InPlay Oil Corp. (TSX: IPO) (OTCQX: IPOOF) (“InPlay” or the
“Company”) is pleased to announce its financial and operating
results for the three and six months ended June 30, 2021. InPlay’s
condensed unaudited interim financial statements and notes, as well
as Management’s Discussion and Analysis (“MD&A”) for the three
and six months ended June 30, 2021 will be available at
“www.sedar.com” and our website at “www.inplayoil.com”.
Second Quarter 2021 Financial &
Operating Highlights
- Achieved record
quarterly production of 5,386 boe/d(1) (68% light oil and NGLs), an
increase of 71% compared to 3,154 boe/d(1) (66% light oil and NGLs)
in the second quarter of 2020 and an increase of 8% compared to
4,965 boe/d(1) (70% light oil and NGLs) in the first quarter of
2021.
- Continued new
well production performance in excess of forecasts with the 3.0 net
Extended Reach Horizontal (“ERH”) wells drilled in the first
quarter of 2021 on our newly acquired Pembina asset having a
combined average 120 day initial production (“IP”) rate of 1,390
boe/d(1) (74% light oil and NGLs) based on field estimates.
- Increased
operating netbacks(2) by 3279% to $33.11/boe from $0.98/boe in the
second quarter of 2020 and by 24% from $26.66/boe in the first
quarter of 2021.
- Realized a
quarterly record operating income(2) and operating income profit
margin(2) of $16.2 million and 64% respectively compared to $0.3
million and 6% in the second quarter of 2020 and $11.9 million and
60% in the first quarter of 2021.
- Generated
adjusted funds flow (“AFF”)(2) of $8.2 million ($0.12 per basic and
diluted share) compared to an AFF deficit of $1.3 million ($0.02
deficit per basic and diluted share) in the second quarter of 2020
and an increase of 35% compared to $6.1 million ($0.09 per basic
and diluted share) in the first quarter of 2021.
- Reduced
operating expenses to a quarterly record $12.51/boe compared to
$14.18/boe in the second quarter of 2020 and $14.37/boe in the
first quarter of 2021.
- Realized net
income of $59.1 million ($0.87 per basic share; $0.85 per diluted
share) compared to a net loss of $6.2 million ($0.09 per basic and
diluted share) in the second quarter of 2020 and a net loss of $7.5
million ($0.11 per basic and diluted share) in the first quarter of
2021.
- Decreased net
debt by 5% during the second quarter of 2021 from March 31, 2021
while also managing to achieve production growth of 8% over the
same respective period. InPlay’s second half (“H2”) 2021 program as
planned is forecasted to result in net debt reduction of $17 - $19
million.
Notes:
- See “Reader
Advisories - Production Breakdown by Product Type”
-
“Adjusted Funds Flow”, “Operating Income”, “Operating Income
Profit Margin” and “Operating Netback” do not have a standardized
meaning under International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS)
and GAAP and therefore may not be comparable with the calculations
of similar measures for other companies. Please refer to “Non-GAAP
Financial Measures and Ratios” at the end of this news release and
to the section entitled “Non-GAAP Measures and Ratios” in our
MD&A for details of calculations, rationale for use and
applicable reconciliation to the nearest IFRS measure.
Outlook and Increased
Guidance
The Company’s decision to reinvest in the
Pembina Cardium has been extremely successful. Results exceeding
our expectations have been realized in Pembina since we resumed
drilling in this area in late 2019. The three 100% Pembina Cardium
1.5 mile wells drilled in the first quarter of 2021 on our lands
acquired in the fourth quarter of 2020 have performed exceptionally
to date. These wells continue to flow without artificial lift, have
produced an average of approximately 55,000 boe per well (73% light
oil and NGLs) over their first 120 days and have paid out in three
to four months. Their production rates have continued to
substantially exceed both our internal forecasted production
volumes and reserves assigned to these locations in our December
31, 2020 independent reserve report. The average combined IP
rates(1) from these wells are as follows:
IP 30 (% light oil and NGLs) |
IP 60 (% light oil and NGLs) |
IP 90 (% light oil and NGLs) |
IP 120 (% light oil and
NGLs) |
890 boe/d 297 boe/d (per well)(80%) |
1,323 boe/d 441 boe/d (per well)(78%) |
1,408 boe/d 469 boe/d (per well)(76%) |
1,390 boe/d 463 boe/d (per well)(74%) |
The Company finished drilling another three well
pad in early July directly offsetting the Pembina wells drilled in
the first quarter of 2021. These new wells came on production in
late July and have produced an average of approximately 462
boe/d(1) per well (83% light oil and NGLs) over their first 15 days
of production. The wells are showing initial early results
exceeding the Pembina wells drilled in the first quarter of 2021
which had an average production rate of 297 boe/d(1) over the first
30 days. The three latest wells are cleaning up and currently
producing 567 boe/d(1) on average per well (79% light oil and
NGLs), based on field estimates. Based on current performance, the
Company anticipates these wells to pay out in a similar time frame
to our Pembina wells drilled in the first quarter of 2021. InPlay’s
current corporate production is approximately 6,500 boe/d(1) (68%
light oil and NGLs), based on field estimates.
InPlay’s strong results in the first half of 2021 and continuing
in the second half of 2021 from the Pembina drills have allowed the
Company to increase its 2021 annual average production guidance to
between 5,500 and 5,750 boe/d(1) (68% light oil and NGLs) from our
previous guidance of 5,100 to 5,400 boe/d (69% light oil and NGLs).
The drilling program for the remainder of the year has not changed
from drilling 5.0 net operated horizontal wells. A major scope
change has occurred where instead of drilling three 1.0 mile wells
in Willesden Green and two 1.5 mile wells in Pembina, the Company
is now planning to drill five 1.5 mile wells in Pembina given the
strong results and short payouts of the recent Pembina wells. Also,
these locations are expected to provide the highest reserve
additions in all categories with management expectations that
reserves will significantly exceed current reserve bookings as well
as adding new locations in 2021. The Company will participate in an
additional two (0.4 net) non-operated wells due to increasing
partner activity in the second half of 2021. Total capital
expenditures for 2021 is anticipated to be $29 million resulting in
forecast AFF(2) increased to an annual record $44.5 - $47.5 million
and forecast Free Adjusted Funds Flow (“FAFF”)(2) increased to
$15.5 - $18.5 million, which will be used to pay down debt. Based
on a current market capitalization of $76 million (based on the
Company’s August 10, 2021 closing share price), 2021 forecasted
FAFF equates to a 20% - 24% FAFF yield(5) for equity investors.
Quarterly AFF in each of the third and fourth quarter of 2021 is
expected to exceed AFF generated during the first half of 2021.
InPlay is expected to have lower debt exiting 2021 than that
previously forecasted, close to our pre-pandemic 2019 debt levels.
InPlay’s fourth quarter 2021 annualized net debt to earnings before
interest, taxes and depletion (“EBITDA”) ratio(5) is now forecast
to be 0.7 to 0.9 times, the lowest in our history. InPlay’s
decision to redirect capital to longer, more capital efficient
Pembina Cardium wells will allow the Company to capitalize on these
top-tier locations in the strong current pricing environment, where
the wells are expected to pay-out quickly in an estimated three to
six months, assuming West Texas Intermediate (“WTI”) oil prices of
US$60 to US$70. The Company has approximately 26 additional
drilling locations on our new Pembina Cardium asset(4). As we have
previously demonstrated, the Company will continue to remain
flexible, adaptable and react promptly to commodity price
volatility and will adjust the capital program if necessary.
The Company’s 2021 guidance is based on a
current future commodity price curve with an annual average WTI
price of US $64.50/bbl, $3.35/GJ AECO and estimated foreign
exchange of $0.80 CDN/USD.
We are very excited about the remainder of 2021 which is
anticipated to be a record year for the Company based on our
updated forecast for financial and operational results(3). We are
also excited that a strong second half of 2021 puts InPlay in an
even stronger position to continue to deliver measured production
and FAFF growth throughout 2022.
Notes:
- See “Reader
Advisories - Production Breakdown by Product Type”
- “AFF” and “FAFF”
are Non-IFRS Measures and do not have a standardized meaning under
International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS) and GAAP and may
not be comparable with the calculations of similar measures for
other companies. Please refer to “Non-GAAP Financial Measures and
Ratios” and “BOE equivalent” at the end of this news release and to
the section entitled “Non-GAAP Measures and Ratios” in our MD&A
for details of calculations, rationale for use and applicable
reconciliation to the nearest IFRS measure.
- See table in the
Reader Advisories for key budget and underlying material
assumptions related to the Company’s 2021 capital program and
associated guidance.
- See “Reader
Advisories – Drilling Locations”
- Quarterly
Annualized Net Debt/EBITDA” and “FAFF Yield” are Non-GAAP Ratios
and do not have a standardized meaning under International
Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS) and GAAP and may not be
comparable with the calculations of similar measures for other
companies. Please refer to “Non-GAAP Financial Measures and Ratios”
at the end of this news release and to the section entitled
“Non-GAAP Measures and Ratios” in our MD&A for details of
calculations, rationale for use and applicable reconciliation to
the nearest IFRS measure.
Financial and Operating Results:
(CDN) ($000’s) |
Three months ended June 30 |
Six months endedJune 30 |
|
2021 |
|
2020 |
|
2021 |
|
2020 |
|
Financial |
|
|
|
|
Oil and natural gas sales |
25,267 |
|
5,167 |
|
45,268 |
|
18,259 |
|
Funds flow |
8,188 |
|
(1,395 |
) |
14,280 |
|
1,840 |
|
Per share – basic and diluted |
0.12 |
|
(0.02 |
) |
0.21 |
|
0.03 |
|
Per boe |
16.71 |
|
(4.86 |
) |
15.24 |
|
2.55 |
|
Adjusted funds flow(1) |
8,219 |
|
(1,279 |
) |
14,324 |
|
2,139 |
|
Per share – basic and diluted(1) |
0.12 |
|
(0.02 |
) |
0.21 |
|
0.03 |
|
Per boe(1) |
16.77 |
|
(4.46 |
) |
15.29 |
|
2.96 |
|
Comprehensive income (loss) |
59,127 |
|
(6,188 |
) |
51,591 |
|
(106,685 |
) |
Per share – basic |
0.87 |
|
(0.09 |
) |
0.76 |
|
(1.56 |
) |
Per share –diluted |
0.85 |
|
(0.09 |
) |
0.75 |
|
(1.56 |
) |
Exploration and development capital expenditures |
4,744 |
|
488 |
|
16,954 |
|
12,120 |
|
Property (dispositions) |
(101 |
) |
(260 |
) |
(82 |
) |
(260 |
) |
Net debt |
(76,113 |
) |
(65,487 |
) |
(76,113 |
) |
(65,487 |
) |
Shares outstanding |
68,288,616 |
|
68,256,616 |
|
68,288,616 |
|
68,256,616 |
|
Basic weighted-average shares |
68,259,781 |
|
68,256,616 |
|
68,258,207 |
|
68,256,616 |
|
Diluted weighted-average shares |
69,187,825 |
|
68,256,616 |
|
68,687,889 |
|
68,256,616 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Operational |
|
|
|
|
Daily production volumes |
|
|
|
|
Light and medium crude oil (bbls/d) |
2,942 |
|
1,523 |
|
2,804 |
|
1,977 |
|
Natural gas liquids (bbls/d) |
730 |
|
561 |
|
765 |
|
684 |
|
Conventional natural gas (Mcf/d) |
10,286 |
|
6,424 |
|
9,643 |
|
7,847 |
|
Total (boe/d) |
5,386 |
|
3,154 |
|
5,177 |
|
3,969 |
|
Realized prices |
|
|
|
|
Light and medium crude oil & NGLs ($/bbls) |
66.46 |
|
20.99 |
|
61.29 |
|
31.66 |
|
Conventional natural gas ($/Mcf) |
3.27 |
|
2.03 |
|
3.25 |
|
2.05 |
|
Total ($/boe) |
51.55 |
|
18.00 |
|
48.31 |
|
25.28 |
|
Operating netbacks ($/boe)(1) |
|
|
|
|
Oil and natural gas sales |
51.55 |
|
18.00 |
|
48.31 |
|
25.28 |
|
Royalties |
(4.83 |
) |
(1.84 |
) |
(3.85 |
) |
(1.99 |
) |
Transportation expense |
(1.12 |
) |
(1.00 |
) |
(1.03 |
) |
(0.88 |
) |
Operating costs |
(12.51 |
) |
(14.18 |
) |
(13.40 |
) |
(14.47 |
) |
Operating netback |
33.09 |
|
0.98 |
|
30.03 |
|
7.94 |
|
Realized (loss) on derivative contracts |
(9.39 |
) |
(1.05 |
) |
(8.16 |
) |
(0.42 |
) |
Operating netback (including realized derivative contracts) |
23.70 |
|
(0.07 |
) |
21.87 |
|
7.52 |
|
-
“Adjusted funds flow” or “AFF”, “adjusted funds flow per share,
basic and diluted”, “adjusted funds flow per boe”, “operating
income” and “operating netback per boe” do not have a standardized
meaning under International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS)
and GAAP and therefore may not be comparable with the calculations
of similar measures for other companies. “Adjusted funds flow”
adjusts for decommissioning expenditures from funds flow.
Please refer to “Non-GAAP Financial Measures and Ratios” at the end
of this news release and to the section entitled “Non-GAAP Measures
and Ratios” in the Company’s MD&A for details of calculations,
rationale for use and applicable reconciliation to the nearest IFRS
measure.
Second Quarter 2021 Financial &
Operations Overview
InPlay’s production for the second quarter of
2021 was a record quarterly production rate for the Company
averaging 5,386 boe/d(1) (68% light oil & NGLs). Production
increased 71% compared to the second quarter of 2020 which averaged
3,154 boe/d(1) (66% light oil & NGLs) and increased 8% compared
to the first quarter of 2021 which average 4,965 boe/d(1) (70%
light oil and NGLs). The Company’s strong results in Pembina have
allowed InPlay to achieve record quarterly production only one year
after the beginning of the COVID-19 pandemic.
The Company’s capital program for the quarter
consisted of $4.7 million of development capital focused primarily
on the drilling operations of an additional three (3.0 net) 1.5
mile ERH wells in Pembina offsetting the three wells drilled in the
first quarter of 2021, with drilling concluding in June on two
wells and early July for one well.
InPlay continues to benefit from our record levels of production
being sold into one of the strongest commodity pricing environments
we have seen in years. WTI prices remained strong in the second
quarter of 2021 averaging $66.07 USD/bbl compared to $27.83 USD/bbl
in the COVID-19 impacted second quarter of 2020. Strong natural gas
prices continued in the second quarter of 2021 with AECO daily
index prices averaging $2.93/GJ compared to $1.89/GJ in the second
quarter of 2020. Realized NGL prices averaged $30.27/bbl
compared to $11.66/bbl for the second quarter of 2020.
Record production levels and strong prices
resulted in InPlay generating strong AFF(2) of $8.2 million
compared to a $1.3 million deficit generated in the COVID-19
impacted second quarter of 2020 and an increase of 35% compared to
$6.1 million in the first quarter of 2021. AFF was negatively
impacted by hedging losses realized during the quarter from hedges
put in place in 2020 to protect the Company’s balance sheet and
capital program. The majority of these out of the money hedges from
2020 expired at the end of the second quarter.
InPlay achieved record low operating costs of
$12.51/boe in the second quarter of 2021, improving from the second
quarter of 2020 of $14.18/boe. Improvements in operating costs on a
per boe basis reflect continued focus on operational efficiencies
and fixed operating costs being incurred over a larger production
base.
As a result of improvements to forecasted
commodity pricing and the strong recent well results of the
Company, InPlay also realized a reversal of property, plant and
equipment impairment which was originally booked in the first
quarter of 2020 at the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic. An
impairment reversal of $58.3 million was realized during the second
quarter of 2021, resulting in net income of $59.1 million ($0.87
per basic share; $0.85 per diluted share) during the quarter
compared to a net loss of $6.2 million ($0.09 per basic and diluted
share) in the second quarter of 2020.
As previously announced, the Company renewed its Senior Credit
Facility on June 30, 2021 at $65 million on a fully conforming,
revolving basis. The return of InPlay’s Senior Credit Facility to
its pre-COVID structure is further evidence of the strong financial
position of the Company. InPlay currently has access to $90 million
of overall lending capacity which places InPlay in an enviable
liquidity position relative to our peers.
For further information please contact:
Doug BartolePresident and Chief Executive OfficerInPlay Oil Corp.
Telephone: (587) 955-0632 |
|
Darren Dittmer Chief Financial Officer InPlay Oil Corp.
Telephone: (587) 955-0634 |
|
|
|
Notes:
- See “Reader
Advisories - Production Breakdown by Product Type”
-
“Adjusted Funds Flow” does not have a standardized meaning
under International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS) and GAAP
and therefore may not be comparable with the calculations of
similar measures for other companies. Please refer to “Non-GAAP
Financial Measures and Ratios” at the end of this news release and
to the section entitled “Non-GAAP Measures and Ratios” in our
MD&A for details of calculations, rationale for use and
applicable reconciliation to the nearest IFRS measure.
Reader Advisories
Non-GAAP Financial Measures and
RatiosIncluded in this press release are references to the
terms “adjusted funds flow”, “adjusted funds flow per share, basic
and diluted”, “adjusted funds flow per boe”, “free adjusted funds
flow”, “operating income”, “operating netback per boe”, “operating
income profit margin”, “Net Debt to Quarterly Annualized EBITDA”
and “FAFF Yield”. Management believes these measures are helpful
supplementary measures of financial and operating performance and
provide users with similar, but potentially not comparable,
information that is commonly used by other oil and natural gas
companies. These terms do not have any standardized meaning
prescribed by GAAP and should not be considered an alternative to,
or more meaningful than, “funds flow”, “profit (loss) before
taxes”, “profit (loss) and comprehensive income (loss)” or assets
and liabilities as determined in accordance with GAAP as a measure
of the Company’s performance and financial position.
InPlay uses “adjusted funds flow”, “adjusted
funds flow per share, basic and diluted” and “adjusted funds flow
per boe” as key performance indicators. Adjusted funds flow should
not be considered as an alternative to or more meaningful than
funds flow as determined in accordance with GAAP as an indicator of
the Company’s performance. InPlay’s determination of adjusted funds
flow may not be comparable to that reported by other companies.
Adjusted funds flow is calculated by adjusting for decommissioning
expenditures from funds flow. This item is adjusted from funds flow
as decommissioning expenditures are incurred on a discretionary and
irregular basis and are primarily incurred on previous operating
assets, making the exclusion of this item relevant in Management’s
view to the reader in the evaluation of InPlay’s operating
performance. Adjusted funds flow per share, basic and diluted is
calculated by the Company as adjusted funds flow divided by the
weighted average number of common shares outstanding for the
respective period. Management considers adjusted funds flow per
share, basic and diluted an important measure to evaluate its
operational performance as it demonstrates its recurring operating
cash flow generated attributable to each share. Adjusted funds flow
per boe is calculated by the Company as adjusted funds flow divided
by production for the respective period. Management considers
adjusted funds flow per boe an important measure to evaluate its
operational performance as it demonstrates its recurring operating
cash flow generated per unit of production. For a detailed
description of InPlay’s method of calculating adjusted funds flow,
adjusted funds flow per share, basic and diluted and adjusted funds
flow per boe and their reconciliation to the nearest GAAP term,
refer to the section “Non-GAAP Measures” in the Company’s MD&A
filed on SEDAR.
InPlay uses “free adjusted funds flow” as a key
performance indicator. Free adjusted funds flow should not be
considered as an alternative to or more meaningful than funds flow
as determined in accordance with GAAP as an indicator of the
Company’s performance. Free adjusted funds flow is calculated by
the Company as adjusted funds flow less capital expenditures and is
a measure of the cashflow remaining after capital expenditures that
can be used for additional capital activity, repayment of debt or
decommissioning expenditures. Management considers free adjusted
funds flow an important measure to identify the Company’s ability
to improve the financial condition of the Company through debt
repayment, which has become more important recently with the
introduction of second lien lenders. Refer to “Forward Looking
Information and Statements” section for a calculation of forecast
free adjusted funds flow.
InPlay uses “free adjusted funds flow yield” as a key
performance indicator. Free adjusted funds flow is calculated
by the Company as free adjusted funds flow divided by the market
capitalization of the Company. Management considers FAFF yield to
be an important performance indicator as it demonstrates a
Company’s ability to generate cash to pay down debt and provide
funds for potential distributions to shareholders. Refer below for
a calculation of forecast free adjusted funds flow yield.
|
|
|
FY 2021 |
Forecasted Free Adjusted Funds Flow |
$
millions |
|
$ |
15.5 - $18.5 |
Shares
outstanding |
# of
shares |
|
|
68,288,616 |
Closing
share price @ August 10, 2021 |
$/share |
|
$ |
1.12 |
Market capitalization @ August 10, 2021 |
$ millions |
|
$ |
76.50 |
FAFF Yield |
% |
|
|
20% - 24% |
InPlay uses “operating income”, “operating netback per boe” and
“operating income profit margin” as key performance indicators.
Operating income should not be considered as an alternative to or
more meaningful than net income as determined in accordance with
GAAP as an indicator of the Company’s performance. Operating income
is calculated by the Company as oil and natural gas sales less
royalties, operating expenses and transportation expenses and is a
measure of the profitability of operations before administrative,
share-based compensation, financing and other non-cash items.
Management considers operating income an important measure to
evaluate its operational performance as it demonstrates its field
level profitability. Operating netback per boe is calculated by the
Company as operating income divided by average production for the
respective period. Management considers operating netback per boe
an important measure to evaluate its operational performance as it
demonstrates its field level profitability per unit of production.
Operating income profit margin is calculated by the Company as
operating income as a percentage of oil and natural gas sales.
Management considers operating income profit margin an important
measure to evaluate its operational performance as it demonstrates
how efficiently the Company generates field level profits from its
sales revenue. For a detailed description of InPlay’s method of the
calculation of operating income, operating netback per boe and
operating income profit margin and their reconciliation to the
nearest GAAP term, refer to the section “Non-GAAP Measures” in the
Company’s MD&A filed on SEDAR.
InPlay uses “Net Debt/Quarterly Annualized
EBITDA” as a key performance indicator. EBITDA should not be
considered as an alternative to or more meaningful than funds flow
as determined in accordance with GAAP as an indicator of the
Company’s performance. Quarterly Annualized EBITDA is calculated by
the Company as adjusted funds flow before interest expense for the
current quarter multiplied by four. This measure is consistent with
the EBITDA formula prescribed under the Company's Credit Facility.
Net Debt/Quarterly Annualized EBITDA is calculated as Net Debt
divided by Quarterly Annualized EBITDA. Management considers Net
Debt/Quarterly Annualized EBITDA a key performance indicator as it
is a key metric to identify the Company’s ability to fund financing
expenses, net debt reductions and other obligations.
Forward-Looking Information and
Statements This news release contains certain
forward–looking information and statements within the meaning of
applicable securities laws. The use of any of the words "expect",
"anticipate", "continue", "estimate", "may", "will", "project",
"should", "believe", "plans", "intends", “forecast” and similar
expressions are intended to identify forward-looking information or
statements. In particular, but without limiting the foregoing, this
news release contains forward-looking information and statements
pertaining to the following: 2021 annual and Q4 guidance based on
the planned capital program of $29 million including forecasts of
2021 annual average production levels, light oil and NGLs
weightings; funds flow, adjusted funds flow, free adjusted funds
flow, net debt, Net Debt to Quarterly Annualized EBITDA ratio and
growth rates; the expectation that quarterly AFF in both the third
and fourth quarter of 2021 is expected to exceed AFF generated
during the first half of 2021; the expectation that FAFF generated
in 2021 will be used to pay down debt; the projection that debt
2021 will be lower than that previously forecasted and will be
close to our pre-pandemic 2019 debt levels; the expectation that
Pembina wells will pay-out extremely quickly in an estimated three
to six months assuming oil prices of US$60 to US$70 WTI; the
expectation that 2021 will be a record year for the Company; future
oil and natural gas prices; future liquidity and financial
capacity; future results from operations and operating metrics;
future costs, expenses and royalty rates; future interest costs;
the exchange rate between the $US and $Cdn; future development,
exploration, acquisition and infrastructure activities and related
capital expenditures, including our planned 2021 capital program,
allocation of wells to be drilled and completed and timing thereof;
anticipated reserve additions and optimization thereof; the
possible refinement of our 2021 capital program and anticipated
changes resulting therefrom; the amount and timing of capital
projects; forecasted spending on decommissioning; and methods of
funding our capital program.
Forward-looking statements or information are
based on a number of material factors, expectations or assumptions
of InPlay which have been used to develop such statements and
information but which may prove to be incorrect. Although InPlay
believes that the expectations reflected in such forward-looking
statements or information are reasonable, undue reliance should not
be placed on forward-looking statements because InPlay can give no
assurance that such expectations will prove to be correct. In
addition to other factors and assumptions which may be identified
herein, assumptions have been made regarding, among other things:
the impact of increasing competition; the general stability of the
economic and political environment in which InPlay operates; the
timely receipt of any required regulatory approvals; the ability of
InPlay to obtain qualified staff, equipment and services in a
timely and cost efficient manner; drilling results; the ability of
the operator of the projects in which InPlay has an interest in to
operate the field in a safe, efficient and effective manner; the
ability of InPlay to obtain financing on acceptable terms; field
production rates and decline rates; the ability to replace and
expand oil and natural gas reserves through acquisition,
development and exploration; the timing and cost of pipeline,
storage and facility construction and the ability of InPlay to
secure adequate product transportation; future commodity prices;
expectations regarding the potential impact of COVID-19; currency,
exchange and interest rates; regulatory framework regarding
royalties, taxes and environmental matters in the jurisdictions in
which InPlay operates; and the ability of InPlay to successfully
market its oil and natural gas products.
The forward-looking information and statements
included herein are not guarantees of future performance and should
not be unduly relied upon. Such information and statements,
including the assumptions made in respect thereof, involve known
and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors that may cause
actual results or events to defer materially from those anticipated
in such forward-looking information or statements including,
without limitation: the continuing impact of the COVID-19 pandemic;
changes in our planned 2021 capital program; changes in commodity
prices and other assumptions outlined herein; the potential for
variation in the quality of the reservoirs in which we operate;
changes in the demand for or supply of our products; unanticipated
operating results or production declines; changes in tax or
environmental laws, royalty rates or other regulatory matters;
changes in development plans of InPlay or by third party operators
of our properties; increased debt levels or debt service
requirements; inaccurate estimation of our light oil and natural
gas reserve and resource volumes; limited, unfavorable or a lack of
access to capital markets; increased costs; a lack of adequate
insurance coverage; the impact of competitors; and certain other
risks detailed from time-to-time in InPlay's continuous
disclosure documents filed on SEDAR including our Annual
Information Form.
The internal projections, expectations or
beliefs underlying the Company's 2021 capital budget, associated
guidance and corporate outlook for 2021 and beyond are subject to
change in light of ongoing results, prevailing economic
circumstances, commodity prices and industry conditions and
regulations. InPlay's outlook for 2021 and beyond provides
shareholders with relevant information on management's expectations
for results of operations, excluding any potential acquisitions,
dispositions or strategic transactions that may be completed in
2021 and beyond. Accordingly, readers are cautioned that events or
circumstances could cause results to differ materially from those
predicted and InPlay's 2021 guidance and outlook may not be
appropriate for other purposes.
The key budget and underlying material
assumptions used by the Company in the development of its planned
2021 capital program and associated guidance including forecasted
2021 production, funds flow, adjusted funds flow, free adjusted
funds flow, Net Debt and Q4 Net Debt/EBITDA ratio are as
follows:
|
|
|
GuidanceQ4 2021 |
Updated GuidanceFY 2021 |
Prior GuidanceFY 2021(1) |
WTI |
US$/bbl |
|
$65.75 |
$64.50 |
$60.50 |
NGL Price |
$/boe |
|
$31.00 |
$31.00 |
$27.30 |
AECO |
$/GJ |
|
$4.00 |
$3.35 |
$2.60 |
Foreign Exchange Rate |
(US$/CDN$) |
|
0.80 |
0.80 |
0.79 |
MSW Differential |
US$/bbl |
|
$4.25 |
$4.15 |
$4.00 |
Production |
Boe/d |
|
6,100 – 6,400 |
5,500 – 5,750 |
5,100 – 5,400 |
Royalties |
$/boe |
|
5.25 – 5.75 |
4.60 – 5.10 |
3.90 - 4.50 |
Operating Expenses |
$/boe |
|
11.00 – 13.00 |
11.50 - 13.50 |
11.50 - 13.50 |
Transportation |
$/boe |
|
0.70 - 0.80 |
0.80 - 0.90 |
0.80 - 0.90 |
Interest |
$/boe |
|
1.35 – 1.85 |
2.25 - 2.75 |
2.25 - 2.75 |
General and Administrative |
$/boe |
|
2.40 – 2.90 |
2.60 - 3.10 |
2.60 - 3.10 |
Hedging loss |
$/boe |
|
2.00 – 2.50 |
5.00 – 5.50 |
3.75 – 4.25 |
Capital Expenditures |
$ millions |
|
$12 |
$29 |
$23 |
Decommissioning Expenditures |
$ millions |
|
$0.5 - $0.8 |
$1.3 - $1.5 |
$1.3 - $1.5 |
Net Debt |
$ millions |
|
$56.5 - $59.5 |
$56.5 - $59.5 |
$58.0 - $61.0 |
Forecasted Adjusted Funds Flow |
$ millions |
|
$16.0 - $18.0 |
$44.5 - $47.5 |
$39.0 - $42.0 |
Forecasted Funds Flow |
$ millions |
|
$15.5 - $17.5 |
$43.0 - $46.0 |
$37.5 - $40.5 |
|
|
|
|
Updated GuidanceFY 2021 |
Prior GuidanceFY 2021(1) |
Forecasted Adjusted Funds Flow |
$ millions |
|
|
$44.5 - $47.5 |
$39.0 - $42.0 |
Capital Expenditures |
$ millions |
|
|
$29 |
$23 |
Forecasted Free Adjusted Funds Flow |
$ millions |
|
|
$15.5 - $18.5 |
$15.0 - $18.0 |
|
|
|
GuidanceQ4 2021 |
Updated GuidanceFY 2021 |
Prior GuidanceFY 2021(1) |
Forecasted Adjusted Funds Flow |
$ millions |
|
$16.0 - $18.0 |
$44.5 - $47.5 |
$39.0 - $42.0 |
Interest |
$/boe |
|
1.35 – 1.85 |
2.25 - 2.75 |
2.25 - 2.75 |
EBTIDA |
$ millions |
|
$16.5 – $19.5 |
$49.5 - $52.5 |
$43.0 - $46.0 |
Net Debt |
$ millions |
|
$56.5 - $59.5 |
$56.5 - $59.5 |
$58.0 - $61.0 |
Net Debt/EBITDA |
|
|
0.7 – 0.9 |
1.0 – 1.2 |
1.3 – 1.5 |
1. As previously
released March 16, 2021.
- Forecasted
production breakdown is as follows: light oil - 55%, natural gas
liquids - 13%, natural gas – 32%. See “Production Breakdown by
Product Type” below
- Quality and pipeline transmission
adjustments may impact realized oil prices in addition to the MSW
Differential provided above
- Changes in
working capital are not assumed to have a material impact between
Dec 31, 2020 and Dec 31, 2021
This press release contains future-oriented
financial information and financial outlook information
(collectively, "FOFI") about InPlay’s prospective capital
expenditures, all of which are subject to the same assumptions,
risk factors, limitations, and qualifications as set forth in the
above paragraphs. The actual results of operations of InPlay and
the resulting financial results will likely vary from the amounts
set forth in this press release and such variation may be material.
InPlay and its management believe that the FOFI has been prepared
on a reasonable basis, reflecting management's best estimates and
judgments. However, because this information is subjective and
subject to numerous risks, it should not be relied on as
necessarily indicative of future results. Except as required by
applicable securities laws, InPlay undertakes no obligation to
update such FOFI. FOFI contained in this press release was made as
of the date of this press release and was provided for the purpose
of providing further information about InPlay's anticipated future
business operations. Readers are cautioned that the FOFI contained
in this press release should not be used for purposes other than
for which it is disclosed herein.
The forward-looking information and statements
contained in this news release speak only as of the date hereof and
InPlay does not assume any obligation to publicly update or revise
any of the included forward-looking statements or information,
whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise,
except as may be required by applicable securities laws.
Test Results and Initial Production
RatesTest results and initial production (“IP”) rates
disclosed herein, particularly those short in duration, may not
necessarily be indicative of long term performance or of ultimate
recovery. Readers are cautioned that short term rates should not be
relied upon as indicators of future performance of these wells and
therefore should not be relied upon for investment or other
purposes. A pressure transient analysis or well-test interpretation
has not been carried out and thus certain of the test results
provided herein should be considered to be preliminary until such
analysis or interpretation has been completed.
Production Breakdown by Product
TypeDisclosure of production on a per boe basis in this
press release consists of the constituent product types as defined
in NI 51-101 and their respective quantities disclosed in the
table below:
|
Light and MediumCrude
oil(bbls/d) |
|
NGLS(boe/d) |
|
Conventional Natural
gas(Mcf/d) |
|
Total(boe/d) |
Q2 2020 Average Production |
1,523 |
|
561 |
|
6,424 |
|
3,154 |
H1/20 Average Production |
1,977 |
|
684 |
|
7,847 |
|
3,969 |
2020 Annual Average Production |
2,031 |
|
668 |
|
7,715 |
|
3,985 |
Q1 2021 Average Production |
2,665 |
|
802 |
|
8,994 |
|
4,965 |
Q2 2021 Average Production |
2,942 |
|
730 |
|
10,286 |
|
5,386 |
H1/21 Average Production |
2,804 |
|
765 |
|
9,643 |
|
5,177 |
2021 Annual Average Production Guidance |
3,071 |
|
751 |
|
10,816 |
|
5,625(1) |
Current Corporate Average Production |
3,606 |
|
788 |
|
12,589 |
|
6,500 |
Q1 2021 Pembina Wells (IP 30) |
668 |
|
44 |
|
1,068 |
|
890 |
Q1 2021 Pembina Wells (IP 60) |
946 |
|
87 |
|
1,741 |
|
1,323 |
Q1 2021 Pembina Wells (IP 90) |
949 |
|
106 |
|
2,116 |
|
1,408 |
Q1 2021 Pembina Wells (IP 120) |
910 |
|
113 |
|
2,200 |
|
1.390 |
Q2 2021 Pembina Wells (IP 15) |
1,074 |
|
72 |
|
1,434 |
|
1,386 |
Q2 2021 Pembina Wells (Current) |
1,218 |
|
111 |
|
2,226 |
|
1,701 |
Note:
- This reflects
the mid-point of the Company’s updated production guidance range of
5,500 to 5,750 boe/d.
- With respect to
forward-looking production guidance, product type breakdown is
based upon management's expectations based on reasonable
assumptions but are subject to variability based on actual well
results.
References to crude oil, NGLs or natural gas
production in this press release refer to the light and medium
crude oil, natural gas liquids and conventional natural gas product
types, respectively, as defined in National Instrument 51-101,
Standards of Disclosure for Oil and Gas Activities ("Nl
51-101").
Drilling LocationsThis press
release discloses an estimate of 26 drilling locations identified
by management in the Company's Pembina area of operations which are
comprised of: (i) 9 proved locations; (ii) 9 probable locations and
(ii) 8 unbooked locations. Proved and probable locations are
derived from the Company's independent reserves evaluation
effective December 31, 2020 and account for drilling inventory that
have associated proved reserves assigned by Sproule. Unbooked
locations are internally identified potential drilling
opportunities based on the Company's prospective acreage and an
assumption as to the number of wells that can be drilled per
section based on industry practice and internal review. Unbooked
locations do not have reserves or resources attributed to them and
are not estimates of drilling locations which have been evaluated
by a qualified reserves evaluator performed in accordance with the
COGE Handbook. There is no certainty that the Company will drill
any of these potential drilling opportunities and if drilled there
is no certainty that such locations will result in additional oil
and gas reserves, resources or production. The drilling locations
on which we actually drill wells will ultimately depend upon the
availability of capital, regulatory approvals, seasonal
restrictions, oil and natural gas prices, costs, actual drilling
results, additional reservoir information that is obtained and
other factors. While certain of the unbooked locations are expected
to be de-risked by drilling in relative close proximity to existing
wells, other unbooked drilling locations are further away from
existing wells where management has less information about the
characteristics of the reservoir and, therefore, there is more
uncertainty whether wells will ultimately be drilled in such
locations.
BOE equivalent Barrel of oil
equivalents or BOEs may be misleading, particularly if used in
isolation. A BOE conversion ratio of 6 mcf: 1 bbl is based on an
energy equivalency conversion method primarily applicable at the
burner tip and does not represent a value equivalency at the
wellhead. Given that the value ratio based on the current price of
crude oil as compared to natural gas is significantly different
than the energy equivalency of 6:1, utilizing a 6:1 conversion
basis may be misleading as an indication of value.
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