CALGARY,
AB, Nov. 6, 2024 /CNW/ - Lucero Energy Corp.
("Lucero" or the "Company") (TSXV: LOU) (OTCQB:
PSHIF) announces financial and operating results for the three and
nine months ended September 30,
2024. The associated Management's Discussion and Analysis
("MD&A") and unaudited financial statements as at and
for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2024 can be found at
www.sedarplus.ca or www.lucerocorp.com.
All dollar amounts in this news release are
stated in Canadian dollars unless otherwise noted.
Highlights
|
|
Three months
ended
|
Nine months
ended
|
(in thousands,
except per share data)
|
|
September
30
2024
|
June 30
2024
|
September 30
2023
|
September
30
2024
|
September 30
2023
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Financial
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Funds flow[1]
|
|
$20,671
|
$25,489
|
$32,860
|
$74,860
|
$104,032
|
Per share
basic
|
|
$0.03
|
$0.04
|
$0.05
|
$0.12
|
$0.16
|
Per share
diluted
|
|
$0.03
|
$0.04
|
$0.05
|
$0.11
|
$0.15
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Adjusted funds flow1
|
|
$20,671
|
$25,489
|
$32,860
|
$74,860
|
$106,486
|
Per share
basic
|
|
$0.03
|
$0.04
|
$0.05
|
$0.12
|
$0.16
|
Per share
diluted
|
|
$0.03
|
$0.04
|
$0.05
|
$0.11
|
$0.16
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Adjusted EBITDA1
|
|
$19,977
|
$24,849
|
$32,286
|
$71,877
|
$106,411
|
Per share
basic
|
|
$0.03
|
$0.04
|
$0.05
|
$0.11
|
$0.16
|
Per share
diluted
|
|
$0.03
|
$0.04
|
$0.05
|
$0.11
|
$0.16
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Cash
provided by operating activities
|
|
$22,429
|
$24,081
|
$26,396
|
$71,113
|
$104,497
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net
income
|
|
$4,663
|
$9,312
|
$13,319
|
$23,214
|
$42,390
|
Per share
basic
|
|
$0.01
|
$0.01
|
$0.02
|
$0.04
|
$0.06
|
Per share
diluted
|
|
$0.01
|
$0.01
|
$0.02
|
$0.04
|
$0.06
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Exploration and development expenditures1
|
|
$9,471
|
$41,233
|
$16,069
|
$87,419
|
$77,185
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Property acquisitions
|
|
-
|
$3,555
|
-
|
$5,586
|
$6,339
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Property dispositions
|
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
$126,226
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Working capital1
|
|
$55,555
|
$46,138
|
$52,638
|
$55,555
|
$52,638
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Common shares
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Shares
outstanding, end of period
|
|
637,664
|
637,313
|
651,091
|
637,664
|
651,091
|
Weighted
average shares (basic)
|
|
637,555
|
639,849
|
658,521
|
641,454
|
661,100
|
Weighted
average shares (diluted)
|
|
645,609
|
659,946
|
681,140
|
661,231
|
673,731
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Operations
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Production
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Tight oil
(Bbls per day)
|
|
4,353
|
4,557
|
5,527
|
4,689
|
6,355
|
Shale gas
(Mcf per day)
|
|
14,159
|
13,091
|
11,841
|
13,540
|
12,248
|
Natural
gas liquids (Bbls per day)
|
|
2,598
|
2,474
|
2,406
|
2,567
|
2,495
|
Barrels of
oil equivalent (Boepd, 6:1)
|
|
9,311
|
9,213
|
9,907
|
9,513
|
10,891
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Average realized price
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Tight oil
($ per Bbl)
|
|
$98.40
|
$108.00
|
$110.73
|
$102.30
|
$105.14
|
Shale gas
($ per Mcf)
|
|
$0.02
|
($0.49)
|
$1.06
|
$0.46
|
$2.83
|
Natural
gas liquids ($ per Bbl)
|
|
$2.11
|
$5.22
|
($1.94)
|
$3.84
|
$5.38
|
Barrels of
oil equivalent ($ per Boe, 6:1)
|
|
$46.62
|
$54.13
|
$62.57
|
$52.12
|
$65.76
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Operating netback per Boe (6:1)1
|
|
$25.33
|
$31.57
|
$37.75
|
$29.88
|
$38.62
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Funds flow netback per Boe (6:1)1
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Funds
flow1
|
|
$24.13
|
$30.40
|
$36.05
|
$28.72
|
$34.99
|
Adjusted
funds flow1
|
|
$24.13
|
$30.40
|
$36.05
|
$28.72
|
$35.81
|
_____________________________
|
1
Management uses these non-GAAP financial measures to analyze
operating performance, leverage and investing activity. These
measures do not have a standardized meaning under GAAP and
therefore may not be comparable with the calculation of similar
measures for other companies. See Non-GAAP Measures within
this document for additional information.
|
MESSAGE TO SHAREHOLDERS
Following a capital intensive first half in 2024, the Company
generated $11.2 million of free funds
flow in the third quarter, resulting in $55.6 million of working capital at September 30, 2024. With a strong and
flexible balance sheet, Lucero is positioned for future acquisition
opportunities, while also providing financial flexibility during
periods of commodity price volatility.
In the third quarter, Lucero invested $9.5 million to optimize the Company's asset base
and progressively produce four (3.0 net) wells that were completed
in the second quarter, contributing to average third quarter
production of 9,311 Boe/d. Lucero continues to be disciplined
with capital allocation and remains on track with the Company's
2024 budgeted exploration and development expenditures of
US$65 million (approximately
C$90 million).
Year to date, Lucero has returned $7.3
million to shareholders, purchasing and cancelling 11.6
million common shares of Lucero through the Company's Normal Course
Issuer Bid, with a continuing goal of maintaining financial
optionality to pursue growth opportunities.
With minimal capital expenditures expected in the fourth
quarter, Lucero anticipates generating robust free funds flow
through the end of 2024 that can be directed to growth
opportunities or further capital returns.
THIRD QUARTER 2024 HIGHLIGHTS
- 9,311 Boe/d average production, compared to 9,213 Boe/d in the
second quarter of 2023, and 9,907 Boe/d in the same period of
2023;
- $11.2 million of free funds flow,
compared to $15.7 million of negative
free funds flow in the second quarter of 2024, and $16.8 million of free funds flow in the third
quarter of 2023;
- $0.03 per share of funds flow,
compared to $0.04 generated in the
second quarter of 2024, and $0.05 in
the third quarter of 2023;
- $0.01 per share net income in the
current period, compared to $0.01 per
share in the second quarter of 2024, and $0.02 per share during the same period the prior
year; and
- $55.6 million of working capital
at September 30, 2024, compared to
$46.1 million at June 30, 2024, and $52.6
million at September 30,
2023.
2024 GUIDANCE
Lucero is maintaining 2024 guidance as follows:
|
Current
guidance
|
Production:
|
|
Annual
average
|
9,700 Boe/d
|
Exit (Q4 2024
average)
|
10,300 Boe/d
|
Tight Oil / NGL / Shale
Gas % (annual average)
|
50% / 25% /
25%
|
|
|
Funds
flow:
|
|
Royalty rate
|
18 %
|
Operating &
transportation
|
$10.50/Boe
|
Production
taxes
|
10% of revenue after
royalties
|
G&A
|
US$2.00/Boe
|
Annual realized oil
price differential to US$WTI
|
Minus
US$2.00/Bbl
|
|
|
Sustainability:
|
|
Exploration and
development expenditures
|
US$65 million (~C$90
million)
|
Corporate production
decline
|
33 %
|
READER ADVISORIES
Forward Looking Statements
This press release contains forward‐looking
statements and forward‐looking information
(collectively "forward‐looking information") within
the meaning of applicable securities laws relating to the Company's
plans, strategy, business model, focus, objectives and other
aspects of Lucero's anticipated future operations and financial,
operating and drilling and development plans and results,
including, expected future production and related production mix,
reserves, drilling locations and corporate decline profile,
exploration and development expenditure program and commodity
prices. In addition, and without limiting the generality of
the foregoing, this press release contains forward‐looking
information regarding: the Company's belief that a strong and
flexible balance sheet positions Lucero for future acquisition
opportunities, while also reducing risks associated with commodity
price volatility; Lucero's 2024 capital program budgeted at
US$65 million (approx. C$90 million); the Company's continuing goal of
maintaining financial optionality to pursue growth opportunities;
the Company's expectations of minimal capital expenditures in the
fourth quarter; anticipations of generating robust free funds flow
through the end of 2024 that can be directed to growth
opportunities or further capital returns; Lucero's guidance set
forth under "2024 Guidance", including that the Company's 2024
exploration and development expenditures will drive annual average
production of approximately 9,700 Boe/d (weighted as to 50% light
oil, 25% NGL and 25% natural gas) with an exit (Q4 2024 average)
production rate of approximately 10,300 Boe/d and guidance on
royalty rate, operating & transportation, production taxes,
G&A and corporate production decline rates; and matters with
respect to the NCIB; Lucero's anticipation of delivering on 2024
capital budget and production guidance; anticipated average and
exit production rates, available free funds flow; the Company's
allocation of free funds flow; and other matters ancillary or
incidental to the foregoing.
Forward‐looking information typically uses words
such as "anticipate", "believe", "project", "target", "guidance",
"expect", "goal", "plan", "intend" or similar words suggesting
future outcomes, statements that actions, events or conditions
"may", "would", "could" or "will" be taken or occur in the future.
The forward‐looking information is based on certain
key expectations and assumptions made by Lucero's management,
including expectations concerning prevailing commodity prices,
exchange rates, acquisitions and divestitures, interest rates,
applicable royalty rates and tax laws; capital efficiencies;
decline rates; future production rates and estimates of operating
costs; performance of existing and future wells; reserve and
resource volumes; anticipated timing and results of capital
expenditures; the success obtained in drilling new wells; the
sufficiency of budgeted capital expenditures in carrying out
planned activities; the timing, location and extent of future
drilling operations; the state of the economy and the exploration
and production business; effects of inflation and other cost
escalations results of operations; performance; business prospects
and opportunities; the availability and cost of financing, labor
and services; the impact of increasing competition; the impact of
inflation on costs and expenses; ability to market oil and natural
gas successfully and Lucero's ability to access capital.
Statements relating to "reserves" are also deemed to be forward
looking statements, as they involve the implied assessment, based
on certain estimates and assumptions, that the reserves described
exist in the quantities predicted or estimated and that the
reserves can be profitably produced in the future.
Although the Company believes that the expectations and
assumptions on which such forward‐looking information
is based are reasonable, undue reliance should not be placed on the
forward‐looking information because Lucero can give
no assurance that they will prove to be correct. Since
forward‐looking information addresses future events
and conditions, by its very nature they involve inherent risks and
uncertainties. The Company's actual results, performance or
achievement could differ materially from those expressed in, or
implied by, the forward‐looking information and,
accordingly, no assurance can be given that any of the events
anticipated by the forward‐looking information will
transpire or occur, or if any of them do so, what benefits that the
Company will derive there from. Management has included the above
summary of assumptions and risks related to
forward‐looking information provided in this press
release in order to provide security holders with a more complete
perspective on Lucero's future operations and such information may
not be appropriate for other purposes. Readers are cautioned
that the foregoing lists of factors are not exhaustive. Additional
information on these and other factors that could affect Lucero's
operations or financial results are included in reports on file
with applicable securities regulatory authorities and may be
accessed through the SEDAR+ website
(www.sedarplus.ca). These
forward‐looking statements are made as of the date of
this press release and Lucero disclaims any intent or obligation to
update publicly any forward‐looking information,
whether as a result of new information, future events or results or
otherwise, other than as required by applicable securities
laws.
Non‐GAAP
Measures
This document includes non-GAAP measures and ratios commonly
used in the oil and natural gas industry. These non-GAAP
measures and ratios do not have a standardized meaning prescribed
by International Financial Reporting Standards ("IFRS", or
alternatively, "GAAP") and therefore may not be comparable with the
calculation of similar measures by other companies. For
additional details, descriptions and reconciliations of these and
other non-GAAP measures, see the Company's Management's Discussion
and Analysis ("MD&A") for the three and six months ended
June 30, 2024.
"Funds flow" represents cash
from operating activities prior to changes in non-cash operating
working capital and settlement of decommissioning obligations,
including cash finance expenses, and is a measure of the Company's
ability to generate funds to service any debt and other obligations
and to fund its operations, without the impact of changes in
non-cash working capital, which can vary based solely on timing of
settlement of accounts receivable and accounts payable.
"Adjusted funds flow" represents funds flow prior to
transaction costs. "Funds flow netback per Boe"
represents funds flow divided by production volumes for the
corresponding period. "Funds flow per share basic and
diluted" represents funds flow divided by the weighted average
basic and diluted shares outstanding, respectively, for the
corresponding period. The reconciliation between cash
provided by operating activities, as defined by IFRS, and adjusted
funds flow, is as follows:
|
|
|
|
Three months
ended
September
30,
|
Nine
months ended
September 30,
|
($
thousands)
|
|
|
2024
|
2023
|
2024
|
2023
|
Cash provided by
operating activities
|
|
$22,429
|
$26,396
|
$71,113
|
$104,497
|
Finance income
(expenses) - cash
|
|
|
552
|
270
|
1,822
|
(2,683)
|
Settlement of
decommissioning obligations
|
142
|
304
|
1,161
|
304
|
Changes in non-cash
operating working capital
|
(2,452)
|
5,890
|
764
|
1,914
|
Funds
flow
|
$20,671
|
$32,860
|
$74,860
|
$104,032
|
Transaction related
costs
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
2,454
|
Adjusted funds
flow
|
$20,671
|
$32,860
|
$74,860
|
$106,486
|
"Adjusted EBITDA" represents cash provided by
operating activities prior to changes in non-cash working capital,
to measure the Company's ability to generate funds to service debt
and other obligations and to fund the Company's operations, without
the impact of changes in non-cash working capital which can vary
based solely on timing of settlement of accounts receivable and
accounts payable. "Adjusted EBITDA per share basic and
diluted" is a non-GAAP ratio that includes adjusted EBITDA, a
non-GAAP measure. The Company calculates adjusted EBITDA per share
basic and diluted as adjusted EBITDA divided by weighted average
basic and diluted shares outstanding, respectively. Lucero believes
that adjusted EBITDA and adjusted EBITDA per share basic and
diluted are key industry performance measures of the Company's
ability to generate liquidity and are common measures within the
oil and gas industry. The reconciliation between cash flow from
operating activities, as defined by IFRS, and adjusted EBITDA, as
defined herein, is as follows:
|
|
|
|
Three months
ended
September
30,
|
Nine
months ended
September 30,
|
($
thousands)
|
|
|
2024
|
2023
|
2024
|
2023
|
Cash provided by
operating activities
|
|
$22,429
|
$26,396
|
$71,113
|
$104,497
|
Changes in non-cash
operating working capital
|
(2,452)
|
5,890
|
764
|
1,914
|
Adjusted
EBITDA
|
$19,977
|
$32,286
|
$71,877
|
$106,411
|
"Working capital" (or, if a negative
number, referred to as "net debt") represents total
current assets, less: total liabilities (excluding
decommissioning obligation, deferred tax liability and lease
liability). Lucero believes working capital or
net debt is a key measure to assess the Company's liquidity
position at a point in time. Working capital or net debt is
not a standardized measure and may not be comparable with similar
measures for other entities. Working capital or net debt is
also expressed as a ratio to funds flow, referred to as "working
capital to funds flow ratio", and is calculated as the working
capital at the end of a period divided by the funds flow in the
same period. The reconciliation between total current assets,
as defined by IFRS, and working capital, as defined herein, is as
follows:
($
thousands)
|
|
|
|
As at
September 30, 2024
|
As at December 31,
2023
|
Total current
assets
|
|
|
|
$88,169
|
|
$113,842
|
Total
liabilities
|
|
|
|
(102,504)
|
|
(89,689)
|
Decommissioning
obligation
|
|
|
|
4,624
|
|
4,623
|
Deferred tax
liability
|
|
|
|
64,084
|
|
52,865
|
Lease
liability
|
|
|
1,182
|
|
950
|
Working
capital
|
|
|
$55,555
|
|
$82,591
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Operating netback" represents petroleum and
natural gas revenue, less royalties, operating expenses, production
taxes, and transportation expenses. "Operating netback" is
also presented on a per Boe basis by dividing by production volumes
for the corresponding period. Lucero believes
that in addition to net income (loss) and cash provided by
operating activities, operating netback is a useful supplemental
measure as it assists in the determination of the Company's
operating performance, leverage, and liquidity. Operating
netback is commonly used by investors to assess performance of oil
and gas properties and the possible impact of future commodity
price changes on energy producers. "Operating
netback per Boe" is a non-GAAP ratio
that represents operating netback, a Non-GAAP measure,
divided by production volumes for the corresponding period, and is
presented including and excluding any realized gain or loss on
financial derivatives. The table below discloses
Lucero's operating netback, including the reconciliation to the
Company's most closely comparable GAAP measure, petroleum and
natural gas revenues:
|
|
|
|
Three months
ended
September
30,
|
Nine months
ended
September 30,
|
($
thousands)
|
|
|
2024
|
2023
|
2024
|
2023
|
Petroleum and
natural gas revenues
|
|
$39,938
|
$57,030
|
$135,848
|
$195,521
|
Royalties
|
|
|
(7,065)
|
(9,200)
|
(22,159)
|
(33,219)
|
Operating
expenses
|
|
|
(6,596)
|
(7,739)
|
(21,398)
|
(27,431)
|
Production
taxes
|
(3,193)
|
(4,224)
|
(10,331)
|
(15,073)
|
Transportation
expenses
|
(1,378)
|
(1,467)
|
(4,098)
|
(4,956)
|
Operating
netback
|
$21,706
|
$34,400
|
$77,862
|
$114,842
|
"Exploration and development expenditures"
represents additions to property, plant and equipment in the
cash flow used in investing activities, less capitalized general
and administrative expenses. Exploration and development
expenditures is a measure of the Company's investments in
property, plant and equipment. The most directly
comparable GAAP measure to exploration and development expenditures
is additions to property, plant and equipment in the cash flow used
in investing activities. The reconciliation between additions to
property, plant and equipment, as defined by IFRS, and exploration
and development expenditures, as defined herein, is as
follows:
|
|
|
|
Three months
ended
September
30,
|
Nine
months ended
September 30,
|
($
thousands)
|
|
|
2024
|
2023
|
2024
|
2023
|
Additions to
property, plant and equipment
|
|
$10,161
|
$16,861
|
$88,981
|
$79,503
|
Capitalized general
and administrative expenses
|
(690)
|
(792)
|
(1,562)
|
(2,318)
|
Exploration and
development expenditures
|
$9,471
|
$16,069
|
$87,419
|
$77,185
|
"Free funds flow" represents funds flow,
less exploration and development expenditures. Management
considers this measure to be useful in determining its available
discretionary cash to fund capital expenditures, acquisitions or
returns of capital to shareholders.
|
|
|
|
Three months
ended
September
30,
|
Nine
months ended
September 30,
|
($
thousands)
|
|
|
2024
|
2023
|
2024
|
2023
|
Funds
flow
|
|
$20,671
|
$32,860
|
$74,860
|
$104,032
|
Exploration and
development expenditures
|
(9,471)
|
(16,069)
|
(87,419)
|
(77,185)
|
Free funds
flow
|
$11,200
|
$16,791
|
($12,559)
|
$26,847
|
Oil and Gas Disclosures and Metrics
The term "Boe" or barrels of oil equivalent may be
misleading, particularly if used in isolation. A Boe
conversion ratio of six thousand cubic feet of natural gas to one
barrel of oil equivalent (6 Mcf: 1 bbl) is based on an energy
equivalency conversion method primarily applicable at the burner
tip and does not represent a value equivalency at the wellhead.
Additionally, given that the value ratio based on the current price
of crude oil, as compared to natural gas, is significantly
different from the energy equivalency of 6:1; utilizing a
conversion ratio of 6:1 may be misleading as an indication of
value. "Boepd" or "Boe/d" is the number of Boe divided by the
number of days over a specified period of time. "MMboe"
denotes millions of Boe.
SOURCE Lucero Energy Corp.