Aquamarine Capital Believes Buyout of Everlast at $26.50 is under-Priced - Fair Value in Excess of $50 Per Share
04 Juin 2007 - 2:05PM
Business Wire
On Friday, June 1st, Everlast Worldwide Inc. (NasdaqNM, EVST)
announced an agreement to be acquired by The Hidary Group for
$26.50 per share. This represents a modest premium of 14% to the
prior closing price and a total value of $146 million. While we
commend management (in particular Seth Horowitz, CEO) for an
exceptional job of resurrecting Everlast over the past several
years, we believe this offer significantly undervalues both the
brand and the company. As current shareholders who have so far
accumulated 2.3% of the company, we intend to vote against the
takeover proposal. The Everlast brand is over 90-years old and is
by far the dominant global brand in the sport of boxing. It has
been worn by famous boxing personalities such as Muhammad Ali
(Cassius Clay), Mike Tyson and Jack Dempsey. The brand has been
worn in blockbuster films by famous award winning actors such as
Sylvester Stallone in �Rocky� (1976), Russell Crowe in �Cinderella
Man� (2005) and Hillary Swank in �Million Dollar Baby� (2004) as
well as having been featured in the HBO television series �the
Contender�. With such a remarkable heritage and extensive media
exposure, Everlast is perhaps the only company we know of that can
successfully compete with global juggernauts such as Nike (NYSE,
NKE), Adidas (Deutsche Boerse, ADI,) and Puma (Deutsche Boerse,
PUM.) The $26.50 takeover price equates to less than 12x FY 2007
EBITDA guidance. Given management�s recent history of conservative
guidance, coupled with the buyer being closely associated with a
current Everlast licensee, we believe that recent guidance will
likely prove conservative, bringing the multiple closer to 10x if
not lower. Other fast-growing athletic and performance oriented
consumer brands with lesser brand recognition, are valued at
multiples which are 2x-3x greater. Assuming $15mm in EBITDA
generation by 2008 (an arguably conservative estimate), a $50 share
price for Everlast would equate to 18x EBITDA. Furthermore,
$50/share represents a 30%-40% discount to the current value of
comparables companies like Under Armor (UA, NYSE, $47.68, 31x
EV/EBIDA), and would come much closer to representing fair value
for current shareholders, in our view. At this morning�s annual
meeting, Everlast disclosed a 30-day �go shop� period in which the
board will evaluate competing bids for the company. We mention this
because this information was not included in this morning�s press
release, which could lead current investors to conclude that the
$26.50 offer is final. Given the disparity between the offer price
and our view of fair value for this company, we would be surprised
if superior bids do not arise.
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