The
Challenges Facing Today's Largest Beverage Companies - Innovation
& Sustainable Growth. Where Will It Come
From?
History shows that every once
in awhile a disruptive technology, product, or service appears on
the horizon that has the potential to create a paradigm shift in
consumer thinking and behavior. At first, most people dismiss it as
a fad; thinking that it can't gain much traction in the
marketplace, and that it will never last. Oftentimes, they are
correct.
In the case of the food &
beverage industry, the landscape is littered with companies that
have attempted to offer innovative new products to consumers, but
ultimately failed. It goes without saying that the odds of success,
in developing, manufacturing and marketing a new beverage brand are
not very favorable.
But for those companies that
succeed in achieving the improbable, if not impossible, their early
investors are often significantly rewarded as word-of-mouth
spreads, brand recognition increases, sales momentum builds and
investor awareness takes hold.
The only
thing you have to do is find the right company, at the right time,
with the right product, the right strategic business plan, the
right kind of capital structure and funding mechanism, and the
right management team to execute on the plan ----- and, most
importantly, deliver results.
But does such a company exist
today?
In recent years, some of the
biggest stock market winners have come from the beverage industry.
Just go back and look at the longer term charts of Monster (MNST),
Cott (COT), and Jones Soda (JSDA). Each of these companies, at some
point in their history, experienced a surge in share price.
Investors, with lasting memories of the investment power that
underlies a new consumer beverage trend, continue to search for the
next big winner in this sector.
Remember, Glaceau the maker of
Vitamin Water, which was purchased by Coca-Cola in 2003 for $4.2
billion dollars in cash?
http://www.nytimes.com/2007/05/26/business/26drink-web.html?_r=0
Some have opined that Coca-Cola
overpaid for ownership of Glaceau's Vitamin Water brand, which some
have called nothing more than filtered water, sweetener, and
vitamins along with some coloring.
I only point this out to show
that at six times expected 2007 revenues, Coke paid a pretty penny
for a brand with no real proprietary formula, or intellectual
property protection. It simply quenches thirst and provides a few
vitamins.
Coke and Pepsi, the beverage
market leaders, are in a unique position. Because of their size and
structure, they find it much easier, cheaper, and more desirable to
purchase small companies that already have proven success in
launching an innovative new product.
As Tom Pirko, president of
Bevmark, a consulting firm to the food and beverage industry,
including Coke, says, in the NY Times article above
"When you
look at what's happening with Coke, they can't innovate their way
out. They have to buy their way out."
The question then becomes, at
what point is a small start-up beverage company worthy of the
attention of the big boys?
Well, in the case of Coca-Cola,
their VEB (Venture & Emerging Brands) Team looks for those
"brands that have achieved approximately $10 million in
revenue".
This $10 million bogey appears to be the critical threshold before
any small beverage company with a new, innovative, product will
even begin to merit consideration by Coke's VEB group.
Another criterion that I found
interesting was that in evaluating the growth of a brand, the VEB
group in Atlanta, pays particular attention to those company
executives that “understand the value of
going deep before going wide by targeting specific regions,
channels, or customer segments, versus trying to be everywhere at
once”.
http://www.coca-colacompany.com/stories/the-next-big-thing-how-cokes-venturing-emerging-brands-unit-stays-a-step-ahead-of-tomorrows-thirsts
Judging from recent trade
magazine articles, it also appears that a big priority for
Coca-Cola, as they move forward, is in the health and wellness
area; providing beverages with ingredients that are natural and
good for you. Lower calorie, healthy alternatives seem to be a
logical first step to achieving this newly-formed corporate
mandate.
Coke's chief procurement
officer Ron Lewis has even gone so far as to say:
"We can't
ignore the small, entrepreneurial brands popping up in
unconventional outlets --- such as health and beauty spas, natural
food stores, gyms, yoga studios and other places our red trucks
don't visit."
http://www.beveragedaily.com/Manufacturers/Coca-Cola-A-third-of-beverage-industry-growth-could-come-from-disruptive-brands-in-categories-that-do-not-exist-today
http://www.foodnavigator-usa.com/Manufacturers/Coca-Cola-on-thinking-like-a-start-up-open-innovation-and-avoiding-Kodak-moments
The future direction of
Coca-Cola (KO) and PepsiCo (PEP), for that matter, seems fairly
obvious. The question becomes, where will they find the next new
beverage product worthy of their attention?
I believe the answer lies in
Boca Raton, Florida, at a small company named Celsius Holdings,
Inc. (CELH).
Celsius Holdings, Inc. first
came to my attention in the summer of 2007 when I read an article
by Herb Greenberg, currently of CNBC notariety, who at the time was
writing a column on the Market Watch web site of the Wall Street
Journal.
http://blogs.marketwatch.com/greenberg/2006/10/coke_formally_i/
http://blogs.marketwatch.com/greenberg/2006/10/more_on_cokes_c/
While I was impressed with what
Coca-Cola was doing, I was more intrigued with the fact that Coke
was not the first to market with this new innovative product; a
company in Florida called Elite FX already had a calorie-burning
beverage named Celsius. Elite FX even went so far as to conduct a
placebo-controlled, double blind cross-over clinical study, to
substantiate its calorie-burning marketing claims. This study
validated the efficacy of Celsius and the "thermogenesis", i.e.,
the raising of the body's metabolism, which takes place shortly
after drinking the product, and lasts for approximately three
hours.
Those clinical studies, which
were done at the request of then CEO Steve Haley, proved to be
instrumental in giving Celsius a distinct scientific advantage over
Coca-Cola (KO) and Nestle's (NSRGY) Enviga product. Mr. Haley’s
foresight and vision would provide a critical step forward in the
marketing of his company’s products. For this decision alone, he
deserves much credit and recognition.
The introduction of
calorie-burning beverages creates a whole new category in the
industry; one that more than a few beverage company executives and
outside consultants feel is in its early stages of
development.
If you think about it, the
industry has gone from high-fructose corn syrup products, where
calorie counts typically range from around 140-160 calories, to
lower calorie beverages (light beers for example) and other light
beverages, to zero-calorie beverages. The question then becomes
where do we go from here?
Why Stop
at Zero Calories? – The Negative-Calorie Category Comes of
Age:
Since the initial study in
2005, Celsius has conducted six additional studies, many at the
prestigious University of Oklahoma Health Sciences Center, under
Dr. Jeffrey Stout, PhD, Director of Metabolic and Body Composition.
Many of these studies have been published by the ISSN
(International Society of Sports Nutrition) in the Journal of the
International Society of Sports Nutrition, and the Journal of
Strength and Conditioning Research. Links to the various scientific
studies may be found here:
http://www.celsius.com/thermogenic-scientific-studies
These types of studies have
become increasingly important in today's age of scrutiny by
regulators and legislators. In fact, it was because Coca-Cola and
Nestle's Enviga product had no underlying proof for its
calorie-burning claims, that they were ultimately forced into a
$650,000 settlement with 27 state attorneys, including Connecticut
Attorney General Richard Blumenthal, and ultimately wound up
pulling their product from the marketplace.
http://www.bevnet.com/news/2009/2-27-2009-enviga
It's important to note that
there is a huge difference between conducting a study on the
efficacy of one or two ingredients in a product versus the actual
product as delivered to consumers. Some have attempted to apply the
efficacy of a single ingredient (such as caffeine) to a product
consisting of many ingredients. The problem with this approach is
that it is not all-inclusive or comprehensive enough to validate a
marketing claim. All of Celsius' scientific studies were conducted
on the actual Celsius product
formula,
as delivered in Ready-to-Drink cans, or powders that simply
dissolve when added to water.
The Enviga settlement also
served to tighten up what could and could not be said with regard
to claims for calorie-burning beverages.
This was also part of the
approval by the National Advertising Division (NAD) of The Better
Business Bureau, as a comprehensive review of the marketing claims
made by Celsius. Here is a direct quote from the NAD ---
Specifically,
"NAD found that the advertiser (Celsius) could support claims that
referenced the taste of Celsius and the product's ingredients, as
well as claims Celsius supplementation results in 'increased
metabolism,' 'calorie burning,' 'fat loss,' 'decrease in body fat,'
'greater endurance performance' and 'greater resistance to fatigue
(increased energy)'."
To my knowledge, there is no
other brand that has gone through this kind of exhaustive process
to validate their marketing claims.
http://www.cspnet.com/category-management-news-data/beverages-news-data/articles/bbb-advertising-division-confirms-celsius
To take things one step
further, Celsius was even challenged in the courts regarding their
marketing claims, and the efficacy of their product's
calorie-burning properties. Their victory, pursuant to Judge Terry
A. Green's ruling, was a precedent, in my opinion, for any other
potential future challenges to the brand.
As Celsius attorney Joel B.
Rothman said "We shut down the plaintiff's class action litigation
by showing that the plaintiff did not have standing to pursue a
case against Celsius," Rothman said. "It's a big win in a state
that's known as a haven for class-action
lawsuits."
http://www.naturalproductsinsider.com/news/2011/10/judge-rules-in-favor-of-celsius-holdings-in-claim.aspx
http://www.arnstein.com/15DCB1/assets/files/documents/8-11-11_RothmanLaw360_CelsiusArticle.pdf
Okay, so I think that we have
established that the Celsius brand is on solid-footing regarding
both the legitimacy of its marketing claims, and the efficacy of
those claims to "burn more calories and provide lasting
energy."
So now the question is how does
the product resonate with consumers and how will management go
about building the brand?
The first question is a
relatively easy one. You need do nothing more that click on over to
Amazon.com to see what people who use the product are
saying:
http://www.amazon.com/Celsius-Raspberry-Acai-Green-12-Ounce/product-reviews/B007R8XGKY/ref=cm_cr_pr_top_recent?ie=UTF8&showViewpoints=0&sortBy=bySubmissionDateDescending
Celsius products enjoy an
average 4.2 out of 5.0 stars rating, with about 325 people weighing
in with their opinion of the product.
Celsius made a decision in the
fall of 2013 to stop taking direct orders for Celsius products on
their web site, and decided to contract out to Amazon to be their
primary direct on-line retailer.
http://www.celsius.com/live-healthy/celsius-announces-a-new-way-to-shop-online
I believe that this was a smart
move for a couple of reasons. First, everybody knows and trusts
Amazon as an on-line retailer. Their prices are very competitive,
and for those that use Celsius products on a regular basis, there
are even ways to reduce shipping costs. Secondly, Celsius
management was able to reduce their overall costs (something they
have been focusing on for awhile) by eliminating the labor and
materials to handle orders and the shipment of those orders out to
customers.
The management team at Celsius
has even recently implemented production of Celsius products in
Dusseldorf, Germany as another way to reduce shipping costs to
international distributors in the European Union, Middle East and
African regions of the world. They have future plans to do the same
for distribution already announced in China &
Brazil.
http://www.marketwatch.com/story/celsiusr-commences-production-in-dusseldorf-germany-2014-01-13
It's not just consumers who
feel that the products are deserving of strong reviews for taste,
innovation and proven results. The beverage industry has also given
Celsius products numerous accolades. Celsius has garnered thirteen
(13) international awards in the functional beverage category,
including "Best New Natural Functional Beverage", "Best New Fitness
and Sports Beverage" and "#1 Food & Beverage Trend".
That last award, won in 2007,
is especially interesting because that same year the
highly-respected international research company Datamonitor named
the category of calorie-burning beverages as the number one food
and beverage trend for 2007.
http://www.gizmag.com/go/6831/
While the folks over at
Datamonitor might have been a bit ahead of the curve, and premature
on their call, they certainly are not without a good deal of market
research, industry databases, relevant information and expert
analysis to arrive at such a conclusion. In my opinion, their
thesis is correct; they just have miscalculated the timing of the
trend.
So who are the people behind
Celsius, and can they build this venture into a successful and
profitable company?
First and foremost, I believe
that one of the keys to how Celsius got this far has been the
result of the personal commitment
and capital of Carl DeSantis.
http://www.celsius.com/live-healthy/calorie-burning-celsius-announces-strategic-partnership-with-former-rexall-sundown-chairman-carl-desantis
http://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20090406005367/en
http://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/calorie-burning-celsius-announces-strategic-partnership-with-former-rexall-sundown-chairman-carl-desantis-64887052.html
http://www.marketwired.com/press-release/carl-desantis-increases-investment-to-153-million-in-celsius-1210014.htm
http://www.marketwired.com/press-release/Celsius-Expands-Marketing-Through-Additional-Financing-From-Desantis-NASDAQ-CELH-1289070.htm
For those who may not be
familiar with Mr. DeSantis, he is the founder, and former Chairman
& CEO of Rexall-Sundown, a vitamin and supplement company that
was sold in 2000 to Royal Numico for $1.8
billion.
http://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/royal-numico-to-acquire-rexall-sundown-for-us18-billion-72875007.html
Carl started Sundown, as a
mail-order vitamin business out of his house, at a very young age,
working along with his wife. He eventually merged the company with
Rexall, a chain of drugstores mostly located throughout the
mid-western part of the United States, which he purchased, and the
rest, as they say is history.
Carl even penned an
autobiography titled "Vitamin Enriched", which provides a history
of his entrepreneurial spirit, strong work ethic and determination
to succeed. These attributes ultimately led to the pinnacle of his
career; building a multi-billion dollar business, and selling it to
a large international corporation. You can find Mr. DeSantis' book
at Amazon.com. If nothing else, you'll get a sense of Carl
DeSantis' resolve and fortitude in business matters, and his strong
moral character.
http://www.amazon.com/Vitamin-Enriched-Prescription-Founder-DeSantis/dp/1890819034/ref=sr_1_2?ie=UTF8&qid=1392335539&sr=8-2&keywords=vitamin+enriched+books
Carl has always been an
entrepreneur, and his South Florida Company, CDS Ventures, has
multiple holding of various public and private companies. They
first started financing Celsius Holdings when Steve Haley was the
CEO, and most recently added another $2.2 million in funds, this
past September, after seeing the progress made by his
newly-appointed management team brought in during late 2011 to
replace Steve Haley, the founding CEO (more about this
later).
http://www.marketwatch.com/story/cds-ventures-of-south-florida-llc-increases-stake-in-celsius-holdings-inc-and-extends-debt-instruments-on-results-2013-09-10
However, don't think that
because Carl is wealthy he just decided to invest in Celsius on a
whim. Before making the decision to invest in this company, Carl
and his group performed extensive and thorough due diligence on the
product and its claims. This was to avoid a rather embarrassing
situation that occurred with a Rexall-Sundown product called
Cellasene.
http://www.palmbeachpost.com/news/business/delray-beach-based-company-dives-into-crowded-en-1/nL64z/
Celsius
During Steve Haley's 7-Year Tenure as CEO. What Went Wrong &
Why?:
Under former CEO Steve Haley,
the company conducted its first clinical study of Celsius in 2005,
and afterwards, the company began to slowly market its products
through traditional distribution channels.
As a result of the company
receiving unexpected national attention, a false-sense of
grandiosity suddenly appeared in the C-suite and the Board Room.
Out of that, the "build-it-and-they-will-come" mentality grew, and
the costly decision to go national with distribution was
made.
Celsius, the calorie-burning
beverage, appeared on literally hundreds of local CBS, NBC and ABC
affiliate news channels, as well as appearances on Food Network's
Unwrapped, NBC's Today Show with Matt Lauer and hit-show The
Doctors.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GO5ztWClww4&playnext=1&list=PLA05173E858256AD2&feature=results_video
Using a distribution model
which required the payment of high-cost slotting fees to retailers
in exchange for shelf space, the company quickly found that the
"pay-to-play" strategy was resulting in excessive and exorbitant
marketing costs.
Without having first
established the brand, with strong reorders and customer
sell-through, the company quickly found itself burning through cash
at an alarming rate. After the company raised $13 million in
capital through an offering of shares in May of 2010, and secured a
listing on the NASDAQ after affecting a 1:20 reverse split, the
company embarked on an aggressive marketing campaign and wound up
squandering just about all of the capital raised in the May 2010
stock offering.
http://articles.sun-sentinel.com/2010-05-07/business/fl-desantis-drink-20100507_1_nasdaq-capital-market-rexall-sundown-carl-desantis
Looking back, it appears that
not properly laying the groundwork for the brand resulted in slower
than expected sales, while marketing expenses, in the form of
slotting fees, ballooned. The company found itself in the position
of losing huge amounts of money on a quarterly basis. In addition,
almost half of the company's revenues were coming from Costco
Wholesale Clubs, where margins were razor thin, and consumers had
to make a commitment to purchase Costco's only Celsius offering; a
15-pack of Outrageous Orange or Raspberry-Acai Green Tea
flavor.
Carl, in an attempt, to stop
the bleeding took steps to remedy the situation by reducing the
salaries of those in the executive suite, and establishing a
special board committee to evaluate strategic alternatives. The
company also implemented a new strategic operating plan aimed at
right-sizing the company. Translation: cut all but the most
essential expenses on both the marketing and operation side of the
business.
http://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1341766/000121390010005096/f8k120210_celsius.htm
At that point in time, things
looked very bleak. However, much to the surprise of many, sales
continued to show resiliency despite the cutting off of all
marketing and advertising by the company. The stock, on the other
hand, languished and slowly drifted lower, from a high of $14, and
a market cap of north of $100 million, as investor expectations
were dashed.
The last official 10-Q was
filed on May 10, 2011. The Company also announced its intention to
deregister as a reporting company under the Securities Exchange Act
of 1934, as amended. The company said in an 8-K Filing
"The Company
believes that given its downsized level of operations, it is in the
best interests of its shareholders not to incur the expenses
associated with being a reporting company. It's the company's
intention to continue to issue quarterly financial information. The
Company's shares and warrants will continue to trade in the
over-the-counter market following
deregistration."
Nine days later the company
filed a Form 15-12B effectively withdrawing its requirement to file
reports with the Securities & Exchange Commission. In my
opinion, this move officially ushered in the end of the Steve Haley
era, and paved the way for Carl to bring in a fresh and focused
management team with experience in turning around troubled
companies.
In November of 2011 it was
announced that Steve Haley was stepping down as the CEO of Celsius
Holdings, Inc. and being replaced by Gerry David, a seasoned
executive with extensive experience in corporate turnarounds,
start-up companies and those companies with fast growth prospects.
As part of Steve Haley's exit, Carl DeSantis agreed to buy a
substantial portion of the equity position held by Mr. Haley, thus
increasing his ownership to a majority of 52 percent of the common
stock of Celsius Holdings, Inc.
http://www.bevnet.com/news/2011/changes-roiling-functional-beverage-category
http://www.bevnet.com/magazine/issue/2012/big-changes-at-o-n-e-celsius-and-starbucks-buys-evolution-juice
Celsius
Redux. The Rebuilding and Rebranding Process Begins Under New
Management:
Gerry David wasted no time in
executing a comprehensive strategic business plan to turn around
the struggling fortunes of this once promising little beverage
company. One of Mr. David's first initiatives was to re-brand the
Celsius product by changing the marketing strategy, as well as
changing the look and feel of the product.
He also scaled down the number
of flavors to a more manageable, SKU-friendly, number of five. The
five flavors that remained were Sparkling Cola, Sparkling Berry,
Sparkling Orange, a non-carbonated Peach-Mango Green Tea, and a
non-carbonated Raspberry-Acai Green Tea flavor. Gone were a
non-carbonated Outrageous Orange flavor, non-carbonated Lemon Iced
Tea and non-carbonated Strawberry-Kiwi.
Celsius' new management team
felt that having a fresh, exciting and upscale look with enhanced
graphics and a look of continuity across the five flavors was
critical to the re-branding of the product. Focus groups conducted
with beverage distributors agreed.
http://www.bevnet.com/news/2012/celsius-gets-a-makeover-and-unveils-new-packaging
http://www.healthcarepackaging.com/package-design/structural/redesigned-can-energizes-celsius
If you ever have a chance to
see the old look of the cans, you will find that their look
resembled a PowerPoint presentation with too many different fonts,
italics and bold type scattered about. I've heard it described as
being very noisy looking and very unappealing to the eye; not
something desirable when you are on a shelf competing for the
consumer's attention with hundreds of other beverages.
Another key component of Mr.
David's new marketing strategy was to move from a business model of
selling four packs of Celsius to new consumers, to one of selling
refrigerated single cans, to allow consumers to sample the product
first without having to make a commitment to purchase volume of
something they had never tried before. As part of this strategy,
the company ended its distribution relationship with Costco. That
was a bold move, considering the revenue generated from having a
presence in 316 of Costco's signature outlets was hefty.
The decision to drop Costco
from the ranks of Celsius' distribution partners, in early 2012,
was a difficult choice, but one that ultimately strengthens the
company for two reasons. First, it removes the frightening
dependence on a single source for almost fifty-percent of annual
revenues. Second, the very thin margins from the Costco
relationship were a drag; pulling down the overall, blended margins
across all distribution channels.
Looking at the revenue numbers
over the past few years, it seems that the broadening out of the
distribution base has stabilized revenues, and created a more
predictable stream of income for the company.
Here is a breakdown of the
financial results reported by the company over the past four
years:
Period Revenues Net
Gain/(Loss)
Q4 2013 $2.93 million
($494,000)
Q3 2013 $2.33 million
($698,000)
Q2 2013 $3.02 million
($228,000)
Q1 2013 $2.34 million
($405,000)
Q4 2012 $1.93 million
($329,000)
Q3 2012 $1.4 million
($764,000)
Q2 2012 $1.8 million
($1,119,000)
Q1 2012 $2.5 million
($536,000)
Q4 2011 $1.8 million
($716,000)
Q3 2011 $2.5 million
($278,000)
Q2 2011 $2.0 million
($456,000)
Q1 2011 $2.2 million
($459,632)
Q4 2010 $135,000
($5,581,748)
Q3 2010 $1.8 million
($5,036,886)
Q2 2010 $4.1 million
($3,026,284)
Q1 2010 $2.3 million
($5,852,484)
Q4 2009 $2.4 million
($7,759,029)
However, the new strategic
focus didn't end there. Mr. David decided to partner with one of
the country's most aggressive distributors, GBS Smash Brands, to
expand distribution in a new direction which included health clubs,
colleges and universities and other non-traditional distribution
outlets.
http://www.bevnet.com/news/2012/celsius-enlists-gbs-smash-brands-to-pump-up-new-growth-strategy
In addition, Mr. David beefed
up the Celsius Ambassador Program, whereby free samples of Celsius
were given out, along with an incentive to buy-one-get-one-free
with the retail purchase of a single can. Taste is one of the most
important consumer criteria in any beverage, and it has been shown
that most people who try Celsius enjoy the taste and will purchase
the product. He also made the Ambassador Program profitable,
something that was never done under Mr. Haley.
Sampling is a big part of
getting consumers to try and eventually buy Celsius. The company
has used a number of sampling programs, partnering with
subscription box companies such a Bulu Box and Goodies Co. (a
Wal-Mart affiliate), among others.
I mentioned how under Celsius'
previous management, thousands of dollars were spent on slotting
fees and marketing expenses, resulting in an unusually high-cost
structure to bring in each new customer. A new, less expensive and
creative way to find and secure new customers was necessary, and
Gerry David found it in digital marketing and social
media.
http://www.bevnet.com/news/2013/celsius-growth-led-by-refined-distribution-digital-marketing
A very important and
instrumental part of developing a digital marketing and social
media strategy was to partner with a public relations firm that had
all the right characteristics necessary to launch, manage and
monitor an effective PR campaign. For this extremely important
task, Celsius chose 5WPR with offices in New York and Los Angeles,
as their PR Agency of Record.
http://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/5w-public-relations-named-pr-agency-of-record-for-celsius-inc-143289876.html
In his most recent commentary
on FY 2013 results, CEO Gerry David had this to say:
"as a result
of our marketing initiatives we are attracting new daily consumers
and industry-wide brand recognition. Celsius Public Relations
efforts have generated over 750 million impressions in 2013 while
our digital radio campaign continues to deliver 7.8 million ads
each month that are focused in our "Drill Deep"
markets."
Perhaps the most important
change that was made to the Celsius marketing strategy was to
eliminate the previously held notion that the company needed to
take distribution nationwide, versus concentrating on a few markets
where the idea was to "drill deep"; penetrate and concentrate on
establishing a repeat customer base by achieving product
"sell-through". The use of Pandora has been very instrumental in
helping Celsius attract and retain new customers who are encouraged
to visit the company web site where they can purchase the product
and see the results that others are achieving in terms of
weight-loss, increased energy, along with more stamina and
endurance when exercising.
Some of the success stories
achieved by ordinary people are truly amazing. I'm sure these
personal testimonials convince many who visit the company web site
to try the product. Celsius also has its own team of sponsored
athletes who compete in a number of different sports.
http://www.celsius.com/live-healthy/weight-loss-success
You will remember earlier in my
report I quoted executives at Coca-Cola's VEB unit who said
that "the VEB group in Atlanta,
pays particular attention to those company executives that
understand the value of "going deep before going wide" by targeting
specific regions, channels, or customer segments, versus trying to
be everywhere at once.
This new multi-layered
strategy, of doing just that, appears to be yielding significant
results.
http://www.bevnet.com/news/2014/multi-layered-strategy-catalyzes-celsius
While there has certainly been
significant progress made by the C-suite at Celsius, some of the
most powerful and influential changes may have recently taken place
at the Board Level. In April of 2013, it was announced that three
new individuals had joined the Celsius Board of Directors; Kevin
Harrington, Kathleen M. Dwyer and Nick Castaldo.
http://www.marketwatch.com/story/celsius-holdings-inc-appoints-three-new-board-members-2013-04-15
These three individuals have
very strong credentials, and each has demonstrated a track-record
of success in their respective careers. Kevin Harrington's desire
to join the Board is based on his ability to recognize growing
consumer trends, and products that meet the needs of the
marketplace. He was one of the original members of the hit
television show "Shark Tank", and has successfully helped launch
over 500 new consumer products.
http://upstart.bizjournals.com/entrepreneurs/hot-shots/2013/08/07/kevin-harrington-shark-tank-advice.html?page=all
His presence on the Celsius
Board has caused some to speculate that "with Kevin Harrington on
board, the competition will heat up, and the big boys (Coke and
Pepsi) will pay close attention".
http://www.palmbeachlwp.com/news/work/celsius-drinks-adds-harrington-to-board/
If, in the case of Coca-Cola,
their VEB (Venture & Emerging Brands) Team looks for those
"brands that have achieved approximately $10 million in
revenue",
the boys in Atlanta may, in fact, have begun watching this upstart
little beverage company very closely.
Most recent Q4 and FY 2103
results show continued strong revenue growth (topping $10 million
for the first time in the company’s history), improving margins,
and double-digit growth in multiple channels, while international
expansion plans are gaining traction.
http://www.nasdaq.com/press-release/celsius-holdings-inc-reports-fourth-quarter-and-yearend-2013-results-20140206-00221
http://www.nasdaq.com/press-release/celsiusr-partners-with-dubai-franchising-of-uae-international-investments-for-exclusive-20140225-00279
Investors might find the shares
of Celsius Holdings, Inc. particularly compelling, given its
potential growth prospects and most recent quarterly results. The
company is currently selling for roughly 0.7x annual revenue, well
below the industry average of 1.5x - 2.0x, and substantially below
the 6x number that Coca-Cola paid for Glaceau in 2007.
Shares of Celsius Holdings,
Inc. are very thinly traded as a result of having only 20,179,032
shares outstanding as of 12/31/2013.
Approximately, 52%, or
10,493,096 of the outstanding shares are held by majority
stakeholder, Carl DeSantis, through his corporate entity CDS
Ventures of South Florida, LLC, leaving only approximately
9,685,935 for purchase in the public float.
CDS Ventures of South Florida,
LLC also owns debt instruments totaling approximately $7.6 million,
some of which are convertible into shares of Celsius Holdings, Inc.
common stock. Potential investors are strongly encouraged to review
the company filings for details regarding the terms and conditions
of these instruments, along with conversion privileges as they
relate to these various debt obligations.
Disclaimer: The principals of
Altitrade Partners are long shares of Celsius Holdings, Inc.
(CELH). This report expresses only those opinions of individuals
who are affiliated with Altitrade Partners. Altitrade
Partners has not
received any form of
compensation from Celsius Holdings, Inc., or any other third-party
in exchange for writing this report.
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