InPlay Oil Corp. (TSX: IPO) (OTCQX: IPOOF)
(“
InPlay” or the “
Company”) is
pleased to announce that it has entered into a definitive agreement
(the "
Agreement") to acquire Prairie Storm
Resources Corp. ("
Prairie Storm") (TSXV: PSEC), a
light-oil Cardium focused producer with operations primarily in the
Willesden Green area of central Alberta (the "
Prairie Storm
Assets") for total net consideration of approximately
$40.5 million(1) (the "
Acquisition").
The highly accretive Acquisition will be funded
by a combination of a $10 million bought deal equity financing led
by Eight Capital, as sole bookrunner, together with ATB Capital
Markets as co-lead underwriters (the "Financing"),
available borrowings under InPlay's Senior Credit Facility and the
issuance to shareholders of Prairie Storm of approximately 8.3
million common shares of InPlay ("InPlay Shares")
at a deemed price of $1.20 per InPlay Share. InPlay has received a
commitment letter from its senior lenders (the
"Lenders") with respect to an increase in the
aggregate available borrowing capacity of its Senior Credit
Facility from $65.0 million to $85.0 million, subject to and
conditional upon the completion of the Acquisition.
Acquisition Highlights
- Average
production from the Prairie Storm Assets is expected to be
approximately 1,800 boe/d(2) upon completion of the
Acquisition.
- Drilling after
closing of the Acquisition is anticipated to increase production
from the Prairie Storm Assets to approximately 2,755 boe/d(2)(3) in
2022. This is expected to result in approximately $31.0 to $33.0
million of operating income(3) and approximately $16.5 to $18.5
million of free adjusted funds flow (“FAFF”)(3) after incorporating
capital expenditures and additional general and administrative and
interest expense from the Acquisition.
- The current
production decline rate on the Prairie Storm Assets of
approximately 10% per annum is accretive to InPlay’s decline
rate.
- Attractive
acquisition metrics:
- 2.5 times run
rate operating income(5)(6); 1.3 times 2022 operating
income(5)(6)
- $8.26/boe(4) of
2020 YE PDP reserves; $1.90/boe(4) of 2020 YE TP reserves;
$1.51/boe(4) of 2020 YE TPP reserves
- The Acquisition
is expected to deliver the following accretion metrics(15):
- 15% accretive to
forecast 2022 production per share(6);
- 12% accretive to
targeted 2022 Adjusted Funds Flow (“AFF”) per share(5)(6);
- 17% accretive to
targeted 2022 FAFF per share(5)(6); and
- 21% accretive to
PDP reserves per share(10); 60% accretive to TP reserves per
share(10) and 46% accretive to TPP reserves per share(10).
- Pro forma
completion of the Acquisition, InPlay is targeting 2022 production
to average between 8,900 and 9,400 boe/d(2) which is anticipated to
generate $106.5 to $111.5 million(5) of AFF and $55.0 to $59.0
million(5) of FAFF.
- Strengthens
InPlay’s balance sheet with 2022 targeted net debt to earnings
before interest, taxes and depletion (“EBITDA”)(5) improving to 0.2
times – 0.3 times.
- Adds proved
developed producing (“PDP”) reserves of 4.9 million boe(4), total
proved (“TP”) reserves of 21.3 million boe(4) and total proved plus
probable (“TPP”) reserves of 26.8 million boe(4). Production from
January 1, 2021 to November 30, 2021 on the Prairie Storm Assets is
estimated to be approximately 0.6 million boe.
- Includes
approximately 37,995 net acres(8) of high working interest (77%)
Cardium land, making InPlay one of the largest acreage holders in
the Willesden Green Cardium play.
- Adds over 86 net
booked drilling locations(9). InPlay plans to commence drilling on
the Prairie Storm Assets immediately post-closing of the
Acquisition. The Company will focus on wells in a targeted Cardium
oil area that delivers better than average production rates due to
higher associated gas concentrations, with initial production rates
benefitting from the anticipated strong winter gas prices.
- The Acquisition
provides significant improvements to the Company’s sustainability:
low decline production; strong FAFF; sizeable drilling inventory;
the addition of material scale to the Company with significant
anticipated cost savings through synergies; and a strengthened
balance sheet with improvements to net debt/EBITDA in 2022.
Summary of the Acquisition and Prairie
Storm Assets
Total net consideration(1) |
$40.5 million |
2022E annual average production(2)(3) |
2,755 boe/d |
Cardium land(8) |
37,995 net acres |
Net booked drilling locations(9) |
86.2 |
Reserves (December 31, 2020) |
|
PDP
reserves(4) |
4.9 MMboe |
TP reserves(4) |
21.3 MMboe |
TPP
reserves(4) |
26.8 MMboe |
2022E Operating Netback(2)(3) |
$31.75/boe |
2022E Operating Income(3) |
$31.0 - $33.0MM |
2022E Capital Expenditures(3)(12) |
$10.0 - $12.0MM (4.6 net wells) |
2022E FAFF(3) |
$16.5 - $18.5MM |
Acquisition Metrics |
|
2022E Operating
Income Multiple(3) |
1.3x |
2022E Flowing
barrel(3) |
$14,700/boe/d |
PDP
reserves(4) |
$8.26/boe |
TP reserves(4) |
$1.90/boe |
TPP
reserves(4) |
$1.51/boe |
Acquisition Accretion(15) |
|
2022E Production
per share(6) |
15% |
2022E AFF per
share(5)(6) |
12% |
2022E FAFF per
share(5)(6) |
17% |
2022E Enterprise
Value / Debt Adjusted Cash Flow (5)(6) |
8% |
Reserves Per Share(4)(10) |
21% (PDP) / 60% (TP) / 46% (TPP) |
Benefits of the Acquisition
Production from the Prairie Storm Assets is
expected to be approximately 1,800 boe/d(2) at close, consisting of
approximately 505 bbl/d of light and medium crude oil (28%), 453
boe/d of NGLs (25%) and 5,050 Mcf/d of natural gas (47%).
Significant growth opportunities have been identified on the 49,120
gross (37,995 net)(8) acres of Cardium lands associated with the
Prairie Storm Assets, including 80.1 net(9) identified Cardium
drilling locations. Pro-forma independently evaluated reserves
effective as of December 31, 2020 are 14.5 MMboe(4) (PDP), 42.8
MMboe(4) (TP) and 59.5 MMboe(4) (TPP).
The Acquisition provides attractive metrics and
is highly accretive to InPlay. A 1.3x multiple of targeted 2022
operating income(3), $14,700/boe/d per flowing barrel(3) in 2022
and $1.90/boe(4) per TP reserves are all strong acquisition metrics
in the current market. Significant synergies are expected from the
consolidation of assets resulting from the Acquisition, with
approximately $3.0 - $3.5 million in estimated annual cost savings
after closing and the potential for additional savings in a short
time frame. The accretion per share generated by the Acquisition on
a production, AFF and FAFF basis enhances shareholder value
significantly and places InPlay in an increasingly strong position
for future success.
The Acquisition is representative of the
Company's continued Cardium consolidation and sustainability
strategy, positioning InPlay as a sizable producer and acreage
holder with significant drilling inventory in the light oil window
of central Alberta's Cardium fairway. Willesden Green will be a
focus area for continued development and growth as the wells
drilled to date are some of the most prolific Cardium oil wells in
Alberta. The production profile characteristics of the Prairie
Storm Assets complement InPlay's current suite of assets in its
core areas.
Doug Bartole, President and Chief Executive
Officer of InPlay, commented: “The Acquisition is a significant
achievement for InPlay and further solidifies the Company as a
premier Cardium operator. Prairie Storm has built a very focused
Cardium asset in an area that InPlay has a great deal of
experience. The Acquisition is complementary to InPlay’s existing
asset base and adds material scale to the Company’s existing
Cardium focused core development area. The low decline of the
Prairie Storm assets and large drilling and land inventory enhances
the sustainability of InPlay to continue to deliver strong free
adjusted funds flow.”
Hugh Ross, President and Chief Executive Officer
of Prairie Storm, commented: “I am very excited to be combining
Prairie Storm’s top-tier Cardium asset base with a high quality
Cardium player. InPlay has established itself as a leader in the
Cardium achieving some of the strongest capital efficiencies and I
am confident they will continue this success with our Cardium
assets added to their portfolio. We are excited to become InPlay
shareholders given the operational and financial outlook for the
company.”
Updated Pro-forma 2021 Corporate
Guidance and Preliminary 2022 Outlook
The following table summarizes InPlay's pro
forma operating and financial guidance for 2021 and preliminary
outlook for 2022. The pro forma guidance for 2021 includes the
Prairie Storm Assets for the one month period in 2021 following the
anticipated closing of the Acquisition on or about November 30,
2021. The capital expenditures in the table below includes amounts
planned to be spent on wells drilled on the Prairie Storm Assets
(approximately $4.0 million on 1.6 net wells in 2021; approximately
$10.0 - $12.0 million on 4.0 - 5.0 net wells in 2022).
|
2021Post-Acquisition(6)(7) |
|
2022Post-
Acquisition(6) |
Average production (boe/d)(2) |
5,750 – 6,000 |
|
8,900 – 9,400 |
% Oil and NGLs |
67% |
|
64% |
Operating Netback ($/boe)(5) |
$34.00 – $37.00 |
|
$34.25 - $37.25 |
Adjusted Funds Flow ($MM)(5) |
$51.0 - $54.0 |
|
$106.5 - $111.5 |
Capital expenditures ($MM)(11)(12) |
$32.5 - $34.5 |
|
$51.0 - $53.0 |
Net wells drilled |
10.0 |
|
17.0 – 18.0 |
Free Adjusted Funds Flow ($MM)(5) |
$17.5 - $20.5 |
|
$55.0 - $59.0 |
Free Adjusted Funds Flow Yield(5) |
17% – 20% |
|
54% – 58% |
Net Debt ($MM)(13) |
$76.5 - $79.5 |
|
$20.0 - $25.0 |
InPlay Shares outstanding, end of year (MM)(14) |
85.0 |
|
85.0 |
An increase/(decrease) of US $7.50 WTI pricing would impact 2022
targeted AFF by $14.1 million/($13.8 million) respectively. An
increase/(decrease) of $0.50 AECO pricing would impact 2022
targeted AFF by $4.0 million/($3.1 million) respectively.
Details of the Acquisition
Pursuant to the Agreement, InPlay will acquire
all issued and outstanding shares of Prairie Storm (the
"Prairie Storm Shares") from the holders thereof
(the "Prairie Storm Shareholders") for aggregate
consideration of $50 million comprised of: (a) the payment of an
aggregate of $40 million in cash; and (b) the issuance of an
aggregate of approximately 8.3 million common shares of InPlay
("InPlay Shares") at a deemed issuance price of
$1.20 per InPlay Share. In addition, InPlay will assume Prairie
Storm's working capital surplus(5) (estimated to be approximately
$9.5 million at closing), after payment of Prairie Storm's
estimated transaction costs for total net consideration of $40.5
million. Approximately 5.7 million InPlay Shares representing 68%
of the shares issuable to Prairie Storm pursuant to the Acquisition
will be subject to escrow, with 50% of the escrowed shares
releasable three months from closing of the Acquisition and the
remaining 50% releasable six months from closing of the
Acquisition.
Concurrent with the execution of the Agreement,
holders of more than 68% of the issued and outstanding Prairie
Storm Shares have executed support agreements pursuant to which
such holders have agreed to vote in favour of the Acquisition.
The Equity Financing
InPlay has entered into a bought deal agreement
with a syndicate of underwriters led by Eight Capital and ATB
Capital Markets (the "Underwriters"), pursuant to
which the Underwriters have agreed to purchase for resale to the
public, on a bought deal basis, 8.3 million subscription receipts
("Subscription Receipts") of InPlay at a price of
$1.20 per Subscription Receipt for aggregate gross proceeds of
approximately $10 million. The Underwriters will have an option to
purchase up to an additional 15% of the Subscription Receipts
issued under the Financing at a price of $1.20 per Subscription
Receipt to cover over allotments exercisable in whole or in part at
any time until 30 days after the closing of the Financing. The
gross proceeds from the sale of Subscription Receipts pursuant to
the Financing will be held in escrow pending the completion of the
Acquisition. If all conditions to the completion of the Acquisition
are satisfied or waived and InPlay has confirmed the same to the
Underwriters (other than funding the portion of the purchase price
therefor to be paid with the net proceeds of the Financing) before
5:00 p.m. (Calgary time) on December 31, 2021, the net proceeds
from the sale of the Subscription Receipts will be released from
escrow to InPlay and each Subscription Receipt will automatically
be exchanged for one InPlay Share for no additional consideration
and without any action on the part of the holder. If the
Acquisition is not completed at or before 5:00 p.m. (Calgary time)
on December 31, 2021, then the purchase price for the Subscription
Receipts will be returned pro rata to subscribers, together with a
pro rata portion of interest earned on the escrowed funds.
The Subscription Receipts issued pursuant to the
Financing will be distributed by way of a short form prospectus in
all provinces of Canada (excluding Québec) and may also be placed
privately in the United States to Qualified Institutional Buyers
(as defined under Rule 144A under the United States Securities Act
of 1933, as amended (the "U.S. Securities Act"))
pursuant to an exemption under Rule 144A, and may be distributed
outside Canada and the United States on a basis which does not
require the qualification or registration of any of the Company's
securities under domestic or foreign securities laws. Completion of
the Financing is subject to customary closing conditions, including
the receipt of all necessary regulatory approvals, including the
approval of the TSX. Closing of the Financing is expected to occur
on or about October 20, 2021.
The net proceeds from the Financing will be used
to fund part of the cash portion of the purchase price under the
Acquisition.
Senior Credit Facility
In connection with the Acquisition, the Company
has entered into a commitment letter agreement with its current
syndicate of Lenders pursuant to which the Lenders have agreed to
increase the aggregate available borrowing capacity of InPlay’s
Senior Credit Facility from $65.0 million to $85.0 million, subject
to and conditional upon the completion of the Acquisition and the
Financing (the "Senior Credit Facility
Amendments"). In addition to InPlay's current syndicated
fully conforming, revolving Senior Credit Facility totaling $65
million, under the Senior Credit Facility Amendments the Lenders
have committed to provide InPlay with an additional $20 million
syndicated term facility maturing November 30, 2022 (the
"Senior Term Facility"). The Senior Term Facility
will require mandatory repayments as follows: (i) $6 million by May
31, 2022; (ii) $7 million by August 31, 2022; and (iii) $7 million
by November 30, 2022.
The Senior Term Facility is expected to be
utilized as a short-term solution with attractive lending rates to
provide the Company with liquidity in a timely manner to capitalize
on this accretive Acquisition in a strong market. As our borrowing
base and lending values are determined based on reserves and
commodity prices, expected increases to our PDP and TP reserve
levels from the Acquisition (2020 pro-forma reserves of 14.5 MMboe
(PDP) and 42.8 MMboe (TP)) and well results above expectations, in
addition to increased commodity prices compared to December 31,
2020, should be favorable at renewal of the borrowing base. This in
addition to InPlay’s significant forecasted FAFF for 2022 and
available credit capacity on the revolving portion of the Senior
Credit Facility are expected to provide InPlay with more than
sufficient liquidity to make the mandatory repayments required by
the Senior Term Facility.
Conditions and Timing
Completion of the Acquisition remains subject to
satisfaction of certain conditions including the receipt of all
necessary regulatory approvals, the approvals of the Toronto Stock
Exchange and the TSX Venture Exchange, respectively, the approval
of the Alberta Court of Queen’s Bench, the requisite approval of
the shareholders of Prairie Storm, completion of the InPlay
financings described herein and the satisfaction of certain other
conditions that are customary for a transaction of this nature.
Under the terms of the Agreement, Prairie Storm
has agreed that it will not solicit or initiate any inquiries or
discussions regarding any other alternative acquisition proposal,
subject to the fiduciary duty of the Board of Directors of Prairie
Storm in the event that an unsolicited superior proposal is
received by Prairie Storm. InPlay has been granted a 72 hour right
to match any superior proposal. The Agreement provides for mutual
non-completion fees of $2.0 million in the event that the
Acquisition is not completed or is terminated by either party in
certain circumstances.
An Information Circular outlining details of the
Acquisition is expected to be mailed to holders of Prairie Storm
Shares in advance of the meeting of the shareholders to be
scheduled for mid to late November, 2021. Closing of the
Acquisition is expected to occur shortly following the meeting of
Prairie Storm Shareholders.
Advisors
ATB Capital Markets and Eight Capital are acting
as financial advisors to InPlay with respect to the Acquisition and
the Financing. Based upon and subject to certain assumptions,
qualifications and limitations, Eight Capital has provided a
fairness opinion to the Board of Directors of InPlay (the
"Board") that, as of September 28, 2021, and
subject to review of final documentation, the consideration to be
paid by InPlay pursuant to the Acquisition is fair, from a
financial point of view, to InPlay. Burnet, Duckworth & Palmer
LLP is acting as legal counsel to InPlay in respect of the
Acquisition and the Financing.
Tudor, Pickering, Holt & Co. and National
Bank Financial Inc. are acting as financial advisors to Prairie
Storm with respect to the Acquisition. Blake, Cassels & Graydon
LLP is acting as legal counsel to Prairie Storm in respect of the
Acquisition.
About InPlay Oil Corp.
InPlay Oil is a junior oil and gas exploration
and production company with operations in Alberta focused on light
oil production. The Company operates long-lived, low-decline
properties with drilling development and enhanced oil recovery
potential as well as undeveloped lands with exploration
possibilities. The common shares of InPlay trade on the Toronto
Stock Exchange under the symbol IPO and the OTCQX under the symbol
IPOOF.
For further information please contact:
Doug BartolePresident and Chief Executive OfficerInPlay Oil Corp.
Telephone: (587) 955-0632 |
|
Darren Dittmer Chief Financial Officer InPlay Oil Corp. Telephone:
(587) 955-0634 |
Notes:
- The aggregate
consideration to be paid by InPlay to Prairie Storm Shareholders in
respect of the Acquisition is $50 million, comprised of
approximately $40 million of cash consideration and the issuance of
8.3 million InPlay Shares at a deemed issuance price of
approximately $1.20 per InPlay Share. The working capital
surplus(5) of Prairie Storm being assumed by InPlay upon closing of
the Acquisition is estimated to be $9.5 million, after payment of
Prairie Storm's estimated transaction costs resulting in net
consideration ascribed to the Acquisition of $40.5 million. See
"Reader Advisories – Non-GAAP Financial Measures" for additional
details.
- See “Reader
Advisories – Production Breakdown by Product Type”
- The estimated
Operating Income, Operating Netback, AFF and FAFF for the Prairie
Storm Assets in 2022 is based on strip pricing as of September 27,
2021. The key underlying assumptions used in the development of
these estimates are as follows: US $69.75/bbl WTI; $3.70/GJ AECO;
$33.40/boe NGL realized price; FX rate CA$/US$ 0.79; MSW
Differential US $5.60/bbl; royalties - $4.25 - $4.75/boe; operating
expenses – $8.25 - $10.25/boe; interest – $0.65 - $1.15/boe;
capital expenditures - $10 - $12 million. See "Reader Advisories –
Non-GAAP Financial Measures" and "Reader Advisories –
Forward-Looking and Cautionary Statements" for additional
details.
- Proved developed
producing reserves of 4.9 MMboe at December 31, 2020 consisting of
1.5 MMbbl of light and medium crude oil (31%), 1.2 MMbbl of NGLs
(24%) and 13.3 MMcf of natural gas (45%). Total proved reserves of
21.3 MMboe at December 31, 2020 consisting of 8.3 MMbbl of light
and medium crude oil (39%), 4.0 MMbbl of NGLs (19%) and 54.2 MMcf
of natural gas (42%). Total proved plus probable reserves of 26.8
MMboe at December 31, 2020 consisting of 10.6 MMbbl of light and
medium crude oil (39%), 5.0 MMbbl of NGLs (19%) and 67.7 MMcf of
natural gas (42%). See "Reader Advisories – Reserves Disclosure"
for additional details.
- See "Reader
Advisories – Non-GAAP Financial Measures" for additional
details.
- See "Reader
Advisories – Forward Looking Information and Statements" for
additional details regarding underlying assumptions used in
forecast 2021 and targeted 2022 operating income, operating
netback, AFF, FAFF, net debt, capital expenditures and
production.
- Assumes a
November 30, 2021 closing date for the Acquisition.
- Total land
holdings to be acquired is 68,905 gross (49,811 net) acres, of
which approximately 49,120 gross (37,995 net) acres represent lands
in the Cardium formation.
- See "Reader
Advisories – Drilling Locations" for additional details regarding
drilling locations.
- See "Reader
Advisories – Reserves Disclosure" for additional details regarding
reserves estimates.
- Capital
expenditures exclude acquisitions.
- InPlay’s plans
for 2022 and associated targets and outlook, including the plans
for the Prairie Storm Assets, remain preliminary in nature and do
not reflect a Board approved capital expenditures budget. See table
in the “Forward Looking Information and Statements” section for
underlying material assumptions related thereto.
- Inclusive of the
working capital surplus of Prairie Storm being assumed by InPlay
upon closing of the Acquisition, estimated to be $9.5 million after
payment of Prairie Storm's estimated transaction costs.
- Based on the
issuance of 8.3 million InPlay Shares to the shareholders of
Prairie Storm and the issuance of 8.3 million InPlay Shares under
the Financing.
- AFF, FAFF and
EV/DACF accretion metrics are based on the pro-forma 2021 forecast
and 2022 outlook information (for which the material underlying
assumptions are disclosed in the “Forward Looking Information and
Statements” section) compared to the 2021 guidance and 2022 outlook
information within the “Forward Looking Information and Statements”
section updated for strip pricing as of September 27, 2021 as
follows: US $69.75/bbl WTI; $3.70/GJ AECO; $33.40/boe NGL realized
price; FX rate CA$/US$ 0.79; MSW Differential US $5.60/bbl.
Reader Advisories
This press release is not an offer of
the securities for sale in the United States. The securities
offered have not been, and will not be, registered under the U.S.
Securities Act or any U.S. state securities laws and may not be
offered or sold in the United States absent registration or an
available exemption from the registration requirement of the U.S.
Securities Act and applicable U.S. state securities laws. No public
offering of securities is being made in the United States. This
press release shall not constitute an offer to sell or the
solicitation of an offer to buy, nor shall there be any sale of
these securities, in any jurisdiction in which such offer,
solicitation or sale would be unlawful.
Non-GAAP Financial Measures and
Ratios
Included in this press release are references to
the terms “adjusted funds flow”, “adjusted funds flow per share,
basic and diluted”, “free adjusted funds flow”, “free adjusted
funds flow per share, basic and diluted”, “free adjusted funds flow
yield”, “operating income”, “operating netback per boe”, “Net
Debt/EBITDA”, “working capital surplus”, “operating income
multiple”, “enterprise value” and “enterprise value to debt
adjusted cash flow”. Management believes these measures are helpful
supplementary measures of financial and operating performance and
provide users with similar, but potentially not comparable,
information that is commonly used by other oil and natural gas
companies. These terms do not have any standardized meaning
prescribed by GAAP and should not be considered an alternative to,
or more meaningful than, “funds flow”, “profit (loss) before
taxes”, “profit (loss) and comprehensive income (loss)” or assets
and liabilities as determined in accordance with GAAP as a measure
of the Company’s performance and financial position.
InPlay uses “adjusted funds flow” and “adjusted
funds flow per share, basic and diluted” as key performance
indicators. Adjusted funds flow should not be considered as an
alternative to or more meaningful than funds flow as determined in
accordance with GAAP as an indicator of the Company’s performance.
InPlay’s determination of adjusted funds flow may not be comparable
to that reported by other companies. Adjusted funds flow is
calculated by adjusting for decommissioning expenditures from funds
flow. This item is adjusted from funds flow as decommissioning
expenditures are incurred on a discretionary and irregular basis
and are primarily incurred on previous operating assets, making the
exclusion of this item relevant in Management’s view to the reader
in the evaluation of InPlay’s operating performance. Adjusted funds
flow per share, basic and diluted is calculated by the Company as
adjusted funds flow divided by the weighted average number of
common shares outstanding for the respective period. Management
considers adjusted funds flow per share, basic and diluted an
important measure to evaluate its operational performance as it
demonstrates its recurring operating cash flow generated
attributable to each share. For a detailed description of InPlay’s
method of calculating adjusted funds flow and adjusted funds flow
per share, basic and diluted and their reconciliation to the
nearest GAAP term, refer to the section “Forward-Looking
Information and Statements”.
InPlay uses “free adjusted funds flow” and “free
adjusted funds flow per share, basic and diluted” as key
performance indicators. Free adjusted funds flow should not be
considered as an alternative to or more meaningful than funds flow
as determined in accordance with GAAP as an indicator of the
Company’s performance. Free adjusted funds flow is calculated by
the Company as adjusted funds flow less capital expenditures and is
a measure of the cashflow remaining after capital expenditures that
can be used for additional capital activity, repayment of debt or
decommissioning expenditures. Management considers free adjusted
funds flow an important measure to identify the Company’s ability
to improve the financial condition of the Company through debt
repayment, which has become more important recently with the
introduction of second lien lenders. Free adjusted funds flow per
share, basic and diluted is calculated by the Company as adjusted
funds flow divided by the weighted average number of common shares
outstanding for the respective period. Management considers free
adjusted funds flow per share, basic and diluted an important
measure to identify the Company’s ability to improve the financial
condition of the Company through debt repayment attributable to
each share. Refer to the “Forward Looking Information and
Statements” section for a calculation of forecast free adjusted
funds flow and free adjusted funds flow per share, basic and
diluted.
InPlay uses “free adjusted funds flow yield” as
a key performance indicator. Free adjusted funds flow is calculated
by the Company as free adjusted funds flow divided by the market
capitalization of the Company. Management considers FAFF yield to
be an important performance indicator as it demonstrates a
Company’s ability to generate cash to pay down debt and provide
funds for potential distributions to shareholders. Refer to the
“Forward Looking Information and Statements” section for a
calculation of forecast free adjusted funds flow yield.
InPlay uses “operating income” and “operating
netback per boe” as key performance indicators. Operating income
should not be considered as an alternative to or more meaningful
than net income as determined in accordance with GAAP as an
indicator of the Company’s performance. Operating income is
calculated by the Company as oil and natural gas sales less
royalties, operating expenses and transportation expenses and is a
measure of the profitability of operations before administrative,
share-based compensation, financing and other non-cash items.
Management considers operating income an important measure to
evaluate its operational performance as it demonstrates its field
level profitability. Operating netback per boe is calculated by the
Company as operating income divided by average production for the
respective period. Management considers operating netback per boe
an important measure to evaluate its operational performance as it
demonstrates its field level profitability per unit of production.
For a detailed description of InPlay’s method of the calculation of
operating income and operating netback per boe and their
reconciliation to the nearest GAAP term, refer to the section
“Non-GAAP Measures” in the Company’s most recent MD&A filed on
SEDAR.
InPlay uses “Net Debt/EBITDA” as a key
performance indicator. EBITDA should not be considered as an
alternative to or more meaningful than funds flow as determined in
accordance with GAAP as an indicator of the Company’s performance.
EBITDA is calculated by the Company as adjusted funds flow before
interest expense. This measure is consistent with the EBITDA
formula prescribed under the Company's Credit Facility. Net
Debt/EBITDA is calculated as Net Debt divided by EBITDA. Management
considers Net Debt/EBITDA a key performance indicator as it is a
key metric under our first lien and second lien credit facilities
and is an important measure to identify the Company’s annual
ability to fund financing expenses, net debt reductions and other
obligations. Refer to the “Forward Looking Information and
Statements” section for a calculation of forecast Net
Debt/EBITDA.
InPlay uses “working capital surplus” as a key
performance indicator. Working capital surplus should not be
considered as an alternative to or more meaningful than current
assets or current liabilities as determined in accordance with GAAP
as an indicator of the Company’s performance. Working capital
surplus is calculated by the Company as current assets less current
liabilities excluding the impact of the fair value of commodity
contracts and lease obligations. This measure is
consistent with the working capital surplus formula prescribed
under the Agreement. Management considers working capital surplus a
key performance indicator as it is a key metric under the Agreement
and is a portion of the net assets acquired as part of the
Acquisition.
InPlay uses “operating income multiple” as a key
performance indicator. Operating income multiple is calculated by
the Company as Acquisition consideration divided by operating
income for the Prairie Storm Assets for the relevant period.
Management considers operating income multiple a key performance
indicator as it is a key metric used to evaluate the Acquisition in
comparison to other transactions. Refer below for a calculation of
the operating income multiple in relation to the Acquisition.
|
|
|
Run Rate |
FY 2022 |
Net Consideration |
$ millions |
|
$40.5 |
$40.5 |
Operating Income |
$ millions |
|
$16.2 |
$31.9 |
Operating Income Multiple |
|
|
2.5x |
1.3x |
InPlay uses “enterprise value” and “enterprise
value to debt adjusted cash flow” or “EV/DACF” as a key performance
indicators. EV/DACF is calculated by the Company as enterprise
value divided by debt adjusted cash flow for the relevant period.
Debt adjusted cash flow (“DACF”) is calculated by the Company as
funds flow plus financing costs. Management considers EV/DACF a key
performance indicator as it is a key metric used to evaluate the
sustainability of the Company relative to other companies while
incorporating the impact of differing capital structures. Refer to
the “Forward Looking Information and Statements” section for a
calculation of forecast EV/DACF.
Forward-Looking Information and
Statements
Certain statements contained within this press
release constitute forward-looking statements within the meaning of
applicable Canadian securities legislation. All statements other
than statements of historical fact may be forward-looking
statements. Forward-looking statements are often, but not always,
identified by the use of words such as "anticipate", "budget",
"plan", "endeavor", "continue", "estimate", "evaluate", "expect",
"forecast", "monitor", "may", "will", "can", "able", "potential",
"target", "intend", "consider", "focus", "identify", "use",
"utilize", "manage", "maintain", "remain", "result", "cultivate",
"could", "should", "believe" and similar expressions. InPlay
believes that the expectations reflected in such forward-looking
statements are reasonable, but no assurance can be given that such
expectations will prove to be correct and such forward-looking
statements should not be unduly relied upon. Without limitation,
this press release contains forward-looking statements pertaining
to: timing of the Acquisition; the terms of the Acquisition,
including the portion of the purchase price payable in cash and
InPlay Shares; satisfaction or waiver of the closing conditions to
the Acquisition; receipt of required legal and regulatory approvals
for the completion of the Acquisition (including approval of the
TSXV and the TSX); completion of the InPlay financing, and closing
of the Acquisition; funding and payment of the purchase price in
respect of the Acquisition; completion of the Senior Credit
Facility Amendments and satisfaction of conditions thereto;
expected working capital (surplus) to be assumed by InPlay pursuant
to the Acquisition; expected production related to the Prairie
Storm Assets at close; expected production, operating income,
operating netback and free adjusted funds flow related to the
Prairie Storm Assets in 2022; pro-forma preliminary estimates or
targeted 2021 and 2022 production, capital expenditures, operating
income, operating netback, adjusted funds flow, free adjusted funds
flow, net debt, net debt / EBITDA and shares outstanding; expected
number of future drilling locations related to the Prairie Storm
Assets; the expectation that the Acquisition will deliver strong
accretion metrics relating to AFF per share, FAFF per share,
production per share and reserves per share; the expectation of
$3.0 - $3.5 million in immediate cost savings from the Acquisition
and the potential for additional savings in a short time frame;
that the Acquisition places InPlay in an increasingly strong
position for future success; that InPlay will have sufficient
liquidity to make the mandatory repayments required by the Senior
Term Facility; expected increases to our PDP and TP reserves levels
from the Acquisition; reserve estimates; future production levels;
future operational and technical synergies resulting from the
Acquisition; management's ability to replicate past performance;
the ability of InPlay to optimize production from the Prairie Storm
Assets; future consolidation opportunities and acquisition targets;
the business plan, cost model and strategy of InPlay; future cash
flows; expectations regarding the Cardium formation, including
potential benefits from the Prairie Storm Assets; the anticipated
closing date of the Financing and Acquisition; the use of proceeds
from the Financing; the anticipated increase in the Senior Credit
Facility; and future commodity prices and exchange rates.
The forward-looking statements and information
are based on certain key expectations and assumptions made by
InPlay, including expectations and assumptions concerning the
business plan of InPlay, the receipt of all approvals and
satisfaction of all conditions to the completion of the
Acquisition, the Financing and the Senior Credit Facility
Amendments, the timing of and success of future drilling,
development and completion activities, the performance of existing
wells, the performance of new wells, the availability and
performance of facilities and pipelines, the geological
characteristics of InPlay's properties, the characteristics of the
Prairie Storm Assets, the successful integration of the Prairie
Storm Assets into InPlay's operations, the successful application
of drilling, completion and seismic technology, prevailing weather
conditions, prevailing legislation affecting the oil and gas
industry, commodity prices, royalty regimes and exchange rates, the
application of regulatory and licensing requirements, the
availability of capital, labour and services, the creditworthiness
of industry partners and the ability to source and complete
acquisitions.
Although InPlay believes that the expectations
and assumptions on which such forward-looking statements and
information are based are reasonable, undue reliance should not be
placed on the forward-looking statements and information because
InPlay can give no assurance that they will prove to be correct. By
its nature, such forward-looking information is subject to various
risks and uncertainties, which could cause the actual results and
expectations to differ materially from the anticipated results or
expectations expressed. These risks and uncertainties include, but
are not limited to, fluctuations in commodity prices, counterparty
risk to closing each of the Acquisition and the Financing, changes
in industry regulations and political landscape both domestically
and abroad, foreign exchange or interest rates, stock market
volatility, impacts of the current COVID-19 pandemic and the
retention of key management and employees. Please refer to InPlay's
most recent Annual Information Form and MD&A for additional
risk factors relating to InPlay, which can be accessed either on
InPlay's website at www.InPlayOil.com or under InPlay's profile on
www.sedar.com. Readers are cautioned not to place undue reliance on
this forward-looking information, which is given as of the date
hereof, and to not use such forward-looking information for
anything other than its intended purpose. InPlay undertakes no
obligation to update publicly or revise any forward-looking
information, whether as a result of new information, future events
or otherwise, except as required by law.
The key budget and underlying material
assumptions used by the Company in the development of its 2021
guidance and 2022 preliminary outlook and pro-forma 2021 guidance
and 2022 preliminary outlook including forecasted production,
operating income, operating netback per boe, capital expenditures,
funds flow, adjusted funds flow, free adjusted funds flow, Net Debt
and Net Debt/EBITDA ratio are as follows:
|
|
|
Prior GuidanceFY 2021(1) |
Prior OutlookFY 2022(2)(3) |
Pro-formaGuidanceFY 2021(4) |
Pro-formaOutlookFY 2022(3)(4) |
WTI |
US$/bbl |
|
$64.50 |
$66.30 |
$66.90 |
$69.75 |
NGL Price |
$/boe |
|
$31.00 |
$29.40 |
$33.00 |
$33.40 |
AECO |
$/GJ |
|
$3.35 |
$3.30 |
$3.45 |
$3.70 |
Foreign Exchange Rate |
(US$/CDN$) |
|
$0.80 |
$0.80 |
$0.80 |
$0.79 |
MSW Differential |
US$/bbl |
|
$4.15 |
$4.30 |
$4.00 |
$5.60 |
Production |
Boe/d |
|
5,500 – 5,750 |
6,300 – 6,550 |
5,750 – 6,000 |
8,900 – 9,400 |
Royalties |
$/boe |
|
4.60 – 5.10 |
5.35 – 5.85 |
4.90 – 5.40 |
5.25 – 5.75 |
Operating Expenses |
$/boe |
|
11.50 - 13.50 |
10.50 – 12.50 |
11.50 - 13.50 |
9.75 – 11.75 |
Transportation |
$/boe |
|
0.80 - 0.90 |
0.75 – 0.85 |
0.80 - 0.90 |
0.55 - 0.65 |
Interest |
$/boe |
|
2.25 - 2.75 |
0.80 – 1.30 |
2.25 - 2.75 |
0.75 – 1.25 |
General and Administrative |
$/boe |
|
2.60 - 3.10 |
2.10 – 2.70 |
2.40 – 2.90 |
1.65 – 2.15 |
Hedging loss |
$/boe |
|
5.00 – 5.50 |
0.00 – 0.10 |
5.45 – 5.95 |
0.00 – 0.25 |
Capital Expenditures |
$ millions |
|
$29 |
$38.0 - $40.0 |
$32.5 - $34.5 |
$51.0 - $53.0 |
Decommissioning Expenditures |
$ millions |
|
$1.3 - $1.5 |
$1.3 - $1.5 |
$1.3 - $1.5 |
$1.5 - $2.0 |
Net Debt |
$ millions |
|
$56.5 - $59.5 |
$22.5 - $25.5 |
$76.5 - $79.5 |
$20.0 - $25.0 |
Forecasted Funds Flow |
$ millions |
|
$43.0 - $46.0 |
$70.0 – $73.0 |
$49.5 - $52.5 |
$105.0 - $110.0 |
Forecasted Adjusted Funds Flow |
$ millions |
|
$44.5 - $47.5 |
$71.5 - $74.5 |
$51.0 - $54.0 |
$106.5 - $111.5 |
Weighted average shares outstanding |
millions |
|
68.3 |
68.3 |
69.8 |
85.0 |
Forecasted AFF per share |
$/share |
|
$0.65 - $0.70 |
$1.05 - $1.09 |
$0.73 - $0.78 |
$1.25 - $1.30 |
|
|
|
Prior GuidanceFY 2021(1) |
Prior OutlookFY 2022(2)(3) |
Pro-formaGuidanceFY 2021(4) |
Pro-formaOutlookFY 2022(3)(4) |
Forecasted Adjusted Funds Flow |
$ millions |
|
$44.5 - $47.5 |
$71.5 - $74.5 |
$51.0 - $54.0 |
$106.5 - $111.5 |
Capital Expenditures |
$ millions |
|
$29 |
$38.0 - $40.0 |
$32.5 - $34.5 |
$51.0 - $53.0 |
Forecasted Free Adjusted Funds Flow |
$ millions |
|
$15.5 - $18.5 |
$32.5 - $35.5 |
$17.5 - $20.5 |
$55.0 - $59.0 |
Weighted average shares outstanding |
millions |
|
68.3 |
68.3 |
69.8 |
85.0 |
Forecasted FAFF per share |
$/share |
|
$0.22 - $0.27 |
$0.47 - $0.52 |
$0.25 – $0.30 |
$0.65 - $0.70 |
|
|
|
Prior GuidanceFY 2021(1) |
Prior OutlookFY 2022(2)(3) |
Pro-formaGuidanceFY 2021(4) |
Pro-formaOutlookFY 2022(3)(4) |
Forecasted Adjusted Funds Flow |
$ millions |
|
$44.5 - $47.5 |
$71.5 - $74.5 |
$51.0 - $54.0 |
$106.5 - $111.5 |
Interest |
$/boe |
|
2.25 - 2.75 |
0.80 – 1.30 |
2.25 - 2.75 |
0.75 – 1.25 |
EBITDA |
$ millions |
|
$49.5 - $52.5 |
$73.5 - $76.5 |
$54.0 - $57.0 |
$109.0 - $114.0 |
Net Debt |
$ millions |
|
$56.5 - $59.5 |
$22.5 - $25.5 |
$76.5 - $79.5 |
$20.0 - $25.0 |
Net Debt/EBITDA |
|
|
1.0 – 1.2 |
0.3 – 0.4 |
1.4 – 1.5 |
0.2 – 0.3 |
|
|
|
|
Pro-formaFY 2021(4) |
Pro-formaFY 2022(3)(4) |
Forecasted Free Adjusted Funds Flow |
$ millions |
|
|
$17.5 - $20.5 |
$55.0 - $59.0 |
Shares outstanding, end of year |
millions |
|
|
85.0 |
85.0 |
Financing price |
$/share |
|
|
$1.20 |
$1.20 |
Market capitalization @ Financing price |
$ millions |
|
|
$102 |
$102 |
FAFF Yield |
% |
|
|
17% - 20% |
54% - 58% |
|
|
|
Pro-formaFY 2022(3)(4) |
Weighted average shares outstanding |
millions |
|
85.0 |
Financing price |
$/share |
|
$1.20 |
Market capitalization @ Financing price |
$ millions |
|
$102 |
Net Debt |
$ millions |
|
$20.0 - $25.0 |
Enterprise Value |
$ millions |
|
$122.0 - $127.0 |
Funds Flow |
$ millions |
|
$105.0 - $110.0 |
Interest |
$/boe |
|
0.75 – 1.25 |
Debt Adjusted Cash Flow |
$ millions |
|
$108.0 - $113.0 |
EV/DACF |
|
|
1.0 – 1.2 |
Notes:
- As previously
released August 11, 2021.
- As previously
released September 8, 2021.
- InPlay’s plans
for 2022 and associated targets remain preliminary in nature and do
not reflect a Board approved capital expenditures budget.
- Subject to
completion of the Acquisition
-
See “Production Breakdown by Product Type” below
- Quality and
pipeline transmission adjustments may impact realized oil prices in
addition to the MSW Differential provided above
- Changes in
working capital are not assumed to have a material impact between
Dec 31, 2020, Dec 31, 2021 and Dec 31, 2022.
Future Oriented Financial
Information
Any financial outlook or future oriented
financial information in this press release, as defined by
applicable Canadian securities legislation, has been approved by
management of InPlay. Readers are cautioned that any such
future-oriented financial information contained herein, including
(but not limited to) references to prospective results of
operations, operating costs, Funds Flow, Adjusted Funds Flow, Free
Funds Flow, Net Debt (Surplus), and Operating Netbacks and InPlay's
corporate outlook and guidance for 2021 and 2022, generally, should
not be used for purposes other than those for which it is disclosed
herein. InPlay and its management believe that the prospective
financial information has been prepared on a reasonable basis,
reflecting management's best estimates and judgments, and
represent, to the best of management's knowledge and opinion,
InPlay's expected course of action. However, because this
information is highly subjective, it should not be relied on as
necessarily indicative of future activities or results.
Other Measurements
All dollar figures included herein are presented
in Canadian dollars, unless otherwise noted.
This press release contains various references
to the abbreviation "boe" which means barrels of oil equivalent.
Where amounts are expressed on a boe basis, natural gas volumes
have been converted to oil equivalence at six thousand cubic feet
(Mcf) per barrel (bbl). The term boe may be misleading,
particularly if used in isolation. A boe conversion ratio of six
thousand cubic feet per barrel is based on an energy equivalency
conversion method primarily applicable at the burner tip and does
not represent a value equivalency at the wellhead and is
significantly different than the value ratio based on the current
price of crude oil and natural gas. This conversion factor is an
industry accepted norm and is not based on either energy content or
current prices. Such abbreviation may be misleading, particularly
if used in isolation.
Production Breakdown by Product
Type
Disclosure of production on a per boe basis in
this press release consists of the constituent product types as
defined in NI 51-101 and their respective quantities disclosed
in the table below:
|
Light and MediumCrude
oil(bbls/d) |
|
NGLS(boe/d) |
|
Conventional Natural
gas(Mcf/d) |
|
Total(boe/d) |
2021 InPlay Annual Average Production Guidance |
3,071 |
|
751 |
|
10,816 |
|
5,625(1) |
2022 InPlay Annual Average Production Outlook |
3,534 |
|
758 |
|
12,798 |
|
6,425(2) |
2021 Annual Average Pro-forma Production Guidance |
3,170 |
|
800 |
|
11,430 |
|
5,875(3) |
2022 Annual Average Pro-forma Production Outlook |
4,498 |
|
1,338 |
|
19,880 |
|
9,150(4) |
Prairie Storm Assets Closing Production |
505 |
|
453 |
|
5,050 |
|
1,800 |
2022 Prairie Storm Assets Production Estimate |
965 |
|
585 |
|
7,230 |
|
2,755(5) |
Notes:
- This reflects
the mid-point of the Company’s prior 2021 production guidance range
of 5,500 to 5,750 boe/d.
- This reflects
the mid-point of the Company’s prior 2022 production outlook range
of 6,300 to 6,550 boe/d.
- This reflects
the mid-point of the Company’s pro-forma Acquisition 2021
production guidance range of 5,750 to 6,000 boe/d.
- This reflects
the mid-point of the Company’s pro-forma Acquisition 2022
production outlook range of 8,900 to 9,400 boe/d.
- Assumes that 2.0
(1.6 net) wells are brought on production prior to the end of
2021.
- With respect to
forward-looking production guidance, product type breakdown is
based upon management's expectations based on reasonable
assumptions but are subject to variability based on actual well
results.
References to crude oil, NGLs or natural gas
production in this press release refer to the light and medium
crude oil, natural gas liquids and conventional natural gas product
types, respectively, as defined in National Instrument 51-101,
Standards of Disclosure for Oil and Gas Activities ("Nl
51-101").
Reserves Disclosure
All reserves information in this press release
relating to the Prairie Storm Assets was prepared by Sproule
Associates Ltd., for Prairie Storm, effective December 31, 2020
(the "Prairie Storm Report"), in accordance with
National Instrument 51-101 – Standards of Disclosure of Oil and Gas
Activities ("NI 51-101") and the most recent
publication of the Canadian Oil and Gas Evaluation Handbook (the
"COGE Handbook"). The estimates of reserves and
future net revenue for the Acquisition may not reflect the same
confidence level as estimates of reserves and future net revenue
for all of InPlay's properties, due to the effects of
aggregation.
All reserve references in this press release are
"gross reserves". Gross reserves are a company's total working
interest reserves before the deduction of any royalties payable by
such company and before the consideration of such company's royalty
interests. It should not be assumed that the present worth of
estimated future cash flow of net revenue presented herein
represents the fair market value of the reserves. There is no
assurance that the forecast prices and costs assumptions will be
attained and variances could be material. The recovery and reserve
estimates of InPlay's crude oil, NGLs and natural gas reserves and
those associated with the Prairie Storm Assets, provided herein are
estimates only and there is no guarantee that the estimated
reserves will be recovered. Actual oil, natural gas and NGLs
reserves may be greater than or less than the estimates provided
herein.
|
Dec. 31, 2020PDP
Reserves(MMboe) |
Dec. 31, 2020TP
Reserves(MMboe) |
Dec. 31, 2020TPP
Reserves(MMboe) |
Prairie Storm Assets(1) |
4.9 |
21.3 |
26.8 |
InPlay Assets(2) |
9.7 |
21.6 |
32.8 |
Pro-forma Reserves |
14.5 |
42.8 |
59.5 |
Pro-forma shares outstanding (millions) |
85.0 |
85.0 |
85.0 |
Pro-forma reserves per share (boe/share) |
0.17 |
0.51 |
0.70 |
|
Dec. 31, 2020PDP
Reserves(MMboe) |
Dec. 31, 2020TP
Reserves(MMboe) |
Dec. 31, 2020TPP
Reserves(MMboe) |
InPlay Assets(2) |
9.7 |
21.6 |
32.8 |
Shares outstanding (millions) |
68.3 |
68.3 |
68.3 |
Pro-forma reserves per share (boe/share) |
0.14 |
0.32 |
0.48 |
Notes:
- As per the
Prairie Storm Report effective December 31, 2020.
- Reserves
information relating to the InPlay Assets was prepared by Sproule
Associates Ltd., for InPlay Oil Corp, effective December 31, 2020,,
in accordance with National Instrument 51-101 – Standards of
Disclosure of Oil and Gas Activities ("NI 51-101") and the most
recent publication of the Canadian Oil and Gas Evaluation Handbook
(the "COGE Handbook"). Refer to InPlay Oil Corp.’s Annual
Information Form dated March 30, 2021 filed on SEDAR for detailed
reserves information.
Drilling Locations
This press release discloses drilling inventory
in two categories: (a) proved locations; and (b) probable
locations. Proved locations and probable locations are derived from
the Prairie Storm Report and account for drilling locations that
have associated proved and/or probable reserves, as applicable. Of
the 86.2 net drilling locations identified herein, 84.0 are proved
locations and 2.2 are probable locations. The drilling locations
considered for future development will ultimately depend upon the
availability of capital, regulatory approvals, seasonal
restrictions, oil and natural gas prices, costs, actual drilling
results, additional reservoir information that is obtained and
other factors.
Abbreviations
2022E |
Estimate for the year ending December 31, 2022 |
AECO |
Alberta Energy Company "C" Meter Station of the NOVA Pipeline
System |
bbl |
barrels of oil |
boe |
barrels of oil equivalent |
boe/d |
barrels of oil equivalent per day |
GJ |
gigajoule |
$MM |
millions of Canadian dollars |
Mboe |
thousand barrels of oil equivalent |
MMbbl |
million barrels of oil |
MMcf |
million cubic feet |
MMcf/d |
million cubic feet per day |
MMboe |
million barrels of oil equivalent |
NGL |
natural gas liquids |
WTI |
West Texas Intermediate, the reference price paid in U.S. dollars
at Cushing, Oklahoma for crude oil of standard grade |
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