TIDM44EB

RNS Number : 7018I

London & Quadrant Housing Trust

12 August 2019

London & Quadrant Housing Trust Trading Update for the period ending 30 June 2019

London & Quadrant Housing Trust ('L&Q') is today issuing its consolidated trading update for the three months ended 30 June 2019 ('2019 Q1').

All statement of comprehensive income comparatives are to L&Q's consolidated unaudited prior year equivalent period being the three months ended 30 June 2018 ('2018 Q1').

Highlights:

-- The proposed acquisition of Trafford Housing Trust ('THT') is set to complete on or about 1 October 2019

   --    There are 104,400 units in management (as at 31 March 2019: 103,917) 
   --    L&Q has completed 691 residential units (2018 Q1: 684) 
   --    Turnover was GBP178m (2018 Q1: GBP229m) 
   --    Operating surplus was GBP58m (2018 Q1: GBP78m) 
   --    EBITDA(1) was GBP55m (2018 Q1: GBP75m) 
   --    EBITDA margin(2) was 21% (2018 Q1: 31%) 
   --    EBITDA margin (excluding sales)(3) was 35% (2018 Q1: 44%) 
   --    Gross sales margin(4) was 10% (2018 Q1: 12%) 
   --    Net sales margin(5) was 4% (2018 Q1: 8%) 
   --    EBITDA / interest cover(6) was 144% (2018 Q1: 215%) 
   --    EBITDA social housing lettings interest cover(7) was 118% (2018 Q1: 175%) 

Commenting on the results Waqar Ahmed, Group Director, Finance said:

"L&Q expects challenging conditions to persist throughout the financial year to 31 March 2020 as we balance our key priorities against political and economic uncertainty. However, we continue to remain confident in our future prospects as we scale back development of outright sales for alternative tenures and only seek to approve longer term strategic sites that require minimal initial capital outlay.

This view is supported by cost flexibility, strength of balance sheet, geographical expansion, ability to service debt and a strong liquidity position. The forward guidance disclosed within this trading update further demonstrates our commitment to provide a greater level of transparency to our stakeholders.

The operating expenditure disclosed in our Q1 results reiterates our strategic decision to tackle social stigma by improving the quality of our homes and implementing the recommendations of Dame Judith Hackitt's review of building regulations ahead of legislation as we confirm our commitment to sharing best practice and encourage culture change and leadership across the industry."

Forward Guidance to the year ending 31 March 2020

We project EBITDA to be in the range of GBP325m to GBP345m. We have revised our guidance on projected surplus after tax to be at the lower end of the range of GBP250m to GBP270m announced in our last trading statement and expect net debt to be at GBP5.3bn to GBP5.4bn.

 
 Financial Metrics                                   Forward Guidance to 31 March 2020 
--------------------------------------------------  ---------------------------------- 
 EBITDA margin(2)                                                                  28% 
 EBITDA margin (excluding sales)(3)                                                46% 
 Net sales margin(5)                                                               10% 
 EBITDA interest cover(6)                                                         211% 
 Social housing lettings EBITDA interest Cover(7)                                 124% 
 Debt to assets(8)                                                                 42% 
 Gross debt to EBITDA (9)                                                        16.1x 
 Sales as a % of turnover(10)                                                      50% 
--------------------------------------------------  ---------------------------------- 
 

Trafford Housing Trust

On 2 April 2019, L&Q announced the proposed acquisition of THT which was anticipated to complete in June 2019 subject to customary closing conditions, including but not limited to: due diligence, customer consultation, lender consents and regulatory approvals. The boards of L&Q and THT have unanimously approved to delay the proposed acquisition until October 2019 as customary closing conditions are completed.

Housing Completions

L&Q, including joint ventures, has completed 691 (2018 Q1: 684) residential units in the financial year to date comprising of 345 (Q1 2018: 314) completions for social housing tenures and 346 (2018 Q1: 370) completions for market tenures. During that same time, 1,409 new build residential units commenced on site (2018 Q1: 2,099).

Development Pipeline

L&Q, including joint ventures, is operating from 173 (as at 31 March 2019: 157) active sites. L&Q has approved an additional 1,214 residential units during the financial year to date bringing total units in the approved development pipeline to 51,700 (as at 31 March 2019: 50,400). Some 36% of the approved pipeline (18,587 units) is on site.

The future projected cost of the entire development pipeline (including work in progress and developments not yet committed or on site) that extends until the financial year ending 31 March 2040 is estimated at GBP7.0bn (as at 31 March 2019: GBP6.8bn) of which GBP4.9bn (70%) is currently committed. L&Q holds a further potential 47,100 (as at 31 March 2019: 46,800) strategic land plots.

Unaudited Financials

The unaudited financials exclude further adjustments that are subject to audit review.

The year-on-year fall in surplus reflects lower turnover in the form of land sales, a low volume but high income generating activity against an increase in rental income and higher operating costs based on our commitment to deliver our key priorities.

 
 Statement of Comprehensive Income                       2019 Q1    2018 Q1   Change 
                                                          (GBPm)     (GBPm) 
-----------------------------------------------------  ---------  ---------  ------- 
 Turnover 
    Non-sales                                                151        147 
    Sales                                                     27         82 
-----------------------------------------------------  ---------  ---------  ------- 
                                                             178        229    (22%) 
 Operating costs and cost of sales 
    Non-sales                                              (107)       (84) 
    Sales                                                   (27)       (76) 
                                                           (134)      (160)    (16%) 
 Surplus on disposal of fixed assets and investments           9          7 
 Share of profits from joint ventures                          5          2 
 Change in value of investment property                        -          - 
-----------------------------------------------------  ---------  ---------  ------- 
 Operating surplus                                            58         78    (26%) 
 Net interest charge and other finance costs                (29)       (27) 
 Other finance costs                                           2          - 
 Taxation                                                      -        (1) 
-----------------------------------------------------  ---------  ---------  ------- 
 Surplus for the period after tax                             31         50    (38%) 
-----------------------------------------------------  ---------  ---------  ------- 
 
 
 Capitalised Interest    (9)   (7)   (2) 
----------------------  ----  ----  ---- 
 
 
 Statement of Financial Position               2019 Q1   31 March 2019   Change (GBPm) 
                                                (GBPm)          (GBPm) 
--------------------------------------------  --------  --------------  -------------- 
 Housing properties                              9,585           9,469             116 
 Other tangible fixed assets                        69              69               - 
 Investments                                     1,654           1,649               5 
 Net current assets                              1,035             966              69 
--------------------------------------------  --------  --------------  -------------- 
 Total assets less current liabilities          12,343          12,153             190 
--------------------------------------------  --------  --------------  -------------- 
 
 Loans due > one year                            5,162           5,011             151 
 Unamortised grant liability                     2,047           2,039               8 
 Other long term liabilities                       327             327               - 
 Capital and reserves                            4,807           4,776              31 
--------------------------------------------  --------  --------------  -------------- 
 Total non-current liabilities and reserves     12,343          12,153             190 
--------------------------------------------  --------  --------------  -------------- 
 

Non-Sales Activities

 
 Activity                               2019 Q1   2018 Q1    Change 
                                         (GBPm)    (GBPm)    (GBPm) 
 Net rents receivable                       140       136         4 
 Charges for support services                 2         2         - 
 Amortised government grant                   6         6         - 
 Other income                                 3         3         - 
-------------------------------------  --------  --------  -------- 
 Turnover                                   151       147         4 
-------------------------------------  --------  --------  -------- 
 Management Costs                          (12)      (14)         2 
 Service Costs                             (18)      (15)       (3) 
 Maintenance Costs                         (41)      (27)      (14) 
 Support Costs                              (2)       (2)         - 
 Depreciation & Impairment                 (19)      (18)       (1) 
 Other costs                               (15)       (8)       (7) 
-------------------------------------  --------  --------  -------- 
 Operating Costs                          (107)      (84)      (23) 
-------------------------------------  --------  --------  -------- 
 Surplus on disposal of fixed assets          9         7         2 
-------------------------------------  --------  --------  -------- 
 Operating Surplus                           53        70      (16) 
-------------------------------------  --------  --------  -------- 
 
 
 Capitalised Major Repairs    (16)   (16)   - 
---------------------------  -----  ----- 
 

Sales Activities

The cost of sales is inclusive of capitalised interest and overhead costs:

 
 Activity                                2019 Q1   2018 Q1    Change 
                                          (GBPm)    (GBPm)    (GBPm) 
 Property sales income                        25        41      (16) 
 Land sales income                             2        41      (39) 
--------------------------------------  --------  --------  -------- 
 Turnover from sales (excluding JV's)         27        82      (55) 
 Cost of property sales                     (20)      (40)        20 
 Cost of land sales                          (1)      (32)        31 
 Operating costs                             (6)       (4)       (2) 
--------------------------------------  --------  --------  -------- 
 Total cost of sales (excluding JV's)       (27)      (76)        49 
 Operating Surplus (excluding JV's)            -         6       (6) 
--------------------------------------  --------  --------  -------- 
 Joint venture turnover                       87        19        68 
 Joint venture cost of sales                (82)      (17)      (65) 
--------------------------------------  --------  --------  -------- 
 Share of profits from joint ventures          5         2         3 
--------------------------------------  --------  --------  -------- 
 

Average Selling Price

The average selling price, including JV's, for outright market sales during the financial year to date was GBP494k of which 95% were conducted under Help to Buy. The average selling price of first tranche shared ownership sales during the financial year to date was GBP440k with an average first tranche sale of 38%.

Sales Margins

The cost of sales is inclusive of capitalised interest and overhead costs:

 
 Activity                Shared       Outright      Land Sales       Outright         2019 Q1         2018 Q1   Change 
                     Owner-ship          Sales          (GBPm)   Sales (JV's)          (GBPm)          (GBPm) 
                         (GBPm)       (Non-JV)                         (GBPm) 
                                        (GBPm) 
 Turnover                    18              7               2             87             114             101       13 
 Cost of Sales             (16)            (6)             (1)           (80)           (103)            (89)     (14) 
---------------  --------------  -------------  --------------  -------------  --------------  --------------  ------- 
 Gross Profit                 2              1               1              7              11              12      (1) 
---------------  --------------  -------------  --------------  -------------  --------------  --------------  ------- 
 Gross Sales 
  Margin                    11%            14%             50%             8%             10%             12%     (2%) 
---------------  --------------  -------------  --------------  -------------  --------------  --------------  ------- 
 Operating 
  Costs                       -              -             (4)            (2)             (6)             (4)      (2) 
 Operating 
  Surplus                     2              1             (3)              5               5               8      (3) 
---------------  --------------  -------------  --------------  -------------  --------------  --------------  ------- 
 Net Sales 
  Margins                   11%            14%          (200%)             6%              4%              8%     (4%) 
---------------  --------------  -------------  --------------  -------------  --------------  --------------  ------- 
 

Unsold Stock

As at 30 June 2019, L&Q, including joint ventures, held 479 completed units as unsold stock with a projected value of GBP176m. Of these, 36% have been held as stock for less than one month. L&Q's forward order book excluding joint ventures consists of 86 exchanged units with projected revenue of GBP17m and 167 reservations with a projected revenue of GBP37m.

 
 Tenure               Projected Revenue   No. of Units   <1 Month   1-3 Months   3-6 Months   6-12 Months   >12 Months 
                                 (GBPm) 
-------------------  ------------------  -------------  ---------  -----------  -----------  ------------  ----------- 
 Shared Ownership                    18            157         78            4           52            23            - 
 Outright Sale 
  (non-JV's)                         75            156         34           30           38            52            2 
 Commercial                           3              1          1            -            -             -            - 
-------------------  ------------------  -------------  ---------  -----------  -----------  ------------  ----------- 
 Total excluding 
  Joint Ventures                     96            314        113           34           90            75            2 
 Shared Ownership 
  (JV's)                              2             44          4           18           21             1            - 
 Outright Sale 
  (JV's)                             78            121         54           18           17            26            6 
-------------------  ------------------  -------------  ---------  -----------  -----------  ------------  ----------- 
 Total Joint 
  Ventures                           80            165         58           36           38            27            6 
-------------------  ------------------  -------------  ---------  -----------  -----------  ------------  ----------- 
 Total Unsold Stock                 176            479        171           70          128           102            8 
-------------------  ------------------  -------------  ---------  -----------  -----------  ------------  ----------- 
 

Net Debt and Liquidity

As at 30 June 2019, net debt (excluding derivative financial liabilities) was GBP5,081m (as at 31 March 2019: GBP4,886m) and available liquidity within the group in the form of committed un-drawn revolving credit facilities and non-restricted cash was at GBP655m (as at 31 March 2019: GBP751m). Approximately 50% of L&Q's loan facilities and 56% of drawn loan facilities are at a fixed cost.

Unencumbered Assets

 
                                                                                2019 Q1   31 March 2019 
 No. of units under management                                                  104,400         103,917 
 No. of social housing units provided as collateral against debt facilities    (48,623)        (48,993) 
 No. of private rented units provided as collateral against debt facilities     (1,107)         (1,107) 
----------------------------------------------------------------------------  ---------  -------------- 
 Total no. of unencumbered units under management                                54,670          53,817 
 % of units under management held as collateral against debt facilities             48%             48% 
 Unencumbered asset ratio(11)                                                       42%             42% 
----------------------------------------------------------------------------  ---------  -------------- 
 

L&Q Credit Ratings - as at date of trading statement release

 
 Rating Agency                    S&P     Moody's       Fitch 
 Long-term credit ratings   A-/Stable   A3/Stable   A+/Stable 
-------------------------  ----------  ----------  ---------- 
 

Notes:

(1) Operating surplus + depreciation and impairment - amortised government grant - capitalised major repairs +/- actuarial losses/gains in pension schemes

(2) EBITDA / (turnover + turnover from joint ventures - amortised government grant)

(3) EBITDA from non-sales activities / turnover from non-sales activities

(4) Gross profit from sales / turnover from sales including joint ventures

(5) Operating surplus from sales / turnover from sales including joint ventures

(6) EBITDA / net cash interest paid

(7) EBITDA from social housing lettings / net cash interest paid

(8) Net debt (excluding derivative financial liabilities) / total assets less current liabilities

(9) Gross debt / EBITDA

(10) Sales turnover (including joint ventures) / (turnover plus turnover from joint ventures)

(11) 100% less (loans due after more than 1 year + derivative liabilities + unamortised grant liability) / total assets less current liabilities

This trading update contains certain forward looking statements about the future outlook for L&Q. Although the Directors believe that these statements are based upon reasonable assumptions, any such statements should be treated with caution as future outlook may be influenced by factors that could cause actual outcomes and results to be materially different.

For further information, please contact:

 
 Martin Watts, Director of Treasury    0300 456 9998 
 

For media enquiries, please contact:

 
 James Howell, Head of External Affairs    0300 456 9998 
 Cathryn Rowley, Assistant Director, 
  Communications                           0300 456 9998 
 

www.lqgroup.org.uk

END

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END

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