Why Crypto Market Could See 65% Drop, Expert Says
17 Août 2022 - 06:09PM
NEWSBTC
The crypto market has extended its losses over the past week, as it
continues to gain downside momentum. Main cryptocurrencies in the
top 10 by market cap are trading in the red with very few
preserving some of their gains from last week. Related Reading:
Bitcoin Loses Ground While Dogecoin Metrics Soar At the time of
writing, the crypto total market cap stands at $1.09 trillion with
a 2% loss in the 4-hour chart. The sector was rejected at the $1.2
trillion resistance and seems on track to slate more losses in the
short term. Analyst Justin Bennett believes the sector could trend
lower if it breaks below support at $760 billion. As seen below,
the crypto total market cap has been moving in a channel for over 4
years. Every time the total market cap touches the top of this
channel, cryptocurrencies trend lower. At the time of writing, the
sector is a major crossroads and could attempt to re-test support
at around $300 billion if downside pressure extends. The analyst
said: Is another 65% drop in the cards for crypto? Don’t rule it
out. $760B will continue to be significant for TOTAL. But if that
breaks, a retest of this multi-year channel at $370B seems likely.
There are several factors that could contribute to selling pressure
across multiple timeframes. Today, the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed)
will speak about the current macro-economic outlook. Depending on
the statements from the financial institution’s official, digital
assets could experience some relief. Last week, the U.S. published
its Consumer Price Index (CPI) print for July, a metric used to
measure inflation in the U.S. dollar. The metric has been trending
down and could provide some room for the Fed to ease up on its
monetary policy. Today should provide more clues on the direction
the financial took might adopt. At the same time, the crypto market
could see an increase in volatility. What Could Push Crypto Lower
In addition, Bennett noted that the S&P 500 Index is
“mimicking” its 2008 crash. At that time, one of the worst crises
in recent history pushed the legacy financial system to the brink
of collapse. Bennett believes equities might be moving similarly to
2008 which hints at further losses for risk-on assets, such as
cryptocurrencies. As seen below, the S&P 500 might record some
gains before moving into its 2008 lows. In that sense, Bennett said
that the bottom “is not if for stock or crypto” while he
contemplates the possibility of a “devasting crash” in the nascent
asset class. The analyst added: And if that doesn’t seem possible,
know that the S&P dropped 50% during the 2000 crash and 57% in
2008. The Fed was also in a MUCH better position to step in and
save markets during both of those crashes. Related Reading:
Chainlink In Bearish Mood As LINK Price Retreats To $8.63 Still,
larger cryptocurrencies such as Bitcoin and Ethereum have been able
to sustain key support levels despite macroeconomic conditions. The
latter might pull back on its negative effects on digital assets if
the Fed pivots its approach to combat inflation with a less
aggressive strategy.
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