward-looking
information or statements. In particular, but without limiting the
foregoing, this news release contains forward-looking information
and statements pertaining to the following: 2021 annual, Q3 and Q4
guidance based on the planned capital program of $29 million
including forecasts of 2021 annual average production levels, Q3
average production levels, light oil and NGLs weightings; the
expectation that we will be on the high end of our 2021 annual
average production guidance of 5,500 to 5,750 boe/d, the
expectation that Q3 2021 and Q4 2021 production levels will be
records for the Company; preliminary 2022 annual outlook based on
an assumed capital program of $38 - $40 million including targets
for 2022 annual average production levels and NGLs weightings;
funds flow, adjusted funds flow, free adjusted funds flow, Net
Debt/EBITDA ratio and growth rates; the expectation that the
remainder of the year will result in quarterly production and AFF
records for the Company; future oil and natural gas prices; future
liquidity and financial capacity; future results from operations
and operating metrics; future costs, expenses and royalty rates;
future interest costs; the exchange rate between the $US and $Cdn;
future development, exploration, acquisition and infrastructure
activities and related capital expenditures, including our planned
2021 capital program and preliminary 2022 capital program,
allocation of wells to be drilled and completed and timing thereof;
anticipated reserve additions and optimization thereof; the
possible refinement of our 2021 capital program and final decisions
for our 2022 capital program and anticipated changes resulting
therefrom; the amount and timing of capital projects; forecasted
spending on decommissioning; and methods of funding our capital
program.
Forward-looking statements or information are
based on a number of material factors, expectations or assumptions
of InPlay which have been used to develop such statements and
information but which may prove to be incorrect. Although InPlay
believes that the expectations reflected in such forward-looking
statements or information are reasonable, undue reliance should not
be placed on forward-looking statements because InPlay can give no
assurance that such expectations will prove to be correct. In
addition to other factors and assumptions which may be identified
herein, assumptions have been made regarding, among other things:
the impact of increasing competition; the general stability of the
economic and political environment in which InPlay operates; the
timely receipt of any required regulatory approvals; the ability of
InPlay to obtain qualified staff, equipment and services in a
timely and cost efficient manner; drilling results; the ability of
the operator of the projects in which InPlay has an interest in to
operate the field in a safe, efficient and effective manner; the
ability of InPlay to obtain financing on acceptable terms; field
production rates and decline rates; the ability to replace and
expand oil and natural gas reserves through acquisition,
development and exploration; the timing and cost of pipeline,
storage and facility construction and the ability of InPlay to
secure adequate product transportation; future commodity prices;
expectations regarding the potential impact of COVID-19; currency,
exchange and interest rates; regulatory framework regarding
royalties, taxes and environmental matters in the jurisdictions in
which InPlay operates; and the ability of InPlay to successfully
market its oil and natural gas products.
The forward-looking information and statements
included herein are not guarantees of future performance and should
not be unduly relied upon. Such information and statements,
including the assumptions made in respect thereof, involve known
and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors that may cause
actual results or events to defer materially from those anticipated
in such forward-looking information or statements including,
without limitation: the continuing impact of the COVID-19 pandemic;
changes in our planned 2021 and 2022 capital programs; changes in
commodity prices and other assumptions outlined herein; the
potential for variation in the quality of the reservoirs in which
we operate; changes in the demand for or supply of our products;
unanticipated operating results or production declines; changes in
tax or environmental laws, royalty rates or other regulatory
matters; changes in development plans of InPlay or by third party
operators of our properties; increased debt levels or debt service
requirements; inaccurate estimation of our light oil and natural
gas reserve and resource volumes; limited, unfavorable or a lack of
access to capital markets; increased costs; a lack of adequate
insurance coverage; the impact of competitors; and certain other
risks detailed from time-to-time in InPlay's continuous
disclosure documents filed on SEDAR including our Annual
Information Form.
The internal projections, expectations or
beliefs underlying the Company's 2021 capital budget, associated
guidance and corporate outlook for 2021, 2022 and beyond are
subject to change in light of ongoing results, prevailing economic
circumstances, the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic, commodity
prices and industry conditions and regulations. InPlay's outlook
for 2021, 2022 and beyond provides shareholders with relevant
information on management's expectations for results of operations,
excluding any potential acquisitions, dispositions or strategic
transactions that may be completed in 2021 and beyond. Accordingly,
readers are cautioned that events or circumstances could cause
results to differ materially from those predicted and InPlay's 2021
guidance may not be appropriate for other purposes.
In this press release reference is made to the
Company's 2022 preliminary plans, targets and outlook. Such
information reflects internal targets used by management for the
purposes of making capital investment decisions and for internal
long-range planning and budget preparation. Readers are cautioned
that events or circumstances could cause capital plans and
associated results to differ materially from those predicted and
InPlay's 2021 guidance and 2022 preliminary outlook may not be
appropriate for other purposes. Accordingly, undue reliance should
not be placed on same.
The key budget and underlying material
assumptions used by the Company in the development of its 2021
guidance and 2022 preliminary outlook including forecasted
production, funds flow, adjusted funds flow, free adjusted funds
flow, Net Debt and Net Debt/EBITDA ratio are as follows:
|
|
|
GuidanceFY 2021(1) |
OutlookFY 2022(2) |
WTI |
US$/bbl |
|
$64.50 |
$66.30 |
NGL Price |
$/boe |
|
$31.00 |
$29.40 |
AECO |
$/GJ |
|
$3.35 |
$3.30 |
Foreign Exchange Rate |
(US$/CDN$) |
|
0.80 |
0.80 |
MSW Differential |
US$/bbl |
|
$4.15 |
$4.30 |
Production |
Boe/d |
|
5,500 – 5,750 |
6,300 – 6,550 |
Royalties |
$/boe |
|
4.60 – 5.10 |
5.35 – 5.85 |
Operating Expenses |
$/boe |
|
11.50 - 13.50 |
10.50 – 12.50 |
Transportation |
$/boe |
|
0.80 - 0.90 |
0.75 – 0.85 |
Interest |
$/boe |
|
2.25 - 2.75 |
0.80 – 1.30 |
General and Administrative |
$/boe |
|
2.60 - 3.10 |
2.10 – 2.70 |
Hedging loss |
$/boe |
|
5.00 – 5.50 |
0.00 – 0.10 |
Capital Expenditures |
$ millions |
|
$29 |
$38.0 - $40.0 |
Decommissioning Expenditures |
$ millions |
|
$1.3 - $1.5 |
$1.3 - $1.5 |
Net Debt |
$ millions |
|
$56.5 - $59.5 |
$22.5 - $25.5 |
Forecasted Adjusted Funds Flow |
$ millions |
|
$44.5 - $47.5 |
$71.5 - $74.5 |
Forecasted Funds Flow |
$ millions |
|
$43.0 - $46.0 |
$70.0 – $73.0 |
|
|
|
|
OutlookFY 2022(2) |
Forecasted Adjusted Funds Flow |
$ millions |
|
|
$71.5 - $74.5 |
Capital Expenditures |
$ millions |
|
|
$38.0 - $40.0 |
Forecasted Free Adjusted Funds Flow |
$ millions |
|
|
$32.5 - $35.5 |
|
|
|
|
OutlookFY 2022(2) |
Forecasted Adjusted Funds Flow |
$ millions |
|
|
$71.5 - $74.5 |
Interest |
$/boe |
|
|
0.80 – 1.30 |
EBTIDA |
$ millions |
|
|
$73.5 - $76.5 |
Net Debt |
$ millions |
|
|
$22.5 - $25.5 |
Net Debt/EBITDA |
|
|
|
0.3 – 0.4 |
Notes:
- As previously
released August 11,2021
- InPlay’s plans
for 2022 and associated targets remain preliminary in natures and
do not reflect a Board approved capital expenditures budget.
- See “Production
Breakdown by Product Type” below
- Quality and pipeline transmission
adjustments may impact realized oil prices in addition to the MSW
Differential provided above
- Changes in
working capital are not assumed to have a material impact between
Dec 31, 2020, Dec 31, 2021 and Dec 31, 2022
This press release contains future-oriented
financial information and financial outlook information
(collectively, "FOFI") about InPlay’s prospective capital
expenditures, all of which are subject to the same assumptions,
risk factors, limitations, and qualifications as set forth in the
above paragraphs. The actual results of operations of InPlay and
the resulting financial results will likely vary from the amounts
set forth in this press release and such variation may be material.
InPlay and its management believe that the FOFI has been prepared
on a reasonable basis, reflecting management's best estimates and
judgments. However, because this information is subjective and
subject to numerous risks, it should not be relied on as
necessarily indicative of future results. Except as required by
applicable securities laws, InPlay undertakes no obligation to
update such FOFI. FOFI contained in this press release was made as
of the date of this press release and was provided for the purpose
of providing further information about InPlay's anticipated future
business operations. Readers are cautioned that the FOFI contained
in this press release should not be used for purposes other than
for which it is disclosed herein.
The forward-looking information and statements
contained in this news release speak only as of the date hereof and
InPlay does not assume any obligation to publicly update or revise
any of the included forward-looking statements or information,
whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise,
except as may be required by applicable securities laws.
Test Results and Initial Production
RatesTest results and initial production (“IP”) rates
disclosed herein, particularly those short in duration, may not
necessarily be indicative of long term performance or of ultimate
recovery. Readers are cautioned that short term rates should not be
relied upon as indicators of future performance of these wells and
therefore should not be relied upon for investment or other
purposes. A pressure transient analysis or well-test interpretation
has not been carried out and thus certain of the test results
provided herein should be considered to be preliminary until such
analysis or interpretation has been completed.
Production Breakdown by Product
TypeDisclosure of production on a per boe basis in this
press release consists of the constituent product types as defined
in NI 51-101 and their respective quantities disclosed in the
table below:
|
Light and MediumCrude
oil(bbls/d) |
|
NGLS(boe/d) |
|
Conventional Natural
gas(Mcf/d) |
|
Total(boe/d) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Q3 2021 Average Production Forecast |
3,242 |
|
759 |
|
11,995 |
|
6,000 |
2021 Annual Average Production Guidance |
3,071 |
|
751 |
|
10,816 |
|
5,625(1) |
2022 Annual Average Production Outlook |
3,534 |
|
758 |
|
12,798 |
|
6,425(2) |
Q2 2021 Pembina Wells (IP 30) |
1,090 |
|
101 |
|
2,036 |
|
1,530 |
Q2 2021 Pembina Wells (Current) |
1,089 |
|
150 |
|
2,993 |
|
1,737 |
Note:
- This reflects
the mid-point of the Company’s 2021 production guidance range of
5,500 to 5,750 boe/d.
- This reflects
the mid-point of the Company’s 2022 production outlook range of
6,300 to 6,550 boe/d.
- With respect to
forward-looking production guidance, product type breakdown is
based upon management's expectations based on reasonable
assumptions but are subject to variability based on actual well
results.
References to crude oil, NGLs or natural gas
production in this press release refer to the light and medium
crude oil, natural gas liquids and conventional natural gas product
types, respectively, as defined in National Instrument 51-101,
Standards of Disclosure for Oil and Gas Activities ("Nl
51-101").
BOE equivalent Barrel of oil
equivalents or BOEs may be misleading, particularly if used in
isolation. A BOE conversion ratio of 6 mcf: 1 bbl is based on an
energy equivalency conversion method primarily applicable at the
burner tip and does not represent a value equivalency at the
wellhead. Given that the value ratio based on the current price of
crude oil as compared to natural gas is significantly different
than the energy equivalency of 6:1, utilizing a 6:1 conversion
basis may be misleading as an indication of value.
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