Dollar Weakens As Government Shutdown Seems Likely
20 Décembre 2018 - 3:07PM
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The dollar is losing ground against all of its major rivals
Thursday afternoon. While investors are still reeling from
yesterday's hawkish statement from the Federal Reserve, the
potential for a government shutdown seems likely.
President Trump is reportedly considering a veto of the
short-term funding bill that recently passed in the Senate. Trump
is said to be upset over the lack of funding for a wall on the
U.S.-Mexico border.
"When I begrudgingly signed the Omnibus Bill, I was promised the
Wall and Border Security by leadership," Trump tweeted Thursday.
"Would be done by end of year (NOW). It didn't happen! We foolishly
fight for Border Security for other countries - but not for our
beloved U.S.A. Not good!"
Meanwhile, after reporting a notable decrease in first-time
claims for U.S. unemployment benefits in the previous week, the
Labor Department released a report on Thursday showing initial
jobless claims rebounded in the week ended December 15th.
The report said initial jobless claims rose to 214,000, an
increase of 8,000 from the previous week's unrevised level of
206,000. Economists had expected jobless claims to climb to
216,000.
Manufacturing activity in the Philadelphia region continued to
grow but remained subdued in the month of December, according to a
report released by the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia on
Thursday. The report said the diffusion index for current general
activity dropped to 9.4 in December after tumbling to 12.9 in
November.
While a positive reading still indicates growth in regional
manufacturing activity, economists had expected the index to rise
to 15.0.
A report released by the Conference Board on Thursday showed a
modest increase by leading U.S. economic indicators in the month of
November. The Conference Board said its leading economic index rose
by 0.2 percent in November after falling by a revised 0.3 percent
in October.
Economists had expected the index to come in unchanged compared
to the 0.1 percent uptick originally reported for the previous
month.
The dollar has dropped to around $1.1475 against the Euro
Thursday afternoon, from an early high of $1.1377.
Eurozone's current account surplus increased in October after
declining in the previous month, but was lower than the same month
last year. The current account surplus rose to EUR 23 billion from
EUR 18 billion in September, figures from the European Central Bank
showed on Thursday. In October 2017, the surplus was EUR 35
billion.
Bank of England policymakers unanimously left the key interest
rate and asset purchase targets unchanged on Thursday, as expected.
The nine-member Monetary Policy Committee held its key interest
rate unchanged at 0.75 percent in line with economists'
expectations.
Brexit uncertainties have intensified considerably since the
previous policy session and they are weighing on UK financial
markets and on the near-term growth outlook, the bank said.
The bank expects inflation to fall below 2 percent in coming
months due to lower oil prices.
The buck has fallen to around $1.2675 against the pound sterling
this afternoon, from a high of $1.2613 this morning.
UK retail sales rose for the first time in three months in
November to surpass economists' expectations, thanks to Black
Friday promotions and record online spending, while the long term
trend was that of a slowdown, amid the persistent Brexit
uncertainties.
Data from the Office for National Statistics showed on Thursday
that the volume of retail sales including automotive fuel rose 1.4
percent from October, which was much faster than the 0.3 percent
growth economists had predicted.
The Bank of Japan left its ultra-loose monetary policy unchanged
on Thursday, asserting its pledge to keep interest rate extremely
low for an extended period of time amid indications of global
economic slowdown.
The policy board of the BoJ voted 7-2 to purchase government
bonds so that the yield of 10-year JGBs will remain at around zero
percent.
The greenback has tumbled to over a 3-month low of Y111.050
against the Japanese Yen Thursday afternoon, from an early high of
Y112.604.
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