Shell plc publishes fourth quarter 2024 press release
London, January 30, 2025
"2024 was another year of strong financial performance across
Shell. Despite the lower earnings this quarter, cash delivery
remained solid and we generated free cash flow of $40 billion
across the year, higher than 2023, in a lower price environment.
Our continued focus on simplification helped to deliver over $3
billion in structural cost reductions since 2022, meeting our
target ahead of schedule, whilst also making significant progress
against all our other financial targets1.
Today, we announce a 4% increase in our dividends and another
$3.5 billion buyback programme, making this the 13th consecutive
quarter of at least $3 billion of buybacks, all whilst further
strengthening our balance sheet this year to position us well for
the future.
We will outline the next steps in our strategy to deliver more
value with less emissions at our Capital Markets Day in March."
Shell plc Chief Executive Officer, Wael
Sawan
SOLID CASH FLOW
GENERATION; RESILIENT DISTRIBUTIONS
- Robust CFFO of $13.2 billion in Q4 2024, with CFFO of $54.7
billion and free cash flow of $39.5 billion for the full year 2024.
$22.6 billion distributed to shareholders in 2024, representing 41%
of CFFO generated.
- Q4 2024 Adjusted Earnings2 of $3.7 billion reflect
lower prices and margins, higher exploration well write-offs, and
the non-cash impact of expiring hedging contracts on LNG trading
and optimisation results.
- Structural cost reductions of $3.1 billion achieved since 2022,
meeting the 2023 Capital Markets Day (CMD23) target a year early,
with significant progress against the other CMD23 financial
targets1.
- Focus on disciplined capital allocation drove down 2024 cash
capex to $21.1 billion; our cash capex range for the full year 2025
is expected to be lower than our 2024 range, with more guidance to
come at the Capital Markets Day in March.
- Increasing dividend per share by 4% to $0.358 for the fourth
quarter, while commencing a $3.5 billion share buyback programme,
expected to be completed by Q1 2025 results
announcement.
$ million2 |
Adj. Earnings |
Adj. EBITDA |
CFFO |
Cash capex |
Integrated Gas |
2,165 |
4,568 |
4,391 |
1,337 |
Upstream |
1,682 |
7,676 |
4,509 |
2,076 |
Marketing |
839 |
1,709 |
1,363 |
811 |
Chemicals & Products3 |
(229) |
475 |
2,032 |
1,392 |
Renewables & Energy Solutions |
(311) |
(123) |
850 |
1,277 |
Corporate |
(380) |
(24) |
16 |
30 |
Less: Non-controlling interest (NCI) |
106 |
|
|
|
Shell |
Q4 2024 |
3,661 |
14,281 |
13,162 |
6,924 |
Q3 2024 |
6,028 |
16,005 |
14,684 |
4,950 |
FY 2024 |
23,716 |
65,803 |
54,684 |
21,084 |
FY 2023 |
28,250 |
68,538 |
54,191 |
24,392 |
1Progress to date on the financial targets that were
announced during Capital Markets Day in June 2023 is available at
www.shell.com/2024-progress-on-cmd23.html.
2Income/(loss) attributable to shareholders for Q4
2024 is $0.9 billion. Reconciliation of non-GAAP measures can be
found in the unaudited results, available at
www.shell.com/investors.
3Chemicals & Products Adjusted Earnings at a
subsegment level are as follows - Chemicals $(0.3) billion and
Products $0.0 billion.
- CFFO of $13.2 billion for Q4 2024 includes a working capital
inflow of $2.4 billion. CFFO reflects tax payments of $2.9 billion,
and a $1.4 billion outflow1 related to the timing impact
of payments for emissions certificates and biofuel programmes.
- Net debt increased by $3.6 billion over the quarter to $38.8
billion, reflecting the recognition of the LNG Canada pipeline
lease liability. Net debt at the end of 2024 was $4.7 billion lower
than at the beginning of the year.
$ billion2 |
Q4 2023 |
Q1 2024 |
Q2 2024 |
Q3 2024 |
Q4 2024 |
Divestment proceeds |
0.6 |
1.0 |
0.8 |
0.2 |
0.8 |
Free
cash flow |
6.9 |
9.8 |
10.2 |
10.8 |
8.7 |
Net
debt |
43.5 |
40.5 |
38.3 |
35.2 |
38.8 |
1 Includes payments for the
Brennstoffemissionshandelsgesetz (Fuel Emissions Trading Act),
excludes the payment of German Mineral Oil Taxes.
2 Reconciliation of non-GAAP measures can be found in
the unaudited results, available at
www.shell.com/investors.
Q4 2024 FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE
DRIVERS
INTEGRATED GAS
Key data |
Q3 2024 |
Q4 2024 |
Q1 2025 outlook |
Realised liquids price ($/bbl) |
63 |
63 |
— |
Realised gas price ($/thousand scf) |
7.9 |
8.1 |
— |
Production (kboe/d) |
941 |
905 |
930 - 990 |
LNG liquefaction volumes (MT) |
7.5 |
7.1 |
6.6 - 7.2 |
LNG sales volumes (MT) |
17.0 |
15.5 |
— |
- Adjusted Earnings
reflect lower trading and optimisation results driven by the
(non-cash) impact of expiring hedging contracts, and lower volumes
due to Pearl GTL turnaround, lower feedgas supply and lower
liftings (timing) versus Q3 2024.
- Q1 2025 production
outlook reflects Pearl GTL being back in operation; LNG
liquefaction volumes outlook is impacted by lower feedgas
supply.
UPSTREAM
Key data |
Q3 2024 |
Q4 2024 |
Q1 2025 outlook |
Realised liquids price ($/bbl) |
75 |
71 |
— |
Realised gas price ($/thousand scf) |
6.6 |
7.0 |
— |
Liquids production (kboe/d) |
1,321 |
1,332 |
— |
Gas production (million scf/d) |
2,844 |
3,056 |
— |
Total production (kboe/d) |
1,811 |
1,859 |
1,750 - 1,950 |
- Adjusted Earnings reflect higher volumes, offset by lower
prices, above-average well write-offs, and higher year-end
opex.
- First production achieved from Mero-3 and Whale (January), and
FID taken on Bonga North, supporting portfolio longevity.
MARKETING
Key data |
Q3 2024 |
Q4 2024 |
Q1 2025 outlook |
Marketing sales volumes (kb/d) |
2,945 |
2,795 |
2,500 - 3,000 |
Mobility (kb/d) |
2,119 |
2,041 |
— |
Lubricants (kb/d) |
81 |
77 |
— |
Sectors & Decarbonisation (kb/d) |
745 |
678 |
— |
Wholesale commercial fuels, previously reported in the Chemicals
& Products segment, is reported in the Marketing segment
(Mobility) with effect from Q1 2024.
Comparative information for the Marketing segment and the Chemicals
& Products segment has been revised.
- Adjusted Earnings in
Q4 2024 reflect the seasonal impact of lower volumes and lower
Mobility margins.
- 2024 full year
Adjusted Earnings were $3.9 billion, up $0.6 billion from 2023,
driven by improved margins and lower opex.
CHEMICALS & PRODUCTS
Key data |
Q3 2024 |
Q4 2024 |
Q1 2025 outlook1 |
Refinery processing intake (kb/d) |
1,305 |
1,215 |
— |
Chemicals sales volumes (kT) |
3,015 |
2,926 |
— |
Refinery utilisation (%) |
81 |
76 |
80 - 88 |
Chemicals manufacturing plant utilisation (%) |
76 |
75 |
78 - 86 |
Global indicative refining margin ($/bbl) |
5.5 |
5.5 |
— |
Global indicative chemical margin ($/t) |
164 |
138 |
— |
1Oil sands production: In Q1 2025, Shell's remaining
interest in the Canadian oil sands is expected to be swapped for an
additional 10% interest in the Scotford upgrader and Quest CCS
projects.
Wholesale commercial fuels, previously reported in the Chemicals
& Products segment, is reported in the Marketing segment
(Mobility) with effect from Q1 2024.
Comparative information for the Marketing segment and the Chemicals
& Products segment has been revised.
- Adjusted Earnings
reflect significantly lower contribution from trading and
optimisation, including seasonality effects, and continued weak
chemicals margin environment.
RENEWABLES & ENERGY SOLUTIONS
Key data |
Q3 2024 |
Q4 2024 |
External power sales (TWh) |
79 |
76 |
Sales of pipeline gas to end-use customers (TWh) |
148 |
165 |
Renewables power generation capacity (GW)* |
7.3 |
7.4 |
|
3.4 |
3.4 |
- under
construction and/or committed for sale (GW)
|
3.9 |
4.0 |
*Excludes Shell's equity share of associates where
information cannot be obtained.
- Adjusted Earnings
were lower than in Q3 2024, largely driven by one-off tax charges
in the quarter.
- Acquired a 609 MW
combined-cycle gas turbine power plant in Rhode Island, USA.
Renewables and Energy Solutions includes
activities such as renewable power generation, the marketing and
trading and optimisation of power and pipeline gas, as well as
carbon credits, and digitally enabled customer solutions. It also
includes the production and marketing of hydrogen, development of
commercial carbon capture and storage hubs, investment in
nature-based projects that avoid or reduce carbon emissions, and
Shell Ventures, which invests in companies that work to accelerate
the energy and mobility transformation.
CORPORATE
Key data |
Q3 2024 |
Q4 2024 |
Q1 2025 outlook |
Adjusted Earnings ($ billion) |
(0.6) |
(0.4) |
(0.6) - (0.4) |
2024 FULL YEAR
$ billion |
Adj. Earnings |
CFFO excl. WC |
CFFO |
Cash capex |
Free cash flow |
FY 2024 |
23.7 |
52.6 |
54.7 |
21.1 |
39.5 |
FY 2023 |
28.3 |
47.1 |
54.2 |
24.4 |
36.5 |
Operational performance |
FY 2023 |
FY 2024 |
% change |
Oil and gas production (kboe/d) |
2,791 |
2,836 |
2% |
LNG liquefaction volumes (MT) |
28.3 |
29.1 |
3% |
Marketing sales volumes (kb/d) |
3,045 |
2,843 |
(7)% |
Refinery processing intake (kb/d) |
1,349 |
1,344 |
(0)% |
Chemicals sales volumes (kT) |
11,245 |
11,875 |
6% |
Macro indicators |
FY 2023 |
FY 2024 |
% change |
Brent ($/bbl) |
83 |
81 |
(2)% |
Henry Hub ($/MMBtu) |
2.5 |
2.2 |
(13)% |
EU TTF ($/MMBtu) |
13.0 |
11.0 |
(16)% |
Indicative refining margin ($/bbl) |
12.5 |
7.7 |
(38)% |
Indicative chemicals margin ($/t) |
133 |
152 |
14% |
UPCOMING INVESTOR EVENTS
February 25, 2025 |
Shell LNG Outlook 2025 publication |
March 25, 2025 |
Capital Markets Day 2025 |
May 2, 2025 |
First quarter 2025 results and
dividends |
May 20, 2025 |
Annual General Meeting |
July 31, 2025 |
Second quarter 2025 results and
dividends |
October 30, 2025 |
Third quarter 2025 results and
dividends |
USEFUL LINKS
Results materials Q4 2024
Quarterly Databook Q4 2024
Webcast registration Q4 2024
Dividend announcement Q4 2024
ALTERNATIVE PERFORMANCE (NON-GAAP) MEASURES
This announcement includes certain measures that
are calculated and presented on the basis of methodologies other
than in accordance with generally accepted accounting principles
(GAAP) such as IFRS, including Adjusted Earnings, Adjusted EBITDA,
CFFO excluding working capital movements, Cash capital expenditure,
free cash flow, Divestment proceeds and Net debt. This information,
along with comparable GAAP measures, is useful to investors because
it provides a basis for measuring Shell plc’s operating performance
and ability to retire debt and invest in new business
opportunities. Shell plc’s management uses these financial
measures, along with the most directly comparable GAAP financial
measures, in evaluating the business performance.
This announcement may contain certain
forward-looking non-GAAP measures for cash capital expenditure and
divestments. We are unable to provide a reconciliation of these
forward-looking non-GAAP measures to the most comparable GAAP
financial measures because certain information needed to reconcile
the non-GAAP measures to the most comparable GAAP financial
measures is dependent on future events some of which are outside
the control of the company, such as oil and gas prices, interest
rates and exchange rates. Moreover, estimating such GAAP measures
with the required precision necessary to provide a meaningful
reconciliation is extremely difficult and could not be accomplished
without unreasonable effort. Non-GAAP measures in respect of future
periods which cannot be reconciled to the most comparable GAAP
financial measure are estimated in a manner which is consistent
with the accounting policies applied in Shell plc’s consolidated
financial statements.
CAUTIONARY STATEMENT
The companies in which Shell plc directly and
indirectly owns investments are separate legal entities. In this
announcement "Shell", "Shell Group" and "Group" are sometimes used
for convenience where references are made to Shell plc and its
subsidiaries in general. Likewise, the words "we", "us" and "our"
are also used to refer to Shell plc and its subsidiaries in general
or to those who work for them. These terms are also used where no
useful purpose is served by identifying the particular entity or
entities. "Subsidiaries", "Shell subsidiaries" and "Shell
companies" as used in this announcement refer to entities over
which Shell plc either directly or indirectly has control. The
terms "joint venture", "joint operations", "joint arrangements",
and "associates" may also be used to refer to a commercial
arrangement in which Shell has a direct or indirect ownership
interest with one or more parties. The term "Shell interest" is
used for convenience to indicate the direct and/or indirect
ownership interest held by Shell in an entity or unincorporated
joint arrangement, after exclusion of all third-party interest.
This announcement contains forward-looking
statements (within the meaning of the U.S. Private Securities
Litigation Reform Act of 1995) concerning the financial condition,
results of operations and businesses of Shell. All statements other
than statements of historical fact are, or may be deemed to be,
forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements are
statements of future expectations that are based on management’s
current expectations and assumptions and involve known and unknown
risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results,
performance or events to differ materially from those expressed or
implied in these statements. Forward-looking statements include,
among other things, statements concerning the potential exposure of
Shell to market risks and statements expressing management’s
expectations, beliefs, estimates, forecasts, projections and
assumptions. These forward-looking statements are identified by
their use of terms and phrases such as "aim"; "ambition";
"anticipate"; "believe"; "commit"; "commitment"; "could";
"estimate"; "expect"; "goals"; "intend"; "may"; "milestones";
"objectives"; "outlook"; "plan"; "probably"; "project"; "risks";
"schedule"; "seek"; "should"; "target"; "will"; "would" and similar
terms and phrases. There are a number of factors that could affect
the future operations of Shell and could cause those results to
differ materially from those expressed in the forward-looking
statements included in this announcement, including (without
limitation): (a) price fluctuations in crude oil and natural gas;
(b) changes in demand for Shell’s products; (c) currency
fluctuations; (d) drilling and production results; (e) reserves
estimates; (f) loss of market share and industry competition; (g)
environmental and physical risks; (h) risks associated with the
identification of suitable potential acquisition properties and
targets, and successful negotiation and completion of such
transactions; (i) the risk of doing business in developing
countries and countries subject to international sanctions; (j)
legislative, judicial, fiscal and regulatory developments including
regulatory measures addressing climate change; (k) economic and
financial market conditions in various countries and regions; (l)
political risks, including the risks of expropriation and
renegotiation of the terms of contracts with governmental entities,
delays or advancements in the approval of projects and delays in
the reimbursement for shared costs; (m) risks associated with the
impact of pandemics, such as the COVID-19 (coronavirus) outbreak,
regional conflicts, such as the Russia-Ukraine war, and a
significant cyber security breach; and (n) changes in trading
conditions. No assurance is provided that future dividend payments
will match or exceed previous dividend payments. All
forward-looking statements contained in this announcement are
expressly qualified in their entirety by the cautionary statements
contained or referred to in this section. Readers should not place
undue reliance on forward-looking statements. Additional risk
factors that may affect future results are contained in Shell plc’s
Form 20-F for the year ended December 31, 2023 (available at
www.shell.com/investors/news-and-filings/sec-filings.html and
www.sec.gov). These risk factors also expressly qualify all
forward-looking statements contained in this announcement and
should be considered by the reader. Each forward-looking statement
speaks only as of the date of this announcement, January 30, 2025.
Neither Shell plc nor any of its subsidiaries undertake any
obligation to publicly update or revise any forward-looking
statement as a result of new information, future events or other
information. In light of these risks, results could differ
materially from those stated, implied or inferred from the
forward-looking statements contained in this announcement.
All amounts shown throughout this announcement
are unaudited. The numbers presented throughout this announcement
may not sum precisely to the totals provided and percentages may
not precisely reflect the absolute figures, due to rounding.
Shell’s Net Carbon Intensity
Also, in this announcement we may refer to
Shell’s "Net Carbon Intensity" (NCI), which includes Shell’s carbon
emissions from the production of our energy products, our
suppliers’ carbon emissions in supplying energy for that production
and our customers’ carbon emissions associated with their use of
the energy products we sell. Shell’s NCI also includes the
emissions associated with the production and use of energy products
produced by others which Shell purchases for resale. Shell only
controls its own emissions. The use of the terms Shell’s "Net
Carbon Intensity" or NCI is for convenience only and not intended
to suggest these emissions are those of Shell plc or its
subsidiaries.
Shell’s Net-Zero Emissions Target
Shell’s operating plan, outlook and budgets are forecasted for a
ten-year period and are updated every year. They reflect the
current economic environment and what we can reasonably expect to
see over the next ten years. Accordingly, they reflect our Scope 1,
Scope 2 and NCI targets over the next ten years. However, Shell’s
operating plans cannot reflect our 2050 net-zero emissions target,
as this target is currently outside our planning period. In the
future, as society moves towards net-zero emissions, we expect
Shell’s operating plans to reflect this movement. However, if
society is not net zero in 2050, as of today, there would be
significant risk that Shell may not meet this target.
The content of websites referred to in this announcement does
not form part of this announcement.
We may have used certain terms, such as
resources, in this announcement that the United States Securities
and Exchange Commission (SEC) strictly prohibits us from including
in our filings with the SEC. Investors are urged to consider
closely the disclosure in our Form 20-F, File No 1-32575, available
on the SEC website www.sec.gov.
The financial information presented in this
announcement does not constitute statutory accounts within the
meaning of section 434(3) of the Companies Act 2006 (“the Act”).
Statutory accounts for the year ended December 31, 2023 were
published in Shell’s Annual Report and Accounts, a copy of which
was delivered to the Registrar of Companies for England and Wales,
and in Shell’s Form 20-F. The auditor’s report on those accounts
was unqualified, did not include a reference to any matters to
which the auditor drew attention by way of emphasis without
qualifying the report and did not contain a statement under
sections 498(2) or 498(3) of the Act. The statutory accounts for
the year ended December 31, 2024 will be delivered to the Registrar
of Companies for England and Wales in due course.
The information in this announcement does not
constitute the unaudited condensed consolidated financial
statements which are contained in Shell’s fourth quarter 2024 and
full year 2024 unaudited results available on
www.shell.com/investors.
CONTACTS
- Media: International
+44 207 934 5550; USA +1 832 337 4355
Shell (LSE:SHEL)
Graphique Historique de l'Action
De Jan 2025 à Fév 2025
Shell (LSE:SHEL)
Graphique Historique de l'Action
De Fév 2024 à Fév 2025