Bitcoin’s Market at a Crossroads: Are Long-Term Holders Signalling a Correction or a Rally?
07 Décembre 2024 - 6:00AM
NEWSBTC
The role of Bitcoin long-term holders (LTHs) has again come under
the microscope of analysts as the asset currently faces a 4.5%
correction from its all-time high (ATH) above $100,000 created on
Thursday. These holders, defined as those who retain their Bitcoin
for over 155 days, are known to influence market movements through
their accumulation and distribution behaviors significantly. A
recent analysis by CryptoQuant analyst Datascope has highlighted
key trends in LTH activity that could signal the next phase for
Bitcoin. Related Reading: Hut 8 Unveils $750 Million Initiative To
Establish Strategic Bitcoin Reserve Key Trends And Historical
Context Datascope’s insights highlight the importance of the LTH
accumulation/distribution ratio as an on-chain metric. This ratio
reflects whether LTHs are amassing Bitcoin, indicative of market
bottoms, or liquidating holdings during price peaks, often
signaling corrections. Historical patterns from 2013 and 2017 saw
LTHs engaging in substantial selling at market highs, while periods
like 2019 and 2020 were marked by intense accumulation, paving the
way for bull markets. According to datascope’s analysis, the peaks
of 2013 and 2017, which were characterized by heightened selling
activity from LTHs, correlated with significant price corrections.
These corrections, fueled by profit-taking, marked the culmination
of bullish cycles. Conversely, during the lows of 2019 and 2020,
LTHs exhibited strong accumulation tendencies, which signalled
confidence in Bitcoin’s long-term potential and laying the
groundwork for subsequent price surges. Now in 2024, datascope
pointed out that the LTH metric is once again providing critical
insights into market conditions. Recent data reveals increased
selling activity among LTHs, a behaviour observed during periods of
market overheating or resistance at current price levels. While
this trend could hint at an impending correction, it also raises
the possibility of the market transitioning into a new accumulation
phase. Echoing this, a recent report from CryptoQuant reveals there
has been sustained buying pressure from US investors. Bitcoin
passes $100k as institutional demand drives the market. The
Coinbase Premium Index highlights sustained buying pressure from
U.S. investors. pic.twitter.com/eZvKFCmVxs — CryptoQuant.com
(@cryptoquant_com) December 5, 2024 Current Outlook On Bitcoin
Bitcoin has continued to see decline in its price following the
$103,679 ATH recorded yesterday. At the time of writing, BTC has
dropped 2.2% in the past 24 hours with a current trading price of
$99,208. Regardless of this, the asset appears to still be in an
uptrend. over the past month, Bitcoin is still up by roughly 33.6%
with a current market capitalisation of $1.965 trillion. Related
Reading: Is Bitcoin’s $100K Just the Beginning? Key Insights from
Supply Distribution Data datascope commenting on Bitcoin’s current
market outlook wrote: The market is at a crossroads, potentially
entering a new upward cycle or consolidating before a deeper
correction. With Bitcoin in an “overheated” zone, investors should
exercise caution and evaluate profit-taking opportunities. Featured
image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView
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