Ethereum DeFi Coins Plunge As Curve Concerns Threaten Major Market Crash
01 Août 2023 - 9:45AM
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The Ethereum DeFi space is currently experiencing a rough few
hours. All major DeFi coins are posting deep red numbers in the
last 24 hours: Compound (-18%), Aave (-10%), Curve (-10%), Frax
(-6%), and Synthetix (-6%). The reason? Curve Finance, a flagship
decentralized exchange specializing in stablecoin swaps, recently
suffered a significant exploit. The resulting aftershocks are being
felt across the DeFi ecosystem, inciting fears of a broader
Ethereum DeFi massacre. The exploit, causing a damage of around
$100 million, sets off potential domino effects threatening the
stability of the wider DeFi landscape. Curve Hack Sparks Fears Of
Ethereum DeFi Crash Delving into the details of the exploit reveals
the intricate dynamics at play. The attackers took advantage of
vulnerabilities in the Vyper smart contract software, leading to
the significant losses on Curve Finance. The repercussions of this
incident have been profound. The popular stablecoin DEX Curve
Finance could be a ticking time bomb for the rest of the Ethereum
DeFi sector. Related Reading: Here’s How Long The Majority Of New
Ethereum Wallets Are Used Before They’re Dumped Post-incident, it
is reported that over $45 million has been drained from liquidity
pools of third-party providers, with an additional $25 million
directly siphoned from the Curve Protocol’s CRV/ETH pool. The
ensuing liquidity crisis and the impending risk of further
sell-offs, given the millions of Curve (CRV) tokens still held by
the attackers, is generating substantial anxiety within the market.
The founder of Curve Finance, Michael Egorov, has not been immune
to these significant losses. His large positions backed by CRV have
come under intense pressure, pushing the platform to the brink.
Delphi Digital explains, “Curve founder, Michael Egorov, currently
has a ~$100 million loan backed by 427.5 million CRV (about 47% of
the entire CRV circulating supply). With CRV down 10% over the past
24 hours, the health of Curve is in jeopardy.” Furthermore, Egorov
holds large loans on Aave and Frax Finance, backed by CRV
collateral. On Aave, he has a $305 million CRV backed loan
amounting to 63.2 million USDT. At a liquidation threshold of 55%,
his position could be liquidated if CRV/USDT hits $0.3767. As per
Delphi Digital’s assessment, this would require a ~33% drop in the
CRV price. Egorov also carries a ~4% APY for this loan. The
situation on Frax Finance is even more precarious. Here, Egorov has
supplied 59 million CRV against 15.8 million FRAX of debt. The high
utilization and the Time-Weighted Variable Interest Rate, doubling
every 12 hours, makes his position particularly vulnerable to
astronomical interest rates and subsequent liquidation,
irrespective of the CRV price. Delphi Digital emphasizes, “This
astronomical interest rate could lead to his eventual liquidation,
regardless of CRV price. At a max LTV of 75%, his position’s
liquidation price could reach 0.517 CRV/FRAX within 4.5 days, less
than a 10% decrease from current prices.” Related Reading: Ethereum
Price Will Skyrocket Due To AI-Driven DAO Revolution: Arthur Hayes
Today, Egorov deployed a new Curve pool and gauge: a 2 pool
consisting of crvUSD & Fraxlend’s CRV/FRAX LP token, seeded
with 100,000 of CRV rewards. However, with no success. Utilization
was quickly back to 100% as illiquid CRV holders took Frax stables
to exit, and Frax lenders bailed on risky pool. Thus, Egorov’s new
pool is just spending more of his CRV and not bringing his interest
rate down. As the market grapples with the mounting liquidation
risk of Egorov’s positions, the potential market-wide repercussions
are alarming. Autism Capital warns, “If Michael gets liquidated by
Fraxlend, all of his other debt positions will be liquidated too.
This likely means Inverse Finance (INV) and Magic Internet Money
(MIM) will both die due to the new bad debt, and Aave will get
stuck with $63 million of bad debt.” Moreover, a liquidation of
Egorov will likely trigger cascades on-chain and nuke CRV to almost
zero. Not All Hope Is Lost However, despite the ensuing chaos, the
DeFi sector’s operations, strictly governed by code and math,
remain unaffected. As Autism Capital rightly puts it, “In one
sense, this is proof that DeFi works as intended. There are no
special rules or bailouts, no matter who you are. It’s a brutal
free market governed by math and code.” Moreover, there’s still
hope for a happy-end. Assuming liquidity recovers, the DeFi sector
might regain balance. The Curve team has indicated that several
millions in US dollars are in possession of white-hat hackers. This
could potentially enable the recovery of some of the
misappropriated assets. Additionally, some bots intercepted a
significant quantity of CRV tokens from the Curve attackers.
Nevertheless, the threat of the situation spreading remains a
serious concern. Platforms like Frax, Aave and others remain on
high alert, while some, like Alchemix, have already halted their
smart contracts. [UPDATE] It looks like Egorov got an OTC deal with
a CEX, paying off his debt. This is the reason for CRV’s price
rebound. About to drop to $13M loaned. The money is definitely
coming from an OTC deal. It looks like a handshake deal. He’s
selling his CRV at 0.4 🚨2.5M crv for 1M usdt clips Which one of you
chads got the sick deal? I assume this will go until entire debt
paid off. pic.twitter.com/3c5OmcQ7wH — Midas: Fool’s Gold
(@MidasFoolsGold) August 1, 2023 At press time, the Curve (CRV)
price saw a slight recovery within the last three hours, rising to
$0.57. Featured image from iStock, chart from TradingView.com
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