Probe Gold Inc. (TSX: PRB)
(“
Probe” or the “
Company”) is
pleased to announce positive results from the independent updated
Preliminary Economic Assessment (“
PEA”) for its
100%-owned Novador Project (formerly known as Val-d’Or East) (the
“
Project”) located near Val-d’Or, Québec. The
updated PEA provides a base case assessment of developing the
Novador mineral resource by open pit and underground mining, and
gold recovery with a standard free milling flowsheet, incorporating
gravity and leaching of the gravity tails, with 50% estimated to be
recovered via gravity. The economic model supports an operation
with a high rate of return over a 12.6-year mine life, with
significant average annual production of 255,000 ounces, an
increase of 23% from the 2021 PEA. The updated PEA was prepared by
Ausenco Engineering Canada ULC (“
Ausenco”) in
accordance with National Instrument 43-101 – Standards of
Disclosure for Mineral Projects (“
NI 43-101”). The
updated NI 43-101 PEA Technical Report will be filed on SEDAR
within 45 days of this announcement.
David Palmer, President and Chief Executive
Officer of Probe, states, “Our initial goal for the Company was to
discover a gold deposit capable of producing 200,000 ounces per
year and we have now achieved an average of over 250,000 ounces per
year, over a mine life of almost 13 years, with a resource that is
still growing. From our last PEA in 2021 we have demonstrated
numerous improvements: our potential production has increased by
23%, our post-tax NPV is up over 50% to $910 million, we have
simplified our milling by removing ore sorting, and we have room
for additional improvement in the Pre-Feasibility Study (“PFS”).
Novador is a large, sustainable mining project leveraged to the
gold price with a production profile capable of producing nearly
300,000 ounces per year in the first five years, marking a
significant improvement over the previous PEA. To have gold
production of this capacity in a safe and stable jurisdiction like
Quebec distinguishes Novador as one of the pre-eminent gold
development projects in the world and we see its potential in
providing great benefits not only to our shareholders but also to
the communities that surround it. We will continue to focus on
de-risking and permitting Novador in order to add value in the most
efficient and effective way possible.”
Yves Dessureault, Chief Operating Officer of
Probe, states, “This updated PEA has surpassed our expectations
again and it clearly shows a robust and significant project.
Following 581,000 metres of drilling and numerous technical and
field studies to support robust design criteria, the project is on
solid foundations. We have also integrated project elements to
reduce its environmental footprint by taking advantage of its
proximity to existing infrastructure. For example, the project
includes rail delivery to site for reagents and consumables,
electrification of open pit mining equipment (drills and shovels),
backfilling of two open pits (one with waste rock and the other
with tailings) and dry staking of filtered tailings. With the
permitting process initiated last fall with the submission of the
initial project description to the Impact Assessment Agency of
Canada, we now have a better-defined project and are now ready to
further engage with the provincial, federal authorities and the
various stakeholders. Clearly, this project connects us with a
bright future.”
Description of the Novador Project and PEAThe
PEA is preliminary in nature and includes Inferred Mineral
Resources considered too speculative geologically to have the
economic considerations applied to them that would enable them to
be categorized as Mineral Reserves, and there is no certainty that
the results of the PEA will be realized. Mineral Resources are not
Mineral Reserves and do not have demonstrated economic
viability.
The Novador Project includes the properties on
the Pascalis, Monique and Courvan gold trends, which are all
100%-owned by Probe. The Project benefits from world-class mining
infrastructure, expertise for underground and open-pit operations
and highly qualified personnel. It can be easily reached by roads
that are well maintained in all seasons. Several large-scale mining
operations and gold mills (some with excess capacity) are currently
active in the area. Since 1930, more than 30 million ounces of gold
have been produced in the Val-d’Or mining camp.
Since 2016, Probe Gold has been consolidating
its land position in the highly prospective Val-d’Or East area in
the province of Quebec with a district-scale land package of 600
square kilometres that represents one of the largest land holdings
in the Val-d’Or mining camp. The Novador project is a sub-set of
properties totaling 175 square kilometres hosting three past
producing mines (Beliveau Mine, Bussière Mine and Monique Mine) and
falls along three regional mine trends. The current total Novador
resource stands at 3,793,900 ounces of gold in the Measured and
Indicated category (M&I) and 1,179,400 ounces of gold in the
Inferred category (see Table 9 and 11 for details on split between
open pit and underground, and for grade and tonnage in each
category).
Ausenco was appointed as lead consultant in
August of 2023 to prepare the updated PEA in accordance with NI
43-101 and was assisted by Moose Mountain Technical Services for
the mine design.
The independent PEA was prepared through the
collaboration of the following firms: Ausenco Engineering Canada
ULC (Ausenco), Moose Mountain Technical Services (MMTS),
InnovExplo, Knight Piésold Ltd. (KP), Richelieu Hydrogéologie Inc.,
Lamont Inc. and Rock Engineering Consulting Services. These firms
provided mineral resource estimates, design parameters and cost
estimates for mine operations, process facilities, major equipment
selection, rock and tailings storage, reclamation, permitting, as
well as operating and capital expenditures.
Financial Analysis
The economic analysis was performed assuming a
5% discount rate. On a pre-tax basis, the NPV5% is $1,530 million,
the IRR is 34.4% and the payback period is 3.5 years. On an
After-Tax basis, the NPV5% is $910 million, the IRR is 24.4% and
the payback period is 4.4 years. A summary of the Novador Project
economics, and the projected annual gold production is listed in
Table 1 and Figure 1, respectively.
Table 1: Summary of Novador Project
Economics
General |
|
|
LOM Total/Avg |
|
Gold Price (US$/oz) |
|
|
$1,750 |
|
Exchange Rate (US$:C$) |
|
|
0.74 |
|
Mine Life (years) |
|
|
12.6 |
|
Total Overburden and Waste Tonnes Mined (kt) |
|
|
504,344 |
|
Total Mill Feed Tonnes (kt) |
|
|
80,317 |
|
Total Underground Mill Feed Tonnes (kt) |
|
|
12,418 |
|
Total Open Pit Mill Feed Tonnes (kt) |
|
|
67,899 |
|
Strip Ratio (tonnes of waste: tonnes of mineralized material) |
|
|
7.43 x |
|
Production |
|
|
|
|
Mill Head Grade (g/t) |
|
|
1.30 |
|
Mill Recovery Rate (%) |
|
|
95.70% |
|
Total Mill Ounces Recovered (koz) |
|
|
3,210 |
|
Total Average Annual Production (koz) |
|
|
255 |
|
Operating Costs |
|
|
|
|
Open Pit Mining Cost (C$/t Mined) |
|
|
$2.88 |
|
Underground Mining Cost (C$/t Mined) |
|
|
$88.07 |
|
Processing Cost (C$/t Milled) |
|
|
$9.80 |
|
G&A Cost (C$/t Milled) |
|
|
$1.69 |
|
Refining & Transport Cost (C$/oz) |
|
|
$2.50 |
|
Total Operating Costs (C$/t Milled) |
|
|
$44.52 |
|
Net Equivalent Royalty after Buyback |
|
|
0.80% |
|
Cash Costs (US$/oz Au) |
|
|
$841 |
|
AISC (US$/oz Au) |
|
|
$1,038 |
|
Capital Costs |
|
|
|
|
Initial Capital (C$M) |
|
|
$602 |
|
Sustaining Capital (C$M) |
|
|
$818 |
|
Closure Costs (C$M) |
|
|
$64 |
|
Salvage Costs (C$M) |
|
|
($26) |
|
Financials |
Pre-Tax |
|
After-Tax |
|
NPV (5%) (C$M) |
$1,530 |
|
$910 |
|
IRR (%) |
34.4% |
|
24.4% |
|
Payback (years) |
3.5 |
|
4.4 |
|
Notes:* Cash costs consist of
mining costs, processing costs, mine-level G&A, refining and
transport charges and royalties** AISC includes cash costs plus
sustaining capital, closure costs, and salvage value
Cautionary Statement - The reader is advised
that the updated PEA summarized in this news release is intended to
provide only an initial, high-level review of the project potential
and design options. The updated PEA mine plan and economic model
include numerous assumptions and the use of Inferred Resources.
Inferred Resources are considered too speculative geologically to
have economic considerations applied to them that would enable them
to be categorized as Mineral Reserves, and there is no certainty
that the results of the updated PEA will be realized. Mineral
Resources are not Mineral Reserves and do not have demonstrated
economic viability.
Projected gold production averages 281,000
ounces per year over the first five years and 273,000 ounces per
year over the first eight years. The LOM production totals 3,210
koz and averages 255,000 ounces per year. Production will come from
open pit mining in the first two years before transitioning to a
combined open pit and underground operations afterwards.
Figure 1: Annual Gold
Production
Mine Design and Production Schedule
The updated PEA considers open-pit mining from
Monique, Courvan, Pascalis gold trends. Underground mining is used
to extract material outside of the Monique, Courvan and Pascalis
open pits. Underground mining areas are accessed from surface
portals and are mined concurrently with the open pits. The
underground mining methods considered in this study are longhole
retreat for the Monique gold trend and mechanized drift and fill
for the Courvan and Pascalis gold trends.
Lerchs-Grossman (LG) pit shell optimizations are
used to define the ultimate economic pit limit for each gold trend.
Ultimate pit limits are then split into smaller, detailed mining
phases which incorporate geotechnical feedback for berm width,
bench face angles and overall angles and also include highwall
ramps which are appropriately sized for the selected mining
equipment. Haulage profiles are built for each destination from
each phase, allowing the mining schedule program to include fleet
size optimization, along with grade profile and mining rate
optimizations.
Underground mining limits consider the expected
processing and mining costs, with mining costs dependent upon the
selected mining method. These costs are applied to the block model
inside a stope optimizer program to develop mining stope areas. The
stope areas are examined and small, isolated areas that would incur
high development costs are removed. The remaining stopes are
applied with appropriate mining loss and dilution factors. Stopes
are scheduled with consideration of throughput capacities on the
access ramps, ordered sequencing of stopes, timing of underground
production relative to open pit production, and overall personnel
requirements.
The scheduled mill feed Resources by type are as
follows: 5% Measured, 72% Indicated and 23% Inferred.
The owner-operated mining fleet will utilize
conventional truck and shovel methods with 16 cubic metre loaders
and 135-tonne haul trucks on 12m benches. Non-mineralized material
will be placed as near as possible to the pit rims to reduce
haulage costs. Mineralized material will be directed to stockpiles
or to the mill. Underground material is direct fed to the mill. The
average mill feed head grade during the first five years is 1.67
g/t Au and is 1.30 g/t Au over the LOM.
The mining schedule considers one year of
pre-production, followed by approximately 12.6 years of mill feed.
The mill feed throughput is planned at 15,500 tonnes per day (tpd)
for the first 5 years and then 19,200 tpd for the following 7.6
years. The mill feed is comprised of 67.9 million tonnes of
open-pit material and 12.4 million tonnes of underground material.
The open-pit strip ratio is 7.43 tonnes waste/tonnes mill feed.
Over the mine life, total gold production is forecasted to be
2,106koz from open-pit operations and 1,104koz from underground
operations.
Metallurgy and Mineral Processing
The process plant will employ gravity
concentration, standard leaching with carbon-in-leach (CIL)
technology for gold recovery. The process plant includes single
stage crushing followed by semi-autogenous (SAG) and ball milling,
classification, gravity concentration, leach and CIL, and cyanide
detoxification before tailings filtration. The filtered tailings
will be stored in the filtered tailing storage facility (FTSF) for
the first three years. After the New Beliveau/North open pit is
depleted in year 3, the tailings will bypass the filtration plant
and will be then deposited as a slurry to backfill this open pit.
The process plant will treat 5.66 Mt of mineralized material per
year at an average throughput of 15,500 tpd until the expansion in
year 6.
The process plant will be expanded in year 6 of
production to increase the plant capacity to treat 7.00 Mt of
material per year at an average throughput of 19,200 tpd. This will
be done by adding secondary crushing, pre-leach thickening and
increasing the primary grind size from 70 to 83 microns.
The mill design availability is 8,059 hours per
year or 92%. The crushing design availability is 5,694 hours per
year or 65%. The tailings filtration design availability is 7,183
hours per year or 84%. The process plant has been designed to
realize an average recovery of 95.7% of the gold over the life of
the Novador Project based on metallurgical test work completed at
Base Metallurgical Laboratories Ltd. in Kamloops, British Columbia
in 2022. Of this, 50% of the gold will be extracted by gravity and
a further 45.7% by the leach/CIP process.
Figure 2: Novador Process
Layout
Site Location and Infrastructure
The Novador Project is located approximately 25
kilometres east of the city of Val-d’Or in the province of Québec.
The Project is in a rich mining area with easy access to power,
labour, communities, highways, and a national railway adjacent to
the proposed process plant. Figure 3 shows the site plan with pit
locations, rock storage facilities, overburden stockpiles, water
collection ponds, the process plant, buildings, and the filtered
tailings storage facility (FTSF), among others.
The process plant site location selection
considered various factors including social, environmental,
topographic, accessibility, proximity to existing infrastructure,
and overall flow of material to the FTSF. Centralized
administration facilities, truck shop, wash bay, tire store,
refueling station, warehousing and explosive magazine are optimized
for efficient use of facilities.
Based on ongoing geochemical characterization
and the geology of the various deposits, it can be considered that
the waste rock, mineralized material and tailings should not be
acid-generating nor leachable. These positive characteristics of
the Novador Project (simplified operation, easier water management
and reduced closure risks) were incorporated into its design.
Based on a technology, preliminary siting,
ground condition and deposition study for the Novador Project, it
was decided to filter the tailings and store them in a FTSF until
the Beliveau/North open pit is depleted. Then, tailings will be
deposited as slurry within the Beliveau/North open pit.
Filtered tailings are one of the most
sustainable methods for storing tailings as there is no need for a
dam to hold them in place or potential long-term storage issues.
When dry stacking is applied, the filtered tailings (cake) will be
handled using a combination of loaders, trucks and dozers to a
stockpile immediately northwest of the filtering plant. The
filtered tailings will be loaded into haul trucks for deposition on
the FTSF, approximately 2.8 kilometres north of the process plant,
by road.
When the deposition method changes to in-pit
storage, the slurry will be pumped and transported by pipeline to
the depleted New Beliveau/North open pit. This approach is also
among the most sustainable methods for storing tailings and has the
additional benefit of reducing energy consumption, lower operating
cost and the backfilling of an open pit.
Runoff from the FTSF, as well as all storage
facilities (rock, mineralized material and over burden stockpiles)
will be collected in series of water management ponds and drainage
ditches. A public road (, Chemin Perron and Chemin Pascalis) is
diverted to the North and to the West and thus go around the site
as indicated on the site layout.
Figure 3: Novador Project Site
Layout
Operating Costs
Operating costs were derived using benchmark
information in the Val-d’Or region and are estimated at $44.52 per
tonne milled (Table 2).
Pricing for reagents and consumables was
solicited from qualified suppliers and reflects the expected
pricing for the project. Reagents and consumables are being
delivered by rail.
Table 2: Total Life of Mine Operating
Costs
COST AREA |
LOM(C$M) |
ANNUALAVG.
COST(C$M) |
AVG. LOM(C$/T MINED) |
AVG.LOM(C$/TMILLED) |
AVG. LOM(C$/OZ) |
OPEX(%) |
Mine Operating |
$2,653 |
$211 |
$4.78 |
$33.03 |
$827 |
74% |
|
Mill Processing |
$787 |
$63 |
N/A |
$9.80 |
$245 |
22% |
|
General &Administration |
$136 |
$11 |
N/A |
$1.69 |
$42 |
4% |
|
Total |
$3,576 |
$284 |
N/A |
$44.52 |
$1,115 |
100% |
|
Capital Costs
The total initial capital costs for the Novador
Project are estimated to be C$602M including allowances for
indirect costs. Sustaining capital costs are estimated at C$818M,
including plant expansion in Year 6
Quotations were solicited from suppliers for the
grinding section of the process plant equipment supply cost, which
constitutes 36% of the mechanical equipment cost of the project.
The remaining mechanical equipment costs were benchmarked from
recent Canadian mining studies.
Open pit mining equipment is assumed to be
leased (15% down payment with a 10% lease rate over 5 years)
Table 3: Total Capital
Costs
DESCRIPTION |
INITIAL CAPITAL COST(C$M) |
SUSTAINING CAPITAL COST (C$M) |
TOTAL INITIAL AND SUSTAINING CAPITAL COST
(C$M) |
MINING |
$118.4 |
$709.5 |
$827.9 |
ON SITE INFRASTRUCTURE |
$78.5 |
$27.3 |
$105.8 |
PROCESS PLANT |
$259.7 |
$10.2 |
$269.9 |
OFF SITE INFRASTRUCTURE |
$8.5 |
$2.9 |
$11.3 |
TOTAL DIRECT COSTS |
$465.1 |
$749.9 |
$1,215.0 |
PROJECT INDIRECTS |
$11.5 |
$3.3 |
$14.8 |
PROJECT DELIVERY |
$32.4 |
$2.2 |
$34.6 |
OWNER'S COSTS1 |
$23.2 |
|
- |
$23.2 |
PROVISIONS |
$70.0 |
$62.1 |
$132.1 |
TOTAL INDIRECT COSTS |
$137.1 |
$67.7 |
$204.8 |
PROJECT TOTAL COSTS |
$602.2 |
$817.5 |
$1,419.7 |
1 Includes wetlands and bodies of water
compensation.
The $709.5M in sustaining mining capital
includes $262.6M for the open pit mining fleet, $160.8M for the
underground (“UG”) mining fleet and $277.5M for the UG development
and infrastructure, expected to be self-funded through operating
cashflows. While the incremental UG production demands substantial
capital injection, all UG mining enhances overall production
profile and project value with the $1,750/oz gold price (base case
for the updated PEA mine planning), while offering additional
leverage to a potential increase in the gold price. Each UG
operation will be evaluated in more detail in the next phase of the
project to ensure that the sustaining and UG capital is providing
incremental value and that it is timed to maximize IRR.
Cashflow Analysis
The projected cash flow and sensitivities are
indicated below. The year 6 expansion and the UG development and
infrastructure starting in year 2 will be self-funded.
Figure 4: Projected Annual and
Cumulative LOM After-Tax Unlevered Free Cash Flow
Sensitivities
A sensitivity analysis was conducted on the base
case pre-tax and after-Tax NPV and IRR of the Novador Project,
using the following variables: metal price, initial capex, total
operating costs, and foreign exchange. Table 4 summarises the
after-tax sensitivity analysis results.
Table 4: After-Tax Sensitivity
Summary
Gold PriceUS$/oz |
$1,600 |
|
Base Case$1,750 |
$1,900 |
|
$2,050 |
|
$2,200 |
|
After-Tax NPV5% |
$626 |
|
$910 |
|
$1,188 |
|
$1,461 |
|
$1,730 |
|
IRR |
|
18.5% |
|
|
24.4% |
|
|
30.1% |
|
|
35.4% |
|
|
40.5% |
|
NPV5%/Capex |
1.0x |
1.5x |
2.0x |
2.4x |
2.9x |
Payback (Years) |
|
5.5 |
|
|
4.4 |
|
|
3.8 |
|
|
3.3 |
|
|
2.7 |
|
As shown in Table 5 and Table 6, the sensitivity
analysis revealed that the Novador Project is most sensitive to
changes in gold prices, and foreign exchange and less sensitive to
initial capex and operating costs.
Table 5: After-Tax
NPV5% Sensitivity
Gold PriceUS$/oz |
After-Tax NPV5%Base Case
(C$M) |
Initial Capital |
Total Operating Costs |
FX (CAD/USD) |
(-20%) |
(+20%) |
(-20%) |
(+20%) |
(-20%) |
(+20%) |
$1,600 |
$626 |
$742 |
$510 |
$937 |
$262 |
$1,371 |
$57 |
$1,750 |
$910 |
$1,026 |
$794 |
$1,212 |
$583 |
$1,708 |
$327 |
$1,900 |
$1,188 |
$1,304 |
$1,072 |
$1,482 |
$881 |
$2,041 |
$593 |
$2,050 |
$1,461 |
$1,577 |
$1,345 |
$1,748 |
$1,162 |
$2,372 |
$832 |
$2,200 |
$1,730 |
$1,846 |
$1,614 |
$2,014 |
$1,438 |
$2,698 |
$1,065 |
Table 6: After-Tax IRR
Sensitivity
Gold PriceUS$/oz |
IRRBase Case |
Initial Capital |
Total Operating Costs |
FX (CAD/USD) |
(-20%) |
(+20%) |
(-20%) |
(+20%) |
(-20%) |
(+20%) |
$1,600 |
18.5% |
|
23.9% |
|
14.6% |
|
24.9% |
|
10.9% |
|
33.6% |
|
6.3% |
|
$1,750 |
24.4% |
|
31.2% |
|
19.7% |
|
30.3% |
|
17.7% |
|
40.1% |
|
12.2% |
|
$1,900 |
30.1% |
|
38.1% |
|
24.6% |
|
35.5% |
|
23.9% |
|
46.2% |
|
17.8% |
|
$2,050 |
35.4% |
|
44.6% |
|
29.1% |
|
40.5% |
|
29.8% |
|
52.3% |
|
22.8% |
|
$2,200 |
40.5% |
|
50.8% |
|
33.5% |
|
45.4% |
|
35.2% |
|
58.1% |
|
27.6% |
|
Opportunities for Project Enhancement
The Novador project still holds substantial
exploration potential, which could extend the mine life beyond the
12.6 years outlined in the updated PEA. Probe did not consider any
of the resources on the other Val-d’Or East properties. Those could
potentially be considered for further exploration and growth.
There is the potential for the underground mine
plan to be further optimized to reduce capital cost and improve
project economics by deferring development costs later into the
mine life.
Ore sorting was part of the 2021 PEA following
promising commercial testwork results on the Pascalis trend
mineralization. For this PEA, the process flowsheet was simplified
by removing the ore sorting plant. There is the potential for
re-integrating this technology in the project for some portion of
the mill feed to reduce the amount of waste rock and to sell the
ore sorting rejects as aggregate material in the construction
industry.
The project is currently contemplated as a
standalone operation with its own milling facilities. As part of
its ongoing process, the Company is evaluating alternative mining
and milling scenarios due to the excess milling capacity in the
region.
Comparison of 2021 PEA and the Updated PEA
This updated PEA represents the conclusion of 3
years of work since the last PEA in 2021. The following table shows
the information used to support the design bases and criteria for
the Novador project.
Table 7: Comparing supporting data
between 2021 PEA and the Updated PEA
Information/type of data |
2021 PEA |
Updated PEA |
Block model |
Resource based on 380,400m of drilling.Basic geostatistics and
technical parameters used for the Mineral Resource Estimate
(MRE). |
Resource based on 581,000m of drilling.Enhanced geostatistics and
tighter technical parameters used for the MRE. |
Geological model |
3D geological model from exploration and historical drill core
supported by structural data. |
Enhanced and more constrained 3D geological model from exploration
drill core and targeted mine scale drilling including improved
structural analysis. |
Ratio of M&I to Inferred Resources |
44% M&I; 56% Inferred |
77% M&I; 23% Inferred |
Geotechnical Rock Mass Characterization |
Geotechnical assessment from advanced exploration data |
Assessment and compilation of initial mine scale geotechnical data
from advanced exploration data and targeted mine scale
drilling. |
Open Pit Geomechanical Design Criteria |
Conceptual design criteria based on representative geotechnical
characterization data, index testing for intact rock strength and
limited structural orientation data from exploration drill
core |
Updated design criteria from detailed geotechnical characterization
data, laboratory strength testing for intact rock strength and
structural orientation data from targeted mine scale drilling and
exploration drill core. |
Underground Geomechanical Design Criteria |
Assumed |
Design criteria established from detailed geotechnical
characterization data, laboratory strength testing for intact rock
strength and structural orientation data from targeted mine scale
drilling and exploration drill core. |
Geotechnical – Overburden Thickness |
Based on exploration database and limited historic site
investigations at Monique |
Based on updated exploration database, and additional site
investigations performed in 2022/2023 at Monique, Pascalis, and
Courvan for site specific infrastructure (stockpiles and tailings
storage facility). |
Geotechnical – Ground Conditions |
Based on limited historic site investigations at Monique |
A geotechnical site investigation including a total of 65 test pits
and 26 drillholes with 35 monitoring well installations and soil
laboratory test work was completed during the period of September
2022 through February 2023 to characterize the general soil,
bedrock, groundwater, and foundation conditions within the vicinity
of select proposed locations for the open pits, stockpiles and
tailings storage facility for the Pascalis, Courvan, and Monique
sites. |
Stockpiles Design Criteria |
Assumed and based on volumetrics and available footprint. |
Stockpile designs (including waste rock, overburden and
mineralized) are based on slope stability analyses and slope
recommendations that consider the proposed dump heights and
foundation conditions (including the rate of construction) from
recently completed site investigations. |
Processing and Metallurgy |
Design criteria sourced from two preliminary testwork
programs:-Sensor based sorting on New Beliveau -Metallurgical
testing on drill core composites from the three trends (physical
property characterization, mineralogy, gravity amenability, gravity
recoverable gold, leach cyanidation and flotation testing) |
Design criteria from 2023 testwork program with a total of 57
composites from New Beliveau, Monique, Courvan, Creek and North
zone. These were subjected to physical property characterization,
mineralogy, gravity amenability, gravity recoverable gold, leach
cyanidation and flotation testing. This program included oxygen
uptake testing, cyanide detoxification and solids liquid separation
testing. |
Biological Environmental & Constraints |
Preliminary biological baseline studies in the Pascalis/Courvan
area and historical baseline studies at Monique site. |
Detailed biological baseline studies in the three project sites
(Courvan, Pascalis and Monique) for vegetation and wetlands, birds,
water and fish. |
Hydrogeology – Physical Environment & Groundwater Inflow |
Modeling based on limited testings and a historical study conducted
at Monique site in 2011. |
Updated modeling to estimate the radius of influence of the
activities on groundwater levels based on 2022-2023 site
investigation including installation of 35 monitoring wells,
hydraulic testing and groundwater sampling within the vicinity of
select proposed locations for the project infrastructure. |
Geochemical Characterization of Waste Rock, Ore and Tailings |
Assessment based on more than 250 samples for the Monique, Pascalis
and Courvan sites. |
Additional 70 samples for the Monique site to confirm the
homogeneity of the geochemical composition of waste rock and
mineralized units. |
Metal Leaching and Acid Rock Drainage Prediction |
Based on chemical assays and static tests. |
Launch of kinetic testing in 2023 using field columns. |
|
|
|
The Novador project has changed significantly
since the first PEA in 2021. It has expanded and now boasts a
larger production profile. Some of the scope changes include a 55%
increase in initial plant capacity, a larger mining fleet with a
reduced number of open pits, and a more substantial underground
component that begins from the surface rather than the bottom of
the open pits. The following table provides a comparison between
the 2021 PEA and the current updated PEA (2024).
Table 8: Summary of Novador Project
Economics (2021 PEA vs Updated PEA)
|
2021 PEA |
Updated PEA |
General |
LOM Total / Avg. |
LOM Total / Avg. |
Gold Price (US$/oz) |
$1,500 |
|
$1,750 |
|
Exchange Rate (US$:C$) |
|
0.75 |
|
|
0.74 |
|
Mine Life (years) |
|
12.5 |
|
|
12.6 |
|
Total Overburden and Waste Tonnes Mined (kt) |
|
366,924 |
|
|
504,344 |
|
Total Mill Feed Tonnes (kt) |
|
38,084 |
|
|
80,317 |
|
Total Underground Mill Feed Tonnes (kt) |
|
7,115 |
|
|
12,418 |
|
Total Open Pit Mill Feed Tonnes (kt) |
|
45,199 |
|
|
67,899 |
|
Strip Ratio (tonnes of waste: tonnes of mineralized material) |
6.42 x |
7.43 x |
Production |
|
|
|
Mill Head Grade (g/t) |
|
1.88 |
|
|
1.30 |
|
Mill Recovery Rate (%) |
|
94.70% |
|
|
95.70% |
|
Total Mill Ounces Recovered (koz) |
|
2,584 |
|
|
3,210 |
|
Total Average Annual Production (koz) |
|
207 |
|
|
255 |
|
Operating Costs |
|
|
|
Open Pit Mining Cost (C$/t Mined) |
$2.75 |
|
$2.88 |
|
Underground Mining Cost (C$/t Mined) |
$83.72 |
|
$88.07 |
|
Processing Cost (C$/t Milled) |
$13.26 |
|
$9.80 |
|
G&A Cost (C$/t Milled) |
$2.72 |
|
$1.69 |
|
Refining & Transport Cost (C$/oz) |
$2.50 |
|
$2.50 |
|
Total Operating Costs (C$/t Milled) |
$58.81 |
|
$44.52 |
|
Net Equivalent Royalty after Buyback |
|
0.80% |
|
|
0.80% |
|
Cash Costs (US$/oz Au) |
$786 |
|
$841 |
|
AISC (US$/oz Au) |
$965 |
|
$1,038 |
|
Capital Costs |
|
|
|
Initial Capital (C$M) |
$353 |
|
$602 |
|
Sustaining Capital (C$M) |
$602 |
|
$818 |
|
Closure Costs (C$M) |
$30 |
|
$64 |
|
Salvage Costs (C$M) |
($13) |
|
($26) |
|
Financials |
Pre-Tax |
After-Tax |
Pre-Tax |
After-Tax |
NPV (5%) (C$M) |
$991 |
|
$598 |
|
$1,530 |
|
$910 |
|
IRR (%) |
|
47.20% |
|
|
32.80% |
|
|
34.4% |
|
|
24.4% |
|
Payback (years) |
|
1.8 |
|
|
2.7 |
|
|
3.5 |
|
|
4.4 |
|
Mineral Resource Estimate
The Novador Project includes the properties on
the Pascalis Gold Trend, the Monique Gold Trend and the Courvan
Gold Trend, which are 100% owned by Probe.
Table 9: Novador Project Mineral
Resource Estimate
All Deposits / Category |
Pit-Constrained Resources |
Underground Resources |
Total |
Tonnes |
Grade(Au1
g/t) |
Gold(oz.) |
Tonnes |
Grade(Au g/t) |
Gold(oz.) |
Tonnes |
Grade(Au g/t) |
Gold(oz.) |
Measured |
3,356,300 |
2.34 |
252,100 |
126,400 |
1.87 |
7,600 |
3,482,800 |
2.32 |
259,700 |
Indicated |
56,297,200 |
1.49 |
2,690,600 |
7,811,000 |
2.38 |
596,700 |
64,108,200 |
1.59 |
3,287,300 |
M&I |
59,653,600 |
1.53 |
2,942,700 |
7,937,400 |
2.37 |
604,300 |
67,591,000 |
1.63 |
3,547,000 |
Inferred |
9,915,600 |
1.48 |
472,800 |
6,802,400 |
2.82 |
616,500 |
16,717,900 |
2.03 |
1,089,300 |
1 Au is the symbol for Gold
Notes:
- These mineral resources are not
mineral reserves as they do not have demonstrated economic
viability. The mineral resource estimate follows current CIM
Definitions (2014) and CIM MRMR Best Practice Guidelines
(2019).
- The independent and qualified persons
(“QPs”) for the mineral resource estimate, as defined by NI 43-101,
are Marina Iund, P.Geo. (Monique, Courvan SW, Courvan SE, Bussiere
Mine, Bussiere and Creek deposits), Vincent Nadeau-Benoit, P.Geo.
(New Beliveau and North deposits), Martin Perron, P.Eng. (all
deposits) and Simon Boudreau, P.Eng. (all deposits) of InnovExplo
Inc. The effective date is July 13, 2023.
- The presented MRE is taken from the
2023 mineral resource estimate (NI43-101 Technical Report and
Updated Resource Estimate for the Novador Project, Quebec,
September 1st, 2023)
- The results are presented undiluted
and are considered to have reasonable prospects of economic
viability.
- The mineral resource estimate is
locally pit constrained. The out-pit mineral resource met the
standard of reasonable prospects for eventual economic extraction
by applying constraining volumes to all blocks (potential
underground long-hole extraction scenario) using DSO.
- Monique, Courvan SW, Courvan SE,
Bussiere Mine, Bussiere, Creek, New Beliveau and North deposits:
The pit-constrained mineral resource estimate is reported at a 0.42
g/t Au cut-off grade for the Monique deposit and a 0.40 g/t Au
cut-off grade for the other deposits, a value above the base case
cut-off grade. A base case cut-off grade of 0.26 g/t Au was
calculated using the following parameters: mining cost = CA$2.97/t;
mining overburden cost = CA$2.70; processing cost = CA$17.82;
selling costs = CA$ 5.00; royalty = CA$ 8.59/oz to CA$ 45.22/oz;
gold price = US$ 1,700/oz; USD:CAD exchange rate = 1.33; bedrock
slope angle of 43° to 54°; and mill recovery = 95%. The use of a
higher cut-off could allow in-pit mineralized waste (0.20 – 0.40
g/t Au; 0.20 – 0.42 g/t Au) to be selected for potential upgrade
through an industrial sorter process. The underground mineral
resource estimate is reported at a cut-off grade of 1.43 to 1.71
g/t Au. The underground mineral resources estimate was based on two
mining methods depending on the orientation of the mineralization.
The cut-off grade was calculated using the following parameters:
mining cost = CA$ 81.00 (Long-hole) to CA$ 97.50 (Cut&fill);
processing cost = CA$ 17.82; selling costs = CA$ 5.00; royalty =
CA$ 8.59/oz to CA$ 45.22/oz; gold price = US$ 1,700/oz; USD:CAD
exchange rate = 1.33; and mill recovery = 95%.
- Bordure, Highway and Senore deposits:
The pit-constrained mineral resource estimate is reported at a 0.40
g/t Au cut-off grade. The cut-off was calculated using the
following parameters: gold price = US$ 1,600/oz; USD:CAD exchange
rate = 1.33; mining cost = CA$3.00/t or CA$3.50/t; processing +
G&A costs = CA$21.50/t; transport cost = $0.15/t.km; ; bedrock
slope angle of 48° to 59°; and mill recovery = 95%. The underground
mineral resource estimate is reported at a cut-off grade of 1.65 to
2.05 g/t Au. The underground mineral resources estimate was based
on two mining methods depending on the orientation of the
mineralization, long-hole retreat at a mining cost of CA$82/t and
mechanized cut and fill at a mining cost of CA$110/t and using the
same ground unit cost as for the pit-constrained scenario.
- The cut-off grades should be
re-evaluated considering future prevailing market conditions (metal
prices, exchange rates, mining costs etc.).
- The number of metric tonnes was
rounded to the nearest thousand, following the recommendations in
NI 43-101. Any discrepancies in the totals are due to rounding
effects. The metal contents are presented in troy ounces (tonnes x
grade / 31.10348).
- The QPs are not aware of any known
environmental, permitting, legal, title-related, taxation,
socio-political, or marketing issues or any other relevant issue
not reported in the Technical Report that could materially affect
the Mineral Resource Estimate.
As part of its land consolidation strategy in
the Val-d’Or East camp, Probe earned a 60% interest in the Cadillac
Break East Property in joint venture with O3 Mining Inc., which
includes the Sleepy deposit. The Company also owns a 100%-interest
in the Val-d’Or East Lapaska and Croinor properties.
Table 10: Val-d’Or East Other
Properties
Deposit / Category |
Pit-Constrained Resources |
Underground Resources |
Total |
Tonnes |
Grade(Au g/t) |
Gold(oz.) |
Tonnes |
Grade(Au g/t) |
Gold(oz.) |
Tonnes |
Grade(Au g/t) |
Gold(oz.) |
Lapaska1Total Inferred |
512,000 |
1.47 |
24,200 |
460,000 |
3.19 |
47,200 |
972,000 |
2.28 |
71,300 |
Sleepy2Total Inferred |
-- |
-- |
-- |
1,113,000 |
4.70 |
167,900 |
1,113,000 |
4.70 |
167,900 |
1 NI 43-101 Technical Report Val-d’Or East
Project – July 14th, 2021, Lapaska property 100% interest2 NI
43-101 Technical Report Val-d’Or East Project – July 14th, 2021,
Option to earn 60%, 60% presented3 The Croinor deposit is excluded
from Table 10 for the sake of consistency.
Furthermore, by applying industrial sorting to
mineralized waste, additional mineral material may be extracted
from the mineralized waste and thus become additional mineral
resource on the Project.
Table 11: Novador Project – Additional
Pit Constrained Resource from Industrial Sorting
All Deposits / Category |
Pit-Constrained Mineral Resources |
Underground Mineral Resources |
Total |
Tonnes |
Grade(Au1
g/t) |
Gold(oz.) |
Tonnes |
Grade(Au g/t) |
Gold(oz.) |
Tonnes |
Grade(Au g/t) |
Gold(oz.) |
Measured |
642,100 |
0.29 |
6,000 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
642,100 |
0.29 |
6,000 |
Indicated |
24,355,000 |
0.31 |
240,800 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
24,355,000 |
0.31 |
240,800 |
M&I |
24,997,100 |
0.31 |
246,900 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
24,997,100 |
0.31 |
246,900 |
Inferred |
10,021,200 |
0.28 |
90,100 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
10,021,200 |
0.28 |
90,100 |
1 This additional pit-constrained Mineral
Resource represents mineralized waste between cut-off grades of
0.20 g/t Au and 0.42 g/t Au for the Monique deposit and between
cut-off grades of 0.20 g/t Au and 0.40 g/t Au for the other
deposits, exclusive of pit-constrained Mineral Resource from Table
9. This lower cut-off was based on the following parameters:
industrial sorting cost CA$1.73/t, gold recovery in the industrial
sorting process at 82% with an overall gold recovery with gravity
and leaching at 68%, mass recovery in the industrial sorting
process at 42%. Potentially, the industrial sorting results on this
material allow obtaining a product above 0.42 g/t Au. For more
details on industrial sorting technique and parameters, see the
"Val-d’Or East Project, NI 43-101 Technical Report &
Preliminary Economic Analysis” (the "Val-d’Or East PEA"), dated
October 20, 2021, and available on SEDAR (www.sedar.com) under
Company's issuer profile.
Qualified Person:
Technical information in this release was
supervised and approved by Yves Dessureault, Probe's Chief
Operating Officer and a Qualified Person under NI 43-101.
Non-IFRS Financial MeasuresThe Company has
included certain non-IFRS financial measures in this news release,
such as initial capital cost, sustaining capital cost, total
capital cost, AISC, and capital intensity, which are not measures
recognized under IFRS and do not have a standardized meaning
prescribed by IFRS. As a result, these measures may not be
comparable to similar measures reported by other corporations. Each
of these measures used are intended to provide additional
information to the user and should not be considered in isolation
or as a substitute for measures prepared in accordance with IFRS.
Non-IFRS financial measures used in this news release and common to
the gold mining industry are defined below.
Total Cash Costs and Total Cash Costs per
OunceTotal cash costs are reflective of the cost of production.
Total cash costs reported in the PEA include mining costs,
processing and water treatment costs, general and administrative
costs of the mine, off-site costs, refining costs, transportation
costs and royalties. Total cash costs per ounce is calculated as
total cash costs divided by payable gold ounces.
AISC and AISC per OunceAISC is reflective of all
of the expenditures that are required to produce an ounce of gold
from operations. AISC reported in the PEA includes total cash
costs, sustaining capital, closure costs and salvage, but excludes
corporate general and administrative costs. AISC per ounce is
calculated as AISC divided by payable gold ounces.
About Ausenco:Ausenco is a
global company based across 26 offices in 14 countries, with
projects in over 80 locations worldwide. Combining deep technical
expertise with a 30-year track record, Ausenco delivers innovative,
value-add consulting studies, project delivery, asset operations
and maintenance solutions to the mining & metals, oil & gas
and industrial sectors.
About Probe Gold:Probe Gold
Inc. is a leading Canadian gold exploration company focused on the
acquisition, exploration, and development of highly prospective
gold properties. The Company is well-funded and dedicated to
exploring and developing high-quality gold projects. Notably, it
owns 100% of its flagship asset, the multimillion-ounce Novador
Gold Project in Québec, as well as an early-stage Detour Gold
Quebec project. Probe controls a large land package of
approximately 1,600-square-kilometres of exploration ground within
some of the most prolific gold belts in Québec.
On behalf of Probe Gold Inc., Dr. David
Palmer, President & Chief Executive OfficerFor
further information:
Please visit our website at www.probegold.com or
contact:
Seema SindwaniVice-President of Investor
Relationsinfo@probegold.com+1.416.777.9467
Forward Looking Statements
Neither TSX nor its Regulation Services Provider
(as that term is defined in the policies of the TSX) accepts
responsibility for the adequacy or accuracy of this release. This
news release includes certain “forward-looking statements” which
are not comprised of historical facts. Forward-looking statements
include estimates and statements that describe the Company’s future
plans, objectives or goals, including words to the effect that the
Company or management expects a stated condition or result to
occur. Forward-looking statements may be identified by such terms
as “believes”, “anticipates”, “expects”, “estimates”, “may”,
“could”, “would”, “will”, or “plan”. Since forward-looking
statements are based on assumptions and address future events and
conditions, by their very nature they involve inherent risks and
uncertainties. Although these statements are based on information
currently available to the Company, the Company provides no
assurance that actual results will meet management’s expectations.
Risks, uncertainties, and other factors involved with
forward-looking information could cause actual events, results,
performance, prospects, and opportunities to differ materially from
those expressed or implied by such forward-looking information.
Forward looking information in this news release includes, but is
not limited to, the Company’s objectives, goals or future plans,
statements, exploration results, potential mineralization, the
estimation of mineral resources, exploration and mine development
plans, timing of the commencement of operations and estimates of
market conditions. Factors that could cause actual results to
differ materially from such forward-looking information include,
but are not limited to failure to identify mineral resources,
failure to convert estimated mineral resources to reserves, the
inability to complete a feasibility study which recommends a
production decision, the preliminary nature of metallurgical test
results, delays in obtaining or failures to obtain required
governmental, environmental or other project approvals, political
risks, inability to fulfill the duty to accommodate First Nations
and other indigenous peoples, uncertainties relating to the
availability and costs of financing needed in the future, changes
in equity markets, inflation, changes in exchange rates,
fluctuations in commodity prices, delays in the development of
projects, capital and operating costs varying significantly from
estimates and the other risks involved in the mineral exploration
and development industry, and those risks set out in the Company’s
public documents filed on SEDAR+. Although the Company believes
that the assumptions and factors used in preparing the
forward-looking information in this news release are reasonable,
undue reliance should not be placed on such information, which only
applies as of the date of this news release, and no assurance can
be given that such events will occur in the disclosed time frames
or at all. The Company disclaims any intention or obligation to
update or revise any forward-looking information, whether as a
result of new information, future events or otherwise, other than
as required by law.
Photos accompanying this announcement are available
at:
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