UPDATE: Peet's Coffee Shares Percolate On Possible Keurig Deal
02 Mars 2011 - 10:27PM
Dow Jones News
Peet's Coffee & Tea Inc. (PEET) shares shot up Wednesday
after an analyst speculated that the company will likely sell
coffee for Green Mountain Coffee Roasters Inc.'s (GMCR) popular
Keurig single-cup brewer.
Janney Capital analyst Mitch Pinheiro, who upgraded Emeryville,
Calif.-based Peet's to buy from neutral on Wednesday, said a
partnership between the coffee companies could be unveiled as soon
as Sunday.
In early afternoon trade, Peet's shares jumped 7% to $45.88.
Green Mountain shares rose 0.4% to $40.51.
"We believe adding [Peet's] to the Keurig platform would have
the same or greater impact in California as adding Starbucks,"
Pinheiro wrote in a research note.
Shares of Starbucks Corp. (SBUX) fell 1% to $31.95 in Wednesday
afternoon trade.
Peet's has strong brand recognition on the West Coast. Green
Mountain's market share in West Coast grocery stores is
minimal.
Pinheiro estimates a deal would add $1 a share to Peet's
earnings in 2012, valuing the stock at $57 a share on his
fair-value calculation. He said he has no knowledge of any
agreement, but he pointed out that Peet's tried to buy Diedrich
Coffee Roasters of Irvine, Calif. That developed into a bidding war
that Green Mountain eventually won last May. Prior to the
acquisition, Diedrich held a license to make coffee for the Keurig
brewer.
Spokeswomen for Peet's and Green Mountain said their companies
don't comment on rumors.
In recent months, there has been heated speculation over future
partnerships and other moves by companies in the fast-growing
single-cup brewer market, especially since Starbucks said last
November it was ending its supermarket-distribution deal with Kraft
Foods (KFT) .
Most recently, Dunkin' Donuts on Feb. 22 said it will make
coffee for use in Green Mountain's Keurig brewer. The K-Cup portion
packs used for the Keurig machine will be sold in 14-count boxes at
Dunkin' Donuts stores in the U.S. and Canada starting this
summer.
On Feb. 15, Starbucks struck a deal with Courtesy Products to
provide its ground coffee for Courtesy's single-cup machine used in
more than 500,000 U.S. hotel rooms.
In a memo to employees, Starbucks Chief Executive Howard Schultz
said the single-cup market is a $4 billion market segment that is
the fastest-growing in the global coffee industry. He said 80% of
Starbucks customers don't own a single-serve coffee machine in
their homes.
Green Mountain currently dominates the single-cup coffee machine
market in the U.S.
-Matt Andrejczak; 415-439-6400; AskNewswires@dowjones.com
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