Gensource Potash Corporation ("Gensource" or the "Company")
(TSX.V: GSP), a fertilizer development company focused on
sustainable potash production, announces the completion of a
National Instrument (NI) 43-101 Technical Report (the “2021
Technical Report”), providing the most current technical and
economic information for its first project, the Tugaske Project
(the “Project” or “Tugaske”). The Project is nearing completion of
the non-recourse financing process with its debt and equity
partners – aiming to move towards construction later this year. The
Company is excited to be able to provide this up-to-date
information to the public and its dedicated shareholder group.
This press release features multimedia. View
the full release here:
https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20210322005258/en/
Figure 1: Conceptual Rendering for
Tugaske Project Plant Site (Photo: Business Wire)
Since the publication of the Company’s previous NI 43-101
Technical Report in February, 2018 (the “2018 Technical Report”),
Gensource has achieved key milestones required to move the Project
forward to implementation, including: additional resource
confirmation drilling and geological studies focused on operational
items, securing a customer for 100% of the intended production from
the Project (referred to as the “Offtaker”), arranging for the
senior debt facility, attracting potential equity partners,
advancing engineering and design efforts and completing land
control activities to enable the project to proceed into
construction smoothly. The previously disclosed Feasibility Study
has been advanced past the feasibility level and, with the
selection of key vendors and advancing long-lead procurement, the
project has now completed a FEED (Front End Engineering and Design)
level Study, ready for full execution. All of this work has been
consolidated in the 2021 Technical Report.
Mike Ferguson, President & CEO of Gensource commented,
“Since our last technical report, the Company has grown rapidly and
the Project has progressed notably. Gensource and our partners
remain confident that the Tugaske Project, as validated by our team
of experts and disclosed in this 2021 Technical Report, is
technically and economically robust – and as such, we continue to
move as swiftly as possible to complete the financing process in
order to see the Project realized. We are pleased to share the
updates on our first project, and look forward to more exciting
announcements to come.”
Following are the main highlights from the 2021 Technical
Report.
Project Summary:
Modifications were made to the previous engineering work to
allow the Tugaske Project to suit the requirements of the US
market. Such modifications included the incorporation of a revised
final product specification as well as a traditional bulk product
storage, loading and hauling strategy. See Table 1 for general
highlights of the Tugaske Project. See Figure 1 for a conceptual
rendering of the Tugaske Project plant site.
Table 1: Tugaske Project Highlights
Parameter
Results
Production capacity:
250,000 tonnes per year of final saleable
product, 60% K2O, granular grade (SGN 300), pink or white/clear
(“MOP”, or “potash”)
Mine life:
58+ years based on the Reserve defined in
the Patience Lake Sub-Member 1 (PLM 1) only (note: economic
analysis only considers 40 years of full production)
Mining method:
Selective solution mining using horizontal
caverns
Processing:
Cooling crystallization incorporating
innovative energy efficiency measures
Product storage and loadout:
Approximately 25,000 short tons of total
product storage at the Project site, comprising a bulk product
storage warehouse and bulk rail car storage track. Ability to load
and ship product via bulk rail and/or bulk truck
Product transport and
logistics:
A rail spur is planned to the plant site
to allow all product to be transported by rail. The Project’s
Offtaker will take title to the product FCA Tugaske Project mine
site; as such, there are no transportation and logistics costs
(shipping) borne by Gensource or the Project. All transportation
and logistics costs appear as deductions to the net mine site price
received for the product.
CAPEX:
$CAD 353.6 Million, including contingency
(≈$US 261.9 Million)
Construction:
~ 24-month construction period, including
commissioning and start-up. Peak construction work force of
approximately 150.
OPEX:
$CAD 64.10/t final product ($US 47.48/t).
The major components of OPEX are natural gas delivered to site at
$CAD 3.12 /GJ and operating personnel count of 46 full time
staff.
Sustaining CAPEX:
Average annual sustaining capital of $CAD
21.24/t ($US 15.73/t) per year, including full cavern (6) and
pipeline replacement every 12 years
Project Financing:
In a news release, dated May 21, 2019, Gensource announced it
had entered into a non-binding Memorandum of Understanding (MOU) to
form a joint venture (JV) company to develop the Tugaske Project.
The parties to the JV reached an agreement in principle on offtake
amount, duration of offtake, equity contribution and the JV
operating structure.
In a subsequent news release dated January 30, 2020, Gensource
officially announced Helm AG and its North American subsidiary,
Helm Fertilizer Corp. (together “Helm”), as the Tugaske Project’s
Offtaker. Helm, founded in 1900, is a privately-owned company based
in Hamburg, Germany. Helm is one of the world’s largest chemical
marketing companies and provides access to the world’s key markets
through its specific regional knowledge and more than 100
subsidiaries, sales offices, and participations in over 30
countries. The definitive offtake agreement for Tugaske will have
Helm purchase 100% of the production from the Project for 10 years,
renewable thereafter.
In a news release dated October 18, 2019, Gensource announced it
formally mandated KfW IPEX-Bank GmbH (“KfW”) to act as Lead
Arranger for the senior debt component of the Tugaske Project
finance package. KfW IPEX-Bank is responsible for international
project finance within the larger KfW Bank Group, and is
headquartered in Frankfurt, Germany. Further, in a news release
dated May 19, 2020, Gensource announced that the French
multinational bank, Société Générale (“SocGen”), has also joined
the banking group for Tugaske as joint lead arranger of the debt
facility. Together, KfW and SocGen are referred to as the “Senior
Lenders”.
Through the debt financing process, the Senior Lenders have
engaged independent consultants to perform due diligence reviews on
the following aspects of the Project: Technical, Marketing,
Environmental & Social, Legal, Insurance, and Financial
Modelling. While each review identifies and discusses risks related
to the Project, no fatal flaws have been identified. Non-material
risks can be mitigated through the implementation of accepted
engineering practices.
As part of the financing, the Project is eligible for insurance
coverage under the German Export Credit Agency (“ECA”) Euler Hermes
– who, on behalf of the German Government, provides an export
credit guarantee in the form of insurance on the exports of
services, materials, equipment, etc. from Germany.
To optimize qualifying German content in the Project, eligible
for ECA coverage, Gensource formally engaged K-UTEC AG Salt
Technologies, Koeppern GmbH & Co KG, and Ebner GmbH & Co KG
(referred to as “KKE” for simplicity). Together, KKE represent
world-class services in the area of potash process design,
equipment fabrication and supply. Based on the combined experience
and capabilities of KKE, Gensource saw an opportunity to not only
work with these 3 select German companies and have this work
qualify for ECA coverage, but also to simplify the number of
Project interfaces by packaging the entire process plant into a
single design-supply-commission contract package. Packaging the
entire process plant into one export contract enables KKE to
provide a process guarantee for the production quality and quantity
specified for the Project.
In addition to the engagement of KKE, Siemens AG (“Siemens”) has
been engaged by Gensource to provide the design, supply and
commission of the site-wide electrical, instrumentation and
controls system. Siemens is a German multinational conglomerate
company headquartered in Munich, Germany, with branch offices all
over the world. Further, Gensource is also working with MAVEG
Industrieausrüstungen GmbH (“MAVEG”), who is a procurement general
contractor and content aggregator based in Ratingen, Germany. The
role of MAVEG will be to help manage the procurement and export
process, acting as the “exporter of record” for any services,
equipment, and/or materials outside the KKE & Siemens packages
that Gensource wishes to have covered under the ECA scheme.
Mineral Resources
The geological model of the deposit (constructed in Maptek
Vulcan) was updated using all available drilling information,
including the data collected from 2 most recent resource
confirmation wells completed in the Project area by Gensource. The
inclusion of these wells added to the robustness of the geological
model and resulted in the reclassification of Resource previously
estimated. Figure 2 shows the location of the exploration drill
holes within the Project area, including the 2 additional wells
drilled by Gensource in 2018 and 2019 (noted as “4-1” and “8-4”
respectively). It should be noted that these 2 wells are drilled
within the area covered by 3D seismic.
As per CIM Definition Standards (2014), Mineral Resource for the
2021 Technical Report was classified as: Inferred, Indicated, and
Measured. The Resource categories were calculated for the Patience
Lake and the Belle Plaine Members only. Due to the pervasive
presence of carnallite and lower grades, no Resource was defined
for the deepest horizon, the Esterhazy Member.
Table 2 shows a sensitivity analysis of the sylvite tonnage
based on a range of possible recovery rates (Effective February 18,
2021) – with the assumed “base case” recovery of 40% (outlined in
red) resulting in over 287 Million tonnes of Measured and Indicated
Resource in the Vanguard Area. This is an increase of approximately
82% over the Measured and Indicated Resources estimated in the 2018
Technical Report.
Table 2: Measured &
Indicated Resource Summary (With Base Case Highlighted)
Resource Category Total SylviniteTonnageMillion
tonnes (Mt) Sylvinite Tonnage withDeductionsMillion tonnes
(Mt) Sylvite Tonnage (KCl), 30%recoveryMillion tonnes
(Mt) Sylvite Tonnage (KCl),40% recoveryMillion tonnes
(Mt) Sylvite Tonnage (KCl),50% recoveryMillion tonnes
(Mt) Measured
1223.76
1162.57
124.49
165.99
207.49
Indicated
955.32
859.79
91.21
121.62
152.02
Total
2179.08
2022.36
215.71
287.61
359.51
Measured and Indicated Mineral Resources are inclusive of those
Mineral Resources modified to produce the Mineral Reserves – for
which Modifying Factors are considered and applied. The following
assumptions were applied during the Resource Estimation:
- K2O cut off grade of 15% (this equates to 24.6% KCl).
- Maximum carnallite cut-off of 6%.
- No insoluble cut-off.
- No thickness cut-off.
- The following Radii-of-Influence (ROI) were used, consistent
with previous NI 43-101 Technical Reports:
- Inferred ROI = 6000 m
- Indicated ROI = 2250 m
- Measured = 1500 m.
- A deduction of 25% for unseen / unknown anomalies was made in
the Inferred category and, based on the results of the 3D seismic,
this deduction was reduced to 10% for the Indicated Resource, and
5% for the Measured Resource.
Assuming the base case recovery of 40%, over 287 Million tonnes
of Resource has been classified in the Measured and Indicated
categories in the Vanguard Area. Based on the potential of future
work to devise suitable engineering and economics for the
conversion of this Resource into Reserve (as has been regularly
accomplished in Saskatchewan’s Prairie Evaporite deposit since
mining began in the late 1950’s), and subsequent application of the
pertinent Modifying Factors, when using the baseline design
capacity for annual production of 250,000 tonnes for a Gensource
module, it can be seen that the probable life of these modules
could theoretically approach multiple centuries.
Mineral Reserves
International definitions of Mineral Resources and Mineral
Reserves, including the CIM Definition Standards (2014) provide for
a direct relationship between Indicated Mineral Resources and
Probable Mineral Reserves, and between Measured Mineral Resources
and Proven Mineral Reserves. The Modifying Factors applied to the
Reserve calculated for the Tugaske Project in the 2021 Technical
Report include:
- the cavern extraction ratio;
- the cavern brine recovery percentage;
- the processing plant recovery (including downstream
transportation losses);
- the potash content in the salable Muriate of Potash (MOP)
product; and
- a tonnage reduction allowance for unknown anomalies.
For conservatism, only continuous operation of the solution
mining cavern, which is focused on the Lower sub-member of the
Patience Lake (“PLM 1”), is being considered. Therefore, the
Mineral Reserve represents only the base case for the feasibility
economics. The PLM 1 is on average 3.9m thick, with average potash
grades of 43% KCl, across the Vanguard Area.
Table 3: PLM 1 Proven & Probable Reserve
Summary
Reserve Category Mean CavernThickness (m)
KClGrade(wt. %) CarnalliteGrade(wt. %)
InsolublesGrade(wt. %) CavernVolume(m3)
CavernRecovery(%) Reduction forUnknownAnomalies
RecoverableCavern Volume(m3) Sylvinite TonnageMillion
Tonnes (Mt) MOP TonnageMillion Tonne (Mt) Proven
3.90
42.02
0.71
6.44
15,657,077
60.3
0.95
8,966,928
18.65
7.84
Probable
3.86
42.56
0.69
6.35
13,055,672
63.7
0.91
7,566,632
15.74
6.70
TOTAL
3.88
42.26
0.70
6.40
28,712,749
61.8
0.93
16,533,560
34.39
14.53
Table 3 shows over 14.5 Million Tonnes of Proven and Probable
Reserve for the Tugaske Project (Effective February 26, 2021),
based on the PLM 1 only, which indicates a minimum expected mine
life of at least 58 years – based on the annual production of
250,000 tonnes of saleable Muriate of Potash (MOP). This is an
increase in Proven and Probable Reserves of approximately 48%
compared to the results disclosed in the 2018 Technical Report.
Since the initial mine plan focuses only on the PLM 1, only a
small portion of the overall Resource is converted to Reserve for
the base case. In reality, mining of the PLM 1 is likely to
progress upwards over time into other sub-members of the Patience
Lake (i.e., PLM 2 through PLM 4); thus, increasing the potential
amount of KCl tonnes recovered from each cavern.
Mining Methods
Gensource’s selective solution mining method uses caverns
created through horizontal drilling technics. The caverns are
triangular in shape, approximately 800 m x 1600 m, and are located
at the bottom of the target mining horizon, initially the PLM1. A
mine plan was developed and caverns arranged throughout the
solution mining area to optimize access to the PLM1 Reserve. The
Life of Mine Plan, as presently configured, consists of 36
horizontal caverns. See Figure 3, showing the cavern layout within
the initial solution mining area (marked by the black square). The
contours represent the KCl grades of the PLM 1.
Based on the cavern plan dimensions, conservative factors were
applied to develop the cavern production and resulting cavern life
estimates. It is further estimated that each solution mining cavern
will produce an average of about 499,000 tonnes over its life. The
planned cavern production is 45,000 tonnes per year, per cavern,
giving each cavern an estimated operating life of approximately 12
years. Ultimately, each cavern will be operated as long as it is
economic, but for conservatism, a full cavern and wellfield
replacement (~ $CAD 46 Million) is included twice over the economic
life modelled for the Project.
Recovery Methods
The process design by KKE will guarantee a minimum of 250,000
tonnes per year of saleable MOP, granular grade (SGN 300), pink or
clear (white). Overall, the fundamental process design remains
unchanged, using cooling crystallization. Temperature reduction is
accomplished by mechanical cooling process. The brine stream
continuously recirculates between the solution mining caverns and
the process plant, picking up KCl in the caverns and crystallizing
it into solid KCl in the process plant. Once in crystalline form,
the KCl is dewatered by centrifuged and dried. Dry crystals then
report to the compaction and screening circuit where they are
converted to SGN 300 granular grade product using industry standard
methods.
Market Studies and
Contracts
As disclosed, Helm is the offtaker for the project as well as an
equity investor in Tugaske. Helm will purchase 100% of the
production from the Project for a term of 10 years, renewable
thereafter. The off-take includes typical take or pay provisions,
standard industry commercial terms and market-based pricing. Title
transfer will occur at the Tugaske plant site.
From the Tugaske site, Helm will place product with strategic
customers located in the US with a goal of efficiency in the
balance of market price and transportation and logistics costs. Due
to the agreed pricing formula, transportation and logistics costs
are accounted for in the determination of the net-back or net mine
site price for the product.
Argus Consulting Services, (“Argus”) was engaged in 2020 to
conduct a market analysis and pricing forecast for Tugaske’s
defined market area. Argus and its industry experts executed a
confidential study related to MOP supply, demand, costs and
pricing, with specific focus on the Project’s target market area,
providing an in-depth look into MOP supply and demand fundamentals
for the target market, including consumption by region, the cost to
serve to these regions, the competitive environment and the margins
on offer based on the marketing plan developed by Helm.
Capital & Operating
Costs
A fundamental product of the recent Project efforts included an
updated capital cost estimate (“CCE”), which is also referred to as
the capital expenditure (or, “CAPEX”). Key aspects incorporated
into the updated Project CAPEX estimate are:
- the integration of German content (vendors);
- inclusion of escalation since the original estimate was
completed, bringing procurement and pricing up to date; and
- inclusion of a number of risk-mitigating items as deemed
prudent by Gensource in consultation with the Senior Lenders’
Independent Engineer.
The total CAPEX for the Tugaske Project is estimated at $CAD
353.6 Million ($US 261.9 Million), including contingency of
approximately 10%. See Table 4 for the CAPEX summarized by Project
Work Breakdown Structure (WBS) Area.
Table 4: CAPEX Estimate by WBS
Area
WBS Area
$CAD
100 - Mining
30,760,003
200 - Well Field
17,084,230
300 - Process Plant
98,044,129
400 - Product Storage &
Loadout
15,893,291
500 - Site Infrastructure
23,737,903
600 - Offsites
7,879,549
700 - Non-Process Facilities
30,947,811
900 - Project Indirects
97,187,061
SUB-TOTAL
(Pre-Contingency)
321,533,977
980 – Contingency
32,153,398
GRAND TOTAL
353,687,375 *($US
261,990,648)
*Note: Assumes $US:$CAD Exchange of 1:1.35
Updates have also been made to the anticipated operating
expenditures (“OPEX”), as well as the budgeted maintenance costs
and sustaining capital expenditures (“sustaining CAPEX”) of the
operations. The adjustments incorporated changes driven by the
integration of KKE’s technical design changes to the process and
the resulting adjustments to the required utilities to support
these process changes. Also, with feedback provided by the Senior
Lenders’ Independent Engineer during the technical due diligence
process, adjustments were made to the annual budget estimates to
provide additional risk-mitigation for the operations and
conservatism in the Project economics. Figure 4 represents the
“All-In” cash operating costs of the Tugaske Project (shown in $US
per tonne KCl), once it reaches full production.
Due to the selective mining method and Gensource’s processing
enhancements, the small-scale facilities will run at extremely low
cost per tonne of product produced. When compared to data published
by other projects, the OPEX per tonne appears at the low end of the
lowest quartile of all potash operations globally.
Economic Analysis
The financial performance of the Project has been updated, once
again using a discounted cash flow (“DCF”) analysis. The DCF
analysis for the Project uses the following input parameters and is
based on the assumptions as described below:
- The economic analysis is based on the sources and uses of
funds;
- Potash production is 100% granular grade and conforms to the
specifications required by the Offtaker (i.e., SGN 300, granular
grade MOP);
- Approximately 25,000 short tons of combined storage capacity on
site;
- Default currency reported in $US;
- Annual OPEX costs of $US 47.48/t KCl ($CAD 64.10/t KCl);
- Annual sustaining CAPEX costs of $US 15.73/t KCl ($CAD 21.24/t
KCl;
- Currency exchange ($US:$CAD) was carefully considered. In order
to appropriately reflect the historical, current and future
currency fluctuations, an exchange rate of 1:1.35 was used in the
first 2 years of construction with a 1:1.30 conversion factor for
life of mine. When converting any values established during FEED
from $CAD to $US for the sake of reporting/comparison, the June
2020 Bank of Canada $US:$CAD of 1:1.35 was used;
- Base case pricing for granular product is the net-back price of
product “Free Carrier” (Incoterms®: FCA) mine site forecast
supplied by Argus Consulting Services (June 6, 2020) net of a
marketing fee. There was no price escalation applied after the
10-year forecast (i.e., flat forward pricing);
- Product delivery is FCA mine site (at Tugaske, SK), as per the
terms of the detailed offtake agreement;
- There is no expansion assumed beyond 250,820 tonnes per annum
(t/a);
- The economic mine life is estimated at 45 years, including 40
years of full production;
- Consideration was given to the expected timing and allocation
of construction CAPEX;
- The cash flows include Saskatchewan Resource Surcharge (3% of
revenue), Provincial Royalties (3% of K2O net revenue) and
Saskatchewan Potash Profit Tax (PPT), as well as other commercial
royalties as per royalty agreements negotiated by Gensource;
- Head office general and administrative (“G&A”) expenses of
1.50% of gross revenue are included, over and above the identified
management and administration personnel accounted for in the
Project OPEX;
- Fixed OPEX costs reflects an inflator of 1% per annum; and
While CAPEX and OPEX were added to the Project to account for
both identified and unidentified risks, the overall project
financing package has also been defined. The financing package
includes costs for not only CAPEX, but also other financing costs
including fees, closing costs, ECA premiums, interest during
construction, cost overrun account, debt service reserve account,
price protection account and other senior lender credit
enhancements. Table 5 shows the baseline sources and uses of funds
for the Project, which are the basis for the calculation of
financial performance. These financial model input parameters are
subject to change as the definitive senior debt facility agreement
is completed and signed.
Table 5: Project Sources &
Uses of Funds*
Description
Amount ($US)
Percent of Total
Sources:
Senior Debt
213,000,000
60.3
%
Equity (Includes cash and Paid-In
capital)
140,138,517
39.7
%
Total Sources:
353,138,517
100
%
Uses:
Capex
238,173,316
67.4
%
Cost Overrun Account
30,000,000
8.5
%
Paid-In capital (non-cash)
30,000,000
8.5
%
Project Contingency
23,817,332
6.7
%
Banking fees, ECA premium and closing
costs
25,660,079
7.3
%
Interest during construction
5,487,790
1.6
%
Total Uses of Funds:
353,138,517
100
%
*Note: These financial model input parameters remain in
negotiations and are subject to change as the definitive senior
debt facility agreement is completed.
Incorporating these financing costs with the revised CAPEX and
OPEX into the updated financial model (which, at the Effective Date
of this Report is undergoing its final audit process), it has been
found that the Tugaske Project remains financially robust,
demonstrating attractive economics. The key financial performance
indicators are provided in Table 6.
Table 6: Financial Performance
Summary
Economic Indicator
Before Sask. Prof Tax
After Sask. Prof Tax*
Final After- Tax**
NPV8 ($CAD)
$
646,448,619
$
418,336,934
$
362,428,730
NPV8 ($US)
$
478,850,829
$
309,879,210
$
268,465,726
IRR
21.34
%
18.48
%
17.59
%
*Note: The Saskatchewan Potash Profit Tax calculated does not
take into account new regulations regarding R&D credits
announced by the Saskatchewan Government December 2020.
**Note: Final After-tax (Corporate rate of 27%) IRR and NPV to
do not take into account Net Operating Losses (NOL) that may be
available to the Project. These NOL’s may be used to offset
corporate taxes. Thus, the published Final After-Tax IRR/NPV may be
understated.
Conclusion &
Recommendations
The conclusions and recommendations in the 2021 Technical
Report, consistent with those discussed in the Tugaske Project
Feasibility Report (Gensource, 2020) and Tugaske Project FEED
Report (Gensource, 2020) are:
- The ongoing work on the Tugaske Project continues to
demonstrate the technical and economic robustness of the Project -
providing Gensource and its partners the confidence to continue to
advance efforts to implement the Project;
- The next steps for implementing the Project include finalizing
key financing activities and establishing the project joint venture
company, both of which are underway and nearing completion at the
Effective Date of this report;
- Upon completion of the project financing efforts, the JV group
will make the final decision to advance the Project to the next
stage of development: detailed engineering, procurement, and
construction activities (i.e., Project Execution Phase); and
- With this “construction decision” made, resources will be
allocated to Project execution, at which point it is anticipated to
achieve first production from the Project within approximately 2
years.
Cautionary Notes:
- Note that the base unit for tonnages are listed as the Système
international d'unités (SI) unit of tonnes (t) - with a measurement
of 1000 kg (or approximately 2204.6 lbs) per tonne. Tonnes are
sometimes referred to as “metric tons” to contrast with a “short
ton” being equivalent to 2000 lbs (or approximately 907.2 kg). It
is common for some information on potash to be listed in short
tons, such as commodity pricing, when looking at public sources.
The reader is cautioned about the difference in these 2 units and
the impact these have on the resulting values reported.
- The Mineral Resource numbers presented are based on a
sensitivity analysis of the sylvite tonnage based on a range of
possible recovery rates. An assumed recovery rate of 40% is
highlighted as the “base case” – and results for a lower and higher
recovery than assumed (i.e., 30% and 50% respectively) are shown
for comparison. The exact recovery rates are unknown and can only
be confirmed through actual production numbers. However, based on
the collective experience of the QPs, the base case of 40%
represents a conservative assumption.
- Measured Mineral Resources do not automatically convert to
Proven Mineral Reserves and may become Probable Mineral Reserves
based on the “Modifying Factors”. In other words, the level of
geoscientific confidence for Probable Mineral Reserves is
comparable to that required for the determination of Indicated
Mineral Resources, and the level of confidence for Proven Mineral
Reserves is comparable to that required for the in-situ
determination of Measured Mineral Resources.
- Mineral Reserves have been defined in terms of tonnes of MOP,
which is typically 98.1% KCl in the case of granular MOP produced
from solution mining.
- The initial mine plan (and Reserve calculations) focuses only
on the PLM 1. It is acknowledged that cavern development and growth
targeted in the PLM will aim to be controlled through design and
operating technologies and techniques, there is no guarantee that
the actual growth/shape of each of the horizontal mining caverns
will exactly match designed. They may not develop consistently
across the length of the horizontal cavern, and therefore, may not
be restricted to the PLM 1. It is the opinion of the QPs that, in
reality, mining of the PLM 1 is likely to progress upwards over
time into other sub-members of the Patience Lake (i.e., PLM 2
through PLM 4), and if this is to occur, it is most likely to occur
nearest the injection points. In any case, there is high confidence
that regardless of the actual shape of the cavern, or the potash
sub-member that is being mined, more than adequate sylvinite
thickness and grades exist in the Vanguard Area to support the
development of the Project and mine as planned.
- The nominal production capacity of the Tugaske Project is
250,000 tonnes per annum (t/a) of final saleable MOP product.
However, from the engineering analysis and process design work
completed, the actual base case productive capacity of the Project,
operating for 8,000 hours per year, is 250,820 t/a. When dealing
with the analysis of cost per tonne of product produced in the 2021
Technical Report, the actual base case productive capacity of
250,820 t/a is used rather than the nominal capacity - resulting in
a true reflection of actual costs per tonne. The difference between
the two capacities is small at only 0.33%; however, note is made of
this difference to the reader for completeness.
- With respect to the “All-In” cash operating costs of the
Project, it should be noted that the first 5.5 years
(approximately) are “free” of the PPT – as the regulations allow
for tax shields through the grossed-up and accelerated depreciation
of capital costs incurred during the construction of the Project.
As such, the Tugaske Project will be shielded from PPT for
approximately 5.5 years of full production, at which point this PPT
“holiday” will conclude, and PPT will apply as discussed in
sub-section 21.2.4. In the 2021 Technical Report, two figures are
shown to depict the All-in cash operating costs, one during and one
after the PPT holiday. What should be noted is that the PPT is not
a fixed percent calculation but is based on quarter-to-quarter
profitability. The PPT calculated does not include R&D tax
credit provisions which are expected to be available to the Tugaske
Project when operating. As such, the PPT as calculated is likely
overstated.
- Key risks to the project include actual potash price and
netback price received, currency exchange rates and the speed of
solution mining ramp up.
- At the time of the FEED study, the US/CAD exchange rate was in
the range of 1.35 to 1.38. For the purposes of the FEED Study, a
rate of 1.35 was chosen. The currency exchange rate can have a
material impact on capex and opex for the project and, because of
that, a currency and interest rate hedge program will be
implemented, per the requirements of the senior lenders, to
minimize currency and interest rate risks.
The technical information presented in this news release has
been reviewed and approved by Mr. Mike Ferguson, P.Eng., who is a
Qualified Person (QP) according to NI 43-101 requirements. The
following QPs, who contributed to the authoring of the Technical
Report have reviewed and approved the content of this news release
and consent to its disclosure:
- Louis Fourie, P.Geo.
- Douglas Hambley, Ph.D., P.E., P.Eng., P.G.
- Devon Atkings, P.Eng.
- Lindsay Ruel, P.Eng.
- Dany Bernard, P.Eng.
- Kyle Blixt, P.Eng.
- Sheridan Fjeld, P.Eng.
About Gensource
Gensource Potash is a fertilizer development company based in
Saskatoon, Saskatchewan and is on track to become the next
fertilizer production company in that province. With a small scale
and environmentally leading approach to potash production,
Gensource believes its technical and business model will be the
future of the industry. Gensource operates under a business plan
that has two key components: (1) vertical integration with the
market to ensure that all production capacity built is directed,
and pre-sold, to a specific market, eliminating market-side risk;
and (2) technical innovation which will allow for a small and
economic potash production facility, that demonstrates
environmental leadership within the industry, producing no salt
tailings, therefore eliminating decommissioning risk, and requiring
no surface brine ponds, thereby removing the single largest and
negative environmental aspect of potash mining.
Neither TSX Venture Exchange nor its Regulation Services
Provider (as that term is defined in the policies of the TSX
Venture Exchange) accepts responsibility for the adequacy or
accuracy of this release.
Caution Regarding Forward-Looking
Statements
This news release may contain forward looking information and
Gensource cautions readers that forward- looking information is
based on certain assumptions and risk factors that could cause
actual results to differ materially from the expectations of
Gensource included in this news release. This news release includes
certain "forward-looking statements”, which often, but not always,
can be identified by the use of words such as "believes",
"anticipates", "expects", "estimates", "may", "could", "would",
"will", or "plan". These statements are based on information
currently available to Gensource and Gensource provides no
assurance that actual results will meet management's expectations.
Forward looking statements include estimates and statements with
respect to Gensource’s future plans, objectives or goals, to the
effect that Gensource or management expects a stated condition or
result to occur, including the ability to finance the Tugaske
Project or other projects, the establishment of vertical
integration partnerships and the sourcing of end use potash
purchasers. Since forward-looking statements are based on
assumptions and address future events and conditions, by their very
nature they involve inherent risks and uncertainties. Actual
results relating to Gensource’s financial condition and prospects,
the ability to finance the Tugaske Project or other projects on
terms which are economic or at all, the ability to establish viable
vertical integration partnerships and the sourcing of end use
potash purchasers could differ materially from those currently
anticipated in such statements for many reasons such as: failure to
finance the Tugaske Project or other projects on terms which are
economic or at all; failure to settle a definitive joint venture
agreement with a party and advance and finance the project; changes
in general economic conditions and conditions in the financial
markets; the ability to find and source off-take agreements;
changes in demand and prices for potash; litigation, legislative,
environmental and other judicial, regulatory, political and
competitive developments; technological and operational
difficulties encountered in connection with Gensource’s activities;
an inability to predict and counteract the effects of COVID-19 on
the business of Gensource, including but not limited to the effects
of COVID-19 on the price of commodities, capital market conditions,
restriction on labour and international travel and supply chains;
and other matters discussed in this news release and in filings
made with securities regulators. This list is not exhaustive of the
factors that may affect any of Gensource’s forward-looking
statements. These and other factors should be considered carefully,
and readers should not place undue reliance on Gensource’s
forward-looking statements. Gensource does not undertake to update
any forward-looking statement that may be made from time to time by
Gensource or on its behalf, except in accordance with applicable
securities laws.
View source
version on businesswire.com: https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20210322005258/en/
Gensource Potash Corporation: Mike Ferguson, President
& CEO Telephone: (306) 974-6414 Email: mike@gensource.ca
Gensource Potash (TSXV:GSP)
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