Bitcoin Indicator Signals Short-Term Holders Have Been Taking Profits – Is The Next Rally Near?
09 Février 2025 - 12:30PM
NEWSBTC
Bitcoin is trading below the $100K mark after enduring a volatile
and turbulent week. The cryptocurrency faced extreme selling
pressure last Sunday, dropping over 9% in less than 24 hours.
Although Bitcoin managed a slight recovery on Monday, the selling
pressure has persisted, leaving the market in a state of
uncertainty. Related Reading: Whales Accumulate 100 Million
Dogecoin In 24 Hours – Demand Signals Growing Confidence Key
metrics shared by Axel Adler on X shed light on the current state
of Bitcoin’s price action. According to Adler, the Bitcoin
Short-Term Holder (STH) MVRV indicator has declined from $98K and a
value of 1.35 to average levels. This drop suggests that short-term
holders have been actively taking profits during this period of
heightened volatility. The STH MVRV is a critical indicator for
assessing market sentiment among short-term participants.
Historically, values above 1.30–1.35 signal an overheated market,
often leading to sell-offs. The recent decline in the indicator
indicates that some short-term holders have exited their positions,
potentially marking the end of a local overheated phase. As Bitcoin
consolidates below $100K, market participants are keeping a close
eye on key support and resistance levels, hoping to identify the
next big move in this unpredictable market environment. For now,
profit-taking and volatility dominate the narrative. Bitcoin Faces
Persistent Selling Pressure As Short-Term Holders Exit Positions
Bitcoin has been grappling with heightened volatility and selling
pressure since the start of February, a trend that has negatively
impacted altcoins and meme coins, leading to bearish price action
across the market. Analysts are increasingly calling for a
correction as bulls show signs of fatigue and price movements
suggest further declines could be on the horizon. Key insights from
CryptoQuant, shared by Axel Adler on X, reveal an important shift
in market dynamics. The Bitcoin Short-Term Holder (STH) MVRV
indicator, a critical tool for gauging short-term holder behavior,
has declined from $98K and 1.35 to average levels. This drop
indicates that short-term holders have been taking profits amid the
recent market volatility. Historically, an STH MVRV above 1.30–1.35
signals an overheated market, often preceding significant
sell-offs. The current decline in the indicator suggests that a
portion of short-term holders have exited their positions,
relieving some pressure on the market. A return to average levels
typically marks the end of a local overheated phase. Related
Reading: Solana Holds Support Above Key Indicator – Expert Sees
Push To ATH If Momentum Returns If demand remains strong, Bitcoin
is likely to enter a consolidation or sideways trading phase
following this period of profit-taking. However, a drop in the STH
MVRV below 1.0 would signal the formation of a local bottom,
potentially setting the stage for a future rally. As the market
navigates this period of uncertainty, monitoring these key metrics
will be crucial in anticipating Bitcoin’s next move. Price
Struggles to Find Direction Below $100K Bitcoin is trading at
$96,700 after several days of sideways movement within a tight
range between $100,000 and $95,600. The price has been unable to
establish a clear direction, with bulls losing control after
failing to hold the $100K mark last Tuesday. This lack of momentum
has created an atmosphere of uncertainty in the market, leaving
traders on edge as Bitcoin hovers near key support levels. The
short-term outlook for Bitcoin remains unclear, as neither bulls
nor bears have managed to take decisive control. If Bitcoin fails
to hold above the critical $95K support level, a deeper decline
into the $90K demand zone could follow. Such a move would signal
increased selling pressure, potentially dampening sentiment further
and extending the current consolidation phase. Related Reading:
Ethereum Is Consolidating After The Flush Last Weekend – The Calm
Before A Big Move? On the other hand, reclaiming the $100K level is
crucial for bulls to regain control and push the price higher.
However, without a strong push above this psychological resistance,
Bitcoin’s price action is likely to remain choppy and uncertain.
Market participants are watching closely for any signs of a
breakout or breakdown, as the next move could define Bitcoin’s
trajectory in the coming weeks. For now, caution remains the
prevailing sentiment. Featured image from Dall-E, chart from
TradingView
Solana (COIN:SOLUSD)
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Solana (COIN:SOLUSD)
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